🇺🇸 Macro Analysis: The CLARITY Act & Market Structure.
The market is currently consolidating as the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act faces indefinite delay in the Senate.
The Data: • BTC: Holding $95,000 range. • ETH: Steady above $3,300 on institutional inflows. • XRP: Trading near $2.05.
Logical Implication: The market was pricing in a regulatory win. The delay introduces short-term uncertainty, but the fact that price hasn't collapsed suggests strong underlying demand. The bill aims to assign "Digital Commodity" status to BTC/ETH (CFTC jurisdiction). Approval remains the primary catalyst for the next leg up.
📊 Market Intelligence: Analyzing the 2026 Powerlist.
The consensus data is in. Paul Bennet’s "2026 Crypto Powerlist" filters out retail noise to reveal where capital is actually flowing.
Key Analytical Takeaways: 1. XRP Dominance: Institutional interest has shifted from "exploration" to "integration". 2. The Privacy Paradox: Monero ($XMR) is thriving (ATH >$790) despite delistings, proving that utility drives value, not just accessibility. 3. Institutional Indexing: WhiteBIT Coin ($WBT) has entered major S&P indices, validating exchange tokens as a mature asset class.
The market is rewarding "Infrastructure" over "Narrative."
⛽ Fundamental Analysis: Ethereum's Efficiency Milestone.
Current metrics show a critical divergence: 1. Network Activity: All-Time High. 2. Gas Fees: Below $0.01.
Analysis: This is the definition of successful scaling. The network is processing record throughput without pricing out users. The correlation between "Usage" and "Expense" has been broken, maximizing the ecosystem's economic viability.
BTC has pulled back to $95,000 amid thin weekend volume. Current Market Structure: 1. Short Term Risk: Support test at $92,000. 2. Long Term Thesis: 81% of sentiment remains bullish.
Key Insight: On-chain data confirms 83-84% of supply is profitable. This indicates that the sell pressure is driven by realized gains, not panic selling. The fundamental path to $200k (Tom Lee/CZ projections) has not been invalidated by this volatility.
🇺🇸 Mise à jour de la politique : le gouvernement américain suspend les enchères de BTC.
Le DOJ a confirmé un changement critique de procédure : 57.55 BTC saisis dans l'affaire Samourai Wallet resteront sur le bilan américain.
La logique : Au lieu de liquider des actifs pour des liquidités (comme cela a été fait précédemment par les US Marshals), le gouvernement applique l'Ordonnance Exécutive 14233 pour classer ce Bitcoin comme un "Actif de Réserve Stratégique."
Cela élimine effectivement les saisies gouvernementales futures de l'offre potentielle du côté de la vente.
🟠 Fundamental Analysis: Scarcity vs. Store of Value.
Cathie Wood (Ark Invest) states that Bitcoin's investment thesis remains valid despite Gold's recent appreciation.
The differentiator is the Supply Cap. Gold has an elastic supply; as price rises, mining increases. Bitcoin ($BTC) has an inelastic supply; increased demand cannot create more coins.
🚨 FUNDAMENTAL SHIFT: The Executive Branch Pivot on Crypto.
President Trump has explicitly stated: “Bitcoin and crypto used to be under attack, that era is over.”
Macro Analysis: The most significant aspect of this statement is the acknowledgement that crypto "eases pressure on the dollar."
This represents a complete reversal of previous administrative narratives that viewed Bitcoin as a threat to USD hegemony. This redefines digital assets as a strategic financial layer rather than an adversary.
The regulatory risk premium for the US market is rapidly diminishing.
Changpeng Zhao (CZ) has explicitly stated that the market is entering a "Super Cycle."
Analysis: Standard cycles are driven by the Halving (supply shock). A "Super Cycle" is driven by Demand Shock (ETFs, Corporate Treasury, Sovereign adoption).
The convergence of these two factors mathematically supports the thesis of a prolonged upward trend that breaks historical resistance models.
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🚀 $BTC pressing higher. The price has cleared a long-standing barrier.
Technically, an ascending triangle is forming after a long compression phase. The price pushed through descending resistance and found stability at the rising support line.
Key Level: The former descending resistance is now acting as support.
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⚠ This scenario weakens if price loses the ascending support.
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📉 $BTC is consolidating. Michael Soloway says this sideways movement often "stores energy" for the next leg up.
There is a solid chance Bitcoin pushes to $100,000, but there is a catch. $100K is a major psychological wall and could turn into a heavy selling zone.
On the $ETH side, Ethereum bounced off major support, opening the door to $3,600–$3,700.
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