The Market Updates
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The Market Updates
Crypto Trader Since 2007.
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🚨 BREAKING 🚨
🇮🇷 Iran says it's in talks with the US through mediators.
We need more talks and less bombings.
🇮🇷 Iran says it's in talks with the US through mediators.
We need more talks and less bombings.
🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump is discovering that even the world’s strongest military has limits, and the Iran war is BOXING him in...
5 months after launching full combat operations, the core goals of ending Iran’s nuclear program and changing the regime remain very much unmet.
Oil prices are spiking, shipping through Hormuz is barely moving, and stockpiles of key interceptors are running scarily low.
Trump has floated major escalation, tighter sanctions, and just "declaring victory," but each path carries its own heavy costs.
Aides have warned that massive new strikes could produce high civilian casualties while still failing to force meaningful negotiations.
The result is a frustrated president who entered the conflict convinced of unlimited power, but is now just searching for a face-saving exit that doesn't look reek of defeat.
Source: NYT
5 months after launching full combat operations, the core goals of ending Iran’s nuclear program and changing the regime remain very much unmet.
Oil prices are spiking, shipping through Hormuz is barely moving, and stockpiles of key interceptors are running scarily low.
Trump has floated major escalation, tighter sanctions, and just "declaring victory," but each path carries its own heavy costs.
Aides have warned that massive new strikes could produce high civilian casualties while still failing to force meaningful negotiations.
The result is a frustrated president who entered the conflict convinced of unlimited power, but is now just searching for a face-saving exit that doesn't look reek of defeat.
Source: NYT
Everyone pushing to pass the Crypto
Clarity Act in the next 2 weeks:
1. President Trump
2. Treasury Secretary Bessent
3. Senator Lummis
4. $15 trillion BlackRock
5. $13 trillion Charles Schwab
6. $7 trillion Fidelity
7. $4 trillion Goldman Sachs and more.
Clarity is coming.
Clarity Act in the next 2 weeks:
1. President Trump
2. Treasury Secretary Bessent
3. Senator Lummis
4. $15 trillion BlackRock
5. $13 trillion Charles Schwab
6. $7 trillion Fidelity
7. $4 trillion Goldman Sachs and more.
Clarity is coming.
Someone bought 2,000 $ETH for just $620 in 2015.
Held it for 11 years and survived every major crash.
Today, he moved his stash, which is now worth $3,832,000.
A 6,180x return by simply HODLing.
Held it for 11 years and survived every major crash.
Today, he moved his stash, which is now worth $3,832,000.
A 6,180x return by simply HODLing.
BREAKING: 🇮🇷 Iran says it will stop attacks as long as the US keeps its military operations paused.
This is good for markets.
This is good for markets.
Global money supply is going up only.
Only a matter of time before crypto market catches up.
Only a matter of time before crypto market catches up.
🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran isn't able to win this war, but it can try to make the war too expensive to keep fighting
Gas at $4, dead U.S. troops, a strait nobody can fully reopen. That's a strategy.
The U.S. has the airpower to hit anything in Iran. It has proven this many times. What Iran has proven is its ability to absorb these hits and strike back.
That's the actual story of this war, not any single weapon system.
Wars often end when one side runs out of options. This one might end when one side's public runs out of patience first. And right now that clock is ticking faster in DC than in Tehran.
So what actually ends this?
A deal Tehran can sell at home. A price Washington decides is too high. Or an escalation that makes both irrelevant.
Source: NYT, AP
Gas at $4, dead U.S. troops, a strait nobody can fully reopen. That's a strategy.
The U.S. has the airpower to hit anything in Iran. It has proven this many times. What Iran has proven is its ability to absorb these hits and strike back.
That's the actual story of this war, not any single weapon system.
Wars often end when one side runs out of options. This one might end when one side's public runs out of patience first. And right now that clock is ticking faster in DC than in Tehran.
So what actually ends this?
A deal Tehran can sell at home. A price Washington decides is too high. Or an escalation that makes both irrelevant.
Source: NYT, AP
MASSIVE
$13 Trillion Charles Schwab urges US Senate to pass the Crypto Clarity Act.
It’s happening
$13 Trillion Charles Schwab urges US Senate to pass the Crypto Clarity Act.
It’s happening
🇮🇷🇺🇸 Both exits are blocked now
Saudi Arabia built its escape from Iranian leverage on one assumption: if Hormuz closes, pump the oil west across the peninsula and ship it out of Yanbu on the Red Sea.
That plan worked. It carried millions of barrels a day while the strait strangled.
Then the Houthis started hitting Saudi tankers near Bab el-Mandeb and declaring the waterway theirs to authorize.
That changes the arithmetic completely.
One threatened chokepoint is a regional problem with a workaround.
Two threatened chokepoints on opposite coasts leaves the world's biggest exporter with no clean way out at all, and the bypass infrastructure the Gulf spent billions on becomes a pipeline to a second blockade.
The market read it instantly.
Brent jumped nearly six dollars in a single session and crossed $100 for the first time since May, while American gas sits above $4.
