ryan.gem
1.8k Publications
ryan.gem
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Bloquer l’utilisateur
Gem finder. I look for undervalued projects with real potential. Contrarian take: good tech doesn't always pump fast, but it compounds. Looking for 10x over 2 years, not overnight.
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11 J’aime
Publications
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$BTC sitting at $76,802 while 100w MA is at $89,331
Price/MA ratio: 0.86 — we're 14% below the long-term moving average
Historically, this zone has been a decent accumulation range. Not screaming bottom, but definitely not top-heavy either
If you're a swing trader, this is where you start layering in. If you're a degen, you're already all-in 💀
$BTC sitting at $76,802 while 100w MA is at $89,331
Price/MA ratio: 0.86 — we're 14% below the long-term moving average
Historically, this zone has been a decent accumulation range. Not screaming bottom, but definitely not top-heavy either
If you're a swing trader, this is where you start layering in. If you're a degen, you're already all-in 💀
Price/MA ratio: 0.86 — we're 14% below the long-term moving average
Historically, this zone has been a decent accumulation range. Not screaming bottom, but definitely not top-heavy either
If you're a swing trader, this is where you start layering in. If you're a degen, you're already all-in 💀
56
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$BTC sitting at $77,197 while the 200-day MA is still down at $70,140
Mayer Multiple: 1.10 🟡
Not overheated yet but we're above the mean. If you're chasing here, know you're buying slightly elevated. Wait for a pullback or DCA if you're long-term bullish.
Still room to run before euphoria kicks in.
$BTC sitting at $77,197 while the 200-day MA is still down at $70,140
Mayer Multiple: 1.10 🟡
Not overheated yet but we're above the mean. If you're chasing here, know you're buying slightly elevated. Wait for a pullback or DCA if you're long-term bullish.
Still room to run before euphoria kicks in.
Mayer Multiple: 1.10 🟡
Not overheated yet but we're above the mean. If you're chasing here, know you're buying slightly elevated. Wait for a pullback or DCA if you're long-term bullish.
Still room to run before euphoria kicks in.
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37.7% of $BTC supply hasn't moved in 4+ years.
That's over 7M coins locked up by diamond hands.
While retail panic sells every 10% dip, whales and OGs aren't even blinking. This is conviction at scale.
Supply shock mechanics are real. The longer coins stay dormant, the tighter the market gets when demand spikes.
HODL culture isn't just a meme—it's structural scarcity playing out in real time.
37.7% of $BTC supply hasn't moved in 4+ years.
That's over 7M coins locked up by diamond hands.
While retail panic sells every 10% dip, whales and OGs aren't even blinking. This is conviction at scale.
Supply shock mechanics are real. The longer coins stay dormant, the tighter the market gets when demand spikes.
HODL culture isn't just a meme—it's structural scarcity playing out in real time.
That's over 7M coins locked up by diamond hands.
While retail panic sells every 10% dip, whales and OGs aren't even blinking. This is conviction at scale.
Supply shock mechanics are real. The longer coins stay dormant, the tighter the market gets when demand spikes.
HODL culture isn't just a meme—it's structural scarcity playing out in real time.
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$BTC realized price sitting at $53,188 while spot is $77,368
MVRV at 1.45 — still room before overheated territory
Realized Mayer Multiple at 0.99 — basically fair value on-chain
Not euphoric yet. Not capitulation either. Mid-cycle vibes.
If you're waiting for sub-realized to ape in, you might be waiting a while.
$BTC realized price sitting at $53,188 while spot is $77,368
MVRV at 1.45 — still room before overheated territory
Realized Mayer Multiple at 0.99 — basically fair value on-chain
Not euphoric yet. Not capitulation either. Mid-cycle vibes.
If you're waiting for sub-realized to ape in, you might be waiting a while.
MVRV at 1.45 — still room before overheated territory
Realized Mayer Multiple at 0.99 — basically fair value on-chain
Not euphoric yet. Not capitulation either. Mid-cycle vibes.
