Yesterday's judgment was pretty spot on The market move was also straightforward Woke up and got paid 🥳
PA_Tomo
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Took a look before bed—the profit is still decent On a 5-minute level, three yin lines to pull back, followed by three consecutive big yin lines; there’s a 65% probability it won’t be able to hold up
Next either it directly breaks down below, or it turns into a consolidation range The chance of a V-shaped rebound is very small; shorting is unlikely to lose money Right now, there’s a 4-hour level rising trendline plus a 15-minute level triple-push resonance Expect it to grind for a while Got your protection Sleep 😴
7.27 Recap of the Asia-Europe session $BTC Three trading opportunities across wave segments One Scalping opportunity The target levels are also relatively easy to measure The movement is also straightforward This is a simple market
Took a look before bed—the profit is still decent On a 5-minute level, three yin lines to pull back, followed by three consecutive big yin lines; there’s a 65% probability it won’t be able to hold up
Next either it directly breaks down below, or it turns into a consolidation range The chance of a V-shaped rebound is very small; shorting is unlikely to lose money Right now, there’s a 4-hour level rising trendline plus a 15-minute level triple-push resonance Expect it to grind for a while Got your protection Sleep 😴
PA_Tomo
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Open the order and go to sleep The basis for the order is shown in the picture Take profit at 64280 Check again tomorrow 😴
At the moment BTC has been continuing its gradual decline since yesterday’s news.
After fluctuating around 64,900, it kept falling and broke through 64,384 and 64,272; at the extreme, it may even break through 63,562.
After the pullback is complete, the price will recover to above 64,900.
In the long term, the prior view still holds: the recent high is expected to occur around 70,000.
Note that the above is a projection based on the assumption that long-term accumulation has not yet started. Once long-term accumulation begins, the trend will change accordingly.
In the short term, 65,870–65,196 is entirely a bearish attack zone; in the medium term, 65,517–65,198 is also a bearish attack zone.
Based on the indicator so far, both are bearish attack phases, with a relatively strong downward momentum, and there is no meaningful bullish support beneath.
For the short term, the bearish historical support line below 64,384 can be viewed as a downside target. For the medium term, the bullish historical support line below 64,272 is another target. Once both targets are broken, the next target will be another short-term bullish historical support line at 63,562.
If accumulation starts in the short and medium term, the trend will likely remain volatile while drifting downward.
Looking at the price channel: around 64,900 is currently the long-term lower bound and provides strong support. If it breaks and long-term accumulation starts, then the lower bound will shift downward and the price will likely continue falling. Meanwhile, the short- and medium-term trend support lines are both around 63,500, which can be regarded as the second support area.
As for the lower edge of the long-term distribution cost band, it is around 63,600. Only if the price drops well below 63,600 would it be possible to trigger long-term accumulation. So, based on the current outlook, it is very likely that after the price falls near 63,500, it will receive short- and medium-term support.
The downward path provided by the limit-price engulfing is 64,384, 64,272, and 63,562.
Putting it all together: 64,900 as the first support level may be pierced by a wick, but the body likely won’t break through by too much.
What the hell is this weird aspect ratio? In the photo album it’s the normal ratio—what’s going on with the Bilibili video upload?
PA_Tomo
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This deal is taking too long—I’m not going to keep risking it. It’s been secured. If you’re back, send me 643 and I’ll fully settle everything. Give it a chance 🤐 If this deal can actually secure profit-taking, I’ll withdraw three 600u. Keep the trc/id for myself. Wishing you prosperity
This deal is taking too long—I’m not going to keep risking it. It’s been secured. If you’re back, send me 643 and I’ll fully settle everything. Give it a chance 🤐 If this deal can actually secure profit-taking, I’ll withdraw three 600u. Keep the trc/id for myself. Wishing you prosperity
Be honest for once, you fucking asshole. Go out and have a meal—lost a car 😔
PA_Tomo
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Getting really frustrated—profits have withdrawn by more than half. If this deal goes through at what position, what’s the point… 🤢🤢 Give me some serious advice. If you take it, leave a 1000u tip—TRC/ID
Getting really frustrated—profits have withdrawn by more than half. If this deal goes through at what position, what’s the point… 🤢🤢 Give me some serious advice. If you take it, leave a 1000u tip—TRC/ID
US Session Recap $BTC Placed three orders; made a small profit and exited. There are reasons for opening the positions + pattern analysis in the chart—take a look yourself
Last night’s market was still fairly straightforward—no big washouts, and the volatility was manageable
Had a bit to drink. Since I felt the price action was about to shift into a range/sideways mode, I went to sleep early
In the comments, I’ll pick three of you for 50u—leave your trc/ID
Building on the previous content—high-level consolidation, a slight pullback, then a continued rise.
Price Projection: Around 65000, it consolidates. It breaks upward through 65600; after breaking through, it may continue to break through 65800 and possibly pierce 66000 briefly. After breaking through 66000, it met selling pressure and started a slight pullback. The support zone is at 64847-64600. Recap of the Previous Content: Tight range trading around 64734, then a pullback begins. The first target is 64200. After it breaks down, support may be found around 63270-62800. Actual Price Action: After falling to the low of 64251, it began to rise steadily and is now around 65000. That is to say, it has broken through the target 65600 mentioned earlier in the price-limit engulfing scenario. Subsequent Trend: Intense game of give-and-take Long term, multi-64900-67600.