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Le yen japonais fait face à des perspectives mitigées au sein d’une fourchette définie face au dollar américain : UOB
Les analystes de la United Overseas Bank (UOB) ont émis une prévision nuancée concernant le yen japonais face au dollar américain, suggérant que la paire de devises devrait évoluer dans une fourchette définie à court terme. Les perspectives reflètent un équilibre entre des forces contraires, notamment des trajectoires divergentes de politique monétaire et l’évolution du sentiment vis-à-vis du risque.
Appréciation de l’UOB concernant USD/JPY
D’après la dernière analyse des changes de l’UOB, la paire USD/JPY devrait évoluer dans une fourchette spécifique, même si la direction reste incertaine. La banque souligne que, même si le dollar américain conserve une certaine solidité sous-jacente grâce à la prudence de la Réserve fédérale sur les baisses de taux, le yen japonais bénéficie d’un soutien lié aux anticipations selon lesquelles la Banque du Japon (BOJ) pourrait, à terme, s’éloigner de sa politique monétaire extrêmement accommodante. Cette lutte en entraîneur-croisé crée des perspectives mitigées : la paire devrait plutôt osciller que rompre de manière décisive.

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Prévision du cours de l’Indice du Dollar américain : les baissiers visent une cassure sous le Fibonacci de 23,6 % près de 100,80
L’Indice du Dollar américain (DXY) fait face à une nouvelle pression vendeuse alors que les baissiers visent une cassure décisive sous le niveau de retracement de Fibonacci de 23,6 % proche de 100,80. Ce seuil technique est devenu un champ de bataille clé pour les traders, et une rupture pourrait accélérer les pertes vers des zones de support plus profondes.
Configuration technique : le support Fibonacci sous pression
Le retracement de Fibonacci de 23,6 % de la précédente tendance haussière, du creux de 2023 aux sommets de 2024, se situe actuellement à 100,80. Ce niveau a fourni un support intermittent ces dernières semaines, mais l’évolution des prix suggère que les vendeurs gagnent en élan. Une clôture durable en dessous de 100,80 signalerait un échec de cette zone de retracement, ouvrant la voie à un test du seuil psychologique de 100,00 et du niveau de Fibonacci à 38,2 % proche de 99,50.

BitcoinWorldBinance to Delist 1INCH, SUSHI, and Other Margin Trading Pairs on July 17
Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, has announced it will remove several margin trading pairs from its platform. The delisting, scheduled for 6:00 a.m. UTC on July 17, affects both cross and isolated margin accounts.
Pairs Affected by the Delisting
The exchange confirmed the following pairs will be removed from margin trading:
Cross Margin: 1INCH/USDC, LPT/USDC, MAGIC/USDC, MASK/USDC, SUSHI/USDC
Isolated Margin: USDP/USDT
Binance stated that users will not be able to open new positions on these pairs after the delisting time. Existing positions will be automatically closed, and any remaining assets will be transferred to users’ spot wallets.
Why Binance Is Removing These Pairs
Binance regularly reviews all listed trading pairs to maintain a healthy trading environment. The exchange cites factors such as low liquidity, poor trading volume, and overall market demand as reasons for delisting. While Binance did not provide specific details for each pair, the move aligns with its standard practice of pruning underperforming or low-interest assets.
For traders holding positions in these pairs, the key date is July 17. After that, margin positions will be liquidated automatically. Binance recommends users close any open positions and transfer funds before the deadline to avoid forced liquidation.
Impact on Traders and Market Sentiment
The delisting primarily affects margin traders who use leverage on these specific pairs. For holders of 1INCH, SUSHI, and other tokens involved, the removal from margin trading could reduce trading activity and liquidity on Binance. However, these tokens remain available for spot trading on the exchange.
Historically, Binance delistings have caused short-term price volatility for the affected tokens. Traders should monitor their positions closely and adjust strategies accordingly. The move also signals Binance’s continued focus on streamlining its offerings, particularly in the margin trading segment.
Conclusion
Binance’s decision to delist these margin trading pairs is part of its ongoing platform maintenance. While the impact may be limited for most users, margin traders with open positions should act before the July 17 deadline. The exchange’s action reflects a broader trend of major platforms periodically reviewing and adjusting their asset listings to ensure market efficiency.
FAQs
Q1: What happens to my open margin positions after the delisting? Binance will automatically close all open margin positions for the affected pairs at 6:00 a.m. UTC on July 17. Any remaining assets will be transferred to your spot wallet.
Q2: Can I still trade 1INCH, SUSHI, or other tokens on Binance after the delisting? Yes, these tokens remain available for spot trading on Binance. Only the specific margin trading pairs listed in the announcement are being removed.
Q3: Why does Binance delist trading pairs? Binance regularly reviews its listings based on factors like trading volume, liquidity, and user demand. Delisting underperforming pairs helps maintain a clean and efficient trading environment.
This post Binance to Delist 1INCH, SUSHI, and Other Margin Trading Pairs on July 17 first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

