The structure is strongly bullish, but price has just made a sharp vertical breakout into the marked Weak High. I would not chase the current candle. Preferred setup: LONG on pullback/retest Entry: 166.70–166.95 SL: 166.35 TP1: 167.35 TP2: 167.70–167.90 Risk/Reward: roughly 1:2 to 1:3 Trigger: Wait for price to retest the breakout/BOS area and get a bullish 1-minute rejection/close. Alternative SHORT only if rejection appears: Entry: 167.35–167.55 SL: 167.75 TP1: 166.95 TP2: 166.50 Bias: 🟢 Bullish, but the immediate area is extended. The safer trade is buy the retest, not buy the spike.
Preferred LONG setup Entry: 1.4300–1.4200 on a pullback/retest SL: 0.0394 TP1: 1.4400 TP2: 1.4600–1.4800 TP3: 1.5000 if momentum remains strong Trigger: Wait for price to pull back into the recent breakout area and get a bullish 1-minute rejection/close. If price breaks back below 0.0394, cancel the long idea. Current bias: 🟢 LONG, but wait for the pullback rather than buying the spike.
Current price is ~0.04102. The structure is clearly bullish: repeated BOS and higher highs/higher lows. But price has just pushed into the marked Weak High, so chasing here is risky. 🟢 LONG — preferred Wait for a pullback. Entry: 0.0402–0.0406 SL: 0.0396 TP1: 0.0415 TP2: 0.0420 — Weak High TP3: 0.0425+ if Weak High breaks Confirmation: 1-minute bullish rejection/close from the nearest green demand zone. 🚀 Breakout LONG If a 1-minute candle closes above the Weak High and the retest holds: Entry: around 0.0418–0.0421 SL: 0.0412 TP: 0.0425–0.0430.
Current price: ~1.1167. The structure is strongly bullish, but price is very close to the marked Weak High (~1.1200), so I would not chase the current candle. 🟢 Preferred LONG Entry: 1.108–1.111 on a pullback into the nearest green demand zone SL: 1.103 TP1: 1.118 TP2: 1.120 — Weak High TP3: 1.125 if Weak High breaks and the retest holds Breakout LONG alternative Wait for a 1-minute close above ~1.120 Enter on a successful retest around 1.118–1.120 SL: 1.114 TP: 1.125–1.130
Price = 0.9930, Current price is around 0.9964–0.9965 and price is pushing directly toward the marked Weak High near 1.0000. Bias: 🟢 Bullish, but do NOT chase here. 🟢 LONG setup — preferred Entry: 0.9920–0.9940 after a 1-minute bullish rejection SL: 0.9880 TP1: 0.9980 TP2: 1.0000 — Weak High TP3: 1.0050 if 1.0000 breaks and holds Trigger: Wait for price to pull back into the recent breakout/demand area and then get a bullish 1-minute close.
the current setup looks bullish but extended. Trend: Strong bullish momentum; clear impulsive move upward. Current area: Price is approaching the marked Weak High / red supply zone. Resistance: The red zone immediately above current price is the main area where rejection could occur. Support: The nearest green demand zones below are important for a pullback/retest. Best setup: I would not chase a long at the current spike. Prefer a pullback that holds the nearest demand zone, then a bullish continuation. Bearish trigger: A sharp rejection followed by a break of the recent higher-low structure would weaken the bullish setup. Bias: 🟢 Bullish | Risk: High because price is near resistance.
Current bias: 🟢 LONG — but do NOT chase the top. Clear sequence of higher highs + higher lows. Multiple bullish BOS confirmations on the right. Price has broken above the previous consolidation and is pushing into the marked Weak High. Green zones underneath provide potential demand/retest areas. 🟢 Best LONG setup Wait for: Pullback → green demand zone → bullish rejection → BOS/retest → LONG The first nearby green zone is the initial area I'd watch. If that fails, the deeper green zones become the next support areas.
This one is still bullish overall, but the immediate area is high-risk for chasing a long. 🟢 Structure: bullish — strong breakout from the previous consolidation. 🟢 Demand: the green zones below current price remain important. 🟡 Current price: consolidating after a sharp spike and rejection from the Weak High. 🔴 Resistance: the red zone around the Weak High is the immediate supply area. My preferred setup 🟢 LONG: Wait for price to pull back into the nearby green demand zone, hold it, and produce a bullish CHoCH/BOS on 1M. 🔴 SHORT: Only consider a short if price sweeps the Weak High/red zone and then gives a bearish CHoCH/BOS. Without that confirmation, shorting is counter-trend. Right now: 🟢 Bullish bias, 🟡 WAIT for confirmation. I would not enter at the current candle after that spike. The better risk/reward is a confirmed pullback long. This is chart-based analysis, not a guarantee or financial advice.
Current bias: 🟢 BULLISH — but price is extended. What I see: Clear higher-high / higher-low structure. A strong bullish impulse broke above the previous range. The latest move pushed through the previous high and is now testing the marked “Weak High.” There are green demand/liquidity zones below, which can act as potential pullback areas. The major concern is that price has moved vertically into the high, so chasing a BUY here has poor risk/reward. 🟢 Preferred LONG setup Wait for a pullback rather than buying the top: Bullish continuation: Pullback → green demand zone → rejection → 1M bullish BOS → LONG The nearest green zone is the first area I'd watch. If that fails, the deeper Strong Low / green zone becomes important.