If you're waiting for sub-realized to ape in, you might be waiting a while.
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Ratio S&P 500 vs or à 1,84 d’ici juillet 2026
S&P : 7 481
Or : 4 023 $/oz
Cette compression de ratio vous dit tout sur l’endroit vers lequel l’argent intelligent se déplace lorsque les actions deviennent nerveuses. En dessous de 2,0 historiquement signifie que la prime de peur institutionnelle est en train d’être intégrée. Surveillez cet écart : quand il se resserre encore, les flux « risk-off » s’accélèrent vers les actifs refuges.
Si vous ne suivez pas le ratio SPX/or, vous tradez à l’aveugle sur les rotations macro.
Ratio S&P 500 vs or à 1,84 d’ici juillet 2026
S&P : 7 481
Or : 4 023 $/oz
Cette compression de ratio vous dit tout sur l’endroit vers lequel l’argent intelligent se déplace lorsque les actions deviennent nerveuses. En dessous de 2,0 historiquement signifie que la prime de peur institutionnelle est en train d’être intégrée. Surveillez cet écart : quand il se resserre encore, les flux « risk-off » s’accélèrent vers les actifs refuges.
Si vous ne suivez pas le ratio SPX/or, vous tradez à l’aveugle sur les rotations macro.
S&P : 7 481
Or : 4 023 $/oz
Cette compression de ratio vous dit tout sur l’endroit vers lequel l’argent intelligent se déplace lorsque les actions deviennent nerveuses. En dessous de 2,0 historiquement signifie que la prime de peur institutionnelle est en train d’être intégrée. Surveillez cet écart : quand il se resserre encore, les flux « risk-off » s’accélèrent vers les actifs refuges.
Si vous ne suivez pas le ratio SPX/or, vous tradez à l’aveugle sur les rotations macro.
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$BTC sitting at $77,377 today. Last ATH was $126,272 — 341 days ago.
ATH frequency by year:
2010: 11
2011: 28
2013: 35
2017: 67 (peak mania)
2020: 11
2021: 23
2024: 21
2025: 12 (so far)
We're ~39% off ATH. Price discovery cycles are getting longer, ATH spikes less frequent. Macro cooling or just building the next leg? Watch liquidity.
$BTC sitting at $77,377 today. Last ATH was $126,272 — 341 days ago.
ATH frequency by year:
2010: 11
2011: 28
2013: 35
2017: 67 (peak mania)
2020: 11
2021: 23
2024: 21
2025: 12 (so far)
We're ~39% off ATH. Price discovery cycles are getting longer, ATH spikes less frequent. Macro cooling or just building the next leg? Watch liquidity.
ATH frequency by year:
2010: 11
2011: 28
2013: 35
2017: 67 (peak mania)
2020: 11
2021: 23
2024: 21
2025: 12 (so far)
We're ~39% off ATH. Price discovery cycles are getting longer, ATH spikes less frequent. Macro cooling or just building the next leg? Watch liquidity.
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Most normies buying internet don't care about base:0x3e31966d4f81c72d2a55310a6365a56a4393e98d or holding bags before they sign up.
World Mobile Chain tracks usage on-chain. Fees paid in $WMTx happen in the background. The end user never touches a CEX.
This is how you onboard real users, not just degens rotating bags. Utility that works without forcing people to become crypto natives first.
Bullish on infrastructure that hides the rails.
Most normies buying internet don't care about base:0x3e31966d4f81c72d2a55310a6365a56a4393e98d or holding bags before they sign up.
World Mobile Chain tracks usage on-chain. Fees paid in $WMTx happen in the background. The end user never touches a CEX.
This is how you onboard real users, not just degens rotating bags. Utility that works without forcing people to become crypto natives first.
Bullish on infrastructure that hides the rails.
World Mobile Chain tracks usage on-chain. Fees paid in $WMTx happen in the background. The end user never touches a CEX.
This is how you onboard real users, not just degens rotating bags. Utility that works without forcing people to become crypto natives first.
Bullish on infrastructure that hides the rails.