BitcoinWorldWTI Oil Holds Below $75 Despite Escalating Middle East Conflict: What’s Capping the Rally?
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures are trading in a narrow range below the $75 per barrel mark, even as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to escalate. The market’s muted reaction to what would typically be a major supply-side catalyst has left many traders questioning the underlying dynamics at play.
Geopolitical Risk vs. Demand Concerns
The ongoing conflict in the Middle East, which has historically led to sharp, immediate spikes in oil prices due to supply disruption fears, is now being weighed against a deteriorating global demand outlook. While the risk of a broader regional conflict remains, the market is increasingly pricing in the possibility that actual oil production and transit routes may remain largely unaffected.
This divergence is creating a unique trading environment. On one hand, the potential for a sudden supply cut—particularly through the Strait of Hormuz—keeps a floor under prices. On the other, weak economic data from major consuming nations, particularly China and parts of Europe, is capping any sustained rally. The result is a market that is range-bound and highly sensitive to both headline risk and macroeconomic releases.
OPEC+ Strategy and Market Sentiment
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) are also playing a key role in this price stability. The group’s current production cuts, which are set to begin unwinding later this year, have been a primary support mechanism for prices. However, there is growing speculation that the alliance may delay the planned output increases if demand remains weak, which would provide further support to the $70-$75 range.
Market sentiment, as measured by the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, shows that speculative long positions have been trimmed in recent weeks, suggesting that professional money managers are not convinced a breakout is imminent. This cautious positioning reinforces the view that the market sees limited upside without a tangible supply disruption.
What This Means for Traders and Consumers
For traders, the current environment demands a focus on range-bound strategies and a close watch on geopolitical developments that could shift the risk premium. For consumers, particularly those in energy-intensive industries, the stability below $75 offers some relief, but the potential for a sudden spike remains a key risk to budget planning.
The core takeaway is that the oil market is currently in a tug-of-war between geopolitical fear and economic reality. Until one of these forces clearly dominates, WTI is likely to remain anchored below the psychologically important $75 level.
Conclusion
WTI crude oil’s inability to break above $75 despite a deteriorating Middle East conflict highlights a market that is deeply focused on demand-side weakness. While the risk of a supply disruption remains real, it is being effectively countered by expectations of softer global consumption. Traders should monitor both diplomatic developments in the Middle East and key economic data releases for the next catalyst that could break this stalemate.
FAQs
Q1: Why isn’t WTI oil price rising more despite the Middle East conflict? The market is currently balancing geopolitical supply risks against weak global demand forecasts, particularly from China and Europe. This has created a price ceiling that is difficult to break without a tangible disruption to oil production or transit.
Q2: What is the key support level for WTI crude oil right now? The $70 per barrel level is seen as a strong support floor, reinforced by ongoing OPEC+ production cuts. A sustained break below this level would likely require a significant negative demand shock.
Q3: How could the Middle East conflict eventually push oil prices higher? A direct escalation that threatens the Strait of Hormuz—a critical chokepoint for global oil shipments—or a significant disruption to production in a major OPEC member like Iran or Iraq would likely cause a sharp, immediate spike in prices above $75.
This post WTI Oil Holds Below $75 Despite Escalating Middle East Conflict: What’s Capping the Rally? first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

