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btc
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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
加密货币清晰法案一旦通过，BTC未来地位将超过黄金、ETH地位将超过白银，而且被法律保护升级为大宗商品，这也是本轮熊市结束的标志信号。最后的窗口期是8月7号（大非农+清晰法案将会引爆BTC行情），届时传统银行、证券机构甚至全世界的养老基金、社保基金购买BTC的门槛将会大大降低，给我们已经在币圈的交易员抬轿子送钱。
本轮熊市两家交易所倒闭、老牌加密钱包被盗、微策略公开扬言要割肉出售50亿美元的比特币（吓唬散户低价割肉交出筹码），这也都是熊市见底的信号，也是三马哥六面交易战法之情绪面见底的见证。
现在与过去不一样了，死等一个低点去全部梭哈买入是不成熟的交易风格，你只能去每天定投买入或者分批次买入（比如现在是63000多价格就不错），最后抄到一个不错的持仓均价，你在63000和58000之间分批买入，总比你在7万美元、8万美元买入强太多了吧？
买在无人问津当所有人都在说BTC不行了的时候，你应当跟它们的想法相反，这个市场上韭菜散户的合力思路可以当反面参考。#BTC
本轮熊市两家交易所倒闭、老牌加密钱包被盗、微策略公开扬言要割肉出售50亿美元的比特币（吓唬散户低价割肉交出筹码），这也都是熊市见底的信号，也是三马哥六面交易战法之情绪面见底的见证。
现在与过去不一样了，死等一个低点去全部梭哈买入是不成熟的交易风格，你只能去每天定投买入或者分批次买入（比如现在是63000多价格就不错），最后抄到一个不错的持仓均价，你在63000和58000之间分批买入，总比你在7万美元、8万美元买入强太多了吧？
买在无人问津当所有人都在说BTC不行了的时候，你应当跟它们的想法相反，这个市场上韭菜散户的合力思路可以当反面参考。#BTC
小鹏LX:
通过之后先砸后拉，不信你看着
30D ການຊື້ຂາຍ $BTC6.2K USDT
Once again, this $BTC setup is best kept simple.
Break the daily downtrend channel and the $64.8K resistance, and we’ll get a compound move to the upside.
Until that happens, this is still a chart oscillating within a broader bearish structure.
#USIranDealOrNoDeal #btc
Break the daily downtrend channel and the $64.8K resistance, and we’ll get a compound move to the upside.
Until that happens, this is still a chart oscillating within a broader bearish structure.
#USIranDealOrNoDeal #btc
ຖ່າຍທອດສົດ: 07:00 Aug 05
Bitcoin luôn mạnh mẽ hơn sau các cú fud lớn 🚨
Gần đây có thông tin về việc ví lạnh Coldcard bị hack số lượng lớn, kèm theo big fud rằng Strategy đang lên kế hoạch bán lượng BTC lớn nhất từ trước đến nay. Đây có thể là fud lớn kéo theo giá BTC giảm mạnh trong thời gian tới. Tuy nhiên, nếu BTC vẫn đứng vững bất kể các thông tin bất lợi xảy ra, thì đó cũng là tín hiệu rất đáng mừng cho thấy giá trị BTC đã không còn ảnh hưởng nhiều bởi tin tức. Chúng ta cùng chờ đón giai đoạn nhạy cảm phía trước nhé ❤️
⚠️ Thông tin chỉ mang tính tham khảo, không phải lời khuyên đầu tư
#bitcoin #btc $BTC
Gần đây có thông tin về việc ví lạnh Coldcard bị hack số lượng lớn, kèm theo big fud rằng Strategy đang lên kế hoạch bán lượng BTC lớn nhất từ trước đến nay. Đây có thể là fud lớn kéo theo giá BTC giảm mạnh trong thời gian tới. Tuy nhiên, nếu BTC vẫn đứng vững bất kể các thông tin bất lợi xảy ra, thì đó cũng là tín hiệu rất đáng mừng cho thấy giá trị BTC đã không còn ảnh hưởng nhiều bởi tin tức. Chúng ta cùng chờ đón giai đoạn nhạy cảm phía trước nhé ❤️
⚠️ Thông tin chỉ mang tính tham khảo, không phải lời khuyên đầu tư
#bitcoin #btc $BTC
$BTC 现价 63800 美元, 24 小时涨 1.55%, 在 62300 到 64243 美元区间里上下踢, 一天就这点波幅, 24 小时成交 257 万笔, 1.05B 泰达币。F&G 25 极度恐惧, BTC 自己横在这里, 情绪没跟上。上午霍尔木兹那边传出缓和, 避险那一层直接降级, BTC 也没借势。我扫了 200 笔, 一笔过 10 万的都没。缩量还磨, 等资金真来。
