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uboxyaya
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uboxyaya

项目投研分析|项目介绍|数据可视化|致力打造币安广场|00后撸毛研究员|X:@pbaa1q933y45488
Frequent Trader
3.3 Years
179 Following
4.6K+ Followers
2.8K+ Liked
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Why, even after TCG sales grew 23.1%, inventory in card shops is still hard to move?On August 4, Reuters revealed a set of very interesting data. TCG products such as Pokémon, Yu-Gi-Oh, and One Piece accounted for 61% of revenue on Asmodee in the last fiscal year; in the first quarter of the new fiscal year, TCG sales also grew by 23.1%. On the other hand, revenue from Hasbro’s card game business also increased by 27%. This shows that physical card games have not declined despite the rise of digital entertainment; instead, they’ve become an important growth driver for game companies and publishers. In the Reuters report, even the CEO of Asmodee judged that this category will continue to exist long-term. But there’s a gap that’s easy to overlook.

Why, even after TCG sales grew 23.1%, inventory in card shops is still hard to move?

On August 4, Reuters revealed a set of very interesting data.
TCG products such as Pokémon, Yu-Gi-Oh, and One Piece accounted for 61% of revenue on Asmodee in the last fiscal year; in the first quarter of the new fiscal year, TCG sales also grew by 23.1%. On the other hand, revenue from Hasbro’s card game business also increased by 27%.
This shows that physical card games have not declined despite the rise of digital entertainment; instead, they’ve become an important growth driver for game companies and publishers. In the Reuters report, even the CEO of Asmodee judged that this category will continue to exist long-term.
But there’s a gap that’s easy to overlook.
Article
70+ teams, 45+ projects: The most worth-watching things from Renaiss—maybe not even its own platformAfter a hackathon ends, the metric most easily used for promotion is the number of registrations. @renaissxyz has recently released the results of the first Tech Hackathon S1: 70+ teams registered, 45+ projects delivered, participating teams came from all over the world, and the works span directions like AI applications, developer tools, collectibles, and RWA. The first time I saw this set of data, I didn’t rush to interpret it as “Renaiss’s ecosystem being already formed.” The threshold to sign up for a hackathon isn’t that high. “Delivery completed” means the competing teams submitted projects that can be demonstrated, and it doesn’t necessarily mean these initiatives are already officially in operation. After the competition, some developers may keep updating the work, and some may return to their original jobs.

70+ teams, 45+ projects: The most worth-watching things from Renaiss—maybe not even its own platform

After a hackathon ends, the metric most easily used for promotion is the number of registrations.
@renaissxyz has recently released the results of the first Tech Hackathon S1: 70+ teams registered, 45+ projects delivered, participating teams came from all over the world, and the works span directions like AI applications, developer tools, collectibles, and RWA.
The first time I saw this set of data, I didn’t rush to interpret it as “Renaiss’s ecosystem being already formed.”
The threshold to sign up for a hackathon isn’t that high. “Delivery completed” means the competing teams submitted projects that can be demonstrated, and it doesn’t necessarily mean these initiatives are already officially in operation. After the competition, some developers may keep updating the work, and some may return to their original jobs.
Article
Sign once—doesn’t mean it happens only once: after Velvet moves cross-chain transactions to the backgroundSuppose my USDC is on Solana, but I want to buy a token on Arbitrum. The traditional process isn’t complicated, but it’s fragmented: first confirm which chain the target token is on, find a cross-chain bridge that supports Solana, swap the assets into the coin supported by the bridge, initiate the cross-chain transfer, wait for the funds to arrive, then handle the Arbitrum Gas, and finally complete the trade on the target DEX. If anything gets stuck at any step, I have to troubleshoot myself. Is the bridge not confirmed yet? Is the target chain congested? Did the wallet switch to the wrong network? Did the assets arrive but there’s no ETH to pay Gas? Or, during the waiting period, did the coin price move beyond the slippage range? The plan provided by @Velvet_Capital is to let users directly use assets on one chain to buy tokens on another chain. An official update in July says Velvet has already supported cross-chain transactions between EVM networks and Solana, with bridging and Gas handling handled in the background. On July 21, Arbitrum spot trading was also integrated into VelvetX, allowing users to swap into Arbitrum assets from networks such as Solana, Base, BNB Chain, Ethereum, and Robinhood Chain.

