#btc
btc
9.4G ຄັ້ງທີ່ເບິ່ງ
61M ກຳລັງສົນທະນາ
ມາແຮງ
ຫຼ້າສຸດ
🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
ABO3ZAM:
الوضع يحير، هل تعتقد بنشوف كسر وهمي للدعم الحالي قبل خبر الفيدرالي، ولا ناوي تكتفي بالمراقبة وتنتظر إغلاق الشمعة بعد القرار؟ 🎯
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大饼昨晚又成功骗炮了一次，#BTC 打了下方流动性，多军止损了又V回来，最低到了79200附近，反弹最高又到了81000，差不多2000点
昨晚破了80000补了一点空，反弹上来80200直接割掉了，太无语了这样跑，周六砸一波又V回来，目前只要稳住80000上方就还可能继续震荡，高点有可能又往82000打
大饼昨晚又成功骗炮了一次，#BTC 打了下方流动性，多军止损了又V回来，最低到了79200附近，反弹最高又到了81000，差不多2000点
昨晚破了80000补了一点空，反弹上来80200直接割掉了，太无语了这样跑，周六砸一波又V回来，目前只要稳住80000上方就还可能继续震荡，高点有可能又往82000打
昨晚破了80000补了一点空，反弹上来80200直接割掉了，太无语了这样跑，周六砸一波又V回来，目前只要稳住80000上方就还可能继续震荡，高点有可能又往82000打
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5.1k
اذا كنت تفكر البتكوين سلبي انت غلطان
الوضع ايجابي ولا خلاف على ذلك
ولكن هذا سلوك السوق يحب يماطل المتداولين والمستثمرين
والمنطقة الحالية جدا واضحة مثل سلوك المستثمرين وصناع السوق في 2023
بعد تذبذب مدة انطلق السعر وماتوقف الا بتحقيق قمة تاريخية جديدة
وهذا الذي سيحدث عند ماينطلق السعر لن يتوقف الا باختراق 126 الف
#BTC
اذا كنت تفكر البتكوين سلبي انت غلطان
الوضع ايجابي ولا خلاف على ذلك
ولكن هذا سلوك السوق يحب يماطل المتداولين والمستثمرين
والمنطقة الحالية جدا واضحة مثل سلوك المستثمرين وصناع السوق في 2023
بعد تذبذب مدة انطلق السعر وماتوقف الا بتحقيق قمة تاريخية جديدة
وهذا الذي سيحدث عند ماينطلق السعر لن يتوقف الا باختراق 126 الف
#BTC
الوضع ايجابي ولا خلاف على ذلك
ولكن هذا سلوك السوق يحب يماطل المتداولين والمستثمرين
والمنطقة الحالية جدا واضحة مثل سلوك المستثمرين وصناع السوق في 2023
بعد تذبذب مدة انطلق السعر وماتوقف الا بتحقيق قمة تاريخية جديدة
وهذا الذي سيحدث عند ماينطلق السعر لن يتوقف الا باختراق 126 الف
#BTC
Feed-Creator-8d973e9e7:
75 مو تصيح بل انهيار
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ຢືນຢັນແລ້ວ
ບົດຄວາມ
Fed in 2 Days. Bitcoin Stuck at $80,500. Here’s What Could Happen NextThe market is unusually quiet today.
$BTC is trading around $80,500–$80,800 after dipping below $79,200 on Saturday.
Volumes are low, volatility has dropped.
It feels like everyone is just waiting for one event — the Federal Reserve meeting on October 27–28.
What happened recently
Over the weekend the market got cleaned up pretty hard.
According to Coinglass, more than $800 million in positions were liquidated in a short period, the majority of them longs.
After that, Bitcoin quickly recovered above $80,000 and is now sitting in a tight range.
Classic pause before a major macro event.
Why this Fed meeting matters
The market has been in a state of uncertainty for several weeks.
Inflation remains a sensitive topic, and oil prices are still elevated due to geopolitical tensions.
The tone from Jerome Powell and the Fed’s comments will largely decide how quickly capital returns to risk assets.
Possible scenarios
1. Dovish or neutral tone:
If Powell doesn’t sound too hawkish, Bitcoin has a good chance of moving back toward the $82,000–$84,000 zone in the days following the meeting.
2. Hawkish tone:
In case of more aggressive language, the market could quickly retest the $78,000–$79,000 support.
A break below that zone could increase selling pressure.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#BinanceSquare #btc #Fed #Trading #bitcoin
Fed in 2 Days. Bitcoin Stuck at $80,500. Here’s What Could Happen Next
The market is unusually quiet today.
$BTC is trading around $80,500–$80,800 after dipping below $79,200 on Saturday.
Volumes are low, volatility has dropped.
It feels like everyone is just waiting for one event — the Federal Reserve meeting on October 27–28.
What happened recently
Over the weekend the market got cleaned up pretty hard.
According to Coinglass, more than $800 million in positions were liquidated in a short period, the majority of them longs.
After that, Bitcoin quickly recovered above $80,000 and is now sitting in a tight range.
Classic pause before a major macro event.
Why this Fed meeting matters
The market has been in a state of uncertainty for several weeks.
Inflation remains a sensitive topic, and oil prices are still elevated due to geopolitical tensions.
The tone from Jerome Powell and the Fed’s comments will largely decide how quickly capital returns to risk assets.
