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Binance Academy
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A Guide to Binance Wallet Prediction Markets
Key Takeaways
Prediction markets allow participants to take positions on the outcomes of future events across categories like sports, finance, politics, culture, and crypto.
Binance Wallet Prediction Markets integrate a third-party decentralized protocol (Predict.fun) on BNB Smart Chain (BSC), accessible directly through the Binance app.
Users trade YES or NO shares priced between $0.01 and $0.99. Winning shares pay out $1.00 per share when the market resolves; losing shares become worthless.
A dedicated Prediction Account, powered by Binance Wallet Keyless technology, is created automatically (no manual wallet setup is required).
Introduction
Prediction markets offer a way for users to trade on the probability of real-world events. From sports outcomes to economic indicators and cultural moments, these markets turn collective opinion into tradeable positions.
Binance Wallet Prediction Markets bring this concept into the Binance app, giving users a way to access decentralized prediction markets without needing to pay gas fees or manage external wallets. This guide covers what prediction markets are, how they work on Binance, and how to get started.
What Are Prediction Markets?
Prediction markets are platforms where users can buy and sell shares based on the expected outcome of future events. Each event typically has two outcomes, YES and NO, each represented by a share with a price between $0.01 and $0.99.
The price of a share reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome. For example, if a "Yes" share is priced at $0.72 in a sufficiently liquid market, it suggests the market estimates roughly a 72% chance of the event occurring.
When the event concludes and the market resolves:
Winning shares pay out $1.00 each.
Losing shares become worth $0.00 and are cleared from the account.
This mechanism essentially creates a market-driven probability estimate, where prices shift dynamically based on supply and demand as users place their positions.
How Do Prediction Markets Work on Binance?
Binance Wallet Prediction Markets integrate a third-party decentralized prediction market protocol called Predict.fun (built on the BNB Smart Chain). Binance acts as an access layer, meaning it aggregates and displays these markets within the Binance app but does not create events or act as a counterparty to trades.
Here are some notable aspects of the integration:
On-chain execution: All trades are executed on-chain through Predict.fun's protocol on BSC.
Gasless trading: Binance Wallet sponsors gas fees for trading and settlement, so users don't need to hold BNB for gas.
Keyless wallet infrastructure: Trades are executed through Binance Wallet's MPC (Multi-Party Computation) Keyless technology, removing the need for manual key management.
Spot balance integration: Users can fund predictions directly from their existing Spot or Funding Account balances.
Markets span multiple categories, including sports, economics, world events, culture, and crypto.
How to Get Started (Mobile App)
Follow the steps below to get started with Binance Wallet Prediction Markets:
Update your Binance App to the latest version.
Open the app, switch to the Exchange view.
Tap [Markets] at the bottom of your screen. Select the [Prediction] tab at the top to browse available markets and probability pricing.
When placing your first order, a setup guide will appear to create your Prediction Account. A Keyless Wallet is generated and linked to your account — no manual wallet setup is needed.
You can use your Spot or Funding Account balances to fund trades or transfer USDT to your Prediction Account in advance under [Assets] → [Prediction] → [Transfer].
Please note that Prediction Markets may not be available in certain regions.
How to Place a Prediction
Once your Prediction Account is ready, follow these steps to place a prediction:
Navigate to [Markets] → [Prediction] and select an event.
Choose your predicted outcome: YES or NO.
Select your order type:
Market order: Executes immediately at the best available price.
Limit order: Executes only at your specified price or better. Unmatched portions remain open and can be partially filled or canceled.
Enter the order amount (usually in USDT). The potential payout will be calculated automatically.
Review the details and tap [Confirm] to submit your order.
You can track your open positions and order history under [Assets] → [Prediction].
Market Phases and Resolution
Each prediction market moves through three phases:
Phase 1: Market ongoing (open for trading)
The market is live and actively trading. Share prices fluctuate based on the live order book and market sentiment. You can buy or sell shares freely during this phase.
Phase 2: Market ended (settlement in progress)
The underlying event (e.g., a sports match) has concluded, but the data provider has not yet confirmed the final resolution. Trading remains open, meaning you can still adjust your positions.
Phase 3: Resolved (final outcome)
The final outcome has been determined and recorded on-chain. Trading is disabled, and the market is officially closed. If you hold winning shares, you can claim $1.00 per share from your Prediction Account. Losing shares are automatically cleared.