Sign once—doesn’t mean it happens only once: after Velvet moves cross-chain transactions to the background

Suppose my USDC is on Solana, but I want to buy a token on Arbitrum.
The traditional process isn’t complicated, but it’s fragmented: first confirm which chain the target token is on, find a cross-chain bridge that supports Solana, swap the assets into the coin supported by the bridge, initiate the cross-chain transfer, wait for the funds to arrive, then handle the Arbitrum Gas, and finally complete the trade on the target DEX.
If anything gets stuck at any step, I have to troubleshoot myself.
Is the bridge not confirmed yet? Is the target chain congested? Did the wallet switch to the wrong network? Did the assets arrive but there’s no ETH to pay Gas? Or, during the waiting period, did the coin price move beyond the slippage range?
The plan provided by @Velvet_Capital is to let users directly use assets on one chain to buy tokens on another chain. An official update in July says Velvet has already supported cross-chain transactions between EVM networks and Solana, with bridging and Gas handling handled in the background. On July 21, Arbitrum spot trading was also integrated into VelvetX, allowing users to swap into Arbitrum assets from networks such as Solana, Base, BNB Chain, Ethereum, and Robinhood Chain.
Article
When 0.1% of volatility is enough to wipe out margin: HertzFlow mainnet needs to calibrate three clocksOn August 1, HertzFlow released testnet stage data: 117K users, $3.7 billion in cumulative transaction volume, and $170 million entering the test liquidity pool. The official direction that followed was “Mainnet next.” These numbers show that the system has handled test activity on a fairly large scale, but I’m more concerned with another issue: HertzFlow tried to put assets such as cryptocurrencies, foreign exchange, stocks, indices, and commodities into a single chain-based leverage engine. But these assets have different trading times, quote frequencies, and liquidity conditions. When leverage increases to hundreds of times, even up to a maximum of 1,000 times, tiny time differences will become real asset-liability problems.

When 0.1% of volatility is enough to wipe out margin: HertzFlow mainnet needs to calibrate three clocks

On August 1, HertzFlow released testnet stage data: 117K users, $3.7 billion in cumulative transaction volume, and $170 million entering the test liquidity pool. The official direction that followed was “Mainnet next.”
These numbers show that the system has handled test activity on a fairly large scale, but I’m more concerned with another issue:
HertzFlow tried to put assets such as cryptocurrencies, foreign exchange, stocks, indices, and commodities into a single chain-based leverage engine. But these assets have different trading times, quote frequencies, and liquidity conditions.
When leverage increases to hundreds of times, even up to a maximum of 1,000 times, tiny time differences will become real asset-liability problems.
Article
The Same Card—Why Are There Four Different Prices? Renaiss Aims to Solve the Hardest Accounting Problem for CollectiblesThe same grading card may show up with four different prices across different platforms at the same time. A seller’s list price is one figure, the most recent transaction price is another, a card shop’s buyback price is another, and private transactions in the community may keep changing the price. The difference doesn't come entirely from an information gap. The card’s language, release year, grading company, score, scarcity, transaction region, and condition history all affect the final price. Even for the same card, it’s hard to get an all-market consensus quote at any time like you can with BTC or stocks. That’s also why I’ve been following @renaissxyz and the recent launch of the Renaiss Index.

The Same Card—Why Are There Four Different Prices? Renaiss Aims to Solve the Hardest Accounting Problem for Collectibles

The same grading card may show up with four different prices across different platforms at the same time.
A seller’s list price is one figure, the most recent transaction price is another, a card shop’s buyback price is another, and private transactions in the community may keep changing the price.
The difference doesn't come entirely from an information gap.
The card’s language, release year, grading company, score, scarcity, transaction region, and condition history all affect the final price. Even for the same card, it’s hard to get an all-market consensus quote at any time like you can with BTC or stocks.
That’s also why I’ve been following @renaissxyz and the recent launch of the Renaiss Index.
Has it been announced?
Has it been announced?
Verified
Article
Package Counterparty Risk into a Single Portfolio: What You Should Understand About HertzFlow’s Latest VaultsOn July 27, @Hertzflow_xyz launched four HzV Vaults on the testnet: Bluechip Crypto, Degen Basket, Tech Giants, and Macro. Two days later, the team reset the testnet data again and updated the contracts, citing the reason that they were preparing for the mainnet. Look at these two updates together, and it becomes very clear what HertzFlow’s priority is at this stage: before the mainnet takes on real capital, they first need to get the structure right—how liquidity enters the market, how risk is allocated, and how different combinations are formed—so it all works end to end. When many people see Vault for the first time, their attention tends to stay on the APY. But in HertzFlow, the more worth studying part of the Vault is how it organizes liquidity for a leveraged protocol that can continuously expand the trading markets.