Possible scenarios
1. Dovish or neutral tone:
If Powell doesn’t sound too hawkish, Bitcoin has a good chance of moving back toward the $82,000–$84,000 zone in the days following the meeting.
2. Hawkish tone:
In case of more aggressive language, the market could quickly retest the $78,000–$79,000 support.
A break below that zone could increase selling pressure.
#BinanceSquare #btc #Fed #Trading #bitcoin
$BTC is trading around $80,500–$80,800 after dipping below $79,200 on Saturday.
Volumes are low, volatility has dropped.
It feels like everyone is just waiting for one event — the Federal Reserve meeting on October 27–28.
What happened recently
Over the weekend the market got cleaned up pretty hard.
According to Coinglass, more than $800 million in positions were liquidated in a short period, the majority of them longs.
After that, Bitcoin quickly recovered above $80,000 and is now sitting in a tight range.
Classic pause before a major macro event.
Why this Fed meeting matters
The market has been in a state of uncertainty for several weeks.
Inflation remains a sensitive topic, and oil prices are still elevated due to geopolitical tensions.
The tone from Jerome Powell and the Fed’s comments will largely decide how quickly capital returns to risk assets.
Possible scenarios
1. Dovish or neutral tone:
If Powell doesn’t sound too hawkish, Bitcoin has a good chance of moving back toward the $82,000–$84,000 zone in the days following the meeting.
2. Hawkish tone:
In case of more aggressive language, the market could quickly retest the $78,000–$79,000 support.
A break below that zone could increase selling pressure.
#BinanceSquare #btc #Fed #Trading #bitcoin
николаич:
будет повод чуть отскочить и отгрузить оставшимся верующим святым криптомученникам. для дальнейшего усреднения вечного
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比特币ETF这周的数据，差点把我看笑了😂
不过这贝莱德是真能吸金，同行的钱都快被它吸干了
周一到周三，华尔街往BTC ETF里砸了10.75亿美元。
结果周四周五，转头又撤了7.74亿。
截至10月23日这一周，美国现货BTC ETF累计净流入就剩3个亿左右
再看贝莱德，IBIT自己就吸了5.66亿美元。
什么意思？
其他ETF加起来不但没吸到钱，反而还流出了2.65亿。
都是买比特币，凭什么贝莱德就这么吃香？
说白了，华尔街买ETF，不光看比特币，还看谁家盘子大、流动性好、交易方便。
以前觉得ETF获批，大家一起发财。
现在看来，生意是有了，但钱不一定大家一起赚。
贝莱德这是来卖比特币的，还是来收割同行市场份额的？😂
#BTC #比特币 #贝莱德IBIT比特币持有量反超灰度GBTC #etf #币安
比特币ETF这周的数据，差点把我看笑了😂
不过这贝莱德是真能吸金，同行的钱都快被它吸干了
周一到周三，华尔街往BTC ETF里砸了10.75亿美元。
结果周四周五，转头又撤了7.74亿。
截至10月23日这一周，美国现货BTC ETF累计净流入就剩3个亿左右
再看贝莱德，IBIT自己就吸了5.66亿美元。
什么意思？
其他ETF加起来不但没吸到钱，反而还流出了2.65亿。
都是买比特币，凭什么贝莱德就这么吃香？
说白了，华尔街买ETF，不光看比特币，还看谁家盘子大、流动性好、交易方便。
以前觉得ETF获批，大家一起发财。
现在看来，生意是有了，但钱不一定大家一起赚。
贝莱德这是来卖比特币的，还是来收割同行市场份额的？😂
#BTC #比特币 #贝莱德IBIT比特币持有量反超灰度GBTC #etf #币安
不过这贝莱德是真能吸金，同行的钱都快被它吸干了
周一到周三，华尔街往BTC ETF里砸了10.75亿美元。
结果周四周五，转头又撤了7.74亿。
截至10月23日这一周，美国现货BTC ETF累计净流入就剩3个亿左右
再看贝莱德，IBIT自己就吸了5.66亿美元。
什么意思？
其他ETF加起来不但没吸到钱，反而还流出了2.65亿。
都是买比特币，凭什么贝莱德就这么吃香？
说白了，华尔街买ETF，不光看比特币，还看谁家盘子大、流动性好、交易方便。
以前觉得ETF获批，大家一起发财。
现在看来，生意是有了，但钱不一定大家一起赚。
贝莱德这是来卖比特币的，还是来收割同行市场份额的？😂
#BTC #比特币 #贝莱德IBIT比特币持有量反超灰度GBTC #etf #币安
BTC-0,08%
IBITETF-0,25%
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大饼从日线级别来看，当前走势依旧处于顶背离调整中，现在K线位于MA120和MA60之间，处于悬空状态，短期若它不能收复站稳82000，则后续将会迎来大的变盘，后续几周，行情大概率会在74000——82000之间来回震荡 #BTC
大饼从日线级别来看，当前走势依旧处于顶背离调整中，现在K线位于MA120和MA60之间，处于悬空状态，短期若它不能收复站稳82000，则后续将会迎来大的变盘，后续几周，行情大概率会在74000——82000之间来回震荡 #BTC
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ສັນຍານໝີ
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
$BNB
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
25.10.2026
Ситуація повна жопа.
По всій Європі — бастують, протести, інфляція рветься. В Америці Трамп не закрив війни, нафта в небі, золото падає, люди в USDT, бояться оренди і життя. Гігантські акції — нуль попиту.
