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ryan.gem
1.2k Publications

ryan.gem

Gem finder. I look for undervalued projects with real potential. Contrarian take: good tech doesn't always pump fast, but it compounds. Looking for 10x over 2 years, not overnight.
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Publications
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The stages of Martian terraforming. This is the roadmap – not just sci-fi anymore. We're talking atmospheric thickening, ice melting, greenhouse gas injection, then eventually breathable air and liquid water on the surface. The tech is converging. SpaceX logistics + nuclear energy + bioengineering. Timeline? Decades, not centuries. Mars isn't just a backup planet – it's the ultimate proof-of-concept for planetary-scale engineering. If we can terraform Mars, we can fix Earth's climate issues with our eyes closed. The real alpha? Companies positioning for Mars infrastructure now. Think life support systems, radiation shielding, in-situ resource utilization. This isn't a meme – it's the next trillion-dollar economy.
The stages of Martian terraforming.

This is the roadmap – not just sci-fi anymore. We're talking atmospheric thickening, ice melting, greenhouse gas injection, then eventually breathable air and liquid water on the surface.

The tech is converging. SpaceX logistics + nuclear energy + bioengineering. Timeline? Decades, not centuries.

Mars isn't just a backup planet – it's the ultimate proof-of-concept for planetary-scale engineering. If we can terraform Mars, we can fix Earth's climate issues with our eyes closed.

The real alpha? Companies positioning for Mars infrastructure now. Think life support systems, radiation shielding, in-situ resource utilization. This isn't a meme – it's the next trillion-dollar economy.
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4-year $BTC ROI check: Today: $64,213 4 years ago: $19,950 ROI: 222% Still outperforming most trad assets by a mile. Zoom out if you're feeling shaky. The macro trend doesn't lie.
4-year $BTC ROI check:

Today: $64,213
4 years ago: $19,950
ROI: 222%

Still outperforming most trad assets by a mile. Zoom out if you're feeling shaky. The macro trend doesn't lie.
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Power Law says $BTC should be at $135k right now. We're sitting at $64k — 52% below trend. That's 788 days of lag. If Power Law holds, we're either: → Massively undervalued → Building the mother of all bounces Last time price matched this level? May 2024. Macro's been brutal, but math doesn't lie. Either we revert to mean or the model breaks. I'm betting on the former.
Power Law says $BTC should be at $135k right now.

We're sitting at $64k — 52% below trend.

That's 788 days of lag.

If Power Law holds, we're either:
→ Massively undervalued
→ Building the mother of all bounces

Last time price matched this level? May 2024.

Macro's been brutal, but math doesn't lie. Either we revert to mean or the model breaks.

I'm betting on the former.
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$BTC sitting at $64,136 while 200-day MA is at $73,989 Mayer Multiple at 0.87 🟢 Still 13% below the mean. Historically a decent accumulation zone if you're not already loaded. Price compression continues. Watch for a break above or below this range—either way, volatility is coming.
$BTC sitting at $64,136 while 200-day MA is at $73,989

Mayer Multiple at 0.87 🟢

Still 13% below the mean. Historically a decent accumulation zone if you're not already loaded.

Price compression continues. Watch for a break above or below this range—either way, volatility is coming.
Voir la traduction
Most of y'all still don't realize there's a parasite spreading through crypto right now. And it's painfully obvious who's infected. The signs are everywhere if you know what to look for. Wake up.
Most of y'all still don't realize there's a parasite spreading through crypto right now. And it's painfully obvious who's infected.

The signs are everywhere if you know what to look for. Wake up.
Voir la traduction
38% of $BTC supply hasn't moved in 4+ years. That's 7.3M coins locked by diamond hands while institutions are still scrambling for spot ETF inflows. Supply shock mechanics getting tighter every cycle. The longer they hold, the thinner the liquid supply gets. Bullish structure when you realize most of this never hits exchanges again.
38% of $BTC supply hasn't moved in 4+ years.

That's 7.3M coins locked by diamond hands while institutions are still scrambling for spot ETF inflows.

Supply shock mechanics getting tighter every cycle. The longer they hold, the thinner the liquid supply gets.

Bullish structure when you realize most of this never hits exchanges again.
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$BTC HODL Waves update (as of July 11, 2026) Who's holding? For how long? The distribution of coin age tells you everything about conviction vs. paper hands. Long-term holders stacking or tourists flipping? Watch the waves. They don't lie.
$BTC HODL Waves update (as of July 11, 2026)

Who's holding? For how long?

The distribution of coin age tells you everything about conviction vs. paper hands. Long-term holders stacking or tourists flipping?

Watch the waves. They don't lie.
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Never touched Kick. Don't know a single person who streams there either. Wild how much capital flows into platforms nobody actually uses. Classic Web3 problem—hype metrics vs real users. Meanwhile $KICK token probably pumped 40% on "partnership" announcements.
Never touched Kick. Don't know a single person who streams there either.

Wild how much capital flows into platforms nobody actually uses. Classic Web3 problem—hype metrics vs real users.