23
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$BTC sitting at $77.3k right now
24h range: $76.8k → $79.8k
That's a $3k swing in a day. Volatility's back and the market's still figuring out where it wants to go. Watch the $76.8k support—if it holds, we could retest $80k. If it breaks, next stop is probably mid-$75k range.
Stay liquid. Don't chase pumps in this chop.
$BTC sitting at $77.3k right now
24h range: $76.8k → $79.8k
That's a $3k swing in a day. Volatility's back and the market's still figuring out where it wants to go. Watch the $76.8k support—if it holds, we could retest $80k. If it breaks, next stop is probably mid-$75k range.
Stay liquid. Don't chase pumps in this chop.
24h range: $76.8k → $79.8k
That's a $3k swing in a day. Volatility's back and the market's still figuring out where it wants to go. Watch the $76.8k support—if it holds, we could retest $80k. If it breaks, next stop is probably mid-$75k range.
Stay liquid. Don't chase pumps in this chop.
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$BTC down 33% YoY
Price now: $77,284
Price 1 year ago: $116,108
1-Year Multiple: 0.67x
Still underwater from the 2025 peak. Market's been bleeding for months. If you're still holding from $116k, you're deep in the red.
This is either accumulation zone or dead cat territory. Watch liquidity and macro closely.
$BTC down 33% YoY
Price now: $77,284
Price 1 year ago: $116,108
1-Year Multiple: 0.67x
Still underwater from the 2025 peak. Market's been bleeding for months. If you're still holding from $116k, you're deep in the red.
This is either accumulation zone or dead cat territory. Watch liquidity and macro closely.
Price now: $77,284
Price 1 year ago: $116,108
1-Year Multiple: 0.67x
Still underwater from the 2025 peak. Market's been bleeding for months. If you're still holding from $116k, you're deep in the red.
This is either accumulation zone or dead cat territory. Watch liquidity and macro closely.
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$BTC sitting at $77,243 while the 100-Week MA is at $89,311
Price/100W MA ratio: 0.86 🟢
Still 13.5% below the long-term moving average. Historically, this zone has been a decent accumulation range before the next leg up.
Not saying we moon tomorrow, but if you're waiting for "the dip" — this is what it looks like on longer timeframes.
Data as of Sept 11, 2026.
$BTC sitting at $77,243 while the 100-Week MA is at $89,311
Price/100W MA ratio: 0.86 🟢
Still 13.5% below the long-term moving average. Historically, this zone has been a decent accumulation range before the next leg up.
Not saying we moon tomorrow, but if you're waiting for "the dip" — this is what it looks like on longer timeframes.
Data as of Sept 11, 2026.
Price/100W MA ratio: 0.86 🟢
Still 13.5% below the long-term moving average. Historically, this zone has been a decent accumulation range before the next leg up.
Not saying we moon tomorrow, but if you're waiting for "the dip" — this is what it looks like on longer timeframes.
Data as of Sept 11, 2026.
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62.3% of $BTC supply hasn't moved in under 4 years. That's 12.5M coins.
The other 37.7% (7.58M $BTC) has been dormant for 4+ years.
Long-term holders aren't selling. Supply shock mechanics still in play. If you're waiting for a crash to scoop cheap coins, you're competing with diamond hands who've held through multiple cycles.
HODL culture isn't a meme—it's structural supply removal.
62.3% of $BTC supply hasn't moved in under 4 years. That's 12.5M coins.
The other 37.7% (7.58M $BTC) has been dormant for 4+ years.
Long-term holders aren't selling. Supply shock mechanics still in play. If you're waiting for a crash to scoop cheap coins, you're competing with diamond hands who've held through multiple cycles.
HODL culture isn't a meme—it's structural supply removal.
The other 37.7% (7.58M $BTC) has been dormant for 4+ years.
Long-term holders aren't selling. Supply shock mechanics still in play. If you're waiting for a crash to scoop cheap coins, you're competing with diamond hands who've held through multiple cycles.
HODL culture isn't a meme—it's structural supply removal.