BTC сидить 80–80.5k.
80k — це тільки початок.
87k виглядає як пастка.
Я вийшов з усього, сижу в USDT.
Це не фейк. Просто макро-страх.
Ти теж зараз у cash? Пиши, що думаєш.
#BTC #Bitcoin #BinanceSquare
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
25.10.2026
Ситуація повна жопа.
По всій Європі — бастують, протести, інфляція рветься. В Америці Трамп не закрив війни, нафта в небі, золото падає, люди в USDT, бояться оренди і життя. Гігантські акції — нуль попиту.
BTC сидить 80–80.5k.
80k — це тільки початок.
87k виглядає як пастка.
Я вийшов з усього, сижу в USDT.
Це не фейк. Просто макро-страх.
Ти теж зараз у cash? Пиши, що думаєш.
#BTC #Bitcoin #BinanceSquare
$ETH
$BNB
25.10.2026
Ситуація повна жопа.
По всій Європі — бастують, протести, інфляція рветься. В Америці Трамп не закрив війни, нафта в небі, золото падає, люди в USDT, бояться оренди і життя. Гігантські акції — нуль попиту.
BTC сидить 80–80.5k.
80k — це тільки початок.
87k виглядає як пастка.
Я вийшов з усього, сижу в USDT.
Це не фейк. Просто макро-страх.
Ти теж зараз у cash? Пиши, що думаєш.
#BTC #Bitcoin #BinanceSquare
Pennie Maharg alRf:
Рожеві мрії а на 120к мріяли про 150к$
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ສັນຍານໝີ
NHẬN ĐỊNH #BTC NGÀY 25/10: BTC ĐANG HỒI TĂNG – NHƯNG 81.900 USD CÓ THỂ LÀ CÁI BẪY!
BTC hiện quanh 80.850 USD. Mình nghiêng về kịch bản giá hồi lên quét thanh khoản phía trên trước khi có nguy cơ giảm tiếp. Không ưu tiên Short đuổi tại giá hiện tại.
H1 đang hồi TĂNG ngắn hạn, nhưng cấu trúc xu hướng lớn H4–H12–D vẫn nghiêng GIẢM.
BTC vừa quét đáy gần 79.190 và bật trở lại 80.800.
RSI H1 khoảng 53, MACD đang hồi phục: lực mua ngắn hạn xuất hiện.
Tuy nhiên, BTC chưa lấy lại vùng cung 81.500–82.200 để xác nhận đảo chiều bền vững.
Khả năng BTC kéo lên vùng 81.500–81.900 để kiểm tra thanh khoản mua. Nếu tại đây xuất hiện lực bán mạnh, BTC có thể tiếp tục giảm về 80.300, sâu hơn là 79.500–79.200.
NHẬN ĐỊNH #BTC NGÀY 25/10: BTC ĐANG HỒI TĂNG – NHƯNG 81.900 USD CÓ THỂ LÀ CÁI BẪY!
BTC hiện quanh 80.850 USD. Mình nghiêng về kịch bản giá hồi lên quét thanh khoản phía trên trước khi có nguy cơ giảm tiếp. Không ưu tiên Short đuổi tại giá hiện tại.
H1 đang hồi TĂNG ngắn hạn, nhưng cấu trúc xu hướng lớn H4–H12–D vẫn nghiêng GIẢM.
BTC vừa quét đáy gần 79.190 và bật trở lại 80.800.
RSI H1 khoảng 53, MACD đang hồi phục: lực mua ngắn hạn xuất hiện.
Tuy nhiên, BTC chưa lấy lại vùng cung 81.500–82.200 để xác nhận đảo chiều bền vững.
Khả năng BTC kéo lên vùng 81.500–81.900 để kiểm tra thanh khoản mua. Nếu tại đây xuất hiện lực bán mạnh, BTC có thể tiếp tục giảm về 80.300, sâu hơn là 79.500–79.200.
BTC hiện quanh 80.850 USD. Mình nghiêng về kịch bản giá hồi lên quét thanh khoản phía trên trước khi có nguy cơ giảm tiếp. Không ưu tiên Short đuổi tại giá hiện tại.
H1 đang hồi TĂNG ngắn hạn, nhưng cấu trúc xu hướng lớn H4–H12–D vẫn nghiêng GIẢM.
BTC vừa quét đáy gần 79.190 và bật trở lại 80.800.
RSI H1 khoảng 53, MACD đang hồi phục: lực mua ngắn hạn xuất hiện.
Tuy nhiên, BTC chưa lấy lại vùng cung 81.500–82.200 để xác nhận đảo chiều bền vững.
Khả năng BTC kéo lên vùng 81.500–81.900 để kiểm tra thanh khoản mua. Nếu tại đây xuất hiện lực bán mạnh, BTC có thể tiếp tục giảm về 80.300, sâu hơn là 79.500–79.200.
