#FOMCWatch

🇺🇸 Fed Decision Hours Away: Hold Priced, Dissents in Focus

📅 The decision lands today at 2 PM ET (18:00 UTC), with Chair Warsh's press conference at 2:30
📊 CME FedWatch prices about a 90% chance rates stay at 3.75-4.00%, and 10% for a hike
🗳️ In a Reuters poll, 94 of 100 economists expect a hold, and all 100 expect a December hike
⚠️ Rabobank expects Hammack, Kashkari and Logan to dissent for a hike again, as in July
📈 September CPI ran hot at 3.7% a year, while payrolls added only 29K jobs
🔍 Warsh is expected to avoid explicit forward guidance

What it means for crypto: a hold is mostly priced in, so dissents and the December tone matter more. Hawkish signals could weigh on risk assets, softer ones could ease pressure. Bitcoin is near $80.7K.

How many dissents do you expect tonight? 👇

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