I went looking at TermMax because the leverage side seemed like the obvious thing to study. After reading more closely I kept coming back to something else. Leverage is easy to describe. The harder part is making the system survive when the market moves faster than the users do. TermMax separates lending and borrowing through fixed maturity markets rather than relying only on the usual pooled lending model. That changes the operational problem. A borrower is not just taking leverage. They are taking a position with a defined maturity while lenders are effectively pricing a specific risk window. Then the risk settings started making more sense. The gap between maximum LTV and liquidation LTV is not just a safety margin on a dashboard. It creates a zone where positions can deteriorate without immediately forcing liquidation. That matters because liquidation is not free infrastructure. It depends on liquidity being available at the right price and at the right moment. I also noticed how this connects to TermMax’s market design. If liquidity is fragmented across different maturities and collateral markets then the protocol is asking more from its pricing and liquidation mechanisms. A parameter that looks conservative in isolation can behave differently when the underlying market is thin. That is where I think the interesting part sits. The real product is not simply leverage. It is the coordination between maturity, collateral value, lender expectations, liquidation thresholds and available liquidity. Reading the interface alone makes TermMax look like a leverage platform. Reading the mechanics made me see something quieter: its real test is whether all those risk assumptions remain aligned when liquidity becomes the constraint rather than leverage itself. #termmax @TermMax $ENA $HEMI $ZORA
I went looking at the Dusk Wallet beta because I wanted to understand what was actually changing for users. The interesting part turned out not to be the wallet itself. Dusk Connect is becoming the layer between applications and wallets. The SDK discovers compatible providers instead of forcing a dApp to hardcode one wallet. That sounds like a small implementation detail until you connect it with the wallet architecture and the way Dusk separates application access from node access. The new Dusk Wallet is one provider in that system. Dusk Connect handles discovery and permissions while the wallet keeps control of keys and user approvals. Developers can then use W3sper or the HTTP API when they need direct network access rather than mixing node connectivity into the wallet layer. That separation caught my attention. It means Dusk is not simply shipping another interface for sending DUSK. It is trying to define where responsibility sits between the user wallet the dApp and the underlying network. Even the SDK being framework agnostic with no runtime dependencies matters here. The smaller the integration surface the less custom wallet logic individual applications have to maintain. The discovery model also leaves room for multiple compatible wallets instead of turning the first wallet into a permanent dependency. There is still a lot to prove in beta. Wallet compatibility security edge cases and developer adoption will matter more than the announcement itself. But after looking at the pieces together I think the more important development is architectural. Dusk is starting to treat wallet connectivity as shared infrastructure rather than something every application has to rebuild independently. #dusk $DUSK @Dusk
I went looking at Termax’s lending risk settings and ended up paying more attention to the gap between maximum LTV and liquidation LTV. At first it looks like a simple risk control. Borrowers post collateral, lenders choose how much debt they are comfortable with, and liquidation protects the position when collateral falls too far. But the more I thought about it, the more I saw the real mechanism. The maximum LTV is not just a number describing how much someone can borrow. It is an expression of how much volatility a liquidity provider is willing to absorb before the position becomes uncomfortable. The liquidation LTV then creates a second boundary. That gap between the two levels is effectively operational breathing room. If collateral is already close to liquidation when a loan is created, even a modest market move can push the position into liquidation before there is much time for the system or borrower to react. A wider gap changes that timing. This also explains why order setters matter more than I initially assumed. They are effectively shaping the risk surface of the lending market. Different settings can create different pools of liquidity with different tolerance for volatility. That means the available liquidity is not really one uniform market. It is segmented by risk preference. What caught my attention is that this makes liquidation less of an isolated emergency mechanism and more of a consequence of how liquidity was configured before the loan even existed. The important data therefore is not simply how much has been borrowed. I would want to watch where LTV settings cluster, how quickly collateral moves through those ranges, and whether liquidity consistently sits around conservative or aggressive thresholds. The lending market is ultimately revealing what participants are willing to tolerate before they are willing to provide capital. #termmax @TermMax
