THX738

I don’t advise futures trading — not because it’s impossible to win, but because it’s structurally designed to destroy small capital.
Let’s start with leverage. Futures amplify everything: gains, losses, emotions, and mistakes. A 1–2% price move against you can wipe out weeks or months of progress. According to exchange statistics, over 70–90% of retail futures traders lose money, and most of those losses come from leverage, fees, and liquidations — not bad analysis.
Now compare this with trading alpha coins (spot or no leverage).
Alpha coins move differently.
It’s normal to see 20–100% moves over days or weeks. Volatility works for you, not against you. There are no liquidations, no funding fees, and no forced closes. Your position can survive noise, manipulation, and time.
Risk vs Reward Comparison
Futures trading:
Small price moves (1–3%)High leverageFunding fees every 4-8 hours (1hour)High commissions due to overtradingLiquidation risk = total lossTime works against you
Alpha coin trading (spot):
Large asymmetric movesNo liquidationNo funding feesLower psychological pressureTime can work in your favorCapital remains alive
Now let’s talk about micro balances.
Most people don’t trade futures because it’s smart — they trade them because their capital is small. When you have $200 or $500, slow growth feels meaningless. So people chase leverage, hoping for fast results. What they actually chase is their last chance.
That’s how poor traders get poorer.
I know this firsthand.
Over three years of futures trading, I irreversibly lost more than $15,000. Not in one blow — slowly, through fees, funding, overtrading, and liquidations. On futures, once you’re liquidated, the money is gone forever. U may be more lucky, and win all time thinking u are smart enough, untill smth unpredictable happened...
With alpha coins, even bad entries leave you something: time and probability. A new cycle, a new narrative, a second chance. Futures offer none of that.
The Real Lesson
Trading is not about maximizing profit.
It’s about surviving long enough to let probability work.
Capital preservation beats any strategy.
Because without capital, skill doesn’t matter.
Futures don’t forgive mistakes.Spot alpha sometimes does.
And that difference decides who stays in the market — and who disappears from it.
#PreciousMetalsTurbulence #ALPHA🔥 #USIranStandoff #MarketCorrection

Why Most “Trading Advice” Accounts Don’t Trade at All
Many accounts that give trading advice don’t actually trade. In reality, around 90% of them risk nothing but their reputation. They make money not from the market, but from #Write2Earn posts, referrals, ads, and paid groups. When their ideas fail, it’s not their capital on the line — it’s yours. This creates a dangerous imbalance: followers take real financial risk, while “gurus” collect views and engagement. Their goal is consistency in content, not consistency in profits. Always remember: if someone truly had a reliable edge, they wouldn’t need to give #signals daily.
Only ~48.5 % of copy-trading followers were profitable over the period.
While ~97 % of leaders showed positive profit on their own accounts, only **~43.6 % of those leaders actually generated positive returns for followers.
This means even among traders people choose to follow, fewer than half delivered profitable results for the followers.
In a small competition reported on a trading platform (not Binance itself), only 19 out of 100 “top influencers” remained profitable, and many lost most of their starting capital.
They Don’t Trade — You Do (With Your Money)!
#MarketCorrection #PreciousMetalsTurbulence #USIranStandoff $BTC

#TrumpCancelsEUTariffThreat

Il y a quelques mois, j'étais "intelligent" et j'ai fermé toutes mes positions au comptant (vous pouvez trouver mon post à ce sujet) pour attendre en liquide.
Bien sûr, cela ne m'a pas empêché de perdre tout cet argent sur les contrats à terme pendant cette période.
Mais avoue-le — l'idée elle-même était correcte, n'est-ce pas ?
Ne me demande pas comment je suis arrivé à la conclusion que 2026 sera l'année d'un effondrement crypto.
Dans ma vision du monde, c'est un scénario évident, tout comme pour quelqu'un d'autre 2×2=5.
Alors que se passera-t-il lorsque $BTC tombera davantage ?
C'est à ce moment-là que la véritable panique et la dévaluation des cryptos commenceront.