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比特币刚跌完，
新的威胁又排上队了。
油价冲到了117美元，半年的新高。
这次不只是贵，是有人在算战争账。
三天连着三件事：
胡塞打沙特，总部都撤了。
阿联酋近海漏油。
美以已备好了打伊朗的方案。
就等11月3号选举后。
币圈为什么怕油价？
比特币本来就在跌，
油价再涨，东西就贵，
美联储更不敢放水，
市面上钱一紧，
大饼第一个挨刀。
但历史在另一边：
过去13次中期选举后，
美股半年平均涨12%。
前提是别打仗。
真动手，油价可能会上120，
那到时下跌多剧本就会重播。
我的看法：
11月3号前，大概率没事，
市场就是来回晃，别乱动。
11月3号后，
打不打伊朗，才是真正的大事。
真打了：油价会飙升，比特币接着跌。
没打：悬念落地来，该涨的就会涨。
所以现在最聪明的做法：
仓位放轻。
等你不确定的事落地，
再动手，一点不丢人。
#比特币 #BTC
比特币刚跌完，
新的威胁又排上队了。
油价冲到了117美元，半年的新高。
这次不只是贵，是有人在算战争账。
三天连着三件事：
胡塞打沙特，总部都撤了。
阿联酋近海漏油。
美以已备好了打伊朗的方案。
就等11月3号选举后。
币圈为什么怕油价？
比特币本来就在跌，
油价再涨，东西就贵，
美联储更不敢放水，
市面上钱一紧，
大饼第一个挨刀。
但历史在另一边：
过去13次中期选举后，
美股半年平均涨12%。
前提是别打仗。
真动手，油价可能会上120，
那到时下跌多剧本就会重播。
我的看法：
11月3号前，大概率没事，
市场就是来回晃，别乱动。
11月3号后，
打不打伊朗，才是真正的大事。
真打了：油价会飙升，比特币接着跌。
没打：悬念落地来，该涨的就会涨。
所以现在最聪明的做法：
仓位放轻。
等你不确定的事落地，
再动手，一点不丢人。
#比特币 #BTC
新的威胁又排上队了。
油价冲到了117美元，半年的新高。
这次不只是贵，是有人在算战争账。
三天连着三件事：
胡塞打沙特，总部都撤了。
阿联酋近海漏油。
美以已备好了打伊朗的方案。
就等11月3号选举后。
币圈为什么怕油价？
比特币本来就在跌，
油价再涨，东西就贵，
美联储更不敢放水，
市面上钱一紧，
大饼第一个挨刀。
但历史在另一边：
过去13次中期选举后，
美股半年平均涨12%。
前提是别打仗。
真动手，油价可能会上120，
那到时下跌多剧本就会重播。
我的看法：
11月3号前，大概率没事，
市场就是来回晃，别乱动。
11月3号后，
打不打伊朗，才是真正的大事。
真打了：油价会飙升，比特币接着跌。
没打：悬念落地来，该涨的就会涨。
所以现在最聪明的做法：
仓位放轻。
等你不确定的事落地，
再动手，一点不丢人。
#比特币 #BTC
Padfoot:
先等等，117美元油价和11月3号是哪年的剧本？大饼已经够颠了，咱可别拿旧地图找新韭菜啊？
3
2
1.2k
🇺🇸 We're just 9 days from the US midterm elections, and Bitcoin's history around them is more complicated than the chart suggests.
The popular claim is that Bitcoin always corrects after midterms. The data is more nuanced. Binance Research found Bitcoin suffered deep drawdowns in the midterm years themselves, 56% in 2014, 73% in 2018 and 64% in 2022. The 2018 vote was followed by a 45.5% drop in the first month, and 2022's slide was compounded by the FTX collapse.
But the 12 months after those elections told a different story. CryptoQuant data shows Bitcoin gained 24.5% after the 2014 vote, 44.9% after 2018 and 92.3% after 2022. Binance Research puts the average post-midterm 12-month gain for Bitcoin at 54%, while the S&P 500 has averaged 19% with no negative year since 1939. Their argument is that markets tend to rally once the election removes a major source of uncertainty.
The caution is the sample size. Three data points isn't a law, and every cycle had its own driver, a bear market in 2018, an exchange collapse in 2022. This time Bitcoin is also sitting on support near $80,000 with a crowded calendar around it, including the Fed decision on October 28 and big tech earnings.
So will this time be different? History points to possible volatility around the vote and a stronger track record afterward, but it's a pattern, not a promise.
Not financial advice.
#Bitcoin #Midterms #Crypto #BTC #Markets $BTC
🇺🇸 We're just 9 days from the US midterm elections, and Bitcoin's history around them is more complicated than the chart suggests.
The popular claim is that Bitcoin always corrects after midterms. The data is more nuanced. Binance Research found Bitcoin suffered deep drawdowns in the midterm years themselves, 56% in 2014, 73% in 2018 and 64% in 2022. The 2018 vote was followed by a 45.5% drop in the first month, and 2022's slide was compounded by the FTX collapse.
But the 12 months after those elections told a different story. CryptoQuant data shows Bitcoin gained 24.5% after the 2014 vote, 44.9% after 2018 and 92.3% after 2022. Binance Research puts the average post-midterm 12-month gain for Bitcoin at 54%, while the S&P 500 has averaged 19% with no negative year since 1939. Their argument is that markets tend to rally once the election removes a major source of uncertainty.
The caution is the sample size. Three data points isn't a law, and every cycle had its own driver, a bear market in 2018, an exchange collapse in 2022. This time Bitcoin is also sitting on support near $80,000 with a crowded calendar around it, including the Fed decision on October 28 and big tech earnings.
So will this time be different? History points to possible volatility around the vote and a stronger track record afterward, but it's a pattern, not a promise.
Not financial advice.