I kept coming back to the phrase “regulated market infrastructure” because it changes how I read the rest of Dusk’s work. At first I thought the event was mainly about tokenization. But after connecting that with Dusk’s privacy architecture and its work around selective disclosure I started seeing a different problem. Tokenizing an asset is relatively easy to describe. The difficult part is allowing different participants to see different information without breaking the ability to verify what actually happened. That matters in regulated markets because privacy is rarely about making everything invisible. An institution may need transaction confidentiality while a regulator or authorized counterparty still needs evidence that certain conditions were satisfied. This is where programmable privacy becomes more interesting to me. Dusk’s shielded transaction model and Citadel’s selective disclosure approach point toward a system where privacy can be controlled rather than treated as a simple on or off switch. Add tokenization and the requirement becomes more operational. Ownership rules settlement conditions and compliance checks have to coexist with restricted information. Then I looked at the infrastructure angle again. If every regulated participant has to build separate systems for privacy compliance and settlement then putting an asset onchain does not remove much friction. It may simply move that friction somewhere else. So the part I find interesting is not Dusk talking about tokenization. It is the combination of tokenized assets programmable privacy and regulated infrastructure. Those three pieces suggest the harder engineering problem is not creating digital securities. It is designing the information boundaries around them so markets can remain verifiable without making every transaction completely transparent. That is the infrastructure problem I would be watching more closely. #dusk $DUSK @Dusk
I went looking at Dusk because of the SME capital angle and ended up paying more attention to everything that has to happen before an SME can actually use a new financing route. NPEX is the part that made me stop. Dusk is not starting from an abstract idea of tokenized securities. NPEX already operates as a regulated SME market and has facilitated more than €200 million in financing for over 100 SMEs while connecting with more than 17,500 active investors. Then the Dusk architecture started making more sense. The tokenization material talks about putting issuance, KYC, AML, ownership records and corporate actions closer to the asset itself. The native issuance design goes further by targeting T+0 settlement instead of the traditional T+2 process. That sounds like a speed improvement at first. I think the more interesting part is what happens to the cost structure around smaller issuers. An SME does not only struggle because capital is unavailable. It can struggle because issuing securities creates a chain of legal work, shareholder administration, compliance checks, settlement processes and fragmented records. If those processes remain expensive, putting the security on a blockchain changes very little. What caught my attention is that Dusk has been working on the infrastructure around that problem for years, while its NPEX relationship gives it an existing regulated market context. The 2024 move of Dusk founder Emanuele Francioni into an NPEX technology leadership role makes that connection even more operational. So the overlooked point for me is simple. The SME opportunity is not really about putting shares on-chain. It is about making smaller capital markets economically practical enough to exist in the first place. #dusk $DUSK @Dusk
I went looking at TermMax’s long and short product expecting the interesting part to be the directional trade itself. I ended up paying more attention to what has to sit underneath that trade. The first thing that stood out is that TermMax is not treating long and short exposure as an isolated trading feature. Its broader design connects fixed term lending and borrowing with leverage and structured products. That matters because a directional position needs someone on the other side of the risk. Then I noticed the Dual Investment structure. Liquidity providers are effectively supplying capital that long and short buyers need. The vault page also shows that these funds are allocated through fixed rate markets rather than simply sitting as idle trading liquidity. That changed how I looked at the product. The real challenge is not creating a button for “long” or “short.” It is coordinating liquidity, pricing, maturity and settlement so the position can exist without relying on the open ended margin mechanics common elsewhere. The current implementation also appears deliberately concentrated in specific markets. TermMax’s interface shows Alpha long and short markets on BNB Chain while the rest of the protocol spans several chains for lending, borrowing and leverage. That separation is interesting. It suggests the hard problem is not simply adding more assets. It is building enough liquidity and pricing infrastructure around each asset for directional exposure to remain usable. After looking through the architecture and market interface, I came away thinking the long or short position is actually the visible layer. The less visible layer is the liquidity coordination that makes that position possible. #termmax @TermMax