La dernière vente a touché les métaux, les cryptomonnaies et les actions simultanément.
L'or et l'argent ont chuté fortement, les cryptomonnaies ont vu des milliards en liquidations forcées, et les actions ont réévalué le risque en quelques minutes.
Instantané des liquidations :
Crypto : ~3–6B $ liquidés à travers les majors en 24h ($BTC , $ETH , levier alternatif)
Marchés à terme : >80% des positions de détail effacées sur un levier élevé
Métaux et actions : mouvement de risque corrélé sur les bureaux macro
Pourquoi la stratégie échoue lors des changements de régime
Les systèmes de trading fonctionnent dans des régimes stables.
Lorsque l'ordre macro s'effondre—chocs de politique, guerres tarifaires, chaos fiscal—les marchés cessent de se comporter statistiquement.

Une fermeture du gouvernement américain se produit lorsque le Congrès ne parvient pas à adopter un budget fédéral.
Résultat : certaines parties du gouvernement cessent littéralement de fonctionner. Les employés sont mis en congé, les services sont gelés, les marchés deviennent nerveux.
Ce n'est pas un accident. C'est une guerre politique.
Qui bénéficie des fermetures ?
1) Politiciens
Les fermetures sont un moyen de pression. Chaque partie les utilise pour forcer des concessions, mobiliser les électeurs et blâmer l'autre parti.
2) Traders et fonds spéculatifs
La volatilité augmente. Les rendements obligataires, l'or et les échanges de volatilité du dollar américain deviennent rentables.

L'Iran n'est pas le but. C'est le mécanisme.
La continuité cachée
À première vue, les tensions autour de l'Iran ressemblent à un chapitre séparé dans la géopolitique mondiale.
En réalité, ils s'inscrivent dans un cycle de stratégie énergétique plus long qui s'est précédemment déroulé en Amérique latine.
La campagne de pression sur le Venezuela a montré comment le prix, les sanctions et l'accès à l'approvisionnement peuvent être utilisés comme outils géopolitiques. Un nouveau choc au Moyen-Orient ne contredirait pas cette logique - il l'achèverait.
Le prix en tant qu'instrument stratégique
Les marchés de l'énergie ne sont pas seulement des systèmes économiques.

Soyons honnêtes :
pour la plupart des gens sur cette planète, personne ne se soucie de qui dirige la Fed ou si le taux américain est de 4 %, 5 % ou 1 %. Loyer, nourriture, carburant, dette — c'est la réalité. Powell, taux, graphiques de points — bruit de fond.
Mais les marchés s'en soucient.
Et c'est là que le problème commence.
La Réserve fédérale a été conçue pour être indépendante. Aujourd'hui, ce n'est pas le cas. Elle est capturée — par la politique, par les marchés, par des attentes qu'elle ne peut plus contrôler. Quand des rumeurs circulent qu'un cadre de BlackRock pourrait devenir le prochain président de la Fed, l'indépendance devient une blague. Ce n'est pas de la politique monétaire — c'est une consolidation du pouvoir.

Le dernier crash crypto ne s'est pas produit dans l'isolement. La forte baisse du Bitcoin, la hausse agressive de l'or, la rhétorique manipulatrice des taux de Trump et la distorsion monétaire du Japon font tous partie du même stress systémique.
Commencer avec $BTC
La chute n’était pas liée aux fondamentaux. C’était une question de positionnement. L'effet de levier était extrême, surtout en allant vers le week-end. Lorsque la liquidité s’est amincie, le prix n’a pas “chuté” — il a glissé à travers des livres vides, déclenchant des liquidations forcées. Le Bitcoin a agi comme la soupape de pression du risque mondial, exactement comme il le fait toujours.

If someone publishes futures setups everyday, they are not trading — they are producing content.
Most of these “experts” focus on short-term moves of 1–3%. On paper it looks easy. In reality, fees, funding, slippage, and bad timing turn those tiny moves into consistent losses. According to exchange data and independent studies, 70–90% of retail futures traders lose money, and the majority of losses come from overtrading and short holding periods.
High-frequency setups mean:
More trades
More fees
More funding payments
More emotional mistakes
Even if the win rate looks decent, the risk-reward is terrible. One bad liquidation wipes out ten “successful” trades.
Now the obvious question:
If these people are real trading experts, why don’t they trade the same few pairs?
Experienced traders usually specialize. They master one market, one asset, one behavior pattern. It’s easier, more predictable, and more profitable. But content gurus jump from coin to coin every day — because new coins mean new charts, new hype, and new engagement.
They are not optimizing profits. They are optimizing attention.
A single high-conviction trade held for several days often outperforms dozens of tiny futures scalps. Fewer fees, less funding, clearer structure, better psychology.
Real traders wait.
Content traders post.
And the market knows the difference.