#霍尔木兹缓和避险降级
#极度恐惧下资金还没跟
#BTC
#霍尔木兹缓和避险降级
#极度恐惧下资金还没跟
#BTC
#usirandealornodeal #BTC走势分析 удерживает позиции выше $63 000, несмотря на давление со стороны медведей, взлом кастодиана Coldcard и общую коррекцию рынка. На 4 августа 2026 года капитализация крипторынка скорректировалась до $2,09 трлн, снизившись на 3,6% за неделю #BTC ($BTC ): Торгуется в коридоре $63 000 – $63 500. После падения с исторических максимумов конца 2025 года ($120 000) эксперты спорят о локальном дне. Крупные игроки («умные деньги») активизировали закупки в диапазоне $54 000–$64 000 Эфириум (#ETH ): Удерживает объемы торгов. Институциональный гигант Bitmine аккумулировал 5,79 млн $ETH (около 4,8% от всей эмиссии в обращении) на сумму $10,9 млрд Распродажа от Strategy (бывшая MicroStrategy): Компания продала 1 638 BTC на сумму $104,7 млн в период с 27 июля по 2 августа 2026 года для выплаты дивидендов и обратного выкупа акций. Рекордные объемы Prediction-рынков: В июле 2026 года суммарный объем торгов на децентрализованных площадках ставок Polymarket и Kalshi превысил исторические $50,6 млрд
Crypto_Gen21:
Хорошие статисты и аналитики нужны крипторынку.
#BTC План на данный момент:
Cначала коррекция к фибо 0.618 + FVG на 15М ~63000.
Затем сбор ликвидности сверху
в районе 64 800–65 300.
После этого поход за нижней ликвидностью
в область 61 300–61 000.
Ключевой момент — price action после снятия ликвидности. Нужны дополнительные подтверждения разворота цены.
Если закрепимся выше 65 500, то это гипербычка🚀
в район 69000-72000🌞🍺
Всегда думайте самостоятельно и никому не верьте.
Cначала коррекция к фибо 0.618 + FVG на 15М ~63000.
Затем сбор ликвидности сверху
в районе 64 800–65 300.
После этого поход за нижней ликвидностью
в область 61 300–61 000.
Ключевой момент — price action после снятия ликвидности. Нужны дополнительные подтверждения разворота цены.
Если закрепимся выше 65 500, то это гипербычка🚀
в район 69000-72000🌞🍺
Всегда думайте самостоятельно и никому не верьте.
Dear Binancians ♥️ ♥️ 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐩…. 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐩…. 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐩 scrolling guys ❗❗ Read this before it’s too late…Give me just 5 minutes..... I wanna share meh #BTC analysis with you....
$BTC Is Holding a Key Long-Term Support Zone!!!!!
#Bitcoin is testing a major demand area around $50K–$60K
If buyers defend this level, the next upside targets are $80K, $90K, $110K and potentially a new high around $125K–$130K.
$BTC Is Holding a Key Long-Term Support Zone!!!!!
#Bitcoin is testing a major demand area around $50K–$60K
If buyers defend this level, the next upside targets are $80K, $90K, $110K and potentially a new high around $125K–$130K.
