The 4-hour level rebound has created a top divergence pattern. The price has dropped and retraced, failing to reach the 4-hour EMA52 support, instead rebounding at the 2-hour EMA52 support. After the 2-hour level rebound, the price still needs to decline further to seek the support levels of 4-hour (3696) or 8-hour (3500) before there is greater energy to continue the rebound. Therefore, the next rebound can still be used to continue to position short orders at high points. After taking profits at the support levels on the 4-hour and 8-hour charts, reverse to open short-term long orders. The daily line is a small bearish candle with upper and lower shadows, and the trading volume is normal. The daily MA30 line maintains an upward trend, while the MACD shows a continuous weakening of bullish momentum above the zero axis. The fast and slow lines are about to form a death cross. If a death cross occurs, the price will need to undergo a period of adjustment, waiting for the MACD to return to the zero axis or the price to return to the zero axis before there is an opportunity for further upward movement.
After a high-level fluctuation, the 1-hour chart has started to decline. Currently, it is in a 12-hour rebound within a 2-day line rebound, returning to near the 6-hour EMA52. The 12-hour rebound is still not completed, but the 12-hour MACD has not formed a golden cross and instead shows an increase in bearish momentum. In the next 48 hours, if this situation cannot change, the price will further decline. From the daily perspective, it is still fluctuating at a high level, with normal trading volume. The daily MA30 line maintains an upward trend, and the MACD shows an increase in bearish momentum above the zero axis.
The weekly line is a bullish candle with a long lower shadow, and the trading volume is a quarter less than last week. The trend still maintains strength, and the weekly line is currently in a five consecutive bullish candle formation. The last time there was a five consecutive bullish candles was from January to March 2024, and after that, there were two large bearish candles. Price increase space is getting smaller, the higher it goes, the greater the pressure. The previous few times were all knocked down at the 4000-4100 level, and here it is still about reducing positions. The daily line is a small bullish candle, with trading volume only about half of last week's average daily trading volume. The weekend is still in a state of reduced volume, but the price has reached a new high.
The weekly line shows a small bullish candle with short upper and lower shadows, and the trading volume is basically flat compared to last week. The weekly MA30 line is still in an upward trend, and the MACD shows a slowly strengthening upward momentum at a distance above the zero axis. The price is consolidating at a high level, and there is still room for further increases after the adjustment ends, but on the daily chart, there will be relatively large fluctuations. The weekly chart will continue to oscillate, so be patient and wait. The daily line shows a small bullish candle, with trading volume slightly higher than the previous day. The weekend trading volume is relatively weak, maintaining a high-level oscillating trend. Currently, we are seeing a rebound on the 2-day line returning to the support level of the 12-hour rebounding within a 30-minute to 1-hour rebound and the 15-minute rebound trend.
Ethereum is still rebounding after returning to the 4-hour EMA52 support. Currently, it continues to maintain a fluctuating trend at the 4-hour level, with the 4-hour MACD entangled above the zero axis. It will either break upwards or fall back to test the 8-hour EMA52 before continuing to rebound. Currently, Ethereum's trend still remains strong, so as long as Bitcoin does not decline, it is highly likely that Ethereum will continue to break upwards. Today is Saturday, and the market is still mainly dominated by fluctuations. In the afternoon to evening on Sunday, the volatility will increase, so please pay attention. Ethereum's altcoins will take the opportunity to repair the K-line this weekend, waiting for Ethereum to sound the charge.
After the price dropped and retraced to the 12-hour EMA52 line, it began to rebound. It is currently oscillating around 117400, which is a resistance level in the 1-4 hour range and also coincidentally near the lower edge of the box oscillation. If it breaks up after oscillation, it will trigger a rebound at the 12-hour level. If that rebound is effective, there will be opportunities to continue challenging new highs. Many people believe that the selling off by ancient whales led to the price drop, but this is one-sided; the price was already at a point where it was due for a correction. The whales' selling merely accelerated this process. Perhaps the galaxy helped the whales by establishing a short position with one hand while selling with the other?
The daily chart is still showing a bearish candle, with trading volume remaining the same as the previous day. Two consecutive bearish candles have completely swallowed the previous gains. The daily MA30 line is still in an upward trend, with the MACD showing weakening upward momentum above the zero axis. The current price has bounced back after hitting the support of the 6-hour EMA52 line, forming a one-hour level rebound, but the 6-hour MACD is still in the process of returning to the zero axis, making the rebound relatively weak. Next, a short-term long position can be taken near the MA30 line on the daily chart, which happens to be near the upper edge of the red box (164-168) (aiming for around 183). Daily level resistance at 193-210-220, support at 175-166-156-145.
