#MarketsPriceJust10%ChanceOfFedHikeNextWeek
đșđž Fed Hold Odds Climb to 95%. December Is the Real Fight
đ The Fed meets Oct 27-28, with the decision Wednesday at 2 PM ET
đ Kalshi prices a hold at 94% and Polymarket at 95.5%, up from about 88% a week ago
đ A December 9 hike is still priced near 74-76%
đŠ Rates sit at 3.75-4.00% after September's 25bp hike, in Warsh's 4th meeting as Chair
đŁïž Warsh said Friday "I don't prejudge meetings," and hike odds fell after the speech
â ïž Watch the December guidance and any dissents; three officials dissented for a hike in July
What it means for crypto: a hold is mostly priced in, so a hawkish tone on December could weigh on risk assets, while a softer one could ease pressure. Bitcoin is near $80.3K, flat on the day.
Will Warsh keep December on the table? đ
$BTC $ETH
#CryptoNews #Fed #FOMC #MarketsPriceJust10%ChanceOfFedHikeNextWeek
đșđž Fed Hold Odds Climb to 95%. December Is the Real Fight
đ The Fed meets Oct 27-28, with the decision Wednesday at 2 PM ET
đ Kalshi prices a hold at 94% and Polymarket at 95.5%, up from about 88% a week ago
đ A December 9 hike is still priced near 74-76%
đŠ Rates sit at 3.75-4.00% after September's 25bp hike, in Warsh's 4th meeting as Chair
đŁïž Warsh said Friday "I don't prejudge meetings," and hike odds fell after the speech
â ïž Watch the December guidance and any dissents; three officials dissented for a hike in July
What it means for crypto: a hold is mostly priced in, so a hawkish tone on December could weigh on risk assets, while a softer one could ease pressure. Bitcoin is near $80.3K, flat on the day.
Will Warsh keep December on the table? đ
$BTC $ETH
#CryptoNews #Fed #FOMC #MarketsPriceJust10%ChanceOfFedHikeNextWeek