#Bitcoin #Midterms #Crypto #BTC #Markets $BTC
The popular claim is that Bitcoin always corrects after midterms. The data is more nuanced. Binance Research found Bitcoin suffered deep drawdowns in the midterm years themselves, 56% in 2014, 73% in 2018 and 64% in 2022. The 2018 vote was followed by a 45.5% drop in the first month, and 2022's slide was compounded by the FTX collapse.
But the 12 months after those elections told a different story. CryptoQuant data shows Bitcoin gained 24.5% after the 2014 vote, 44.9% after 2018 and 92.3% after 2022. Binance Research puts the average post-midterm 12-month gain for Bitcoin at 54%, while the S&P 500 has averaged 19% with no negative year since 1939. Their argument is that markets tend to rally once the election removes a major source of uncertainty.
The caution is the sample size. Three data points isn't a law, and every cycle had its own driver, a bear market in 2018, an exchange collapse in 2022. This time Bitcoin is also sitting on support near $80,000 with a crowded calendar around it, including the Fed decision on October 28 and big tech earnings.
So will this time be different? History points to possible volatility around the vote and a stronger track record afterward, but it's a pattern, not a promise.
Not financial advice.
#Bitcoin #Midterms #Crypto #BTC #Markets $BTC
MD MOSARAF HOSEN SAGAR:
nice
2
2
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ສັນຍານໝີ
🚨 JUST 9 DAYS UNTIL THE U.S. MIDTERM ELECTIONS!
📉 History shows that Bitcoin has faced major corrections around previous U.S. midterm elections.
2010: -71% 2014: -64% 2018: -51% 2022: -27%
👀 Will history repeat itself, or is $BTC about to break the pattern this time?
The next major move could surprise everyone. Are you preparing for a correction or betting on another rally? ₿🔥
#Bitcoin #BTC $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
🚨 JUST 9 DAYS UNTIL THE U.S. MIDTERM ELECTIONS!
📉 History shows that Bitcoin has faced major corrections around previous U.S. midterm elections.
2010: -71% 2014: -64% 2018: -51% 2022: -27%
👀 Will history repeat itself, or is $BTC about to break the pattern this time?
The next major move could surprise everyone. Are you preparing for a correction or betting on another rally? ₿🔥
#Bitcoin #BTC $BTC
📉 History shows that Bitcoin has faced major corrections around previous U.S. midterm elections.
2010: -71% 2014: -64% 2018: -51% 2022: -27%
👀 Will history repeat itself, or is $BTC about to break the pattern this time?
The next major move could surprise everyone. Are you preparing for a correction or betting on another rally? ₿🔥
#Bitcoin #BTC $BTC
57
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多数人只盯着 $BTC 刚站回 81000，却漏看了更刺眼的一组数：周末前后全市场清算约 8 亿美元，多头几乎被一边倒洗掉；美国现货比特币 ETF 周四净流出约 6.35 亿美元、周五再流出约 1.38 亿，两日合计约 7.74 亿美元——机构买盘刚从连续流入切到连续撤离。
我的判断偏观望：价格可以反弹，资金面还没确认。周末流动性薄、杠杆多头被动砸盘，不等于趋势已转多；ETF 持仓者周末无法卖出，周一开盘后的资金流，才是下一轮真正压力测试。再叠加本周美联储决议窗口，油价与中东扰动抬高通胀预期，现在“一夜翻多”偏早。
你会先等 ETF 与 FOMC 信号，还是直接追这波反弹？
#比特币 #BTC #ETF #美联储
（以上为市场观察，非投资建议）
多数人只盯着 $BTC 刚站回 81000，却漏看了更刺眼的一组数：周末前后全市场清算约 8 亿美元，多头几乎被一边倒洗掉；美国现货比特币 ETF 周四净流出约 6.35 亿美元、周五再流出约 1.38 亿，两日合计约 7.74 亿美元——机构买盘刚从连续流入切到连续撤离。
我的判断偏观望：价格可以反弹，资金面还没确认。周末流动性薄、杠杆多头被动砸盘，不等于趋势已转多；ETF 持仓者周末无法卖出，周一开盘后的资金流，才是下一轮真正压力测试。再叠加本周美联储决议窗口，油价与中东扰动抬高通胀预期，现在“一夜翻多”偏早。
你会先等 ETF 与 FOMC 信号，还是直接追这波反弹？
#比特币 #BTC #ETF #美联储
（以上为市场观察，非投资建议）
我的判断偏观望：价格可以反弹，资金面还没确认。周末流动性薄、杠杆多头被动砸盘，不等于趋势已转多；ETF 持仓者周末无法卖出，周一开盘后的资金流，才是下一轮真正压力测试。再叠加本周美联储决议窗口，油价与中东扰动抬高通胀预期，现在“一夜翻多”偏早。
你会先等 ETF 与 FOMC 信号，还是直接追这波反弹？
#比特币 #BTC #ETF #美联储
（以上为市场观察，非投资建议）
71
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ສັນຍານໝີ
📊 Биткоин 25 октября: Удержание $83,000–$86,000 и сценарии на конец месяца
Доброе утро! ☀️
Биткоин завершает октябрь в напряженном боковике около $83,000–$86,000.
Несмотря на локальные консолидации, доминирование BTC остается на высоком уровне, определяя динамику всего альткоин-рынка.
На что обратить внимание сегодня:
Поддержка: $81,500 – ключевая зона для быков.