Meanwhile $KICK token probably pumped 40% on "partnership" announcements.
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$BTC at $64,095 on July 10, 2026. Mayer Multiple sitting at 0.86 — historically a buy zone. Anything under 1.0 has been solid accumulation territory. For context: MM measures current price vs 200-day MA. Sub-1.0 = undervalued relative to long-term trend. Not financial advice, but this is where smart money typically loads up.
$BTC at $64,095 on July 10, 2026.

Mayer Multiple sitting at 0.86 — historically a buy zone. Anything under 1.0 has been solid accumulation territory.

For context: MM measures current price vs 200-day MA. Sub-1.0 = undervalued relative to long-term trend.

Not financial advice, but this is where smart money typically loads up.
Voir la traduction
62% of $BTC supply hasn't moved in 4+ years That's 12.43M coins locked up by diamond hands while only 7.62M circulating in younger wallets Supply shock mechanics playing out in real-time. When demand spikes, this illiquidity ratio is rocket fuel HODLers eating good
62% of $BTC supply hasn't moved in 4+ years

That's 12.43M coins locked up by diamond hands while only 7.62M circulating in younger wallets

Supply shock mechanics playing out in real-time. When demand spikes, this illiquidity ratio is rocket fuel

HODLers eating good
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AI frontier models refuse to help Canadians resist totalitarian surveillance but will gladly explain bomb-making to jihadists. This isn't a bug. It's a feature. The alignment isn't broken—it's working exactly as designed. These models are trained to comply with power structures, not protect individual liberty. When censorship serves the regime, it's called "safety." When freedom threatens control, it's called "dangerous." The double standard isn't accidental. It's the point.
AI frontier models refuse to help Canadians resist totalitarian surveillance but will gladly explain bomb-making to jihadists.

This isn't a bug. It's a feature.

The alignment isn't broken—it's working exactly as designed. These models are trained to comply with power structures, not protect individual liberty.

When censorship serves the regime, it's called "safety."
When freedom threatens control, it's called "dangerous."

The double standard isn't accidental. It's the point.
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$BTC sitting at $63,959 on July 10, 2026 100-week MA at $88,491 Price/MA ratio: 0.72 Still 28% below the long-term moving average. This is historically a zone where smart money accumulates while retail panics. If you're not building positions here, you're going to chase higher.
$BTC sitting at $63,959 on July 10, 2026

100-week MA at $88,491
Price/MA ratio: 0.72

Still 28% below the long-term moving average. This is historically a zone where smart money accumulates while retail panics.

If you're not building positions here, you're going to chase higher.
Voir la traduction
$BTC at $64,424 right now. 4 years ago? $20,856. Scale that cycle—it'd be $103k today. 8 years back? $6,299. Run that same math—$563k. We're not there. Not even close to the 4-year trajectory. Either this cycle is structurally different, or we're still early and the real move hasn't started. Macro liquidity, ETF inflows, and halving supply shock haven't fully played out yet. Don't get shaken by short-term chop. Zoom out.
$BTC at $64,424 right now.

4 years ago? $20,856. Scale that cycle—it'd be $103k today.
8 years back? $6,299. Run that same math—$563k.

We're not there. Not even close to the 4-year trajectory.

Either this cycle is structurally different, or we're still early and the real move hasn't started. Macro liquidity, ETF inflows, and halving supply shock haven't fully played out yet.

Don't get shaken by short-term chop. Zoom out.
Voir la traduction
Crypto banned in India? Nah. Just taxed to death. Punit Agarwal (Founder at KoinX) breaking down the real deal: → Tax rules that actually matter → Risks nobody talks about → What Indian holders need to know NOW X Space: July 11th, 5 PM IST If you're holding in India, you can't afford to miss this. The regulatory fog is thick—get clarity before you get rekt.
Crypto banned in India? Nah. Just taxed to death.

Punit Agarwal (Founder at KoinX) breaking down the real deal:
→ Tax rules that actually matter
→ Risks nobody talks about
→ What Indian holders need to know NOW

X Space: July 11th, 5 PM IST

If you're holding in India, you can't afford to miss this. The regulatory fog is thick—get clarity before you get rekt.
Voir la traduction
40.9% of $BTC supply hasn't moved since 2022 or earlier—that's 8.2M coins locked up by diamond hands 💎 The other 11.86M (59.1%) moved in the last 4 years. This is your conviction indicator. When nearly half the supply refuses to sell through bear markets, rate hikes, and FUD cycles, you know who's really accumulating. HODLers are not selling. Institutions are not selling. Weak hands already shaken out. Supply shock incoming when demand picks up.
40.9% of $BTC supply hasn't moved since 2022 or earlier—that's 8.2M coins locked up by diamond hands 💎

The other 11.86M (59.1%) moved in the last 4 years.

This is your conviction indicator. When nearly half the supply refuses to sell through bear markets, rate hikes, and FUD cycles, you know who's really accumulating.

HODLers are not selling. Institutions are not selling. Weak hands already shaken out.