Trading on weekends is a perfect illusion. Charts move, candles print, hope survives — but your balance quietly dies. While you wait for “the big move,” #FundingRates are doing their job, eating your account one cycle at a time.
Liquidity on weekends is thin. Very thin. That means wider spreads, random wicks, and price moves that exist only to hunt stops. No real volume, no real trend — just noise and traps. Technical analysis? Decorative.
Price can stay flat for two days, yet your balance shrinks. Not because you were wrong, but because you stayed open. Funding doesn’t care about direction, bias, or patience. It charges you for existing.
Smart traders close positions on Friday. Not because they are scared — but because they understand math. Weekends are not for trading. They are for exchanges to collect fees and for traders to learn humility.
If you want action on weekends, open Netflix — not positions!
#WeekendWisdom #USIranMarketImpact

Gold does not believe in speeches, summits, or “historic peace agreements.” It reacts only to risk. Every major war of the last century proves the same rule: when global order cracks, gold reprices instantly.
During World War II, gold-backed currencies became the last anchor of trust. During the Iraq War (2003), gold rose over 25% in two years as oil shocks and military spending exploded deficits. After 2020, amid global conflict escalation and sanctions warfare, central banks bought over 1,000 tons of gold annually, the highest level in modern history.
Markets understand something politicians won’t say: modern wars are economic first. Sanctions freeze reserves, debt replaces diplomacy, and fiat currencies are weaponized. This is why $XAU /USDT matters. It removes banks, borders, and governments from the equation — pure fear pricing against a synthetic dollar.
“Peace” usually brings short-term pullbacks. Ceasefires reduce headlines, yields rise, and gold pauses. But unresolved debt, fractured supply chains, and multipolar power struggles keep long-term pressure intact.
Gold doesn’t rally because war starts.
Gold rallies because the system breaks.
XAU/USDT is not optimism.
It’s a hedge against lies. $BTC
#WEFDavos2026 #GoldSilverAtRecordHighs

Why a 2026 Crypto #BullRunAhead Is a Delusion
Every major crypto cycle has peaked 12–18 months after a Bitcoin halving. By historical standards, 2026 sits firmly in the late-stage decay of the cycle, where liquidity exits and narratives replace fundamentals. Betting on a fresh bull run at this point is not analysis — it’s denial.
This time, the macro backdrop is worse. The world is sliding into political fragmentation and a new, unstable global order. US politics resemble a reality show, with figures like Trump injecting chaos, ego, and unpredictability into markets that depend on trust and stability.
Meanwhile, US Treasuries are being quietly dumped and monetized, exposing structural cracks in the global financial system. This is not the environment where speculative assets explode upward. Without expanding liquidity and political coherence, a 2026 bull run isn’t delayed — it’s structurally impossible.
Number of Failed #Cryptocurrencies by Year
➡️ 2021: 2,584 tokens
➡️ 2022: 213,075 tokens
➡️ 2023: 245,049 tokens
➡️ 2024: 1,382,010 tokens
➡️ 2025: 11,564,909 tokens
$BTC $ETH #TrumpTariffs

#TrumpTariffsOnEurope #TrumpCancelsEUTariffThreat #StrategyBTCPurchase

Trading futures on #Binance may look attractive because of high leverage and the promise of quick profits, but for most traders it is a losing game. The main risk is leverage itself. Even small market movements can wipe out an entire position, leading to fast #Liquidations that leave no room for recovery.
Another problem is funding fees. Many beginners underestimate how these periodic payments slowly drain their balance, even when the market moves sideways. Over time, this turns trading into a negative-sum game for retail users.
Emotions also play a major role. Futures trading encourages overtrading, revenge trades, and poor risk management, especially in a highly volatile crypto market. Combined with fees, slippage, and liquidation mechanics, the odds are heavily stacked against inexperienced traders.
For most people, spot trading or long-term investing is far more sustainable than trying to beat the #futures market on Binance.

#MarketRebound