#FedRateWatch
#FedRateWatch THE HIKE MAY ALREADY BE PRIInflation
FOMC September 2026: What happens next? 👀
August U.S. CPI came in hot enough to keep the market focused on inflation: headline CPI rose 0.4% MoM, while core CPI increased 0.3% MoM and 2.4% YoY. �
Bureau of Labor Statistics +1
The September FOMC meeting is taking place Sept. 15–16, with the policy decision scheduled for Sept. 16. �
Federal Reserve
Market pricing has shifted sharply toward a 25-basis-point hike, with recent readings putting the probability around the mid/high-80s to ~90%. �
Pintu +1
But here’s the interesting part:
The hike itself may already be priced in.
🔥 The real volatility could come from Powell’s message:
➡️ Hawkish Fed: higher-for-longer expectations → pressure on BTC & tech, potentially stronger USD/yields.
➡️ Less-hawkish guidance: markets may interpret the hike as a one-off → risk assets could find relief.
➡️ Surprise signal: watch the reaction in BTC + DXY + Treasury yields + Gold together.
For Bitcoin, I’m watching price reaction rather than trying to predict the headline.
The question isn’t simply:
“Will the Fed hike?”
It’s:
“What does the Fed tell us about the NEXT hike?” 👀
📊 BTC | TECH | GOLD — which one reacts first?
Drop your view below. 👇
#FedRateWatch #FOMC