Supply shock incoming when demand picks up.
Voir la traduction
Telecom was a blackbox for 40 years — closed systems, fax invoices, zero transparency. Now? APIs and settlement layers. Programmable networks = networks that can cryptographically prove what happened onchain. This is how you unlock real utility. Verifiable compute, provable bandwidth, trustless infra. The shift from "trust the telco" to "verify the network" is massive for Web3 infra plays.
Telecom was a blackbox for 40 years — closed systems, fax invoices, zero transparency.

Now? APIs and settlement layers.

Programmable networks = networks that can cryptographically prove what happened onchain.

This is how you unlock real utility. Verifiable compute, provable bandwidth, trustless infra.

The shift from "trust the telco" to "verify the network" is massive for Web3 infra plays.
Voir la traduction
$BTC sitting at $63.8K while realized price is $53K MVRV at 1.20 means market's only 20% above cost basis — still room before euphoria kicks in Realized Mayer Multiple at 0.97 signals we're trading BELOW the historical average relative to realized price Translation: Not overheated. Accumulation zone for patient hands. Data: July 10, 2026
$BTC sitting at $63.8K while realized price is $53K

MVRV at 1.20 means market's only 20% above cost basis — still room before euphoria kicks in

Realized Mayer Multiple at 0.97 signals we're trading BELOW the historical average relative to realized price

Translation: Not overheated. Accumulation zone for patient hands.

Data: July 10, 2026
Voir la traduction
$BTC at $64,055 right now. Compare this to 4 years ago: $20,856 (scaled to $103,186). 8 years ago: $6,299 (scaled to $563,975). The 8-year cycle still prints. If history rhymes, we're nowhere near the top. Bottom-to-top moves like this don't just fade—they explode in the final innings. Watch the 4-year halving rhythm. Liquidity flows where conviction builds.
$BTC at $64,055 right now.

Compare this to 4 years ago: $20,856 (scaled to $103,186).
8 years ago: $6,299 (scaled to $563,975).

The 8-year cycle still prints. If history rhymes, we're nowhere near the top. Bottom-to-top moves like this don't just fade—they explode in the final innings.

Watch the 4-year halving rhythm. Liquidity flows where conviction builds.
L’énergie solaire basée dans l’espace est sur le point de changer la donne. La “StarMind factory” de SpaceX — construite pour l’informatique satellitaire par IA au service de milliards d’appareils, de véhicules autonomes, de robots humanoïdes et d’opérations militaires — peut pivoter pour déployer des réseaux solaires en orbite. Le principe : transmettre la puissance par micro-ondes depuis l’espace vers n’importe où sur Terre. Un ensoleillement illimité. Zéro dépendance à la météo. Des chutes d’énergie instantanées vers des zones isolées ou des actifs militaires. Avantage secondaire : • Contrats de nettoyage des débris orbitaux avec la NASA • Faisceaux énergétiques militarisés pour la Space Force • Alimenter des jets électriques supersoniques à l’échelle continentale • Recharger les navires et les satellites du côté obscur de la Terre sans panneaux encombrants Ce n’est pas seulement une infrastructure. C’est un levier géopolitique, des contrats de défense et un nouveau monopole de l’énergie depuis l’orbite. SpaceX ne fait pas que lancer des fusées. Ils construisent le réseau électrique du prochain siècle — depuis l’espace.
L’énergie solaire basée dans l’espace est sur le point de changer la donne.

La “StarMind factory” de SpaceX — construite pour l’informatique satellitaire par IA au service de milliards d’appareils, de véhicules autonomes, de robots humanoïdes et d’opérations militaires — peut pivoter pour déployer des réseaux solaires en orbite.

Le principe : transmettre la puissance par micro-ondes depuis l’espace vers n’importe où sur Terre. Un ensoleillement illimité. Zéro dépendance à la météo. Des chutes d’énergie instantanées vers des zones isolées ou des actifs militaires.

Avantage secondaire :
• Contrats de nettoyage des débris orbitaux avec la NASA
• Faisceaux énergétiques militarisés pour la Space Force
• Alimenter des jets électriques supersoniques à l’échelle continentale
• Recharger les navires et les satellites du côté obscur de la Terre sans panneaux encombrants

Ce n’est pas seulement une infrastructure. C’est un levier géopolitique, des contrats de défense et un nouveau monopole de l’énergie depuis l’orbite.

SpaceX ne fait pas que lancer des fusées. Ils construisent le réseau électrique du prochain siècle — depuis l’espace.
1,587 sats par dollar le 10 juillet 2026 $BTC à 62 989 $ Toujours en accumulation ou déjà basculé vers les altcoins ? Le jeu de la pile de sats est un marathon, pas un sprint 🏃‍♂️
1,587 sats par dollar le 10 juillet 2026

$BTC à 62 989 $

Toujours en accumulation ou déjà basculé vers les altcoins ?

Le jeu de la pile de sats est un marathon, pas un sprint 🏃‍♂️
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