Сопротивление: $86,500 – пробой откроет путь к обновлению максимумов IV квартала.
Драйверы: Оттоки/притоки в спотовые ETF и макроэкономические ожидания по ставкам.
💡 Тактика: Не спешите с плечами на выходных, следите за закрытием дневной свечи.
Торговая идея по $BTC на сегодня:
Entry Zone: $81,000 – $81,600 (тест зоны медвежьего Order Block, дисбаланса и премиум-диапазона в рамках коррекционного отскока).
TP: $79,200 / $77,500 (первая цель — обновление локального минимума и сбор ликвидности снизу; вторая цель — глубокая зона поддержки старшего таймфрейма).
SL: $82,300 (размещается выше локального структурного максимума; пробой и закрепление цены выше этого уровня сломает медвежью структуру и отменит торговую идею).
👇
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
#BTC #bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BinanceSquare
📊 Биткоин 25 октября: Удержание $83,000–$86,000 и сценарии на конец месяца
Доброе утро! ☀️
Биткоин завершает октябрь в напряженном боковике около $83,000–$86,000.
Несмотря на локальные консолидации, доминирование BTC остается на высоком уровне, определяя динамику всего альткоин-рынка.
На что обратить внимание сегодня:
Поддержка: $81,500 – ключевая зона для быков.
Сопротивление: $86,500 – пробой откроет путь к обновлению максимумов IV квартала.
Драйверы: Оттоки/притоки в спотовые ETF и макроэкономические ожидания по ставкам.
💡 Тактика: Не спешите с плечами на выходных, следите за закрытием дневной свечи.
Торговая идея по $BTC на сегодня:
Entry Zone: $81,000 – $81,600 (тест зоны медвежьего Order Block, дисбаланса и премиум-диапазона в рамках коррекционного отскока).
TP: $79,200 / $77,500 (первая цель — обновление локального минимума и сбор ликвидности снизу; вторая цель — глубокая зона поддержки старшего таймфрейма).
SL: $82,300 (размещается выше локального структурного максимума; пробой и закрепление цены выше этого уровня сломает медвежью структуру и отменит торговую идею).
👇
#BTC #bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BinanceSquare
Доброе утро! ☀️
Биткоин завершает октябрь в напряженном боковике около $83,000–$86,000.
Несмотря на локальные консолидации, доминирование BTC остается на высоком уровне, определяя динамику всего альткоин-рынка.
На что обратить внимание сегодня:
Поддержка: $81,500 – ключевая зона для быков.
Сопротивление: $86,500 – пробой откроет путь к обновлению максимумов IV квартала.
Драйверы: Оттоки/притоки в спотовые ETF и макроэкономические ожидания по ставкам.
💡 Тактика: Не спешите с плечами на выходных, следите за закрытием дневной свечи.
Торговая идея по $BTC на сегодня:
Entry Zone: $81,000 – $81,600 (тест зоны медвежьего Order Block, дисбаланса и премиум-диапазона в рамках коррекционного отскока).
TP: $79,200 / $77,500 (первая цель — обновление локального минимума и сбор ликвидности снизу; вторая цель — глубокая зона поддержки старшего таймфрейма).
SL: $82,300 (размещается выше локального структурного максимума; пробой и закрепление цены выше этого уровня сломает медвежью структуру и отменит торговую идею).
👇
#BTC #bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BinanceSquare
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ສັນຍານໝີ
ການຊື້ຂາຍ 30D $BTC 163.6 USDT
$BTC failed to push price further up. now started to bleed 🩸
It is expected to fall towards $78,000
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#BTC
$BTC failed to push price further up. now started to bleed 🩸
It is expected to fall towards $78,000
#BTC
It is expected to fall towards $78,000
#BTC
1
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🚨 $BTC BIG SHORT SETUP 📉 — BEARISH MOVE AHEAD?
Bitcoin could face another major downside move next week! 👀 Bears are watching for a potential drop toward $75,000–$70,000 if selling pressure continues.
🔴 BTC Short Trade Setup
📍 Entry: $81,000 – Market Price
🎯 TP1: $75,000
🎯 TP2: $70,000
🛑 Stop Loss: $85,000
📊 BTCUSDT Perpetual
💰 Price: $80,394
📉 Change: -0.27%
⚠️ Risk Warning: 20x–30x leverage carries extreme liquidation risk. Use proper risk management and confirm the setup before entering.
Are you TEAM SHORT 🐻 or TEAM LONG 🐂?
#BTC #bitcoin #cryptotrading #BinanceSquare #BTCUSDT #TradingSetup
🚨 $BTC BIG SHORT SETUP 📉 — BEARISH MOVE AHEAD?
Bitcoin could face another major downside move next week! 👀 Bears are watching for a potential drop toward $75,000–$70,000 if selling pressure continues.
🔴 BTC Short Trade Setup
📍 Entry: $81,000 – Market Price
🎯 TP1: $75,000
🎯 TP2: $70,000
🛑 Stop Loss: $85,000
📊 BTCUSDT Perpetual
💰 Price: $80,394
📉 Change: -0.27%
⚠️ Risk Warning: 20x–30x leverage carries extreme liquidation risk. Use proper risk management and confirm the setup before entering.
Are you TEAM SHORT 🐻 or TEAM LONG 🐂?
