silver

Silver climbed to around $79 per ounce on Thursday, extending gains from the previous session, as the broader metals market rebounded even as the dollar rallied on robust US economic data and hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve. Minutes from the Fed’s January meeting revealed a split among policymakers, with some signaling that rate cuts would be appropriate if disinflation continues, while others favored keeping rates elevated longer and even highlighted the possibility of further tightening should inflation remain persistent. Traders slightly trimmed expectations for Fed rate cuts this year but still anticipate two 25 basis point reductions before year-end. Silver and other precious metals were further supported by rising geopolitical tensions, as the US increased its military presence in the Middle East amid concerns of potential conflict with Iran, and peace talks between Ukraine and Russia concluded without a breakthrough. less
2026-02-19
Silver Extends Momentum
Silver rose above $77.2 per ounce, extending gains as investors digested the January FOMC minutes and maintained expectations for rate cuts later this year. The minutes revealed a divide within the Federal Reserve, with several participants indicating cuts would be appropriate if disinflation contin... more
2026-02-18
Silver Rises Ahead of Fed Minutes
Silver rose above $75 per ounce on Wednesday, reversing losses from the previous session, amid dip-buying interest and positioning ahead of the Federal Reserve’s January meeting minutes. Markets continue to price in multiple rate cuts later this year, a backdrop generally viewed as supportive for no... more
2026-02-18
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Actual Chg %Chg
Crude Oil 65.811 0.621 0.95%
Brent 70.964 0.614 0.87%
Natural gas 2.9936 0.0174 -0.58%
Gasoline 1.9775 0.0133 0.68%
Heating Oil 2.5278 0.0091 0.36%
Gold 4996.84 20.35 0.41%
Silver 78.613 1.015 1.31%
Copper 5.7635 0.0395 -0.68%
Soybeans 1137.11 3.61 0.32%
Wheat 552.37 5.37 0.98%
Coal 116.80 0.25 -0.21%
Steel 3056.00 16.00 0.53%
TTF Gas 32.85 0.97 3.03%
Lumber 582.50 11.00 -1.85%
Iron Ore CNY 746.00 16.00 -2.10%
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Precious Metals Prices
Gold Reserves by Country
Mining Production by Country
#silver #Market_Update

The Size of the Precious Metals Market -
As of February 2026, estimates place:
Gold market cap at roughly $35.2 trillionSilver market cap around $4.2 trillionCombined total near $39.5 trillion
For generations, gold has been the go-to store of value a kind of financial anchor in times of inflation, currency weakness, or systemic stress. Silver, while heavily used in industry, still carries monetary history and speculative appeal. Together, they represent one of the largest reservoirs of preserved wealth on the planet.

What If Just 10% Rotates?
Now, consider a modest shift.
If only 10% of that $39.5 trillion were reallocated into crypto:
10% of $39.5T ≈ $4 trillion
Compare that with today’s crypto market:
Total crypto market cap ≈ $2.3 trillion
Add a $4 trillion inflow:
$2.3T + $4T = ≈ $6.3 trillion
That’s close to a 3× expansion in total market size — and that’s assuming just a partial reallocation, not a wholesale replacement of gold.
This isn’t about gold failing.
It’s about portfolios evolving.
Why Capital Rotates -
Money rarely sits still. It moves sometimes gradually, sometimes all at once toward what offers a better risk-reward profile.

Historically, capital flows toward:
Higher growth potentialStronger price momentumDeeper liquidityMore attractive asymmetric upside
Gold is stability.
Crypto is volatility but with outsized upside potential.
When macro conditions shift for example, when real yields decline, monetary policy loosens, or risk appetite returns investors often rotate out of defensive assets and into risk assets. In that environment, crypto tends to benefit disproportionately.
Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Effect -
Another structural element often discussed in crypto is the four-year cycle linked to $BTC halving events.
Historically, major bear market lows formed around:
2014–201520182022
If that rhythm holds, 2026 could represent the next cyclical low.
Major cycle lows are typically where:
Long-term investors accumulateEarly capital positions quietlyAltcoins later begin to outperform
Of course, cycles aren’t guarantees but markets do have memory, and patterns tend to persist until they don’t.
Why Altcoins Often Move the Most -
When new liquidity enters crypto, it rarely spreads evenly.
The pattern usually unfolds in stages:
Capital flows into Bitcoin first.Then into Ethereum.Then into higher-beta altcoins.
That cascading flow is where the sharpest percentage gains often occur.