Resolution on Predict.fun uses a decentralized on-chain oracle system. After an event concludes, a resolution proposal is submitted with a bond. If unchallenged, the market resolves automatically. If disputed, the process escalates through an arbitration mechanism.
Can you sell before resolution?
Yes. You can sell your shares at any time before settlement to lock in profits or reduce losses. Profits from early sales are realized immediately without needing to go through a claim step.
Important Notes
Trading fees are vendor fees set by Predict.fun, displayed in real time on the order confirmation screen. These fees are not collected by Binance.
Gas fees are sponsored by Binance Wallet, so users are not charged for on-chain execution costs.
Binance does not create or manage market events and does not act as a counterparty to any prediction trade.
Predict.fun incentive programs (such as referral rewards or points programs) are currently not available through Binance. Binance's role is limited to facilitating access.
As with any form of trading, prediction markets carry risk. The value of your shares can fluctuate, and you may lose your entire invested amount if your predicted outcome does not occur.
Closing Thoughts
Prediction markets aren't new, but having them accessible directly through the Binance Wallet and without gas fees is a big step toward making on-chain products more accessible to users. Before taking risks, make sure to understand how the product works and only trade with funds you can afford to lose.
Further Reading
On-Chain Analysis for Beginners
What Is Blockchain Technology? A Comprehensive Guide for Beginners
What Is Polymarket?
What Are Multi-Party Computation (MPC) Wallets?
Disclaimer: This content is presented to you on an “as is” basis for general information and or educational purposes only, without representation or warranty of any kind. It should not be construed as financial, legal or other professional advice, nor is it intended to recommend the purchase of any specific product or service. You should seek your own advice from appropriate professional advisors. Where the content is contributed by a third party contributor, please note that those views expressed belong to the third party contributor, and do not necessarily reflect those of Binance Academy. Digital asset prices can be volatile. The value of your investment may go down or up and you may not get back the amount invested. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and Binance Academy is not liable for any losses you may incur. For more information, see our Terms of Use, Risk Warning and Binance Academy Terms.
Prediction markets allow participants to take positions on the outcomes of future events across categories like sports, finance, politics, culture, and crypto.
Binance Wallet Prediction Markets integrate a third-party decentralized protocol (Predict.fun) on BNB Smart Chain (BSC), accessible directly through the Binance app.
Users trade YES or NO shares priced between $0.01 and $0.99. Winning shares pay out $1.00 per share when the market resolves; losing shares become worthless.
A dedicated Prediction Account, powered by Binance Wallet Keyless technology, is created automatically (no manual wallet setup is required).
Introduction
Prediction markets offer a way for users to trade on the probability of real-world events. From sports outcomes to economic indicators and cultural moments, these markets turn collective opinion into tradeable positions.
Binance Wallet Prediction Markets bring this concept into the Binance app, giving users a way to access decentralized prediction markets without needing to pay gas fees or manage external wallets. This guide covers what prediction markets are, how they work on Binance, and how to get started.
What Are Prediction Markets?
Prediction markets are platforms where users can buy and sell shares based on the expected outcome of future events. Each event typically has two outcomes, YES and NO, each represented by a share with a price between $0.01 and $0.99.
The price of a share reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome. For example, if a "Yes" share is priced at $0.72 in a sufficiently liquid market, it suggests the market estimates roughly a 72% chance of the event occurring.
When the event concludes and the market resolves:
Winning shares pay out $1.00 each.
Losing shares become worth $0.00 and are cleared from the account.
This mechanism essentially creates a market-driven probability estimate, where prices shift dynamically based on supply and demand as users place their positions.
How Do Prediction Markets Work on Binance?
Binance Wallet Prediction Markets integrate a third-party decentralized prediction market protocol called Predict.fun (built on the BNB Smart Chain). Binance acts as an access layer, meaning it aggregates and displays these markets within the Binance app but does not create events or act as a counterparty to trades.
Here are some notable aspects of the integration:
On-chain execution: All trades are executed on-chain through Predict.fun's protocol on BSC.
Gasless trading: Binance Wallet sponsors gas fees for trading and settlement, so users don't need to hold BNB for gas.