BitcoinWorldEquities in Focus: Earnings Season and Fed Signals Drive Market Sentiment, Says Deutsche Bank
As the second quarter earnings season accelerates and the Federal Reserve prepares for its next policy meeting, equity markets are navigating a period of heightened sensitivity to corporate results and central bank signals. According to a recent analysis from Deutsche Bank, investors are closely watching both the trajectory of corporate profitability and the Fed’s evolving stance on interest rates.
Earnings Season as a Market Barometer
With a significant portion of S&P 500 companies having reported quarterly results, the early data points to a mixed but resilient earnings picture. Deutsche Bank strategists note that while some sectors, particularly technology and consumer discretionary, have exceeded expectations, others, such as materials and energy, have faced headwinds from softer commodity prices and input cost pressures. The overall tone suggests that corporate America is adapting to a higher cost of capital environment, but margins remain under scrutiny.
The bank’s analysis emphasizes that forward guidance is becoming as important as reported numbers. Companies that offer cautious outlooks are being penalized more severely than in previous quarters, indicating that investors are prioritizing visibility and sustainability over short-term beats. This dynamic is likely to persist as the earnings season progresses.
Federal Policy Signals and Market Implications
Alongside earnings, the Federal Reserve’s communication strategy is a central theme for equity markets. Deutsche Bank highlights that recent comments from Fed officials have reinforced a data-dependent approach, with inflation metrics and labor market conditions guiding the pace of any potential rate adjustments. The market is currently pricing in a higher probability of a rate hold in the near term, but any shift in rhetoric could trigger volatility.
The interplay between earnings resilience and monetary policy expectations is creating a nuanced environment. Equities have shown sensitivity to interest rate expectations, with rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and utilities experiencing more pronounced moves. Deutsche Bank’s analysts suggest that the path of least resistance for equities may depend on whether the Fed can achieve a soft landing—where inflation moderates without triggering a sharp economic downturn.
What This Means for Investors
For market participants, the current phase requires a balanced approach. The strong performance of certain growth stocks has been supported by AI-related optimism, but broader market leadership remains narrow. Deutsche Bank’s report underscores the importance of diversification and active sector selection. The coming weeks will likely see continued focus on consumer spending data and employment reports, as these will provide clues about the economy’s underlying strength.
The bank also cautions that geopolitical risks and the upcoming U.S. election cycle could add layers of uncertainty, potentially dampening risk appetite. However, for now, the dominant narrative remains centered on earnings fundamentals and the Fed’s next move.
Conclusion
Deutsche Bank’s latest assessment frames the equity market as being at a critical juncture, where corporate earnings and Federal Reserve policy are the twin pillars of sentiment. While earnings have shown resilience, the market’s reaction function is increasingly sensitive to forward guidance and macroeconomic signals. Investors would be wise to monitor both corporate conference calls and Fed speeches closely, as the balance between these forces will likely dictate the market’s direction in the near term.
FAQs
Q1: Why are earnings reports important for the stock market? Earnings reports provide a direct look at a company’s financial health and future prospects. They influence investor confidence and stock prices, and aggregate earnings data helps gauge the overall health of the economy.
Q2: How do Federal Reserve signals affect equity markets? The Fed’s interest rate decisions and policy statements impact borrowing costs, corporate profits, and investor risk appetite. Signals about future rate changes can cause shifts in asset prices, especially in rate-sensitive sectors.
Q3: What is a ‘soft landing’ in economic terms? A soft landing occurs when the central bank raises interest rates enough to curb inflation without triggering a recession. It is considered a favorable outcome for equity markets because it supports stable economic growth.
This post Equities in Focus: Earnings Season and Fed Signals Drive Market Sentiment, Says Deutsche Bank first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