沉默的劉多余
·
--
感觉调整已经完成，对于市场而言再挤压流动性的利益，远远小于补充流动性。
做市商、交易所、项目方都需要吃饭，以目前散户躺平的状态，不太认为还有持续挤压流动性的必要性。
9、10、11都有大的宏观叙事支撑，只剩8月留给市场焦虑的是否会有最后一波杠杆出清。
没有什么技术面，都是趋势。
大势所趋，留给散户躺平的日子不多。
身边大户，基本上子弹已经打满。
$BTC $LDO $ETH #btc #ldo #eth
做市商、交易所、项目方都需要吃饭，以目前散户躺平的状态，不太认为还有持续挤压流动性的必要性。
9、10、11都有大的宏观叙事支撑，只剩8月留给市场焦虑的是否会有最后一波杠杆出清。
没有什么技术面，都是趋势。
大势所趋，留给散户躺平的日子不多。
身边大户，基本上子弹已经打满。
$BTC $LDO $ETH #btc #ldo #eth
甲乙丙丁KK:
刚说完ldo就瀑布了
64000上方的追多盘，上午被关在门外。
BTC最高64244，随后跌回63748；未平仓量增加0.35%，资金费率从0.0039%抬到0.0056%。价格没走远，杠杆先回来了。
早上我站多头，条件是守住63796。现在条件失效，我撤票，短线站空头。63506再破，我看63010；收回64080，我认错。你押哪边先到？$BTC #BTC
BTC最高64244，随后跌回63748；未平仓量增加0.35%，资金费率从0.0039%抬到0.0056%。价格没走远，杠杆先回来了。
早上我站多头，条件是守住63796。现在条件失效，我撤票，短线站空头。63506再破，我看63010；收回64080，我认错。你押哪边先到？$BTC #BTC
BTC现在63964附近，弹得不错，但问题不在涨不涨，在涨得稳不稳。
从62k拉回来，4h连续阳线，合约主动买量占64%，鲸鱼仓位也在加——表面看多头在控盘。
但盘口买单只有0.08个BTC，卖单压了18个。这种深度下，价格对卖压非常敏感，靠合约拉上去的涨幅，一旦买量跟不上，回撤速度会很快。
技术面也不太配合。MACD还在零轴下，MFI 34.7资金流偏弱，ADX 22.4趋势不够强——目前更像反弹不是反转。
好消息是最近3小时现货净流入超过15000个BTC，12根bar全是正的，有人在低位接。但大单过去75分钟净流出1200多个，说明大资金在借反弹减仓。
多空都能讲，但都不能讲死。这里我不会追，等一次回踩确认62k-63k能不能守得住。守住了再看，没守住就等。现在追多性价比不高，掉头风险比想象中大。
#btc $BTC
从62k拉回来，4h连续阳线，合约主动买量占64%，鲸鱼仓位也在加——表面看多头在控盘。
但盘口买单只有0.08个BTC，卖单压了18个。这种深度下，价格对卖压非常敏感，靠合约拉上去的涨幅，一旦买量跟不上，回撤速度会很快。
技术面也不太配合。MACD还在零轴下，MFI 34.7资金流偏弱，ADX 22.4趋势不够强——目前更像反弹不是反转。
好消息是最近3小时现货净流入超过15000个BTC，12根bar全是正的，有人在低位接。但大单过去75分钟净流出1200多个，说明大资金在借反弹减仓。
多空都能讲，但都不能讲死。这里我不会追，等一次回踩确认62k-63k能不能守得住。守住了再看，没守住就等。现在追多性价比不高，掉头风险比想象中大。
#btc $BTC
The likelihood of the Clarity Act passing in August is decreasing. However, there is still enough time before the Senate recess. We need to follow developments regarding the Clarity Act, which is of historical importance for Bitcoin and altcoins, until the last minute. Anything can happen at any moment...
#Bitcoin #BTC #ClarityAct $BTC
#Bitcoin #BTC #ClarityAct $BTC
Stef_Wealth
·
--
$BTC is sitting at a critical decision point.
Bitcoin closed the week trapped between major support and resistance, leaving the bigger picture undecided.
On the 4H chart, price is respecting a descending channel, with sellers still controlling the short-term trend.
As long as BTC remains below channel resistance, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
The next move could set the tone for the entire crypto market.
Watch this channel closely. A decisive break will likely determine where Bitcoin heads next.
#BTC #market
Bitcoin closed the week trapped between major support and resistance, leaving the bigger picture undecided.
On the 4H chart, price is respecting a descending channel, with sellers still controlling the short-term trend.
As long as BTC remains below channel resistance, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
The next move could set the tone for the entire crypto market.
Watch this channel closely. A decisive break will likely determine where Bitcoin heads next.
#BTC #market
$BTC is once again challenging the key descending resistance trendline near $64,000 after a strong reaction from the $62.2k–$62.5k support zone.
This is a critical area for the next major move.
📈 A decisive breakout and successful reclaim above $64k could open the door for a strong bullish expansion and shift momentum back in favor of the bulls.
⚠️ Until confirmation arrives, patience remains the best strategy. Chasing new longs before a confirmed breakout increases risk, as resistance is still intact.
#BTC #BitcoinForecast #bitcoin
This is a critical area for the next major move.
📈 A decisive breakout and successful reclaim above $64k could open the door for a strong bullish expansion and shift momentum back in favor of the bulls.
⚠️ Until confirmation arrives, patience remains the best strategy. Chasing new longs before a confirmed breakout increases risk, as resistance is still intact.