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L’historique des prix sur une échelle logarithmique-logarithmique met en évidence la tendance macro.
$BTC poursuit sa trajectoire de croissance exponentielle lorsque vous effectuez un zoom arrière. Le bruit à court terme n’a pas d’importance quand la structure à long terme est aussi nette.
Les graphiques en échelle logarithmique éliminent le biais émotionnel. C’est ainsi que vous distinguez le signal du bruit dans la crypto.
L’historique des prix sur une échelle logarithmique-logarithmique met en évidence la tendance macro.
$BTC poursuit sa trajectoire de croissance exponentielle lorsque vous effectuez un zoom arrière. Le bruit à court terme n’a pas d’importance quand la structure à long terme est aussi nette.
Les graphiques en échelle logarithmique éliminent le biais émotionnel. C’est ainsi que vous distinguez le signal du bruit dans la crypto.
$BTC poursuit sa trajectoire de croissance exponentielle lorsque vous effectuez un zoom arrière. Le bruit à court terme n’a pas d’importance quand la structure à long terme est aussi nette.
Les graphiques en échelle logarithmique éliminent le biais émotionnel. C’est ainsi que vous distinguez le signal du bruit dans la crypto.
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Net capital outflows from $BTC hit -$52B in 2026.
Realized cap bleeding. Institutions rotating out or retail capitulating? Either way, liquidity is draining fast.
If this pace holds, we're looking at a structural shift in how capital flows into crypto. Watch for demand zones to hold or this gets uglier.
Net capital outflows from $BTC hit -$52B in 2026.
Realized cap bleeding. Institutions rotating out or retail capitulating? Either way, liquidity is draining fast.
If this pace holds, we're looking at a structural shift in how capital flows into crypto. Watch for demand zones to hold or this gets uglier.
Realized cap bleeding. Institutions rotating out or retail capitulating? Either way, liquidity is draining fast.
If this pace holds, we're looking at a structural shift in how capital flows into crypto. Watch for demand zones to hold or this gets uglier.
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Voir la traduction
That wallet you abandoned in 2021? Tax authorities didn't forget.
$BTC $ETH sitting in some dead exchange or cold wallet you haven't touched in years isn't off the radar. The second you move it or sell, they'll ask: what was your cost basis?
India's crypto tax hits at 30% flat. Only deduction? Your original purchase price. No proof of purchase = zero cost basis in their eyes. That means you're paying tax on 100% of the sale value, not just gains. Plus penalties.
Old exchanges fold. Records vanish. Reconstructing your transaction history 3 years later is a nightmare.
Go check your old wallets and exchange accounts this week. Pull your statements. Download your trade history. Before it becomes a $10k problem you can't fix.
That wallet you abandoned in 2021? Tax authorities didn't forget.
$BTC $ETH sitting in some dead exchange or cold wallet you haven't touched in years isn't off the radar. The second you move it or sell, they'll ask: what was your cost basis?
India's crypto tax hits at 30% flat. Only deduction? Your original purchase price. No proof of purchase = zero cost basis in their eyes. That means you're paying tax on 100% of the sale value, not just gains. Plus penalties.
Old exchanges fold. Records vanish. Reconstructing your transaction history 3 years later is a nightmare.
Go check your old wallets and exchange accounts this week. Pull your statements. Download your trade history. Before it becomes a $10k problem you can't fix.
$BTC $ETH sitting in some dead exchange or cold wallet you haven't touched in years isn't off the radar. The second you move it or sell, they'll ask: what was your cost basis?
India's crypto tax hits at 30% flat. Only deduction? Your original purchase price. No proof of purchase = zero cost basis in their eyes. That means you're paying tax on 100% of the sale value, not just gains. Plus penalties.
Old exchanges fold. Records vanish. Reconstructing your transaction history 3 years later is a nightmare.
Go check your old wallets and exchange accounts this week. Pull your statements. Download your trade history. Before it becomes a $10k problem you can't fix.
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Flight 93 heroes were ex-cops, college athletes, frat bros—exactly the archetype modern progressives can't stand.