#BTC #bitcoin #cryptotrading #BinanceSquare #BTCUSDT #TradingSetup
Bitcoin could face another major downside move next week! 👀 Bears are watching for a potential drop toward $75,000–$70,000 if selling pressure continues.
🔴 BTC Short Trade Setup
📍 Entry: $81,000 – Market Price
🎯 TP1: $75,000
🎯 TP2: $70,000
🛑 Stop Loss: $85,000
📊 BTCUSDT Perpetual
💰 Price: $80,394
📉 Change: -0.27%
⚠️ Risk Warning: 20x–30x leverage carries extreme liquidation risk. Use proper risk management and confirm the setup before entering.
Are you TEAM SHORT 🐻 or TEAM LONG 🐂?
#BTC #bitcoin #cryptotrading #BinanceSquare #BTCUSDT #TradingSetup
97
YOUR LAST TRADE DOESN'T DEFINE YOU.
.
A winning trade doesn't make every decision right. A losing trade doesn't make every decision wrong.
.
Review your process, learn from your mistakes, and improve one decision at a time.
.
Measure progress by the quality of your decisions—not just today's P&L.
.
#BTC $BTC #TradingPsychology #CryptoEducation
YOUR LAST TRADE DOESN'T DEFINE YOU.
.
A winning trade doesn't make every decision right. A losing trade doesn't make every decision wrong.
.
Review your process, learn from your mistakes, and improve one decision at a time.
.
Measure progress by the quality of your decisions—not just today's P&L.
.
#BTC $BTC #TradingPsychology #CryptoEducation
.
A winning trade doesn't make every decision right. A losing trade doesn't make every decision wrong.
.
Review your process, learn from your mistakes, and improve one decision at a time.
.
Measure progress by the quality of your decisions—not just today's P&L.
.
#BTC $BTC #TradingPsychology #CryptoEducation
53
周末也不让市场喘口气。$BTC 一度跌破 8 万美元，创 9 月 18 日以来新低；$ETH 跌破 2300 美元，两个月来第一次；$SOL 也一度跌破 100 美元。导火索是中东局势：美国开始从中东撤离外交和军事人员，特朗普放话可能打击伊朗，也可能谈成协议——市场先按最坏情况定价，全网爆仓超 8.15 亿美元。ETH 现货 ETF 10 月 14 日到 22 日一周就流出 4.85 亿美元，机构也在往后退。10 月 28 日美联储决议在即，地缘这颗雷没排掉之前，抄底的手都得轻一点。#BTC #美联储
周末也不让市场喘口气。$BTC 一度跌破 8 万美元，创 9 月 18 日以来新低；$ETH 跌破 2300 美元，两个月来第一次；$SOL 也一度跌破 100 美元。导火索是中东局势：美国开始从中东撤离外交和军事人员，特朗普放话可能打击伊朗，也可能谈成协议——市场先按最坏情况定价，全网爆仓超 8.15 亿美元。ETH 现货 ETF 10 月 14 日到 22 日一周就流出 4.85 亿美元，机构也在往后退。10 月 28 日美联储决议在即，地缘这颗雷没排掉之前，抄底的手都得轻一点。#BTC #美联储
1
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🚨 $BTC عند 80,700$… السوق لا يتحرك بالمنطق، بل بالخوف والتصريحات.
السعر يتراجع تحت 82,500$ وسط ضغوط تضخم وجيوسياسية، والمستثمرون يتحولون إلى الملاذات الآمنة
إذا استمر الهبوط، فمنطقة 78,661$ هي الهدف الأول، وتتقاطع مع SMA 50 أسبوعي عند 76,584$.
لكن إجماع المحللين لا يزال إيجابيًا: +49.2، و84% يتوقعون صعودًا—السوق منقسم بين الخوف قصير المدى والتفاؤل طويل المدى.
JPMorgan توقعت عائدًا 10% سنويًا لـ BTC، لكنها حذرت من تقلب يصل إلى 55%.
في المقابل، تشاماث حذر من أن BTC قد يصل إلى الصفر بسبب هجوم ذكاء اصطناعي—تصريح صادم قد يزيد التقلب.
الخلاصة: $BTC في مرحلة حسم؛ الثبات فوق 82,500$ يفتح 85 ألفًا، وكسر 78,661$ يفتح 76,500$—راقب
الفيدرالي والتصريحات، لا الشمعة فقط.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#BTC #BinanceSquareTalks #altcoins
🚨 $BTC عند 80,700$… السوق لا يتحرك بالمنطق، بل بالخوف والتصريحات.
السعر يتراجع تحت 82,500$ وسط ضغوط تضخم وجيوسياسية، والمستثمرون يتحولون إلى الملاذات الآمنة
إذا استمر الهبوط، فمنطقة 78,661$ هي الهدف الأول، وتتقاطع مع SMA 50 أسبوعي عند 76,584$.
لكن إجماع المحللين لا يزال إيجابيًا: +49.2، و84% يتوقعون صعودًا—السوق منقسم بين الخوف قصير المدى والتفاؤل طويل المدى.
JPMorgan توقعت عائدًا 10% سنويًا لـ BTC، لكنها حذرت من تقلب يصل إلى 55%.
في المقابل، تشاماث حذر من أن BTC قد يصل إلى الصفر بسبب هجوم ذكاء اصطناعي—تصريح صادم قد يزيد التقلب.