I was looking into Dusk’s implementation of BLS12-381 and initially the phrase “extra features needed by the Dusk Network team” looked like a small engineering detail. It became more interesting when I thought about what that actually implies. BLS12-381 is not just another cryptographic primitive. It is a pairing-friendly elliptic curve group used in systems where advanced proof and signature operations matter. The important detail here is that Dusk was not simply using a standard implementation unchanged. The team needed additional functionality around the curve for its own network requirements. That challenges a common crypto narrative I see a lot: that infrastructure is mostly about assembling existing cryptographic building blocks. Sometimes the harder part is adapting those primitives to the exact execution and verification model a network needs. The concrete example here is the extra functionality added to the BLS12-381 implementation for Dusk’s requirements. That tells me the cryptography is not sitting separately from the protocol architecture. It has to fit into it. But I would not interpret this as Dusk somehow replacing the underlying cryptographic infrastructure. The curve itself remains an established cryptographic construction. The deeper change is in how Dusk implements and integrates it for its own network needs. Security still depends on the underlying mathematics, implementation correctness, testing, and the broader infrastructure surrounding the protocol. That distinction matters. The interesting question for me is whether the next phase of blockchain infrastructure will be won by inventing new primitives, or by making established cryptography work better inside very specific execution environments. #dusk $DUSK @Dusk
I was looking into TermMax and one detail kept bothering me: borrowers and lenders can have limited options because the rate they receive is effectively determined by the AMM. At first that sounds like a normal DeFi tradeoff. Liquidity is pooled, pricing comes from the market, and users accept the available rate. But looking at it from the user side changes the picture. A borrower may not actually want the rate the pool is offering. A lender may also have a different return in mind. Yet if the only practical choice is to interact with the existing AMM curve, both sides are constrained by the same mechanism. That challenges the usual DeFi narrative that open markets automatically mean flexible markets. Permissionless access does not necessarily mean users have meaningful pricing choice. The interesting part about TermMax is therefore not simply that it creates another lending market. The more important question is whether the system can give borrowers and lenders more control over the terms instead of making them passive takers of AMM pricing. For example, if an AMM is offering a borrowing rate that does not match what a borrower considers reasonable, the problem is not access to liquidity alone. The problem is that the pricing mechanism itself becomes the constraint. That makes me think the deeper competition in onchain lending may not be about who has the most liquidity. It may be about who gives users the most meaningful control over the terms of that liquidity. If DeFi keeps improving liquidity but users still have to accept whatever rate the curve produces, how much financial freedom have we actually created... #termmax @TermMax
I was looking into Dusk’s RWA custody design and one detail kept pulling me back: custody is not the same thing as simply putting an asset onchain. That sounds obvious but it changes how I read the whole setup. For real world assets the difficult part is not only representing ownership digitally. The system still has to deal with the legal asset, eligibility, transfer rules, reporting and the institutions responsible for those obligations. The usual crypto narrative is that tokenization turns an RWA into something that can move like any other token. The documentation points to a more constrained reality. Dusk can provide infrastructure for representing and managing regulated assets with privacy and controlled disclosure but it does not make the underlying legal and institutional layer disappear. That distinction matters for custody. A tokenized security can have an onchain state while the real world custody relationship still depends on regulated entities and existing processes. Dusk changes how parts of that state and transaction workflow can be handled onchain. It does not replace the custodian lawyer regulator or every offchain decision. That is why I think the interesting question is not whether RWAs can be tokenized. It is whether blockchains can reduce the operational complexity around regulated ownership without pretending that the regulatory layer no longer exists. If custody remains partly institutional by design then is the real opportunity in RWA tokenization the asset itself or the infrastructure coordinating everything around it... #dusk $DUSK @Dusk
I went looking at Dusk’s regulated securities angle and ended up paying less attention to the assets themselves and more to the workflow around them. The interesting part is that regulated assets do not simply need privacy. They need privacy with a controlled way to reveal information when rules require it. That made Dusk’s privacy architecture more interesting when I connected it with Citadel and the network’s account based transaction model. Confidential state can stay protected while selective disclosure gives regulated participants a path to prove or share specific information. The account model then matters because these workflows can be represented as state changes without forcing every participant to expose the underlying transaction details. I then looked at the consensus side. Dusk’s SA design separates proposal validation from ratification. For a regulated workflow that distinction is important because settlement is not just about submitting a transaction. Multiple network participants need to agree that the resulting state is valid before it becomes part of the ledger. There is another layer that is easy to overlook: provisioners need to stake DUSK and maintain infrastructure. So the system is tying confidential state management and regulated settlement to an economic and operational security layer. What I find more interesting is the coordination problem underneath all of this. A regulated asset platform needs privacy for users, disclosure for authorized parties, deterministic settlement for institutions, and enough operational reliability that the workflow does not break at the network layer. The technology only becomes useful when those pieces work together. That is where I think the real complexity of regulated onchain assets sits. #dusk $DUSK @Dusk