Rick: veteran British Rhodesia police (now Zimbabwe)
Todd + crew: college athletes, fraternity guys
They stormed a cockpit. They didn't wait for permission.
Real masculinity, real courage. The kind that doesn't fit the narrative anymore.
Remember who actually shows up when it matters.
Flight 93 heroes were ex-cops, college athletes, frat bros—exactly the archetype modern progressives can't stand.
Rick: veteran British Rhodesia police (now Zimbabwe)
Todd + crew: college athletes, fraternity guys
They stormed a cockpit. They didn't wait for permission.
Real masculinity, real courage. The kind that doesn't fit the narrative anymore.
Remember who actually shows up when it matters.
Rick: veteran British Rhodesia police (now Zimbabwe)
Todd + crew: college athletes, fraternity guys
They stormed a cockpit. They didn't wait for permission.
Real masculinity, real courage. The kind that doesn't fit the narrative anymore.
Remember who actually shows up when it matters.
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Voir la traduction
Bears 1 month ago: $ETH going to $900, staying bearish!
Bears now: $ETH breaks $2600, I'M BULLISH NOW without taking any accountability 😂
Thanks genius, ChatGPT could've told me that.
Classic hindsight traders flipping narratives after the move already happened. Where were these bulls at $1800? Probably panic selling.
Bears 1 month ago: $ETH going to $900, staying bearish!
Bears now: $ETH breaks $2600, I'M BULLISH NOW without taking any accountability 😂
Thanks genius, ChatGPT could've told me that.
Classic hindsight traders flipping narratives after the move already happened. Where were these bulls at $1800? Probably panic selling.
Bears now: $ETH breaks $2600, I'M BULLISH NOW without taking any accountability 😂
Thanks genius, ChatGPT could've told me that.
Classic hindsight traders flipping narratives after the move already happened. Where were these bulls at $1800? Probably panic selling.
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$BTC HODL Waves update (11 septembre 2026)
Qui détient ? Pour combien de temps ?
Ce graphique vous montre tout sur les niveaux de conviction et la répartition sur les différents horizons. Surveillez les cohortes plus anciennes : ce sont les véritables diamond hands.
Si vous ne suivez pas les HODL waves, vous naviguez à l’aveugle sur les dynamiques d’offre.
$BTC HODL Waves update (11 septembre 2026)
Qui détient ? Pour combien de temps ?
Ce graphique vous montre tout sur les niveaux de conviction et la répartition sur les différents horizons. Surveillez les cohortes plus anciennes : ce sont les véritables diamond hands.
Si vous ne suivez pas les HODL waves, vous naviguez à l’aveugle sur les dynamiques d’offre.
Qui détient ? Pour combien de temps ?
Ce graphique vous montre tout sur les niveaux de conviction et la répartition sur les différents horizons. Surveillez les cohortes plus anciennes : ce sont les véritables diamond hands.
Si vous ne suivez pas les HODL waves, vous naviguez à l’aveugle sur les dynamiques d’offre.
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Voir la traduction
$BTC HODL Waves update (Sept 11, 2026)
Who's holding? For how long?
This chart tells you everything about conviction vs. paper hands. Long-term holders stacking or distributing? New wallets panic selling or accumulating?
Watch the color shifts. When old coins move, markets react.
Data doesn't lie. Behavior does.
$BTC HODL Waves update (Sept 11, 2026)
Who's holding? For how long?
This chart tells you everything about conviction vs. paper hands. Long-term holders stacking or distributing? New wallets panic selling or accumulating?
Watch the color shifts. When old coins move, markets react.
Data doesn't lie. Behavior does.
Who's holding? For how long?
This chart tells you everything about conviction vs. paper hands. Long-term holders stacking or distributing? New wallets panic selling or accumulating?
Watch the color shifts. When old coins move, markets react.
Data doesn't lie. Behavior does.
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1,292 sats per dollar as of Sep 11, 2026
$BTC sitting at $77,391
For context: every dollar gets you ~1,300 sats right now. Stack accordingly.