Keyless wallet infrastructure: Trades are executed through Binance Wallet's MPC (Multi-Party Computation) Keyless technology, removing the need for manual key management.
Spot balance integration: Users can fund predictions directly from their existing Spot or Funding Account balances.
Markets span multiple categories, including sports, economics, world events, culture, and crypto.
How to Get Started (Mobile App)
Follow the steps below to get started with Binance Wallet Prediction Markets:
Update your Binance App to the latest version.
Open the app, switch to the Exchange view.
Tap [Markets] at the bottom of your screen. Select the [Prediction] tab at the top to browse available markets and probability pricing.
When placing your first order, a setup guide will appear to create your Prediction Account. A Keyless Wallet is generated and linked to your account — no manual wallet setup is needed.
You can use your Spot or Funding Account balances to fund trades or transfer USDT to your Prediction Account in advance under [Assets] → [Prediction] → [Transfer].
Please note that Prediction Markets may not be available in certain regions.
How to Place a Prediction
Once your Prediction Account is ready, follow these steps to place a prediction:
Navigate to [Markets] → [Prediction] and select an event.
Choose your predicted outcome: YES or NO.
Select your order type:
Market order: Executes immediately at the best available price.
Limit order: Executes only at your specified price or better. Unmatched portions remain open and can be partially filled or canceled.
Enter the order amount (usually in USDT). The potential payout will be calculated automatically.
Review the details and tap [Confirm] to submit your order.
You can track your open positions and order history under [Assets] → [Prediction].
Market Phases and Resolution
Each prediction market moves through three phases:
Phase 1: Market ongoing (open for trading)
The market is live and actively trading. Share prices fluctuate based on the live order book and market sentiment. You can buy or sell shares freely during this phase.
Phase 2: Market ended (settlement in progress)
The underlying event (e.g., a sports match) has concluded, but the data provider has not yet confirmed the final resolution. Trading remains open, meaning you can still adjust your positions.
Phase 3: Resolved (final outcome)
The final outcome has been determined and recorded on-chain. Trading is disabled, and the market is officially closed. If you hold winning shares, you can claim $1.00 per share from your Prediction Account. Losing shares are automatically cleared.
Resolution on Predict.fun uses a decentralized on-chain oracle system. After an event concludes, a resolution proposal is submitted with a bond. If unchallenged, the market resolves automatically. If disputed, the process escalates through an arbitration mechanism.
Can you sell before resolution?
Yes. You can sell your shares at any time before settlement to lock in profits or reduce losses. Profits from early sales are realized immediately without needing to go through a claim step.
Important Notes
Trading fees are vendor fees set by Predict.fun, displayed in real time on the order confirmation screen. These fees are not collected by Binance.
Gas fees are sponsored by Binance Wallet, so users are not charged for on-chain execution costs.
Binance does not create or manage market events and does not act as a counterparty to any prediction trade.
Predict.fun incentive programs (such as referral rewards or points programs) are currently not available through Binance. Binance's role is limited to facilitating access.
As with any form of trading, prediction markets carry risk. The value of your shares can fluctuate, and you may lose your entire invested amount if your predicted outcome does not occur.
Closing Thoughts
Prediction markets aren't new, but having them accessible directly through the Binance Wallet and without gas fees is a big step toward making on-chain products more accessible to users. Before taking risks, make sure to understand how the product works and only trade with funds you can afford to lose.
Further Reading
On-Chain Analysis for Beginners
What Is Blockchain Technology? A Comprehensive Guide for Beginners
What Is Polymarket?
What Are Multi-Party Computation (MPC) Wallets?
Disclaimer: This content is presented to you on an “as is” basis for general information and or educational purposes only, without representation or warranty of any kind. It should not be construed as financial, legal or other professional advice, nor is it intended to recommend the purchase of any specific product or service. You should seek your own advice from appropriate professional advisors. Where the content is contributed by a third party contributor, please note that those views expressed belong to the third party contributor, and do not necessarily reflect those of Binance Academy. Digital asset prices can be volatile. The value of your investment may go down or up and you may not get back the amount invested. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and Binance Academy is not liable for any losses you may incur. For more information, see our Terms of Use, Risk Warning and Binance Academy Terms.