I went looking at Dusk’s SA consensus expecting the interesting part to be committee selection. I ended up paying more attention to what happens after a committee is selected. SA splits consensus into proposal validation and ratification. That looks like a technical design choice until I compared it with the reward structure and staking requirements. The network does not simply pay one validator for producing a block. Rewards are shared across the block generator validation committee and ratification committee. The generator can receive 70% plus another 10% depending on how many credits are included while validation and ratification each receive 5%. That changes how I think about the incentive model. The system is effectively paying several groups to keep the same block moving through different stages of agreement. This matters because fast deterministic settlement is only useful if participation remains reliable. A committee member who repeatedly fails to participate can face soft penalties while provably invalid behavior can lead to burned stake. Then there is the operational side that is easy to overlook. A provisioner needs at least 1,000 DUSK and must keep infrastructure online and synchronized. The basic published requirements are modest at 2 CPU cores 4 GB RAM 50 GB storage and 10 Mbps networking. So the real constraint may not be raw hardware cost. It is operational discipline. What I found interesting is that SA seems designed around reducing the cost of agreement rather than simply increasing the number of participants. Random committees distribute responsibility while the reward and penalty system tries to make participation dependable. That makes consensus less about who produces blocks and more about whether enough independent operators consistently show up when their turn arrives. #dusk $DUSK @Dusk
I went looking at the Dusk bridge migration flow expecting the interesting part to be the EVM contract. It turned out to be the signer sitting behind it. The migration contract itself was fairly straightforward. Users locked ERC20 or BEP20 DUSK and a migration event was emitted. But that event did not magically create native DUSK. An external service had to observe it and reissue funds on Dusk. That distinction matters more than it first appears. Dusk’s broader architecture was moving toward a native bridge model where value could move between DuskDS and DuskEVM without wrapped assets or external custodians. Yet the older migration path still depended on an operational signing wallet to turn an observed EVM event into an actual Dusk transaction. The incident data makes the dependency visible. On January 16, an attacker compromised that wallet and then moved stolen DUSK through the bridge path. The sequence included 7,880 DUSK bridged and later another 1.91 million DUSK before mitigation stopped a further 8.91 million DUSK attempt. What I find important is not simply that a wallet was compromised. It is that event ingestion and value release were effectively connected through one operational path. A smart contract can be deterministic while the system surrounding it still depends on key custody, server isolation, monitoring and transaction handling. The redesign separating event ingestion from signing and turning migration events into persisted jobs is therefore more than a security patch. It changes where trust lives. Reading this made me think differently about bridges. The contract is often the part we inspect first, but the real trust boundary can sit several layers behind the contract, inside the software that decides when an event becomes money. #dusk $DUSK @Dusk
I went looking at AEGIS Security Analysis because I wanted to understand the security side of Dusk. I ended up noticing something more interesting in how the pieces fit together. What caught my attention was not a single security claim. It was the relationship between protocol design, validator behavior, and the economic cost of getting something wrong. A security review can identify a technical weakness, but the real question is what happens after that weakness meets an operating network. Dusk’s architecture puts weight on validators and the mechanisms around them. That means security is not only about whether the code works as intended. It is also about whether participants have enough economic reason to behave correctly when conditions become uncomfortable. I kept coming back to that distinction while comparing the security analysis with Dusk’s broader network design and token mechanics. The token is part of the coordination layer. Validators need an economic reason to remain reliable. Governance and protocol rules determine how changes are introduced. Meanwhile, the security process tries to reduce the probability that an implementation detail becomes an economic problem. Those are three different layers, but they depend on each other. A clean audit does not automatically create secure infrastructure. Strong incentives cannot compensate for flawed execution logic. And good governance can still struggle if the underlying system is difficult to operate safely. That made me look at AEGIS less as a certificate of safety and more as one input into a larger risk system. The part I find easiest to miss is that protocol security is ultimately an operational discipline. The code, incentives, validators, and review process only become meaningful when they continue working together under stress. That is where the real security assumption seems to live. #dusk $DUSK @Dusk
Dogecoin Hits $0.073 But Can DOGE Break $0.075 Next?