#BTC #BitcoinForecast #bitcoin
8.4日午间分析
零晨给大家的思路至少随便拿个大几百典箜间没问题
短周期RSI接近70超买阈值，短线连续上涨后存在获利盘回调消化需求；长周期RSI站稳50强弱分界线上方，确认中期情绪由空头主导转为多空偏强格局，反弹趋势具备持续性基础。
K线形态结构
行情自阶段低点62241.20企稳连续收阳反弹，低点逐级抬升、高点持续上移，走出阶梯式修复形态；前期高点65390.50为中期核心阻力，日内高点64222构成短线直接压力位。
短线承压位：63931（布林上轨）、64222 （日内高点）
中期强压区间：64800–65390
短线承接位：63500（短期成交密集区）
趋势强支撑：63183（布林中轨生命线）
阶段底部支撑：62241（本轮反弹起涨低点）#BTC #ETH #BTC走势分析
零晨给大家的思路至少随便拿个大几百典箜间没问题
短周期RSI接近70超买阈值，短线连续上涨后存在获利盘回调消化需求；长周期RSI站稳50强弱分界线上方，确认中期情绪由空头主导转为多空偏强格局，反弹趋势具备持续性基础。
K线形态结构
行情自阶段低点62241.20企稳连续收阳反弹，低点逐级抬升、高点持续上移，走出阶梯式修复形态；前期高点65390.50为中期核心阻力，日内高点64222构成短线直接压力位。
短线承压位：63931（布林上轨）、64222 （日内高点）
中期强压区间：64800–65390
短线承接位：63500（短期成交密集区）
趋势强支撑：63183（布林中轨生命线）
阶段底部支撑：62241（本轮反弹起涨低点）#BTC #ETH #BTC走势分析
#BTC . BTC Market Thesis | 04 August 2026
Market Status
Bias: Neutral → Bullish
Confidence: 72%
Why?
* 4H and 1H momentum have turned bullish, supported by improving volume and a bullish MACD crossover.
* Funding has cooled to 0.0055%, reducing the risk of an overcrowded long positioning.
* Smart Money remains net short, but the long-short imbalance has narrowed, indicating easing bearish pressure.
* The Daily chart is improving, although the medium-term trend remains unconfirmed below key moving averages.
What Changed?
Compared to yesterday, market structure has improved. BTC successfully defended the 62.2–62.9k support zone, short-term momentum shifted bullish, funding normalized, and long positioning increased. As a result, the market bias has been upgraded from Neutral to Neutral → Bullish.
Critical Levels
Resistance: 64.0k • 64.5k • 65.0k
Support: 63.4k • 63.0k • 62.8k
What Invalidates This Thesis?
* A 4H close below 63.0k.
* A bearish MACD crossover on the 4H chart.
* Rising Open Interest without price continuation.
* Funding increases sharply while price stalls.
What’s Next?
The 64.4–64.6k liquidity cluster remains the key battleground. A clean breakout supported by healthy derivatives positioning would strengthen the probability of an extension toward 65–66k. Failure to reclaim this area is more likely to result in continued consolidation within the 63–64k range.
⸻
Nhym Research
Independent Market Intelligence
Data over Narrative | Probability over Prediction
Not Financial Advice
Market Status
Bias: Neutral → Bullish
Confidence: 72%
Why?
* 4H and 1H momentum have turned bullish, supported by improving volume and a bullish MACD crossover.
* Funding has cooled to 0.0055%, reducing the risk of an overcrowded long positioning.
* Smart Money remains net short, but the long-short imbalance has narrowed, indicating easing bearish pressure.
* The Daily chart is improving, although the medium-term trend remains unconfirmed below key moving averages.
What Changed?
Compared to yesterday, market structure has improved. BTC successfully defended the 62.2–62.9k support zone, short-term momentum shifted bullish, funding normalized, and long positioning increased. As a result, the market bias has been upgraded from Neutral to Neutral → Bullish.
Critical Levels
Resistance: 64.0k • 64.5k • 65.0k
Support: 63.4k • 63.0k • 62.8k
What Invalidates This Thesis?
* A 4H close below 63.0k.
* A bearish MACD crossover on the 4H chart.
* Rising Open Interest without price continuation.
* Funding increases sharply while price stalls.
What’s Next?
The 64.4–64.6k liquidity cluster remains the key battleground. A clean breakout supported by healthy derivatives positioning would strengthen the probability of an extension toward 65–66k. Failure to reclaim this area is more likely to result in continued consolidation within the 63–64k range.
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Nhym Research
Independent Market Intelligence
Data over Narrative | Probability over Prediction
Not Financial Advice
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