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SIGN Token: The Future of On-Chain Identity & Verification?$
The crypto space is evolving fast, and SIGN Token is stepping into a powerful narrative — decentralized identity and trust infrastructure. 🌐
🔍 What makes SIGN interesting?
• Focus on verifiable credentials & on-chain attestations
• Bridges real-world data with blockchain ecosystems
• Potential backbone for Web3 reputation systems
💡 Why it matters:
In a world moving toward decentralization, identity is everything. Projects like SIGN could enable:
✔️ Trustless verification
✔️ Sybil resistance
✔️ Secure digital identity layers
📊 Market angle:
Narratives drive momentum — and identity + infrastructure plays are gaining traction. If adoption follows, SIGN could be one to watch closely.
⚠️ As always: Do your own research, manage risk, and avoid hype-driven decisions.
What are your thoughts on SIGN — long-term infrastructure gem or just another narrative play? 👇
#Crypto #BiananceSquare #Web3 #SIGN #Blockchain #DYOR
The crypto space is evolving fast, and SIGN Token is stepping into a powerful narrative — decentralized identity and trust infrastructure. 🌐
🔍 What makes SIGN interesting?
• Focus on verifiable credentials & on-chain attestations
• Bridges real-world data with blockchain ecosystems
• Potential backbone for Web3 reputation systems
💡 Why it matters:
In a world moving toward decentralization, identity is everything. Projects like SIGN could enable:
✔️ Trustless verification
✔️ Sybil resistance
✔️ Secure digital identity layers
📊 Market angle:
Narratives drive momentum — and identity + infrastructure plays are gaining traction. If adoption follows, SIGN could be one to watch closely.
⚠️ As always: Do your own research, manage risk, and avoid hype-driven decisions.
What are your thoughts on SIGN — long-term infrastructure gem or just another narrative play? 👇
#Crypto #BiananceSquare #Web3 #SIGN #Blockchain #DYOR
#signdigitalsovereigninfra $SIGN The Middle East is rapidly embracing digital transformation, and projects like @SignOfficial are positioning themselves as key infrastructure for this shift. With $SIGN at its core, Sign is building digital sovereign rails that empower economies with secure identity, data ownership, and decentralized trust. This is bigger than just blockchain—it’s about enabling nations to scale innovation independently and sustainably. #SignDigitalSovereignInfra
#signdigitalsovereigninfra $SIGN The future of digital sovereignty in the Middle East is being reshaped by @SignOfficial Official. With powering secure, scalable infrastructure, Sign is laying the foundation for independent digital economies, enabling trust, identity, and cross-border innovation. #SignDigitalSovereignInfra
Ethereum ($ETH ) continues to stand at the heart of $ETH innovation. From powering DeFi protocols and NFT marketplaces to enabling smart contracts and layer-2 scalability, ETH remains a key driver of blockchain adoption. With ongoing network upgrades focused on speed, security, and lower fees, Ethereum is building a more efficient and sustainable ecosystem. As developers and users keep choosing Ethereum, its role in shaping the decentralized future grows stronger every day. 🚀 #ETH #Ethereum #Web3 #DeFiDominance #Ethereum #
$ETH /USDT i#s showing renewed strength as traders watch key support and resistance levels. Recent volatility has created opportunity, with buyers stepping in on dips and momentum improving on higher timeframes. Keep an eye on volume and funding as sentiment shifts—confirmation above resistance could open the door to fresh upside, while a breakdown would favor patience and risk management. Dollar-cost averaging and clear stop levels can help navigate the move. As always, plan your trade and trade your plan. What’s your outlook for ETH from here—continuation or consolidation? Share your thoughts below! Stay disciplined and manage risk.
$ETH $ETH #BinanceHODLerBREV
$ETH $ETH #BinanceHODLerBREV
Ethereum (ETH) continues to be one of the most influential projects in crypto, powering a massive ecosystem of DeFi, NFTs, and smart contracts. With ongoing upgrades focused on scalability and lower fees, ETH aims to improve user experience while strengthening security and decentralization. Developers keep building new dApps, L2 solutions are expanding, and real-world use cases are steadily growing. Whether you’re watching the markets or following the tech, Ethereum remains a key player shaping the future of blockchain. Always do your own research, stay informed, and manage risk responsibly — the crypto space moves fast and innovation here never stops
$ETH $BTC
$ETH $BTC
🚀 PEPE: The Meme That Became a Movement 🐸
What started as internet culture has evolved into one of the most recognizable meme-coins in crypto. PEPE has built a massive community, vibrant market activity, and relentless online energy—proving that memes aren’t just jokes, they’re culture + liquidity.
