$BTC : the numbers that matter
Most important short term number
$65,445 (gamma flip)
Below $65,445
Dealer hedging can reinforce downside.
Above $65,445
Short-term structure improves.
Short-term levels
$70,000: call wall
$65,000: put wall (key support)
18.6%: gamma expires Feb 13 (pin-release)
Lead signal
IGV → BTC: p=0.003, 2-day lead (liquidity leads price)
Power Law:
~4.5 months: $110K
Best forward signal horizon: 18 month (~$200K)
Short term: gamma + liquidity (IGV/HYG)
Medium to long term: bullish
$BTC : the numbers that matter
Most important short term number
$65,745 (gamma flip)
Below $65,745
Dealer hedging can reinforce downside.
Above $65,745
Short-term structure improves.
Short-term levels
$70,000: call wall
$65,000: put wall (key support)
18.6%: gamma expires Feb 13 (pin-release)
Lead signal
IGV → BTC: p=0.003, 2-day lead (liquidity leads price)
Power Law:
~4.5 months: $110K
Best forward signal horizon: 18 month (~$200K)
Short term: gamma + liquidity (IGV/HYG)
Medium to long term: bullish