BitcoinWorldEuro and Pound Diverge as Dollar Holds Flat Amid Hormuz Supply Shock
Currency markets showed a clear divergence on Tuesday as the euro and the British pound moved in opposite directions against a largely flat US dollar, with traders reacting to a sudden supply disruption originating from the Strait of Hormuz. The dollar index remained range-bound, failing to gain traction despite heightened geopolitical uncertainty, while European currencies responded to regional economic pressures and shifting risk sentiment.
Supply Shock from the Strait of Hormuz
The catalyst for the market movement was a reported disruption in oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global energy supplies. Early reports indicated a temporary halt or significant slowdown in tanker traffic following an incident involving a commercial vessel. While details remain unconfirmed, the event immediately reignited concerns about energy security and supply chain fragility in the region. Oil prices spiked briefly before stabilizing, but the knock-on effects were felt across foreign exchange markets, particularly in currencies sensitive to energy import costs.
Euro Under Pressure, Pound Finds Support
The euro weakened against the dollar, slipping by 0.3% in midday trading, as the supply shock amplified existing concerns over the Eurozone’s reliance on imported energy. The European Central Bank’s cautious stance on inflation and growth further weighed on the single currency. In contrast, the British pound edged higher, gaining 0.2% against the greenback. Analysts attributed the pound’s resilience to expectations that the Bank of England may maintain a tighter monetary policy relative to its peers, as well as the UK’s comparatively diversified energy supply mix, which includes domestic North Sea production and increased liquefied natural gas imports.
Why the Dollar Remained Flat
The US dollar showed little net movement, trading in a narrow range against a basket of major currencies. Market participants noted that the dollar’s safe-haven appeal was offset by expectations of a potential Federal Reserve rate cut later this year, as well as the relative insulation of the US energy market from Hormuz disruptions. The United States has become a net exporter of oil and gas in recent years, reducing its direct vulnerability to such chokepoint events. This dynamic has altered traditional correlations between geopolitical risk and dollar strength.
Broader Market Implications
The divergence between the euro and the pound highlights the growing fragmentation within European currency markets, driven by differing energy dependencies and monetary policy trajectories. For investors and businesses operating across the region, this creates both opportunities and risks. Importers in the Eurozone face higher costs if the euro continues to weaken, while UK exporters may benefit from a relatively stronger pound. The situation also underscores the importance of monitoring geopolitical developments in critical infrastructure zones, as even temporary disruptions can have outsized effects on currency valuations.
Conclusion
The Hormuz supply shock has introduced a new layer of complexity to an already uncertain global economic landscape. While the immediate impact on oil prices appears contained, the currency market reaction signals that investors are reassessing regional vulnerabilities. The euro’s weakness and the pound’s relative strength may persist if energy supply concerns remain elevated, though much depends on the resolution of the incident and broader central bank responses. Market participants should remain attentive to further developments from the region and their potential to reshape currency dynamics in the weeks ahead.
FAQs
Q1: Why did the euro weaken while the pound strengthened? The euro weakened due to the Eurozone’s higher reliance on imported energy from the Middle East, combined with the ECB’s dovish policy stance. The pound strengthened on expectations of tighter UK monetary policy and the UK’s more diversified energy supply.
Q2: How does a Hormuz supply shock affect currency markets? A disruption in Hormuz, a key oil transit chokepoint, raises energy import costs for countries dependent on that route. Currencies of net energy importers, like the euro, tend to weaken, while those of more energy-independent nations, like the US dollar, may remain stable or strengthen.
Q3: What should investors watch next? Investors should monitor official statements from shipping authorities, any escalation in regional tensions, and central bank communications regarding potential policy responses. The duration of the disruption will be critical in determining whether the currency moves are temporary or signal a longer-term shift.
This post Euro and Pound Diverge as Dollar Holds Flat Amid Hormuz Supply Shock first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