Why people are watching PEPE:
⚡ Strong community engagement
📈 High-volume trading and liquidity
🎯 Pure meme energy driving attention
Whether you see it as culture, speculation, or just fun, PEPE continues to remind the market: community matters.
👇 What’s your outlook on PEPE this year?
#PEPE #Memecoins #CryptoCommunity #BinanceSquare #Web3
Not financial advice. Always DYOR.
Do you like this personality?
#PEPE #pepepumping
What started as internet culture has evolved into one of the most recognizable meme-coins in crypto. PEPE has built a massive community, vibrant market activity, and relentless online energy—proving that memes aren’t just jokes, they’re culture + liquidity.
Why people are watching PEPE:
⚡ Strong community engagement
📈 High-volume trading and liquidity
🎯 Pure meme energy driving attention
Whether you see it as culture, speculation, or just fun, PEPE continues to remind the market: community matters.
👇 What’s your outlook on PEPE this year?
#PEPE #Memecoins #CryptoCommunity #BinanceSquare #Web3
Not financial advice. Always DYOR.
Do you like this personality?
#PEPE #pepepumping
Bitcoin (BTC) on Binance 🚀
Bitcoin is the world’s first and most trusted cryptocurrency, often called Digital Gold. Built on a decentralized blockchain, BTC empowers users with secure, transparent, and borderless transactions—without relying on intermediaries. With a limited supply of 21 million coins, Bitcoin is designed to protect value over time and resist inflation.
Trade Bitcoin (BTC) on Binance with deep liquidity, advanced trading tools, and top-tier security. Whether you’re a long-term holder or an active trader, Binance makes it easy to buy, sell, and manage BTC anytime, anywhere.
🔶 Secure
🔶 Decentralized
🔶 Trusted Worldwide
#Bitcoin #BTC #Binance #Crypto
#bitcoin $BTC
Bitcoin is the world’s first and most trusted cryptocurrency, often called Digital Gold. Built on a decentralized blockchain, BTC empowers users with secure, transparent, and borderless transactions—without relying on intermediaries. With a limited supply of 21 million coins, Bitcoin is designed to protect value over time and resist inflation.
Trade Bitcoin (BTC) on Binance with deep liquidity, advanced trading tools, and top-tier security. Whether you’re a long-term holder or an active trader, Binance makes it easy to buy, sell, and manage BTC anytime, anywhere.
🔶 Secure
🔶 Decentralized
🔶 Trusted Worldwide
#Bitcoin #BTC #Binance #Crypto
#bitcoin $BTC
$ETH Ethereum (ETH) continues to be the backbone of the crypto ecosystem 🌐
🔹 Smart Contracts Pioneer – ETH powers DeFi, NFTs, and thousands of dApps
🔹 Proof of Stake – More energy-efficient, secure, and scalable after the Merge
🔹 Ecosystem Growth – Layer-2s like Arbitrum & Optimism are boosting speed and lowering fees
🔹 Institutional Interest – ETH remains a top asset for long-term blockchain adoption
📊 From DeFi liquidity to Web3 innovation, Ethereum isn’t just a coin — it’s infrastructure.
💡 Are you holding, staking, or building on ETH?
Drop your thoughts 👇
#ETH #Ethereum #Crypto #Web3 #DeFi #BinanceSquare
🔹 Smart Contracts Pioneer – ETH powers DeFi, NFTs, and thousands of dApps
🔹 Proof of Stake – More energy-efficient, secure, and scalable after the Merge
🔹 Ecosystem Growth – Layer-2s like Arbitrum & Optimism are boosting speed and lowering fees
🔹 Institutional Interest – ETH remains a top asset for long-term blockchain adoption
📊 From DeFi liquidity to Web3 innovation, Ethereum isn’t just a coin — it’s infrastructure.
💡 Are you holding, staking, or building on ETH?
Drop your thoughts 👇
#ETH #Ethereum #Crypto #Web3 #DeFi #BinanceSquare
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