Dogecoin is showing some fresh strength after holding the $0.07 support level. DOGE reached around $0.073 and then pulled back slightly. At the time of the report the price was near $0.0721 with a daily gain of about 2.93%. The move also pushed DOGE above its 9 day and 21 day moving averages. Trading volume has also increased. Volume rose by around 72% and moved above $500 million. This shows that more traders are paying attention to DOGE again. But what caused the sudden move higher? A big part of the rally came from short liquidations. As DOGE moved higher many traders who were betting on a fall were forced to close their positions. More than $1.5 million in short positions were liquidated. When these positions are closed short sellers have to buy DOGE back. This can create extra buying pressure and push the price even higher. There was also more activity in the futures market. Futures inflows reached around $381 million while outflows were close to $372 million. This pushed futures netflow into positive territory. Derivatives trading volume also increased strongly and open interest moved higher. These numbers show that traders are becoming more active around DOGE. The long and short balance has also moved toward the long side. This means more traders are now expecting DOGE to rise. But there is a problem. A short squeeze can start a rally. It does not always keep the rally going. For DOGE to continue higher it needs real buying from the spot market. The RSI has moved up to around 53. This is a positive sign because it shows that buyers have gained some control. If buying continues then DOGE could test the $0.075 resistance. A clean break above $0.075 could open the door toward $0.08. But traders should also watch the $0.07 support. Spot netflow reached a monthly high of around $5.23 million on August 11. The flow then cooled. This could mean that some holders are taking profits after the recent move. If spot selling becomes stronger then DOGE could fall back toward $0.07. So DOGE is now at an important point. The recent rally has brought buyers back into the market. Short liquidations have helped the move. Trading activity has also increased. But the next step needs stronger spot demand. Above $0.075 could bring $0.08 into focus. Below $0.07 could weaken the recovery. For now DOGE has momentum. The real question is whether buyers can keep it going after the short squeeze fades.
Ethereum is facing an important test as traders wait for new U.S. inflation data. ETH has been struggling below $2000 and recent selling has made the recovery harder. The price recently fell from around $1920 to about $1875 in a short move. This shows that sellers are still active. There is also some weakness in institutional demand. Ethereum spot ETFs saw about $14.59 million in net outflows on August 10. This came after several days of better demand. At the same time more ETH has been moving onto exchanges. When more ETH enters exchanges it can mean that some holders are preparing to sell. The rising exchange flow in August suggests that selling pressure has increased. This is one reason why ETH has struggled to stay above $1900. But the market is now waiting for inflation data. The U.S. CPI report could have a major effect on market expectations around the Federal Reserve. If inflation comes in lower than expected then traders may become more confident that the Fed could cut rates. That could help risk assets such as Ethereum. If inflation comes in higher than expected then traders may become more worried about higher rates staying in place for longer. That could put more pressure on ETH. Right now the market is almost split on what the Fed could do next. This makes the inflation report even more important. ETH has been trading inside a range between roughly $1800 and $1960. The $1900 level is the first area bulls need to reclaim. If ETH can move back above $1900 and hold it then buyers could start looking toward $2000. A break above $2000 would be an important psychological move and could improve market confidence. But there is also a downside risk. If the inflation data is bad for risk assets and ETH loses $1800 then the price could move toward $1700. The $1650 area could also become important if selling becomes stronger. Options market positioning also shows that traders are preparing for both sides. Some larger players are looking for ETH to move toward $2000 later in August or in September. At the same time there is also protection being taken against a drop toward $1700 and $1650. This tells us that the market is not sure which direction ETH will take next. For now the inflation report could be the key event. Ethereum has some room to recover if inflation cools and rate cut hopes increase. A move above $1900 could then put $2000 back in focus. But if inflation stays high and selling continues then ETH could remain below $2000 and test lower support. The main levels are simple. Above $1900 could bring $2000 into view. Below $1800 could bring $1700 into focus. For now Ethereum is waiting for a new reason to move.