Package Counterparty Risk into a Single Portfolio: What You Should Understand About HertzFlow’s Latest Vaults

On July 27, @Hertzflow_xyz launched four HzV Vaults on the testnet: Bluechip Crypto, Degen Basket, Tech Giants, and Macro.
Two days later, the team reset the testnet data again and updated the contracts, citing the reason that they were preparing for the mainnet.
Look at these two updates together, and it becomes very clear what HertzFlow’s priority is at this stage: before the mainnet takes on real capital, they first need to get the structure right—how liquidity enters the market, how risk is allocated, and how different combinations are formed—so it all works end to end.
When many people see Vault for the first time, their attention tends to stay on the APY. But in HertzFlow, the more worth studying part of the Vault is how it organizes liquidity for a leveraged protocol that can continuously expand the trading markets.
Article
One on-chain trade—why do you need to open six pages?I went back and reviewed @velvet_capital’s recent product materials. Compared with the broad label of an “AI trading platform,” I care more about a specific question: there are already many on-chain transaction tools—why does an ordinary user still have to keep switching back and forth between multiple pages to complete a trade? After finding a token, first check its price and liquidity, then look up the project’s updates on X, then examine the holder addresses, the flow of smart money, and contract risks, and finally compare quotes from different aggregators to connect your wallet and complete the trade. Each step has mature tools, but when you piece these tools together, it still feels like a makeshift assembled cockpit.

One on-chain trade—why do you need to open six pages?

I went back and reviewed @velvet_capital’s recent product materials.
Compared with the broad label of an “AI trading platform,” I care more about a specific question: there are already many on-chain transaction tools—why does an ordinary user still have to keep switching back and forth between multiple pages to complete a trade?
After finding a token, first check its price and liquidity, then look up the project’s updates on X, then examine the holder addresses, the flow of smart money, and contract risks, and finally compare quotes from different aggregators to connect your wallet and complete the trade.
Each step has mature tools, but when you piece these tools together, it still feels like a makeshift assembled cockpit.
Verifying my Binance Square account for YZi Labs Amplify via EchoHunt: EH-8ZRK7S
Verifying my Binance Square account for YZi Labs Amplify via EchoHunt: EH-8ZRK7S
SK Hynix (SKHY) U.S. ADR has fallen below its IPO offering price of $149. Back then, when it listed in July, it drew an institutional subscription frenzy of more than 7 times the amount... Now it seems those who missed out by 6 times were lucky to have dodged a bullet.
SK Hynix (SKHY) U.S. ADR has fallen below its IPO offering price of $149.

Back then, when it listed in July, it drew an institutional subscription frenzy of more than 7 times the amount... Now it seems those who missed out by 6 times were lucky to have dodged a bullet.
SKHYUS+0.47%
Let me tell you, I’ve researched Doubao, and I actually managed to come up with some findings. Look at the cloud drive Doubao sent—there are 8EB.
Let me tell you, I’ve researched Doubao, and I actually managed to come up with some findings.
Look at the cloud drive Doubao sent—there are 8EB.
Bought 50u each for now, and the battle report is in—made a little bit too
Bought 50u each for now, and the battle report is in—made a little bit too
I know a good buddy from the web3 days who once rolled SOL from 40u to 300u during its peak, hitting nearly a billion in assets. In pursuit of hitting that billion mark to cash out, his trading strategies twisted, and now he's down to just 0.3%. Humans really have this strange obsession with the idea of perfection, whole numbers, and the like.
I know a good buddy from the web3 days who once rolled SOL from 40u to 300u during its peak, hitting nearly a billion in assets. In pursuit of hitting that billion mark to cash out, his trading strategies twisted, and now he's down to just 0.3%.

Humans really have this strange obsession with the idea of perfection, whole numbers, and the like.
Verified
SpaceX took a nosedive, skyrocketing from 135 to 225 in just a few days, and now it's dropped back down to 154, breaking its IPO price. The market cap has evaporated by 600 billion in three days. This is a classic case of panic selling in a low float. With only 4.2% of shares in circulation at the start, there's a lack of long-term compliant funds stepping in (thanks to MSCI rating it at the lowest ESG CCC level, preventing them from accumulating). Any slight negative news about bond issuance can trigger a long squeeze, as traders rush for the exits. Retail investors who bought in at high prices quickly find themselves as cannon fodder. Now, we’re just waiting for the first official earnings report at the end of July and the pressure test from the unlocking of restricted shares in August.
SpaceX took a nosedive, skyrocketing from 135 to 225 in just a few days, and now it's dropped back down to 154, breaking its IPO price. The market cap has evaporated by 600 billion in three days. This is a classic case of panic selling in a low float.