الخلاصة: $BTC في مرحلة حسم؛ الثبات فوق 82,500$ يفتح 85 ألفًا، وكسر 78,661$ يفتح 76,500$—راقب
الفيدرالي والتصريحات، لا الشمعة فقط.
#BTC #BinanceSquareTalks #altcoins
السعر يتراجع تحت 82,500$ وسط ضغوط تضخم وجيوسياسية، والمستثمرون يتحولون إلى الملاذات الآمنة
إذا استمر الهبوط، فمنطقة 78,661$ هي الهدف الأول، وتتقاطع مع SMA 50 أسبوعي عند 76,584$.
لكن إجماع المحللين لا يزال إيجابيًا: +49.2، و84% يتوقعون صعودًا—السوق منقسم بين الخوف قصير المدى والتفاؤل طويل المدى.
JPMorgan توقعت عائدًا 10% سنويًا لـ BTC، لكنها حذرت من تقلب يصل إلى 55%.
في المقابل، تشاماث حذر من أن BTC قد يصل إلى الصفر بسبب هجوم ذكاء اصطناعي—تصريح صادم قد يزيد التقلب.
الخلاصة: $BTC في مرحلة حسم؛ الثبات فوق 82,500$ يفتح 85 ألفًا، وكسر 78,661$ يفتح 76,500$—راقب
الفيدرالي والتصريحات، لا الشمعة فقط.
#BTC #BinanceSquareTalks #altcoins
1
103
🚀 $BTC SURGES PAST 80,900 – BULLISH MOMENTUM UNLEASHED! 📈
Entry: 79,350 ⚡
Target: 82,300 🚀
📊 Smart money is ripping through the 79k demand zone, swallowing sell orders like a shark 🦈. The 80,900 breakout aligns with a fresh volume spike, confirming the liquidity sweep that cleared the path for the next leg. 🌊
💡 With the price holding above the block, the risk‑to‑reward tilts sharply in favor of the long side. The next resistance at 82,300 is a clear TP1, and the market’s pulse feels like a sprint, not a jog. 💬 Are you stacking more bids or waiting for the next liquidity test? 👇
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
🏷️ #BTC #LongSetup #Bullish #Crypto
🔥 💎
🚀 $BTC SURGES PAST 80,900 – BULLISH MOMENTUM UNLEASHED! 📈
Entry: 79,350 ⚡
Target: 82,300 🚀
📊 Smart money is ripping through the 79k demand zone, swallowing sell orders like a shark 🦈. The 80,900 breakout aligns with a fresh volume spike, confirming the liquidity sweep that cleared the path for the next leg. 🌊
💡 With the price holding above the block, the risk‑to‑reward tilts sharply in favor of the long side. The next resistance at 82,300 is a clear TP1, and the market’s pulse feels like a sprint, not a jog. 💬 Are you stacking more bids or waiting for the next liquidity test? 👇
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
🏷️ #BTC #LongSetup #Bullish #Crypto
🔥 💎
Entry: 79,350 ⚡
Target: 82,300 🚀
📊 Smart money is ripping through the 79k demand zone, swallowing sell orders like a shark 🦈. The 80,900 breakout aligns with a fresh volume spike, confirming the liquidity sweep that cleared the path for the next leg. 🌊
💡 With the price holding above the block, the risk‑to‑reward tilts sharply in favor of the long side. The next resistance at 82,300 is a clear TP1, and the market’s pulse feels like a sprint, not a jog. 💬 Are you stacking more bids or waiting for the next liquidity test? 👇
⚠️ Not financial advice. Always manage your risk. 🛡️
🏷️ #BTC #LongSetup #Bullish #Crypto
🔥 💎
9
·
--
#BTC 再崩预警，可能继续下一波跌势。
值得警惕的是比特币$BTC 日线收盘站在了81000之下，之前(评论回复中)有所强调这一关键，这是实实在在破位的表现，也极可能是强势要看跌的信号，如今真站下了，就是可能大跌。
据此，请谨慎追多，还是反弹空较好。
{future}(BTCUSDT)
#BTC 再崩预警，可能继续下一波跌势。
值得警惕的是比特币$BTC 日线收盘站在了81000之下，之前(评论回复中)有所强调这一关键，这是实实在在破位的表现，也极可能是强势要看跌的信号，如今真站下了，就是可能大跌。
据此，请谨慎追多，还是反弹空较好。
值得警惕的是比特币$BTC 日线收盘站在了81000之下，之前(评论回复中)有所强调这一关键，这是实实在在破位的表现，也极可能是强势要看跌的信号，如今真站下了，就是可能大跌。
据此，请谨慎追多，还是反弹空较好。
262
ເຂົ້າສູ່ລະບົບເພື່ອສຳຫຼວດເນື້ອຫາເພີ່ມເຕີມ
ເຂົ້າຮ່ວມກຸ່ມຜູ້ໃຊ້ຄຣິບໂຕທົ່ວໂລກໃນ Binance Square.
⚡️ ໄດ້ຮັບຂໍ້ມູນຫຼ້າສຸດ ແລະ ທີ່ມີປະໂຫຍດກ່ຽວກັບຄຣິບໂຕ.
💬 ໄດ້ຮັບຄວາມໄວ້ວາງໃຈຈາກຕະຫຼາດແລກປ່ຽນຄຣິບໂຕທີ່ໃຫຍ່ທີ່ສຸດໃນໂລກ.
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