So if even a fraction of precious metals capital rotates into crypto during a cyclical bottom, the relative impact on smaller-cap assets could be amplified.
The Bigger Picture -
Precious metals ≈ $39.5TCrypto ≈ $2.3T
By comparison, crypto is still a small player in the broader store-of-value landscape.
The rotation thesis doesn’t require gold to collapse. Instead, it assumes:
Younger investors increasingly favor digital assetsInstitutions diversify beyond traditional hedgesLiquidity seeks higher return profilesMacro cycles shift back toward risk-taking
If a capital rotation coincides with a cyclical reset in crypto, the setup becomes structurally interesting.
Final Thought -
Markets move in waves.
Gold and silver are about preservation.
Crypto is about expansion.
When capital shifts from protecting wealth to pursuing growth, even a small percentage move can reshape an entire asset class.
In markets, 10% may sound small but at trillion-dollar scale, it changes everything.

#CapitalRotation #altcoins #BTC #GOLD #silver

2025 wasn’t a rally.
It was a regime shift.
Gold $XAU didn’t just rise — it detonated higher.
Up 55% in a single year.
Fifty-three all-time highs.
Nearly one new record per week.
Strongest annual performance since 1979.
And we are now pressing against $5,000 per ounce.
This is not late-cycle euphoria.
It’s early-stage repricing.
1. Wall Street Is Still Underestimating the Move
The big banks are adjusting — but cautiously.
Goldman Sachs sees $5,400 by end of 2026, while openly admitting “significant upside risk.”JP Morgan sets a $6,300 base case.Their bullish scenario? $8,000–$12,000.
Those are not retail YouTube targets.
That’s institutional modeling.
And yet — allocations remain tiny.
More on that later.
2. Silver: The Quiet Structural Break
While gold headlines dominate, silver is where the imbalance is more violent.
Inventory Reality
COMEX silver inventories are down ~75% from 2020 levels.The global silver market has run a cumulative deficit of roughly 800 million ounces in recent years.That’s approximately one full year of global mine supply.
This isn’t cyclical.
It’s cumulative.

Industrial Pressure Is Exploding
Silver $XAG isn’t just a monetary metal.
It’s an industrial input:
AI semiconductorsSolar panelsEV battery systems
Industrial buyers used to hold 3–4 months of inventory.
Now?
Closer to one month.
That is not comfort inventory.
That is just-in-time vulnerability.
When buffer shrinks, price elasticity disappears.
3. The Three Forces Driving the Precious Metals Supercycle:
This isn’t a trade.
It’s macro physics.

Force #1: Currency Debasement
Governments don’t confiscate wealth directly.
They dilute it.
U.S. money supply expanded from $15 trillion to $21 trillion during COVID — over 40% expansion.
National debt: $38 trillion.
Interest expense?
Tripled in five years.
Governments do not default when debt becomes unbearable.
They inflate.
They allow the currency to lose purchasing power against real assets.
For 5,000 years, gold has survived one constant:
Paper eventually expands.
Metal does not.

Force #2: Central Bank Realignment
In 2022, Western nations froze Russia’s FX reserves.
That was a watershed moment.
It shattered the illusion that dollar reserves are politically neutral.
Since then:
Central bank gold purchases have increased fivefold.Poland, China, Turkey and others are aggressively accumulating physical metal.
Here’s the structural asymmetry:
Gold represents roughly:
~70% of reserves for the U.S., Germany, Italy.Only ~8% of reserves for China.
That gap is strategic.
If China merely rebalances toward Western reserve ratios, demand pressure becomes seismic.
This isn’t speculation.
It’s reserve diversification.

Force #3: Retail Has Barely Arrived
Despite the headlines, retail participation is still minimal.
Global fund allocation to gold?
Under 1%.
JP Morgan estimates that if allocations rise by just 0.5%, gold could mechanically reprice to around $6,000 almost immediately.
Think about that.
Half a percentage point.
We are nowhere near speculative mania.
We are in early institutional positioning.
4. Strategy: Understand the Risk Layers
Not all exposure is equal.
Miners: High Beta, High Risk:
Mining equities act as leveraged instruments on metal prices.
Upside can be explosive.
So can drawdowns.
Without risk management, they can destroy capital as quickly as they create it.
This is not passive exposure.
It’s tactical.
Physical Gold: Low Volatility Core:
Physical metal carries lower operational risk.
No management risk.
No counterparty risk.
No production surprises.
It functions as monetary insurance.
Less dramatic.
More durable.

The Bigger Picture:
Record sovereign debt.
Rising interest burdens.
Dollar reserve distrust.
Structural silver deficits.
Central banks accumulating.
Retail underexposed.
That combination doesn’t produce a normal bull market.
It produces repricing.
Gold $XAU approaching $5,000 isn’t a climax.
It’s confirmation.
Silver’s supply squeeze isn’t noise.
It’s pressure building inside the system.
And when institutional money rotates at scale,
price does not drift higher.
It gaps.
The public still thinks this is a rally.
It isn’t.
It’s a reset.

🔔 Insight. Signal. Alpha.

Hit follow if you don’t want to miss the next move!
*This is personal insight, not financial advice.
#GOLD #Silver #COMEXUpdate