Based on this $BTC chart, we’ve been trading this since 2019—maybe 2020 (can’t even remember exactly).
What we do know is this: this thing works. It’s been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle we’re in—mainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases.
Simple, but it’s done the job for years.
Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders).
Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90–150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well.
But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!
$SAND broke down fully from its previous structure and is now sitting below all key levels. For now the chart still leans bearish, and as long as sellers keep control we might see one more push lower into the deeper buy zone. That’s where the better risk-to-reward setup would form.
If buyers manage to flip momentum earlier and give us a clean shift or reversal pattern above the current local low, we can look for a short-term bounce toward the upper resistance. Until then — patience. Let the chart show who’s in control. #SANDPriceAnalysis
$POL is sitting right on its local bottom, and this zone has reacted well before. For now we want to see some kind of shift in momentum here — a small reversal structure or MSB forming before even thinking about entering. If buyers manage to defend this area and show proper strength, we’ll be looking at a long setup with a solid upside range to target. But if this level fails, we stay patient and avoid forcing anything. #POLPriceAnalysis
$ARB is trading right above a local support zone that has been reacting well in the past. For now the key level is the local low — if sellers break it, we’ll most likely see a deeper move into the lower support area where Plan B would activate.
But if buyers manage to hold this zone and push back above the first resistance, we get Plan A: a clean recovery into the upper zone and a potential continuation toward the next major levels. Both plans stay valid, but everything starts with how price behaves around this local low. #ARBPriceAnalysis
$ETH had a decent week of recovery (last week), and now we are looking for the BOS to form near our entry, which would confirm our bullish game plan here.
ETH seems undervalued for us so we are expecting the BOS to happen within this week, which then should lead the price to our targets. #ETHPriceAnalysis
$BTC had a rough start to the month but this does not change a thing for now. EMAs are still far away from the market price and we are looking for the price to recover in a matter of a week or two.
As long as buyers hold the ground around 80K, this is our game plan: long until EMAs ($105K) and then look for a breakout. #BTCPriceAnalysis
$BTC buyers are not giving away that 100 EMA easily; they hold this zone and as long as we are above that mark, we are looking for one last bullish movement here.
Now if we talk about cycle times and how long each cycle has been lasting, we can assume that we are about to enter the bearish market, but one last push should follow before the dip.
So we are looking for a bearish market to start around Dec-March, as soon as we get that one last pump. #BTCPriceAnalysis
$HBAR reacted well from the same support zone that held multiple times in the past, showing that buyers are still defending this area. After the liquidity sweep, momentum slowly shifted and we’re now seeing early signs of a bullish push.
As long as buyers keep holding above this zone, the upside play stays valid. A steady recovery toward the EMAs makes sense, and if momentum continues, we could see a clean extension toward the higher targets. #HBARPriceAnalysis
$XRP is forming a similar setup to what we’ve seen on a few other charts — price keeps rejecting from the EMAs and struggling to gain any bullish momentum. As long as we stay under these levels, sellers keep control.
What we’re waiting for is a proper breakdown from this small consolidation. If that happens, the downside play becomes very clear. Until then, we stay patient and let the structure show us the direction. #XRPPriceAnalysis
$ATOM is finally showing signs of a reversal after that long downside stretch, and with this reaction we already have a short-term trading opportunity forming. For the long-term setup the idea stays the same, but we’d go with smaller leverage since the SL is naturally wider on higher-timeframe plays.
If this momentum continues, buyers should aim to push price back into the unfilled zones near the EMAs — that’s where the real expansion could start. As long as this reversal holds, both short-term and long-term trades stay valid. #ATOMPriceAnalysis
$UNI showed a strong breakout from the liquidity zone and even managed to pull off a clean re-test, which is a good sign that buyers are trying to take back control. As long as we stay above this reclaimed area, the current structure looks supportive for further upside.
If buyers maintain momentum here, the next logical play is a continuation toward the higher targets shown on the chart. But if price dips back below the reclaimed zone, the setup loses strength. #UNIPriceAnalysis
$ETH is still behind the breakout zone that we are looking for, but odds are pretty good. Buyers keep pushing the zone, which most probably will result in a breakout that we are waiting for.
We wait for a breakout, which is our final confirmation (although even the current zone looks like a sweet spot for a long time). #ETHPriceAnalysis
$BTC is cooking up here, where recently we had a strong breakout candle, which formed a decent BOS and gave us a confirmation of a reversal, which currently is happening.
Targets are being approached so gameplan remains the same! #BTCPriceAnalysis
$APT still looks weak on the higher timeframe, with price forming continuous lower lows and no clear support in sight. Because of that, we’re expecting further downside and will be watching the recent liquidity-grab area as the next logical zone where price could fall into.
That’s where we’ll look for a reaction. If buyers show strength there, the plan is to pick up a long from that zone. Until then, downside remains the most likely path. #APTPriceAnalysis
$FIL is still stuck inside a tight range, and what we need now is a proper MSB and a clear reversal to confirm that buyers are taking back control. Once that happens, the upside play becomes very interesting with a strong R:R ahead of us.
There’s also a bullish CME gap sitting above — during this kind of market it’s rare to see one, which increases the chances of it getting filled sooner or later. Game plan stays simple: wait for MSB → catch the retrace → target the CME zone. #FILPriceAnalysis
$CAKE just tapped the EMAs again, and that’s the main thing we’re watching now. If buyers manage to secure a proper breakout above them, we should see a decent upside push toward the next resistance zone.
If that doesn’t play out, then Plan B is still valid — a move back into the lower support area, where we’d look for another reaction and a long setup from there. For now, buyers just need to hold structure and show continuation above the EMAs. #CAKEPriceAnalysis
$FLOKI is showing a decent reaction near the local support zone, which again confirms the validity of this area. As long as buyers keep holding this zone, the game plan stays the same.
If they manage to pull off a clean BOS from here, we’ll be looking for a long setup and aim for a retest of the 100 & 200 EMA. Until then, we just monitor how price behaves around this support and whether buyers can maintain control. #FLOKIPriceAnalysis
$ETH looks healthy, with buyers still closely behind the local breakout point that we are looking at, which is showing that buyside dominance is still hovering in those areas.
The game plan remains the same; we look for a breakout, which then will open a big, long opportunity! #ETHPriceAnalysis