Den Robin

Argumentos a favor do superciclo:
1) Trump foi presidente quando ocorreu o primeiro altseason, e foi exatamente nessa época que as taxas foram elevadas
2) Grande e bela lei, aumentou o teto da dívida pública em 5 trilhões, alívio para as pessoas e pequenas empresas (ou seja, o varejo que começará a ter dinheiro extra devido a alívios fiscais), haverá uma escassez de dinheiro por causa disso, o que forçará o Fed a imprimir uma quantidade enorme de dinheiro, o dólar começará a cair, as pessoas começarão a buscar instrumentos onde poderão ganhar mais do que em depósitos bancários (cerca de 15 trilhões estão em depósitos, e por que mantê-los se estão perdendo valor), e então entra o item 3.

Colleagues, I think the alt season will start in July. There are many prerequisites for this. I'll start with my reasons for thinking so, but of course I could be wrong. First of all, people have money, the m2 of America has hit a new all-time high, while the dxy is falling, making the dollar cheaper. Trump needs a printing press, but the debt has already hit the ceiling; if the policy is softened, the ceiling can be moved, and interest rates will also be lowered due to the approaching signs of recession, so the printing press will be turned on, interest rates will decrease, and the debt can be repaid cheaper, which is needed by Trump. All this fuss with Elon, I consider another manipulation to increase market volatility, as well as to buy Tesla stock cheaper, possibly for Musk himself, since he has lost a lot of money over these six months, and now he might buy back his shares at a lower price. Today they will say we reconciled, I’m returning the mandate, not removing subsidies, Tesla will fly up again, such is the opinion since they are already planning to reconcile today. Also, domination, it used to grow up crazily, but in May it fell, and now it grows up and down in a bearish pattern. In June, there will be a decision on rates, the chance of lowering them is small, but in July, if I remember correctly, there is already about a 40% chance of lowering them, and if bad data for May comes out, then the Fed should intervene and lower the rate; the chances could increase even more. Also, the recent update of the ETH spectrum increased the amount of ETH for staking, recently the SEC approved staking, and in July, a decision on ETH ETF staking is expected. BlackRock sells Bitcoin and buys Ethereum. ETH/BTC holds up well, the amount of ETH on exchanges has fallen to 2016 lows, trading volumes in altcoins are growing, there are spikes in new and specific cryptocurrencies that make several x's in a week (investors have started to take risks gradually, so, regarding that investors have started to take risks. Now there are gradual spikes, new coins like BoB or whatever, have made x's, and then it will gradually start to come out in the media, crypto gives x's, retail will start to come in), the amount of Bitcoin is also decreasing every day and reaching lows, and the recent notification from the hash ribbons indicator to buy, and as you all know, there has always been a correction after such a notification, and then a good rise. In general, there are very many prerequisites.