tesla

As you know, $TSLA (Tesla)
{future}(TSLAUSDT)
stock futures are now tradable on Binance. First comes the stock, then the futures.

So to analyze Tesla properly, I started with the Tesla stock chart on NASDAQ.
Before entering any market, I always start with the annual timeframe.

• 2020–2021: Rapid growth

• 2022: Deep correction

• 2023: A mid-low formed at 101.81, and a gap appeared between the 2023 low and the 2019 high. However, judging by the structure, I don’t expect this gap to be tested anytime soon.

• 2023–2024–2025: Three consecutive years of growth with long lower wicks — a sign of strong demand (more on this on the monthly chart).
To project potential upside, I measured the correction range from the 2021 high → 2023 low and extended it upward.

📌 Probable continuation targets: 570 and 727.
We can also note that 2026 opened with a gap between the 2025 close and the 2026 open. This gap was filled in the first month.

At the same time, 2026 opening level already at 25% Fibonacci of the upper tail of the 2025 candlestick indicate a high probability of a downward phase first — followed by a continuation higher.
🔸 Key Levels from the 2025 Candle
I measured the long lower wick of the 2025 annual candle using Fibonacci to define optimal entry zones.
📌 The 50% Fibonacci level = 303.04 is especially important:
• Slightly above the 2023 high
• Also aligns with the 50% retracement of the entire 2023–2025 uptrend
This level confluence increases the probability of price revisiting this area.

🔹 Monthly Structure
On the monthly chart, Tesla has maintained a bullish structure for three years:
✔ Higher highs
✔ Higher lows
A third wave is now forming.

Given the depth of previous corrections, this wave is likely to show strong momentum with only shallow pullbacks at the start.
🧭 My Plan / Areas of Interest
If a correction plays out before the next upside leg, I’m watching these zones:
• 367.71 – 382.78 → Gap between May 2025 high & Nov 2025 low
• 352.26 → 2021 close
• 346 → Lower boundary of a broader gap
• 299.29 → 2023 high
• 303.04 → 50% Fib of both structures (key confluence)
🎯 Strategy
If price corrects into these zones first:
• I’ll open small positions
• Average entries
• And become more aggressive only if price moves below the 50% Fib of the entire range