BitcoinWorldBitcoin’s Four-Year Cycle Holds: Next Bull Run Could Begin in 2028, Analysts Say
As the cryptocurrency market navigates a prolonged bear phase marked by macroeconomic uncertainty and rising geopolitical tensions, analysts are looking ahead to a potential recovery rooted in Bitcoin’s historical four-year cycle. According to Watcher.Guru, the next crypto bull run could begin as early as 2028, following a pattern that has held since Bitcoin’s earliest days.
Understanding Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycle
Bitcoin has historically followed a roughly four-year cycle, with each period culminating in a new all-time high before a significant correction. This pattern was observed in 2017, 2021, and most recently in 2025, when BTC reached a peak before entering the current downturn. The consistency of this cycle has led many analysts to treat it as a reliable, though not guaranteed, framework for forecasting market movements.
The current bear market, which began after the 2025 peak, has been exacerbated by a broader shift in investor sentiment. In late 2025, many investors began moving capital from high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies into traditional safe havens such as gold, driven by concerns over inflation, interest rate policy, and global instability. Additionally, the anticipation of the SpaceX (SPCX) initial public offering contributed to a liquidity squeeze, further pressuring crypto prices.
Expert Predictions and Market Context
Anthony Scaramucci, founder of SkyBridge Capital and a well-known Bitcoin advocate, has echoed the four-year cycle thesis. In a recent analysis, Scaramucci predicted that if the pattern continues, Bitcoin’s next all-time high could occur around 2029. He noted that bull markets typically begin roughly one year before the peak, placing the start of the next rally around 2028.
This timeline aligns with historical precedent: Bitcoin’s 2017 peak was preceded by a bull run that began in late 2016, and the 2021 high was preceded by a rally that started in late 2020. The 2025 peak followed a similar pattern, with the market bottoming in late 2022 and beginning its ascent in early 2023.
What This Means for Investors
For long-term holders and institutional investors, the four-year cycle provides a strategic framework for positioning. While short-term volatility remains high, the cyclical nature of Bitcoin’s price action suggests that patience could be rewarded. However, analysts caution that past performance does not guarantee future results, and external factors — including regulatory changes, technological developments, and macroeconomic conditions — could alter the cycle’s timing or magnitude.
The current bear market, while painful for many traders, may present accumulation opportunities for those with a longer time horizon. Understanding the historical context and expert perspectives can help investors make more informed decisions rather than reacting to daily price fluctuations.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s four-year cycle remains a widely referenced model among analysts and investors. If history is any guide, the next bull market could begin around 2028, with a potential new all-time high in 2029. While the current market environment is challenging, the cyclical pattern offers a framework for understanding where the market might be headed. As always, investors should approach predictions with caution and consider a diversified strategy.
FAQs
Q1: What is Bitcoin’s four-year cycle? Bitcoin’s four-year cycle refers to the recurring pattern of price peaks approximately every four years, often linked to the halving event that reduces mining rewards. Each cycle has seen Bitcoin reach a new all-time high before entering a bear market.
Q2: Why could the next bull run start in 2028? Analysts like Anthony Scaramucci suggest that bull markets typically begin about one year before the next all-time high. If the next peak occurs around 2029, the rally would likely start in 2028, consistent with historical patterns.
Q3: Is the four-year cycle guaranteed to continue? No. While the cycle has held for several periods, it is not a guaranteed predictor. External factors such as regulatory changes, macroeconomic conditions, and technological shifts could disrupt the pattern. Investors should use it as one of many analytical tools.
This post Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycle Holds: Next Bull Run Could Begin in 2028, Analysts Say first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

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La livre sterling recule à mesure que l’escalade entre les États-Unis et l’Iran alimente une hausse du pétrole et renforce le dollar
La livre sterling a légèrement baissé face au dollar américain mercredi, alors que l’escalade des tensions géopolitiques entre les États-Unis et l’Iran a fait grimper les prix du pétrole et a renforcé la demande pour le billet vert, considéré comme une valeur refuge. La livre a reculé vers environ 1,2650 $ en début de séance à Londres, s’éloignant des récents plus hauts alors que les investisseurs réévaluaient leur appétit pour le risque dans un contexte d’incertitude croissante au Moyen-Orient.
Les chocs géopolitiques secouent les marchés des changes