With only 4.2% of shares in circulation at the start, there's a lack of long-term compliant funds stepping in (thanks to MSCI rating it at the lowest ESG CCC level, preventing them from accumulating). Any slight negative news about bond issuance can trigger a long squeeze, as traders rush for the exits. Retail investors who bought in at high prices quickly find themselves as cannon fodder.

Now, we’re just waiting for the first official earnings report at the end of July and the pressure test from the unlocking of restricted shares in August.
Verified
If we look back to 1990, the total return of the S&P 500 has outperformed gold by nearly a 4:1 growth ratio. However, if we set our time anchor to 2000, at that time the US stock market was peaking during the internet bubble, while gold was hitting a historical bottom, leading to a significant outperformance by gold in the subsequent moves. Choosing different starting points can lead to a complete 180-degree reversal in the narrative.
If we look back to 1990, the total return of the S&P 500 has outperformed gold by nearly a 4:1 growth ratio.

However, if we set our time anchor to 2000, at that time the US stock market was peaking during the internet bubble, while gold was hitting a historical bottom, leading to a significant outperformance by gold in the subsequent moves.

Choosing different starting points can lead to a complete 180-degree reversal in the narrative.
Right now, there's only one undervalued sector. NASDAQ = overbought S&P 500 = overbought Russell Index = overbought Semiconductors = overbought AI stocks = overbought Crypto market = undervalued Funds might soon flow into the crypto market.
Right now, there's only one undervalued sector.

NASDAQ = overbought
S&P 500 = overbought
Russell Index = overbought
Semiconductors = overbought
AI stocks = overbought
Crypto market = undervalued

Funds might soon flow into the crypto market.
Verified
US stocks dropped on Wednesday, not because of the 'US-Iran agreement', but mainly due to signals from the Fed meeting, with the market expecting rate hikes to kick off as early as September, moving up the timeline. Today, US stocks rallied, driven by several factors: The Strait of Hormuz reopening + US military blockades being lifted, causing oil prices to drop back to March levels. Apple and Intel struck a deal to design and manufacture chips exclusively for Apple, boosting the semiconductor index 📈 by 6.4%. Expectations of 'fuel supply easing' lifted stock prices in sectors like airlines and cruise lines. With inflation pressures easing, profits for US small and medium enterprises are expected to improve, pushing the low-cap Russell 2000 index to new highs. The latest 'initial jobless claims' saw a week-over-week decline, indicating that the US labor market still isn't showing any major issues...
US stocks dropped on Wednesday, not because of the 'US-Iran agreement', but mainly due to signals from the Fed meeting, with the market expecting rate hikes to kick off as early as September, moving up the timeline.

Today, US stocks rallied, driven by several factors:

The Strait of Hormuz reopening + US military blockades being lifted, causing oil prices to drop back to March levels.

Apple and Intel struck a deal to design and manufacture chips exclusively for Apple, boosting the semiconductor index 📈 by 6.4%.

Expectations of 'fuel supply easing' lifted stock prices in sectors like airlines and cruise lines.

With inflation pressures easing, profits for US small and medium enterprises are expected to improve, pushing the low-cap Russell 2000 index to new highs.

The latest 'initial jobless claims' saw a week-over-week decline, indicating that the US labor market still isn't showing any major issues...
After SpaceX went public, it skyrocketed in the first three days, with its market cap briefly surpassing Amazon (ranking fifth, just behind Nvidia, Google, Apple, and Microsoft). On the fourth trading day, it started to dip, and today it continues to drop. Aside from the initial hype cooling off, investors have concerns about the AI acquisition plan announced on Tuesday (buying Anysphere). Next week, SpaceX will discuss issuing $20 billion in corporate bonds to further expand its AI business. Although uncertainties are rising, it still gained 14.3% in the first five trading days.
After SpaceX went public, it skyrocketed in the first three days, with its market cap briefly surpassing Amazon (ranking fifth, just behind Nvidia, Google, Apple, and Microsoft).

On the fourth trading day, it started to dip, and today it continues to drop.

Aside from the initial hype cooling off, investors have concerns about the AI acquisition plan announced on Tuesday (buying Anysphere).

Next week, SpaceX will discuss issuing $20 billion in corporate bonds to further expand its AI business.

Although uncertainties are rising, it still gained 14.3% in the first five trading days.
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Buy a little bit of $FOLKS
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