LINEA MENJADI KORBAN TERBARU SETELAH ARKHAM MENGHENTIKAN DUKUNGAN BASE L2 BERDASARKAN 'PENTINGNYA UNTUK CRYPTO'
Arkham Intelligence telah mengumumkan bahwa dukungan terhadap blockchain Linea akan dihentikan mulai 11 Januari setelah melakukan tinjauan berkala terhadap relevansi rantai dan permintaan pengguna. Linea, yang dikembangkan oleh Consensys sebagai Layer-2 Ethereum, merupakan salah satu dari beberapa L2 yang dihapus, bersama dengan Manta dan Blast.
Langkah ini menunjukkan bahwa Arkham sedang menyederhanakan platformnya dengan menghentikan jaringan-jaringan dengan aktivitas rendah. Namun, L2 Ethereum utama seperti Arbitrum, Base, Optimism, Mantle, dan Polygon zkEVM tetap akan didukung, terutama karena pembaruan Dencun Ethereum telah memperkuat peran dan relevansi solusi Layer-2 terkemuka.#USNonFarmPayrollReport #CPIWatch #USTradeDeficitShrink #USJobsData #USBitcoinReservesSurge
Saylor memicu spekulasi pembelian bitcoin baru BTC mendekati 90k$
Michael Saylor sekali lagi mengisyaratkan akumulasi Bitcoin yang agresif oleh Strategy (sebelumnya MicroStrategy), menunjukkan bahwa perusahaan tetap berkomitmen pada strategi perbendaharaan BTC berisiko tinggi meskipun ada kelemahan pada saham MSTR. Ini terjadi ketika MSCI berencana untuk mengeluarkan Strategy dari indeks globalnya. Sementara itu, Bitcoin diperdagangkan dekat zona resistensi $90K, dengan kluster likuiditas yang kuat dan permintaan institusional yang terus berlanjut menunjukkan bahwa BTC tetap didukung dengan baik meskipun ada volatilitas baru-baru ini.$BTC #WriteToEarnUpgrade #FedOfficialsSpeak #Ripple1BXRPReserve
XRP ETFs Bersinar Saat Pasar Crypto Menghadapi Tekanan
Dana yang diperdagangkan di bursa XRP (ETFs) menunjukkan momentum yang kuat, mencatat aliran positif selama 30 hari perdagangan berturut-turut. CEO Ripple Brad Garlinghouse menyoroti pencapaian ini, terutama karena ETF Bitcoin dan Ethereum terus melihat aliran dana yang tidak merata dan berombak.
Lonjakan minat dimulai dengan peluncuran ETF XRP spot pertama di AS oleh Canary Capital, yang menarik hampir $250 juta dalam volume perdagangan pada hari debutnya—menetapkan tolok ukur baru untuk ETF altcoin non-Ethereum. Mengikuti kesuksesan ini, manajer aset besar seperti Franklin Templeton, Bitwise, dan Grayscale dengan cepat memperkenalkan produk ETF XRP mereka sendiri, meningkatkan kompetisi dan eksposur pasar.
Pada saat yang sama, Shiba Inu (SHIB) mengirimkan sinyal campuran. Sementara harganya tetap di bawah tekanan mendekati level rendah lokal, data on-chain menunjukkan tren bullish. Hampir 100 miliar token SHIB ditarik dari bursa terpusat dalam waktu 24 jam, menunjukkan tekanan jual yang berkurang dan meningkatnya kepercayaan pemegang jangka panjang.
Meskipun perkembangan positif ini terjadi pada beberapa aset, pasar crypto yang lebih luas sedang berjuang. Kapitalisasi pasar total telah turun di bawah $3 triliun menjadi sekitar $2,95 triliun. Cardano (ADA) telah menjadi salah satu aset yang paling terpukul, dengan posisi long yang terleverage menghadapi likuidasi berat. Lebih dari $1,18 juta dalam posisi long ADA dihapus dalam waktu hanya 24 jam, menghasilkan ketidakseimbangan likuidasi sebesar 1.303% yang besar.
Secara keseluruhan, meskipun XRP dan SHIB menunjukkan tanda-tanda kekuatan di bawah permukaan, pasar crypto yang lebih luas tetap berhati-hati saat investor menilai kembali risiko menjelang akhir tahun.$XRP $ADA $SHIB #CPIWatch #TrumpTariffs #FedRateCut25bps
FEDERAL RESERVE OFFICIALLY BACK OFF 2023 BANK CRYPTO RESTRICTIONS PERMANENTLY
The Fed dropped its old 2023 rule and replaced it with a new policy that gives state member banks room to use innovative tools without being stuck under the limits created two years ago.
The Board said the financial system changed enough to make the earlier rule useless. The new move applies to both insured and uninsured banks under the Fed’s watch and brings direct consequences for crypto-linked firms that want stable access to payment rails.