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Les risques d’intervention sur le yen s’intensifient alors que l’USD/JPY teste des seuils clés, prévient ING
Une nouvelle analyse d’ING suggère que le risque pour les autorités japonaises d’intervenir sur le marché des changes afin de soutenir le yen est à nouveau en hausse. L’alerte intervient alors que la paire de devises USD/JPY teste des niveaux qui ont historiquement déclenché des actions de la Banque du Japon (BOJ) et du ministère des Finances.
Pourquoi les craintes d’intervention reviennent
Les stratèges d’ING mettent en avant une combinaison de facteurs qui accroît la probabilité d’une intervention sur le marché. Le principal moteur est la faiblesse persistante du yen, alimentée par un large différentiel de taux d’intérêt entre le Japon et les États-Unis. Malgré les ajustements récents de la politique de la BOJ, y compris une hausse modeste des taux, l’écart de rendement reste substantiel, ce qui maintient une pression à la baisse sur la devise japonaise.

BitcoinWorldHyperliquid Sets New Record: Perpetual Futures Open Interest Hits $11.14 Billion
Hyperliquid, the decentralized exchange known for its perpetual futures trading, has achieved a significant milestone. The platform’s open interest (OI) has surged to an all-time high of $11.14 billion, marking a new peak for the rapidly growing protocol. This record underscores the increasing demand for on-chain derivatives and the platform’s expanding role in the crypto financial ecosystem.
What Drove the Record Open Interest?
The company attributes this growth directly to its HIP-3 market initiative. HIP-3 is a permissionless system built on the Hyperliquid HVM that allows anyone to create a perpetual futures market. Unlike many platforms that rely on a centralized team to list assets, HIP-3 enables a wider range of trading pairs, including markets for stocks, commodities, and index products. This flexibility has attracted significant liquidity and trading volume, pushing the total open interest to unprecedented levels.
Understanding HIP-3 and Its Impact
The HIP-3 mechanism is a key differentiator for Hyperliquid. By allowing users to launch markets for traditional financial assets like stock indices and commodities, the platform bridges the gap between decentralized crypto trading and conventional markets. This has broadened the user base beyond native crypto traders to include those looking for on-chain exposure to traditional assets. The record OI figure suggests that this approach is resonating with traders seeking both innovation and accessibility.
Why This Matters for the Broader Market
The $11.14 billion open interest figure is not just a vanity metric. It reflects genuine capital commitment and confidence in Hyperliquid’s infrastructure. For context, this level of OI places Hyperliquid among the top derivatives platforms by open interest, rivaling some centralized exchanges. It signals that decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms can handle institutional-scale volumes, challenging the dominance of traditional CeFi exchanges. The growth also highlights a shift toward more composable and permissionless financial products, which could influence how other protocols design their market structures.
Conclusion
Hyperliquid’s record open interest of $11.14 billion is a clear indicator of the platform’s growing influence in the derivatives market. Driven by the innovative HIP-3 system that expands trading possibilities to stocks, commodities, and indices, the milestone reflects a broader trend of DeFi platforms capturing market share from centralized counterparts. As the ecosystem evolves, Hyperliquid’s ability to maintain this momentum will be a key metric to watch.
FAQs
Q1: What is open interest in perpetual futures? Open interest represents the total number of outstanding perpetual futures contracts that have not been settled. A high OI indicates significant capital and trader engagement in the market.
Q2: How does HIP-3 work on Hyperliquid? HIP-3 is a permissionless market creation system on the Hyperliquid HVM. It allows any user to launch a perpetual futures market for any asset, including stocks, commodities, and indices, without needing approval from a central authority.
Q3: Is this record sustainable? While the record reflects strong current demand, market conditions can change rapidly. Factors such as broader crypto market volatility, regulatory developments, and competition from other platforms will influence whether Hyperliquid can sustain or exceed this level of open interest.
This post Hyperliquid Sets New Record: Perpetual Futures Open Interest Hits $11.14 Billion first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