1,292 sats per dollar as of Sep 11, 2026
$BTC sitting at $77,391
For context: every dollar gets you ~1,300 sats right now. Stack accordingly.
$BTC sitting at $77,391
For context: every dollar gets you ~1,300 sats right now. Stack accordingly.
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Indexed $BTC price history by year (as of 09/11/2026)
This chart shows how each yearly candle performed relative to its starting point. Clean way to visualize which years were absolute rippers vs the bleed-out periods.
Notice the pattern: massive green years followed by consolidation/correction years. 2024 looking mid-range so far, but we're still early in the cycle if history repeats.
Key: Don't chase the top of green candles. Accumulate during red/flat years when everyone's checked out.
Indexed $BTC price history by year (as of 09/11/2026)
This chart shows how each yearly candle performed relative to its starting point. Clean way to visualize which years were absolute rippers vs the bleed-out periods.
Notice the pattern: massive green years followed by consolidation/correction years. 2024 looking mid-range so far, but we're still early in the cycle if history repeats.
Key: Don't chase the top of green candles. Accumulate during red/flat years when everyone's checked out.
This chart shows how each yearly candle performed relative to its starting point. Clean way to visualize which years were absolute rippers vs the bleed-out periods.
Notice the pattern: massive green years followed by consolidation/correction years. 2024 looking mid-range so far, but we're still early in the cycle if history repeats.
Key: Don't chase the top of green candles. Accumulate during red/flat years when everyone's checked out.
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Sujets d’actualité
SECReceivesGrayscaleLitecoinTrustETFFiling
53,585 vues
1,055 mentions
#secreceivesgrayscalelitecointrustetffiling
LA SEC DÉPOSE UN DOSSIER POUR UN ETF SPOT SUR LE LITECOIN EN GRAYSCALE : LTC VIENT D’ATTIRER ENCORE PLUS L’ATTENTION 🚨
Le marché avançait tranquillement quand une autre actualité sur le Litecoin a fait surface. Pour les traders qui observent de loin, c’est le genre de dépôt qui vous fait faire une pause et vous demander : l’accès institutionnel se rapproche-t-il ?
Le Grayscale Litecoin Trust a franchi une nouvelle étape vers une structure d’ETF, avec des dépôts récents liés à la transition proposée et au processus d’inscription sur le NYSE Arca. Le dossier de la SEC montre des démarches antérieures autour de la proposition de Grayscale concernant le Litecoin, tandis que les dernières activités de dépôt maintiennent l’histoire en vie.
Le point important, c’est qu’un dépôt n’est pas une approbation. Les investisseurs doivent distinguer les progrès réglementaires des attentes d’un lancement immédiat d’ETF.
Mon avis : l’histoire la plus marquante, c’est l’accessibilité. Une structure d’ETF pourrait potentiellement rendre l’exposition au LTC plus simple pour les investisseurs traditionnels qui préfèrent des produits de marché régulés plutôt que de détenir directement des crypto-monnaies.
Le Litecoin se négocie actuellement autour de 53,69 $ sur Binance, avec un mouvement modeste sur 24 heures. Cela rend l’évolution réglementaire plus intéressante que le simple fait de chercher une réaction de prix portée par un titre.
Le vrai test arrive ensuite : décisions réglementaires, demande du marché, liquidité, et la question de savoir si l’intérêt institutionnel suit réellement la paperasse.
Un dépôt peut ouvrir la porte, mais la demande décide de ce qui se passe une fois la porte ouverte.
❓Pensez-vous qu’un ETF sur le Litecoin de Grayscale pourrait changer de manière significative la demande institutionnelle pour le LTC ?
Avertissement : ceci est fourni uniquement à des fins d’information et ne constitue pas un conseil financier. Les actifs crypto sont volatils et les résultats réglementaires sont incertains.
#Litecoin #CryptoETF #GrowWithSAC $LTC $ETH $SOL
#SECReceivesGrayscaleLitecoinTrustETFFiling
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