Fed changes federal access for crypto companies in America
“New technologies offer efficiencies to banks and improved products and services to bank customers,” Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman said.
“By creating a pathway for responsible, innovative products and services, the Board is helping ensure that the banking sector remains safe and sound while also modern, efficient, and effective.”
The 2023 policy forced state member banks to follow the same activity rules that other federal regulators used. It also tried to lay out how banks should handle new tools. After it came out, the Board said the financial system shifted and its own understanding grew, so it cleared the rule and replaced it.
The new policy lets banks under the Fed take part in certain innovative activities, which matters for firms like Circle, Paxos, Tether, and BitGo. These companies will now place customer reserves directly at the Fed instead of routing everything through commercial banks. That lowers costs and cuts counterparty risk while giving them more control over flows.
Some companies tried other ways to reach the Fed’s payment system.The big one was specialty banking charters.
One example is Wyoming’s Special Purpose Depository Institution setup, built for crypto companies. Custodia Bank, one of the first to use it, sued the Federal Reserve Board and the Kansas City Fed for what it called “a patently unlawful delay.” A court dismissed the case, and Custodia appealed. That case is still active.$BTC #BinanceAlphaAlert
Liquidity pool in to binance as volatility returns
Fresh data from CryptoQuant shows Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchangetightening its grip on spot and derivatives trading, setting new records. The activity surge comes as on-chain and options metrics suggest investors are repositioning for a more active market environment. The exchange is on track to set new records across spot and derivatives markets in 2025, even as traders continue to price uncertainty in the crypto market. Binance leads, others follow Liquidity pools into Binance as volatilityreturns"> Source: CryptoQuant Crypto inflows into Binance hit $1.17 trillion in 2025, representing a 31% increase year on year. The inflow, which widens the gulf between Binance and other exchanges, coincided with the platform surpassing 300 million registered users. Coinbase comes second after Binance with respect to crypto inflows, seeing $946 billion in 2025, which is a 30% increase from the previous year. Source: CryptoQuant Binance spot trading volume is projected to reach about $7 trillion by year-end, nearly five times that of its closest competitor, Bybit. According to CryptoQuant, “the total number of spot trades reached a new all-time high of 24.1 billion in 2025, up 4% year over year and more than 3x higher than in 2022.” Binance also posted a record high this year in the total number of perpetual futures trades, which reached 49.6 billion, 33% above last year’s record high of 37.3 billion trades. The platform’s perpetual futures volume has already exceeded $24.6 trillion, more than double the volume of ……… Source: CryptoQuant Julio, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, pointed out that this current boost in activity metrics indicates “sustained growth in user activity throughout the current bull cycle.” By June 2025, Binance had captured 41.1% of global spot volume, maintaining a market share of 39.8% among centralized exchanges the following month. Market uncertainty drives hedging activity The renewed focus on liquidity comes as volatility shows signs of returning after a stable six-month period. Glasnode analysis indicates that during a sharp drawdown in the market several weeks ago, risk hedging activity increased substantially, with elevated put demand as Bitcoin prices moved into the low-$80,000 range. Source: Glassnode on X While market conditions have stabilized, and expectations for extreme moves have moderated, “implied volatility remains elevated relative to the exceptionally low-volatility regime observed over the prior six months, suggesting a shift toward a more active volatility environment,” according to Glassnode. Large centralized exchanges tend to benefit when volatility rises, as hedging, arbitrage, and high-frequency strategies all rely on deep and continuous liquidity. Binance’s scale across spot and perpetual futures markets places it at the center of that activity. The concentration of liquidity on Binance highlights a structural feature of crypto markets, which is that liquidity tends to pool where liquidity already exists. Other exchanges continue to play important roles in specific regions or product niches, and institutional activity on regulated venues remains influential for benchmark pricing.