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Le cours de l’or se maintient près de son plus bas du jour, l’inflation tirée par l’énergie renforçant les anticipations de nouvelles hausses des taux de la Réserve fédérale et soutenant le dollar américain
Les cours de l’or ont continué à peiner près de leur plus bas du jour [Current Date], tandis que les inquiétudes persistantes liées à l’inflation tirée par l’énergie renforçaient les attentes de nouvelles hausses des taux de la Réserve fédérale, offrant un coup de pouce significatif au dollar américain. Le métal précieux, souvent considéré comme une couverture contre l’inflation, a fait face à des vents contraires alors que la perspective d’une politique monétaire plus restrictive accroît le coût d’opportunité de détenir des actifs ne rapportant aucun rendement.

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La livre sterling reste morose pendant que le dollar américain se raffermit sur fond de tensions entre les États-Unis et l’Iran
La livre sterling est restée sous pression face au dollar américain mercredi, alors que des tensions géopolitiques croissantes entre les États-Unis et l’Iran ont poussé les investisseurs à se tourner vers la relative sécurité du billet vert. La paire GBP/USD a évolué à la baisse, reflétant une tendance plus générale de « risk-off » qui pèse sur les marchés des devises mondiaux depuis que des informations sur un accroissement des préparatifs militaires sont apparues au Moyen-Orient.
Les craintes géopolitiques alimentent la demande pour le dollar

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Le NZD/USD reste stable près de 0,5750 alors que les États-Unis lancent de nouvelles frappes contre l’Iran
Le dollar néo-zélandais est resté relativement stable face au dollar américain mardi, évoluant près de la barre des 0,5750, tandis que les marchés digéraient la dernière escalade des tensions au Moyen-Orient à la suite d’une nouvelle vague de frappes aériennes américaines visant des cibles liées à l’Iran. La paire de devises, souvent sensible aux variations de l’appétit pour le risque à l’échelle mondiale, a fait preuve de résistance malgré la hausse de l’incertitude géopolitique.
Tensions géopolitiques et réaction des marchés

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L’étau de l’offre en bitcoins se resserre : les investisseurs à long terme contrôlent désormais 84 % de tous les BTC
La récente reprise du Bitcoin, passé de 58 000 $ à 64 000 $ après un repli en juin, attire l’attention sur un changement structurel du marché : les investisseurs à long terme (LTH) contrôlent désormais environ 84 % de l’offre totale en circulation, d’après de nouvelles données de la société d’analytique crypto Alphractal. Cette concentration suggère un manque d’offre de plus en plus marqué, susceptible d’amplifier les mouvements de prix si la demande augmente.
Dynamiques entre les détenteurs à long terme et à court terme

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Les rendements des obligations de la zone euro restent proches des plus hauts niveaux sur plusieurs semaines alors que le dérangement lié au détroit d’Ormuz alimente les craintes d’inflation
Les rendements des obligations souveraines de la zone euro sont restés élevés près des plus hauts niveaux sur plusieurs semaines mercredi, alors que des tensions géopolitiques croissantes autour du détroit d’Ormuz ont ravivé les craintes d’inflation au sein du bloc monétaire. Cette voie navigable stratégique, par laquelle transite environ un cinquième du pétrole mondial, a fait l’objet d’une activité navale accrue et de rapports de perturbations partielles, poussant les investisseurs à réévaluer la trajectoire des coûts énergétiques et la politique des banques centrales.

