“AI data center delays are now a credit risk, not just a capex story”

— @silvercrestgrp

The AI buildout has been a major contributor to economic growth through capital expenditures and employment, but those massive capital expenditures require financing. Even cash-rich mega-cap tech companies have begun issuing debt.

The broader credit market is generally still strong, with high yield and investment grade spreads ticking up a bit in recent weeks.

The risk they flag is timing. Delayed revenue can pressure debt service and suppress IRRs.

A risk to the projected return on capital, not a risk to the return of capital