BITCOIN IS poised to close the year in the red for the fourth time in its history
Bitcoin (BTC) is poised for its fourth annual decline in history. Moreover, this time the decline is not coinciding with a major scandal or a sector-wide collapse, as in previous years. The world's largest cryptocurrencyexperienced a sharp sell-off yesterday, losing as much as 5.2% during the day. Bitcoin is down approximately 7% year-to-date. While this decline is more limited compared to the sharp crashes of the previous three years of losses, it is occurring in a very different environment. Since the last major crypto crash in 2022, institutional adoption has increased, the regulatory framework has matured, and the sector has gained the explicit support of US President Donald Trump. Despite this, Bitcoin has surprised investors with its rapid pullback since its all-time high of over $126,000 in early October. Trading volumes remain low, investors are exiting Bitcoin ETFs, and derivatives markets are showing little appetite for a potential rebound. Even large-scale purchases by Michael Saylor’s company Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) weren’t enough to reverse the weakness in prices. “The lack of a strong follow-up despite so many positive catalysts has surprised many,” commented Pratik Kala, portfolio manager at Apollo Crypto. The current picture also shows Bitcoin decoupling from stocks. While the S&P 500 index hit a record high closing earlier this month, it has risen 16 percent year-to-date. Technology stocks, which often move in tandem with Bitcoin, have performed even more strongly. Each of Bitcoin's three major past declines has been linked to significant events that eroded market confidence. In 2014, the Mt. Gox exchange hack and collapse exposed weaknesses in early crypto infrastructure, causing Bitcoin to lose 58% of its value that year. In 2018, the bursting of the ICO bubbleand regulatory pressures led to a historic 74% drop in Bitcoin. The 2022 crash, meanwhile, resulted in the bankruptcy of several large companies, including FTX, and triggered extensive regulatory pressure in the US. Up until its peak in October, Bitcoin's rise seemed unstoppable. Trump's declaration of cryptocurrencies as a national priority, the US Congress's historic stablecoin law, and billions of dollars inflows into Bitcoin ETFs fueled optimism. However, behind the scenes, vulnerabilities had accumulated, particularly regarding excessive leverage. On October 10th, the liquidation of $19 billion in leveraged positions exposed these vulnerabilities, severely shaking the market. According to Pratik Kala, “Selling by old whaleshas severely suppressed momentum. The sector got everything it wanted on the regulatory side, even ETFs with staking, but the price couldn’t keep up.” This picture suggests that a cautious stance may prevail in the Bitcoin market in the short term. $BTC
Tingkat inflasi inti yang diawasi oleh Fed mencapai 2,8%, data September yang tertunda menunjukkan, lebih rendah dari yang diharapkan
1. Mekanisme pemotongan suku bunga
Inflasi yang turun menjadi 2,8% memberikan ruang lebih bagi Fed untuk memotong suku bunga. → Ketika suku bunga turun, biaya pinjaman berkurang, pinjaman meningkat, dan likuiditas (aliran uang) dalam ekonomi meningkat. → Uang cenderung mengalir ke aset berisiko tinggi seperti kripto.
2. Reaksi risiko
Dalam periode ketika suku bunga turun, para investor bergerak menuju → saham teknologi → bitcoin → altcoin mencari imbal hasil yang lebih tinggi. Kripto biasanya naik selama kondisi pasar yang berisiko.
3. Kelemahan dolar dan pertumbuhan Bitcoin
Ketika suku bunga turun, Indeks Dolar AS (DXY) cenderung menurun. → Ketika dolar melemah, Bitcoin secara historis menunjukkan tren naik.
4. Peningkatan aliran ETF
Ketika data makro terlihat positif, investor institusi lebih cenderung mengalokasikan dana ke → ETF BTC → ETF ETH → dana kripto.
Ringkasan
Inflasi yang lebih rendah yang selaras dengan ekspektasi Fed umumnya bersifat bullish untuk kripto. Pasar kripto sering bergerak naik setelah rilis data semacam itu.
Pasar kripto stabil seiring meningkatnya harapan untuk pemotongan suku bunga Fed pada bulan Desember yang mendukung sentimen. Bitcoin bertahan di dekat $88.000 dalam perdagangan Hong Kong, sementara Ethereum berfluktuasi di sekitar $2.945. Analis di QCP Capital mencatat pembersihan leverage panjang dan lindung nilai yang seimbang, dengan minat panggilan menjelang akhir tahun melebihi put—tanda struktur pasar yang lebih sehat. Data Glassnode juga menunjukkan kondisi oversold, mengurangi tekanan jual, dan tahap akhir dari koreksi pasar, meskipun futures masih menunjukkan penjual agresif. Jika harapan pemotongan suku bunga tetap utuh saat pasar AS dibuka kembali, BTC kemungkinan akan stabil dalam kisaran saat ini $BTC #BTCRebound90kNext? #WriteToEarnUpgrade #ProjectCrypto
Peluang Pemotongan Suku Bunga Fed Turun Saat Data Pekerjaan Terlambat
Para trader telah secara tajam mengurangi peluang pemotongan suku bunga Fed pada bulan Desember menjadi 33%, setelah laporan pekerjaan AS yang penting terlambat. Titik data yang hilang menambah ketidakpastian menjelang pertemuan terakhir Fed pada tahun 2025.
Untuk pasar kripto, pembaruan ini menandakan likuiditas jangka pendek yang lebih rendah dan pengurangan selera risiko, menciptakan tekanan turun yang ringan pada Bitcoin dan altcoin utama. Namun, ekspektasi jangka panjang untuk pemotongan suku bunga tahun 2025 tetap tidak berubah#AltcoinMarketRecovery #USStocksForecast2026 $BTC