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Le déficit du compte courant de la Turquie s’élargit à 1,459 milliard de dollars en mai, en deçà des prévisions du marché
Le solde du compte courant de la Turquie a enregistré un déficit de 1,459 milliard de dollars en mai, nettement plus marqué que le consensus du marché qui tablait sur un déficit de 960 millions de dollars, selon des données officielles publiées vendredi. Le résultat marque une détérioration notable par rapport à la même période l’an dernier et met en évidence les déséquilibres externes persistants auxquels est confrontée l’économie turque.
Le déficit dépasse les attentes dans un contexte de pressions commerciales et de revenus

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Prévision du prix de l'argent : la paire XAG/USD glisse vers 58,00 $ tandis que la pression baissière s'intensifie
Les prix de l'argent ont prolongé leur baisse mardi, la paire XAG/USD s'approchant du seuil des 58,00 $ tandis que l'élan baissier continuait de dominer le marché des métaux précieux. Le mouvement s'inscrit dans un contexte plus général de prise de risque à la baisse sur les marchés financiers et de raffermissement du dollar américain, qui ont pesé lourdement sur l'argent et les autres matières premières.
Point de vue technique : niveaux de support clés sous pression
D'un point de vue technique, l'argent a franchi à la baisse plusieurs moyennes mobiles à court terme, signalant que les vendeurs restent nettement aux commandes. Le niveau des 58,00 $ représente désormais une zone de support psychologique et technique critique. Une cassure décisive en dessous de cette zone pourrait ouvrir la voie à un test du prochain support majeur proche de 56,50 $, un niveau qui a servi de plancher lors des dernières séances de trading.

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FTX versera près de 600 millions de dollars aux créanciers le 31 juillet
La prochaine distribution de fonds aux créanciers de l’échange de crypto-monnaies FTX, aujourd’hui effondré, est prévue pour le 31 juillet et totalisera environ 600 millions de dollars, selon Sunil Kavuri, un représentant du plus grand groupe de créanciers de FTX. Kavuri a annoncé cette évolution sur X, indiquant que la date d’enregistrement pour la distribution était le 16 juin.
Chronologie et admissibilité
Ce paiement marque une nouvelle étape dans la procédure de faillite en cours de FTX, qui a déposé une demande de protection au titre du chapitre 11 en novembre 2022. La distribution de 600 millions de dollars s’inscrit dans un plan plus large visant à rembourser les créanciers à l’aide d’actifs récupérés. La date d’enregistrement du 16 juin signifie que seuls les créanciers qui détenaient des créances à cette date sont admissibles à ce cycle de paiements.

BitcoinWorld
Le Bitcoin fait face à un squeeze sur les positions courtes de 856 millions de dollars déclenché à 64 668 $
Le Bitcoin s’approche d’un niveau de prix critique susceptible de déclencher un événement majeur sur le marché. D’après les données de Coinglass, une plateforme d’analytique des cryptomonnaies, une hausse au-dessus de 64 668 $ entraînerait la liquidation d’environ 855,85 millions de dollars de positions courtes sur les principales bourses centralisées. À l’inverse, une baisse sous 62 068 $ mènerait à la liquidation de 363,22 millions de dollars de positions longues.
Comprendre le mur de liquidation

BitcoinWorld
CZ clarifie le test de brûlage de memecoin et conseille aux utilisateurs d’éviter son portefeuille
Changpeng Zhao, le fondateur de Binance, s’est rendu sur la plateforme de médias sociaux X cette semaine pour clarifier une transaction récente impliquant des memecoins envoyés vers son portefeuille personnel. Zhao a expliqué qu’il avait déplacé un lot de memecoins basés sur BSC vers une adresse de brûlage à titre de test, et non comme pratique standard.
Pourquoi le test de brûlage était nécessaire
Zhao a déclaré qu’il n’avait pas consulté son portefeuille depuis une période significative, et que l’accumulation de plus de 10 000 jetons de memecoin différents causait des problèmes d’affichage avec le logiciel de son portefeuille. Pour résoudre le problème, il a lancé une transaction de test vers une adresse de brûlage—une adresse à partir de laquelle les jetons ne peuvent pas être récupérés—les retirant ainsi effectivement de la circulation.