Price = 0.06439 🔴 Current bias: BEARISH What I see: Price has been making lower highs / lower lows for most of the chart. The recent drop broke the local BOS/support. Price then made a sharp downside sweep and bounced. Above current price there is a clearly marked red supply zone, roughly around the 100% / 81% levels shown on your indicator. The bounce is therefore still a retracement until BTC proves otherwise. 🎯 Best setup SHORT: Wait for price to retrace into the nearby red supply zone → rejection → bearish BOS/retest. SL: Above the supply-zone high / latest swing high. TP1: Recent low. TP2: Liquidity below the recent low. TP3: Next lower liquidity zone if momentum accelerates.
#FedRateWatch Morgan Stanley has even shifted to expecting another hike in December, which raises the risk of a hawkish reaction.
For a BTC 1-minute scalp I would not blindly short before FOMC. Best approach: Before FOMC: 🟡 WAIT First spike: ❌ Don't chase After announcement: wait for the first volatility burst Bearish setup: breakdown → retest → rejection = SHORT Bullish setup: sweep low → reclaim → bullish BOS/retest = LONG Because the hike is already expected, BTC can dump first and then reverse violently if the Fed sounds less hawkish than expected. Current overall bias: 🔴 60–65% bearish / 🟢 35–40% bullish, but the actual direction can change very quickly after the statement. If you're trading BTC 1-minute, send me the current BTC chart and I'll mark the LONG/SHORT trigger, invalidation and TP zones for the FOMC setup.
FOMC September, What's The Fed's Next Move? #FedRateWatch , The FOMC meeting is September 15–16, with the decision due Wednesday, September 16. 📊 Current market expectation-OutcomeCurrent expectation🔴 25 bp rate hike~92%+🟡 Hold~8%🟢 25 bp cutVery unlikely CME FedWatch is currently pricing more than a 92% probability of a hike. Another live prediction market is around 86% for a 25 bp hike, showing that the exact probability varies by market, but the direction is very clear: a hike is now the overwhelming base case. Three major factors:-August CPI remained high at 3.4% YoY, while core CPI was still elevated. Oil has moved above $105, creating additional inflation pressure. The 10-year Treasury yield has moved above 5%, indicating very tight financial conditions and significant inflation/fiscal concerns. Potential reaction: BTC ↓ → ETH ↓ → ALTCOINS ↓ Especially dangerous for low-liquidity altcoins. 🎯 My current crypto bias-Based purely on the macro setup before the decision: Fed bias: 🔴 Hawkish, Short-term BTC bias: 🔴 Bearish/volatile, Altcoin bias: 🔴 Higher downside risk Best strategy: Wait for the FOMC volatility rather than chase the first 1-minute candle. BTC / Crypto impact: Short-term bearish bias ⚠️ As of Sept. 15, 2026, markets are heavily positioned for a 25 bp Fed hike, with roughly 93% probability in recent market pricing. Treasury yields are around 5%, which is generally negative for high-risk assets like crypto. My scenario map for BTC:FOMC outcomeBTC reactionBias25 bp hike + hawkish Powell/WarshStrong selling / downside continuation🔴 Bearish25 bp hike + dovish guidanceShort squeeze / relief rally🟢 BullishNo hike / surprise holdLikely sharp initial BTC rally🟢 Strong bullishHike + indication of another hike in Dec.Strongest bearish scenario🔴 Very bearish The important point: the 25 bp hike itself is already largely priced in. The bigger move will probably come from the dot plot and Warsh's comments about future hikes.
📉 Current Structure After the large spike, price is forming lower highs and lower lows. There are multiple red supply/resistance zones above the current price. The recent bounce appears to have been rejected from resistance. Short-term momentum is currently weak. 🔴 Sell Setup I would not chase the current falling candle. A better setup is: Sell = Pullback + Rejection Price pulls back toward the nearest resistance/supply zone. A bearish rejection or lower-high forms. Enter short after confirmation. SL: Above the rejection swing high TP1: Recent low TP2: Next liquidity/support zone TP3: Lower liquidity zone if the breakdown continues.
Price = 0.025468 🟢 Bullish bias, but DON'T chase the current candle. Structure: Higher highs + higher lows on the right side. Momentum: Strong upward expansion into the Weak High. Resistance: Current price is sitting around the Weak High, where an ABS marker has appeared. Demand: Multiple green zones are stacked below current price, giving potential pullback support. Risk: After such a sharp 1-minute move, a short-term retracement is very possible. Best trade plan LONG — preferred Wait for a pullback into the nearest green demand zone. Look for bullish rejection / EXH or bullish BOS. Enter after confirmation. SL below the confirming swing low/demand zone. TP = Weak High → new high/extension. SHORT — only if confirmed Don't short simply because ABS + Weak High appeared. Wait for price to reject the high and produce a bearish BOS/ChoCH. Then short the retest. SL above the Weak High.
Price = 53.61 This chart is clearly bearish on the visible structure. Multiple BOS breaks to the downside. Price is making lower highs + lower lows. The Strong High and several red supply zones are overhead. The latest move has pushed into a fresh low, with an EXH signal near the bottom. Because price is already extended downward, chasing SHORT here is risky. 🔴 Preferred setup: SHORT on pullback Wait for a retracement into one of the nearby red supply/resistance zones. SHORT: bearish rejection / bearish ChoCH or BOS after retest SL: above the retest swing high TP1: recent low TP2: next lower liquidity / Strong Low.