Currently, it is following a 2-day line rebound within a 6-12 hour joint rebound back to the 6-hour EMA52 after a pullback, showing a trend of oscillation. It has consistently failed to effectively touch the 8-hour EMA52 line. The support at the 8-hour here will weaken, and next we can wait to add positions at the 12-hour EMA52 line (114910). The daily line shows a small bearish candlestick with a doji pattern, and the trading volume is flat compared to the previous day, maintaining a high-level oscillation trend. The viewpoint remains the same as yesterday; there will not be a crash for the time being. The price is slowly dropping towards the 12-hour support before rebounding. If the rebound cannot create a new high, then it will need to go to the 1-day line support before rebounding again.
Yesterday, on the hourly level, there was a continuous decline, ultimately arriving near the 4-hour EMA52 line (3500) where it found support and formed a rebound on the hourly level. Currently, the rebound seems relatively strong, but the 4-hour MACD is still in the process of returning to the zero line. If the fast and slow lines form a golden cross, then the 4-hour rebound will be effective, and the price can continue to rise. The daily line is a bearish candle with a long lower shadow and a short upper shadow, the trading volume is basically flat compared to the previous day, and the MACD shows a weakening upward momentum far above the zero line. Currently, a short-term top pattern has emerged. We have mentioned that the higher it goes, the more we should take profits in batches. There is a divergence in funds here, with $4000 being a key level and also a previous high. If the market does not reach a consensus and the price cannot rise here, it is likely to drop sharply.
Currently, there is a 2-day rebound within the 6-12 hour joint rebound returning to the 6-hour EMA52 oscillating trend, and it has been unable to effectively touch the 8-hour EMA52 line. The support here at the 8-hour will become weaker, and next, we can wait to buy at the 12-hour EMA52 line (114660). The daily candlestick is a small bearish candle with a lower shadow, and the trading volume is one-third less than the previous day, continuing to maintain a high-level oscillating trend. There won't be a drastic drop for now, it will still be oscillating back and forth. If the 12-hour level rebound cannot create a new high, then it will need to go to the daily support before rebounding.
The daily chart shows a three consecutive bullish candlestick pattern, with two days of strong bullish candles accompanied by increased trading volume, indicating that there is still room for further price increases. This time, the target will be the 210-220 area. As long as Bitcoin doesn't drop, SOL will continue to rise, but it should be noted that the higher the price rises, the greater the pressure will be. Unless there is a strong bullish breakout, once it stagnates, the price will quickly fall back. Daily level resistance at 220-240-256, support at 186-168-156-145
The daily candlestick is a small bullish line with a long upper shadow and a short lower shadow, with trading volume about a quarter more than the previous day, still maintaining normal trading volume. The daily MA30 line maintains an upward trend, and the MACD shows a slight death cross of the fast and slow lines above the zero axis, indicating an increase in downward momentum. The rebound after the 6-hour level support mentioned yesterday was not very strong, and the price has returned to the vicinity of the 6-hour EMA52 line. Next, a long position can still be taken at the 8-hour EMA52 (115550) and 12-hour EMA52 (113860) lines. Daily level resistance at 120000-131700-150000, support at 113600-111800-105100-100500
A linha semanal é uma vela de alta com aumento superior a 17%, comparado ao Ethereum, o aumento da linha semanal do SOL é menor, e ainda mantém uma tendência de alta em oscilações. O preço também chegou à posição da linha de pescoço no nível semanal, a pressão aqui será considerável, e o movimento normal será uma falsa quebra seguida de uma queda e um retorno. O movimento específico ainda depende de como o Bitcoin se comporta; enquanto o Bitcoin não cair, o SOL terá oportunidades. A linha diária é uma vela de alta com sombra superior, e o volume de negociação é um pouco maior do que o dia anterior, mas ainda assim inferior à média de volume dos últimos dias de negociação.
Análise do comportamento do mercado de Bitcoin 20250721
A linha semanal é uma pequena vela de baixa com uma longa sombra superior e uma sombra inferior curta, com um volume de negócios cerca de 30% maior do que na semana anterior. A linha MA30 semanal apresenta uma leve tendência de alta, o MACD mostra um aumento na força de alta acima do eixo zero. Se esta semana continuar a fechar em vela de baixa, a força de alta pode se mostrar insuficiente, e será necessário um novo ajuste. O nível de ajuste está na faixa de 112000-109700. O gráfico diário mostra uma formação de quatro velas de baixa, a linha MA30 diária ainda está em tendência de alta, o MACD, um pouco afastado do eixo zero, mostra uma redução na força de alta, as linhas rápida e lenta estão prestes a cruzar, então, a partir de agora, o Bitcoin continuará a se ajustar, e aqui ainda será uma oscilação em alta em vez de uma queda.
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