#FedRateWatch
🚨 The Fed hike is here. But Bitcoin’s real signal may be hiding in the flows.
The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 bps to 3.75% 4.00%, while the latest projections show 16 of 18 policymakers supporting another hike in 2026. That keeps liquidity and risk appetite under pressure.
Bitcoin is now trading around $75.9K, below Glassnode’s $76.7K True Market Mean, an important investor cost-basis level. On-chain capital inflows have also turned negative after 27 consecutive days of positive flows.
The ETF picture adds another warning sign. US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded around $450.3M in net outflows on Sept. 15, showing that institutional demand weakened sharply ahead of the Fed decision.
Derivatives are also worth watching. Futures open interest remains elevated near $36.4B, while spot CVD has weakened, pointing to stronger selling pressure rather than a clean accumulation setup.
My take: The 25 bps hike was expected. What matters now is whether $BTC can reclaim $76.7K. If it cannot, sellers may keep testing lower liquidity zones.
Do you think ETF flows will turn positive again, or does BTC need to fall further before buyers step in?
#ETF #Bitcoin #FED #XRPSinks10% $BTC
🚨 The Fed hike is here. But Bitcoin’s real signal may be hiding in the flows.
The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 bps to 3.75% 4.00%, while the latest projections show 16 of 18 policymakers supporting another hike in 2026. That keeps liquidity and risk appetite under pressure.
Bitcoin is now trading around $75.9K, below Glassnode’s $76.7K True Market Mean, an important investor cost-basis level. On-chain capital inflows have also turned negative after 27 consecutive days of positive flows.
The ETF picture adds another warning sign. US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded around $450.3M in net outflows on Sept. 15, showing that institutional demand weakened sharply ahead of the Fed decision.
Derivatives are also worth watching. Futures open interest remains elevated near $36.4B, while spot CVD has weakened, pointing to stronger selling pressure rather than a clean accumulation setup.
My take: The 25 bps hike was expected. What matters now is whether $BTC can reclaim $76.7K. If it cannot, sellers may keep testing lower liquidity zones.
Do you think ETF flows will turn positive again, or does BTC need to fall further before buyers step in?
#ETF #Bitcoin #FED #XRPSinks10% $BTC
