🚨 FED RATE HIKE: 95% ODDS. MARKETS ARE ON ALERT. 📊
The Fed’s September decision is now here, with markets pricing a near-certain 25 bps hike amid persistent inflation.
But the bigger question isn’t just “Hike or hold?”
🔥 It’s what comes NEXT.
📌 September: Markets expect a hike toward 3.75%–4.00%
📌 October 27–28: Markets are also pricing meaningful odds of another hike.
📌 Inflation: Still above the Fed’s 2% target
📌 10Y Treasury yield: Above 5%, keeping financial conditions tight.
⚠️ WHY CRYPTO SHOULD CARE
Hawkish guidance → Higher yields → Stronger dollar → Potential pressure on BTC & risk assets
Less-hawkish guidance → Lower rate expectations → Potential relief for risk assets
🎯 The rate decision may already be priced in.
The real volatility could come from Powell/Warsh’s guidance on future hikes.
❓What matters more for $BTC now: the rate hike itself or the Fed’s next-rate signal?
$LSK $SYN $ARB
#FedRateWatch #FOMC #ARB #BTC #LSK
The Fed’s September decision is now here, with markets pricing a near-certain 25 bps hike amid persistent inflation.
But the bigger question isn’t just “Hike or hold?”
🔥 It’s what comes NEXT.
📌 September: Markets expect a hike toward 3.75%–4.00%
📌 October 27–28: Markets are also pricing meaningful odds of another hike.
📌 Inflation: Still above the Fed’s 2% target
📌 10Y Treasury yield: Above 5%, keeping financial conditions tight.
⚠️ WHY CRYPTO SHOULD CARE
Hawkish guidance → Higher yields → Stronger dollar → Potential pressure on BTC & risk assets
Less-hawkish guidance → Lower rate expectations → Potential relief for risk assets
🎯 The rate decision may already be priced in.
The real volatility could come from Powell/Warsh’s guidance on future hikes.
❓What matters more for $BTC now: the rate hike itself or the Fed’s next-rate signal?
$LSK $SYN $ARB
#FedRateWatch #FOMC #ARB #BTC #LSK