Monero Touches $400 But The Next Move Is Still Unclear
Monero has made a strong move in recent weeks and briefly crossed the $400 level. XMR reached around $413 before falling back toward $390. Even after this drop the token is still much higher than its June low near $300. The recent move has also brought more activity to the market. Open interest has increased by around 14% in one day. This shows that more traders are opening positions around the current price. One large trader has also opened a leveraged long position worth around $36 million. The position is using 4x leverage and is looking for a move toward the $475 to $516 area. This is a strong bet on a further rise. But the chart is not giving a clear bullish signal yet. The longer term picture is more positive. On the weekly chart XMR has been making higher lows for several years. This shows that the bigger trend still has a bullish structure. The token has also seen strong growth from its previous low areas. But the shorter term chart tells a different story. XMR reached $400 and then pulled back. The move may have been helped by traders closing short positions rather than by strong new buying. This is important. A price can rise quickly when short traders are forced to close their positions. But that type of move does not always lead to a lasting rally. If new buyers do not continue entering the market then the price can fall again after the short squeeze ends. The current daily structure is still weak. The $437 area is an important level to watch. XMR needs to break above this level with strong buying if bulls want to prove that a new uptrend is starting. Without that move the recent rise could remain only a recovery inside a larger weak trend. The money flow picture is also mixed. Some indicators have improved in recent weeks. This shows that buyers are becoming more active. But the bigger picture still lacks strong buying pressure. That leaves XMR between two possible paths. If buyers push the price above $437 and keep buying then the move toward $475 and higher could become more realistic. If buyers fail to break that level then XMR could lose momentum again. A return toward $300 cannot be ruled out if the selling becomes strong. For now the $400 area is important but it is not enough to confirm a breakout. The whale long position shows that at least one large trader expects more upside. But one large position cannot decide the market. XMR needs wider buying pressure to support the next move. The key level is $437. A strong break above it could change the short term picture. Failure below it could leave XMR stuck in a wider range and bring the lower levels back into focus.
Solana Shows Buy Signals But $78 Is Still The Big Test
Solana has started to show some signs of recovery after a long period of weakness. SOL has gained around 5.9% over the past week. But the bigger trend is still weak. The token is down heavily from its past highs and recently touched around $60. Now buyers are trying to change that picture. The most important level to watch is around $78. If SOL can move above $78 and stay there then the current recovery could become stronger. A move above this level could open the way toward $83 and later toward $98 or even $100. But buyers still need to prove that they have enough strength. There are some positive signs on the daily chart. A buy signal has appeared and the MACD has also shown a positive crossover. These signals suggest that short term momentum may be starting to improve. SOL has also bounced from the lower part of its recent range. This gives buyers a chance to push the price higher. There is also a new development around Solana's network that could support the long term story. A proposal to increase the daily SOL burn has passed its first voting stage. If it receives final approval then the daily amount of SOL burned could rise from around 650 to about 9 000. That would be a major change. More SOL being removed from circulation could reduce the available supply over time. But this does not mean the price will rise automatically. The chart still has some problems. SOL remains below the $83 area which has acted as a strong resistance zone. The price was rejected there before and buyers have not yet managed to break it. The volume based indicators also show that demand is not fully back. The On Balance Volume indicator has improved during the past week but it is still below its June high. The Accumulation and Distribution indicator has also moved slightly higher but has not yet formed a clear upward trend. This tells us that buyers are returning but they are not yet strong enough to confirm a major trend change. For now the price is sitting between important levels. A move above $78 would be a positive first step. A break above $83 would be even more important because it could confirm that buyers are taking more control. If that happens then $98 and $100 could become realistic targets. But if SOL fails around $78 or $83 then the recovery could lose strength. The $70 area is also important support. Holding above this level would keep the short term recovery alive. For now I would watch $78 closely. SOL has some good buy signals. But the bigger trend is still not fully bullish. The real test starts when buyers try to take SOL above $78 and then $83.
TAO Touches $205 But Buyers Still Need To Prove Their Strength
TAO has made a small recovery and briefly moved above $205 on August 12. The price then pulled back toward $200. This shows that buyers are active but they have not yet done enough to confirm a real breakout. TAO is still holding above the $195 area. That level is important because it has helped keep the recent recovery alive. For now the price is sitting between two key levels. The first is around $195. The second is the $204 to $206 area. If TAO can close above $206 on the daily chart then buyers could gain more confidence. The next level to watch would then be around $220. But if TAO falls below $195 then the recovery could become weaker. The next major support would be around $186. The current money flow is also not giving buyers much help. The Chaikin Money Flow indicator is around -0.06. This shows that money is still slightly flowing out of the market. So even though the price has recovered from its August lows there is not yet strong buying behind the move. The trend strength is also limited. The ADX is around 19.40. A reading above 20 is often seen as a sign that a stronger trend is starting to form. With the current reading below 20 the market still looks uncertain. There is also a lot of activity building in the futures market. TAO open interest is close to $300 million. This means traders are adding more positions around the current price. But open interest does not tell us whether traders are mostly betting on a rise or a fall. The funding rate gives us another clue. The funding rate is slightly positive at around 0.006%. This means long traders are paying short traders. That shows some traders are leaning toward a price increase. But it also creates a risk. If TAO fails to break higher then those long positions could come under pressure. A sharp move below support could then cause more selling. For now TAO is stuck in a clear range. Above $206 could open the door toward $220. Below $195 could bring $186 into focus. The current recovery is still alive but buyers need to show more strength. A clean move above $206 with strong buying would give the bulls a better chance. Until then TAO remains in a waiting zone. The next big move may come when price finally leaves the $195 to $205 range.
