🐉 $3.64B left Binance in the first 9.5 hours after withdrawals reopened, and the pace is already slowing.
👉 Binance says it processed $4.65B in withdrawals against $1.01B in deposits between 06:00 and 15:30 GMT on Sunday 1 November, a net outflow of about $3.64B. 👉 That is about 2.1% of the $171B in assets Binance reported as of 28 October, and Binance says flows are stabilising after the initial spike, with deposits still substantial. 👉 The honest counterpoint: DefiLlama showed a higher figure, about $5.81B, but Binance says that dashboard misses deposits to its own new hot wallet, so its own update is the closer read for now. 👉 This follows the phase one reopening already posted yesterday, with about 95% of the $6.3B stolen covered, so the test was never whether some users would leave, it was whether the exit would stay orderly. 👉 The next verification is still the Proof of Reserves check today at 15:21 ICT, with the full zero-knowledge proof expected by Tuesday 3 November UTC.
🐉 Binance just put a number and a clock on the hack recovery: $6.34B set aside, withdrawals targeted to restart in phases Sunday.
👉 More than $6.34B in company funds is reserved to cover the estimated $6.3B loss, with $5B already held in the exact tokens taken, including USDC, USDT, BTC, ETH and BNB. The remaining roughly $1.3B is being bought on exchange and OTC. 👉 The buyback is now showing up on-chain: Lookonchain tracked a wallet identified as Ethena's depositing 128.63M ENA, about $24M, into Binance in the eight hours to early Saturday, October 31 UTC. That is about 59% of the 217.5M ENA the attacker took and later sold for about $33.93M at around $0.16. Neither Binance nor Ethena has confirmed the purpose of this transfer, so it is an on-chain signal, not a confirmed buyback receipt. 👉 About $3B of stolen funds remains frozen with industry partners, so full user coverage is a balance sheet pledge, not yet a full recovery. 👉 Withdrawals are targeted to begin resuming in phases within about 34 hours of Friday's second Security Incident Update, subject to security checks, which points to around 12:30 ICT on Sunday, November 1. Deposits remain operational. 👉 The first proof of reserves snapshot window has now passed, with no published results found yet and results expected by Monday, November 2. 👉 The investigation has widened beyond the first laptop theory, with additional breach points found, and Binance still reports no evidence that wallet private keys were leaked. Further technical findings are expected within about 48 hours of that update. 👉 BTC is still trading around $77,300, below $80,000, while the market waits to see whether the phased restart lands on time.
📰 Red news (today → next 24h, GMT+8) Fri TBC JPY BoJ Interest Rate Decision Fri 14:30 JPY BoJ Press Conference Fri 17:00 EUR Germany GDP QoQ Flash Q3 Fri 18:00 EUR Euro Area GDP QoQ Flash Q3 Fri 20:30 USD Employment Cost Index Q3
🐉 The Fed held. Bitcoin didn't wait — and the data just flipped the script.
👉 The Fed held rates at 3.75%–4.00% in a 10–2 vote, Warsh gave no December guidance, yet traders now price about an 86% chance of a December hike, up from 78% a day earlier. 👉 BTC closed Oct 28 at $81,254 (+0.8%) after a $80,330–$81,632 range, and is trading around $80,978 this morning, with ETH closing at $2,357 (+0.6%). 👉 On-chain: dip buyers absorbed about 172,000 BTC in three days, lifting supply with a cost basis of $79,000–$81,000 from about 453,000 to 624,587 BTC. 👉 ETF flows are back: $110.3M on Oct 26 and $176M on Oct 27, the first back-to-back inflows since Oct 19–21. 👉 The wall ahead: about 884,312 BTC sits between $81,000–$82,500 held at a loss — that zone decides whether this is a bounce or a breakout.