余三水

Silver $XAG

61.5 is where we're at, so let's take a little off the table here. If we break below the green zone on the chart, let's set the next TP at 54 and see how it plays out. Since gold hasn't finished its drop, silver will likely follow suit, sticking around 61.5. If it breaks down, we could be looking at a significant downturn, so let's keep an eye on 54.

$BTC

This rebound is right on point. The structure of this bounce can be seen in my referenced previous tweets; it’s a classic example of a breakdown followed by a rebound test that faces resistance.

Currently, this 4H candlestick hasn’t formed a significant upper wick, which suggests the rebound might continue. (I’ve discussed several crucial candlestick patterns before, and one bearish pattern is two upper wicks of similar height, along with a short red-green combo.)

Right now, the focus is on whether 639 can reclaim its position or if it faces resistance and drops again. Alternatively, there’s also the potential level at 646, where I personally believe the downtrend will continue.

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$BTC

The overall trend looks bearish, no doubt about it; the structure for stabilization hasn't formed at all.

The last blue line broke down, dropping 30%. If the next blue line breaks down, corresponding to another 30% drop, it'll hit the 50-53 range, which just happens to line up with a weekly candlestick low.

Gold $XAU

It's currently dipping smoothly; 39 and 34 are the future TP (take profit) targets.

Silver $XAG

Looks like 61.5 is definitely not going to hold, mainly because it's tough to find a reference for the next TP. If it breaks below 61.5, at least 54 shouldn’t be a problem.

$BTC

No solid ground here, miss a trade and you're just gonna keep taking losses.

Gold $XAU

The daily candlestick here is right at the early stage of a support/resistance flip. Since it didn't break through here yesterday, I'm feeling bearish.

$BTC

After the breakout, we clearly hit the previous phase high, which is the peak on the left of the red box in the chart.

Currently at 63, this is the previous phase low where we had a pullback rally, but the current market conditions show that the rebound strength is really weak; it's not a good time to re-enter. The consolidation period isn't long enough; this is just a bounce.

If we drop below 63, it's game over.

Silver $XAG

Before the news dropped yesterday, looking at the charts, I thought silver might break 71 and accelerate upwards.

Right now, it’s hitting resistance again at 69.5; the 4-hour candles are still showing a bearish trend. Let’s keep an eye on 66, and if it breaks below that, we’re looking at 61.5 next.

$ETH

Currently, it seems to be a fairly normal pullback phase. The key time point should be based on the rebound situation of the current 4H candlestick.

The area around 2160 was previously a very obvious resistance zone. After breaking through, it's normal to retest this area to test the possibility of a reversal. Watch the pullback situation of the 4H candlestick at 12:00 to determine whether it is a false breakout or a pullback rebound first.

You might want to pay attention to the altcoins $ALGO

Its daily candlestick has just emerged, and the indicators are not overbought, so there is a possibility of a successful breakout.

$ETH

Last night, it dropped to a low of 2012. When I got up at five in the morning, there was already a green candle in the 4H midline, and at that time, I thought it should go back again.

This indeed verifies my thoughts at that time, and currently, it has formed a relatively common double top (not yet closed).

So my personal resistance is set at 2080 here, and if it breaks through, 2110 should not constitute resistance. The double top structure is an opportunity to short, and next time, if I want to short again, I will have to wait for a situation like the one on the left.

$ETH

4H is still one hour away from closing, the 2070 area mentioned in the morning has a resistance effect.

I hope it can drop down, there's not much else to say.

$ETH

Last time I mentioned that I would wait for the indicators to become overbought again before looking for shorting opportunities.

Currently, the resistance areas to pay attention to are the 2070 area and the 2110 area. It is best not to exceed 2070.

A safer approach would be to wait for the price to show resistance in these two areas before entering the market; it is still extremely difficult to guess the position.

$ETH

Bitget's lowest price has reached 2033. For now, I definitely have to wait for the indicators to re-enter the overbought zone before looking for shorting opportunities. Specifically, I need to refer to my previous tweets, where I taught how to use indicators in conjunction with support/resistance.

The tentative potential resistance is around 2100 and 2200, one being a strong continuation of the downward movement and the other being the top position of the downward channel's oscillation.

$ETH

The year 2030 has arrived, and here it can be directly reduced after clearing the warehouse,

or we can observe the changes in the next candlestick. If it breaks down again, at least it will be around 1915 here.

However, I was stimulated by the last time, and since the 4H stochastic is basically oversold, I have closed my position. I will wait for the stochastic to become overbought again to look for opportunities.

$ETH

2100 is broken, 2030 is coming quickly.

$ETH

At this position, reduce some short positions, move the stop loss to the previous high of 2200.

Because currently, 2100 has not been directly broken, it proves to have certain support.

First, reduce some short positions; if it breaks down, the next TP is the 2030 area.

$ETH Currently validating my previous thoughts

The key points are on these two 4H K bars.

However, based on the current performance, the resistance effect is average. If you want to short, you might want to wait. If it can drop here, the TP can initially be set at 2030.

Conversely, it would be to wait for a strong breakthrough, right? The previous high is 2380.