SKYAI Falls 29% As Selling Grows And $0.055 Comes Into Focus
SKYAI has taken a sharp hit over the past week. The token has fallen by around 29% and the recent price action shows that sellers are starting to take control. After a strong move higher SKYAI reached a level where the price looked too high compared with its recent range. This led to a rejection and the price started moving lower. Now traders are watching the $0.055 area. This level sits around the middle of the Bollinger Bands. It could act as a support area if the selling starts to slow down. If SKYAI reaches $0.055 and buyers step in then the token could get a chance to recover. But there is no clear sign yet that the drop is over. If sellers continue to push the price lower then SKYAI could move toward the lower part of the Bollinger Bands. The short term chart is also showing some weakness. The moving averages are giving a mixed picture. The longer term averages are still above the shorter term averages. This means the bigger trend has not completely turned bearish. But the shorter term trend is becoming weaker. The 20 day moving average is around $0.05546 while the 50 day average is around $0.07251. This gap shows that SKYAI has lost a lot of short term strength after the recent drop. Still there is one positive sign. The Chaikin Money Flow indicator remains above zero at around 0.40. This means buying pressure has not completely disappeared. So even though sellers are stronger right now buyers may still return if the price reaches an area they consider attractive. The spot market is giving a more worrying signal. SKYAI has seen selling for several days. Around $245K worth of net selling was recorded over the past three days. This is a clear change from the buying seen earlier. During the period before the recent drop buyers had added millions of dollars worth of SKYAI through the spot market. Now that flow has changed. If this selling continues then SKYAI could fall further before another recovery attempt begins. The $0.055 level is therefore important. If SKYAI holds this area and buying returns then the recent drop could start to slow down. If the price breaks below it with strong selling then the next move could be lower. For now the market is still caught between two sides. The bigger trend has not fully turned bearish. But short term selling is clearly getting stronger. SKYAI needs buyers to step in soon if it wants to avoid another leg lower. The key level to watch is $0.055. Holding it could give bulls a chance to recover. Losing it could bring more pressure.
Bitcoin Stays Below $64K Even With Softer Inflation And New Banking Support
Bitcoin is still struggling below $64K even after two positive developments for the crypto market. The latest U.S. inflation data showed that price pressure is slowly easing. At the same time new banking rules could give eligible crypto companies a clearer path into the traditional banking system. So why did Bitcoin fail to move higher? U.S. inflation came in at 3.4% in July. This was in line with what the market expected and was lower than the 3.5% reading from June. Monthly inflation also rose by only 0.1% in July after falling in June. This is important for Bitcoin because lower inflation can reduce pressure on the Federal Reserve to keep monetary policy tight. When inflation starts moving lower traders may become more comfortable with risk assets such as Bitcoin. But this time the market did not react strongly. Bitcoin briefly moved above $64K after the news but could not stay there. The price later moved back toward $63.4K. This shows that buyers are still not confident enough to push Bitcoin higher. The market also received another important update from the U.S. banking side. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency said eligible crypto companies involved in legal digital asset activities can have a path toward applying for a national bank charter. This could be important for the crypto industry. A bank charter could give some crypto companies a stronger connection with the traditional financial system. It could also make it easier for these firms to offer certain services under a federal banking framework. But this does not mean every crypto company can suddenly become a bank. Companies would still need to meet the required rules and pass the approval process. Even with this positive news Bitcoin remained weak. The broader crypto market also struggled. Total crypto market value fell before recovering to around $2.16 trillion. Bitcoin's technical picture is also not very strong. The RSI was around 40. This shows that buying strength is still limited. The money flow indicator was also close to zero. This suggests that there is no strong flow of money into the market right now. So the current situation is quite simple. The news is positive. Inflation is showing some improvement. Crypto companies may have a clearer path toward the banking system. But Bitcoin still needs real buying pressure. For now $64K remains an important level. If Bitcoin can break above $64K and stay there then buyers may start gaining more confidence. If it continues to fail around this level then the market could remain weak for longer. The latest news gives Bitcoin a better background. But news alone is not enough. The market still needs buyers to step in and push BTC higher.