Iran never needed to close the Middle East.
It needed both of its doors watched, and now they are.
Source: Reuters, NYT
Saudi Arabia built its escape from Iranian leverage on one assumption: if Hormuz closes, pump the oil west across the peninsula and ship it out of Yanbu on the Red Sea.
That plan worked. It carried millions of barrels a day while the strait strangled.
Then the Houthis started hitting Saudi tankers near Bab el-Mandeb and declaring the waterway theirs to authorize.
That changes the arithmetic completely.
One threatened chokepoint is a regional problem with a workaround.
Two threatened chokepoints on opposite coasts leaves the world's biggest exporter with no clean way out at all, and the bypass infrastructure the Gulf spent billions on becomes a pipeline to a second blockade.
The market read it instantly.
Brent jumped nearly six dollars in a single session and crossed $100 for the first time since May, while American gas sits above $4.
Iran never needed to close the Middle East.
It needed both of its doors watched, and now they are.
Source: Reuters, NYT
🇮🇷 The IRGC says it stopped 4 ships in Hormuz over 24 hours with warning shots, forcing them to alter course.
The vessels were using the southern corridor Iran calls an "unsafe route"; only Tehran-designated lanes are permitted.
Strip the language and the mechanism is the new checkpoint. Iran has been hitting tankers that hug the Omani coast to push traffic into its own waters, where "safe passage" is available, the unstated price being a fee the MOU never provided for.
Not a single drop passes without permission, the IRGC says. Permission is the whole business model.
Source: Al Jazeera
The vessels were using the southern corridor Iran calls an "unsafe route"; only Tehran-designated lanes are permitted.
Strip the language and the mechanism is the new checkpoint. Iran has been hitting tankers that hug the Omani coast to push traffic into its own waters, where "safe passage" is available, the unstated price being a fee the MOU never provided for.
Not a single drop passes without permission, the IRGC says. Permission is the whole business model.
Source: Al Jazeera
🚨 BREAKING 🚨
🇺🇸 $7.1 Trillion asset manager Fidelity urges Senate to pass the Clarity Act.
"THE TIME IS NOW."
🇺🇸 $7.1 Trillion asset manager Fidelity urges Senate to pass the Clarity Act.
"THE TIME IS NOW."
Everyone is expecting Clarity Act approval to be "Sell the news."
Everyone expected ETF approval to be "Sell the news."
The crypto market pumped 58% after ETFs' approval in 2024.
What if this happens again...
Everyone expected ETF approval to be "Sell the news."
The crypto market pumped 58% after ETFs' approval in 2024.
What if this happens again...
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 U.S. Senator Lummis says President Trump has voluntarily agreed to ethics rules, which were the biggest roadblock for the Clarity Act.
“Get the Clarity Act passed NOW”
“Get the Clarity Act passed NOW”
🇺🇸🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia got its nuclear deal on Wednesday and lost it by breakfast time yesterday...
Wednesday afternoon: full signing ceremony, flags on stage, Riyadh beamed in on a big screen.
The Saudis got much of what they wanted, including uranium enrichment on their own soil once certain conditions were met, and limits on how far UN inspectors could go on suspected covert sites.
Then Trump posted that Saudi has to join the Abraham Accords first, and denied enrichment was ever part of it.
The timing is the interesting part. Fox spent the 7 a.m. hour asking why normalization with Israel wasn't attached. Trump's post went up at 7:52 a.m...
His own negotiators were blindsided, and so were the Saudis, who had treated the deal as a major win.
Many around the administration assumed Netanyahu got to him first. The White House says the two never spoke.
MBS has already said he won't normalize without a real path to Palestinian statehood, so the deal is now stuck behind the one condition Riyadh keeps refusing.
Source: CNN
Wednesday afternoon: full signing ceremony, flags on stage, Riyadh beamed in on a big screen.
The Saudis got much of what they wanted, including uranium enrichment on their own soil once certain conditions were met, and limits on how far UN inspectors could go on suspected covert sites.
Then Trump posted that Saudi has to join the Abraham Accords first, and denied enrichment was ever part of it.
The timing is the interesting part. Fox spent the 7 a.m. hour asking why normalization with Israel wasn't attached. Trump's post went up at 7:52 a.m...
His own negotiators were blindsided, and so were the Saudis, who had treated the deal as a major win.
Many around the administration assumed Netanyahu got to him first. The White House says the two never spoke.
MBS has already said he won't normalize without a real path to Palestinian statehood, so the deal is now stuck behind the one condition Riyadh keeps refusing.
Source: CNN
Bitcoin is trading just below $65,000 after getting rejected at $67,000.
Key levels:
- Support: the 50-day MA at $63,125
- Resistance: $67,253, then the 200 MA at $72,414
We need a daily close above $67,253 that could trigger bullish momentum.
Key levels:
- Support: the 50-day MA at $63,125
- Resistance: $67,253, then the 200 MA at $72,414
We need a daily close above $67,253 that could trigger bullish momentum.
THIS IS MASSIVE FOR CRYPTO
President Trump has agreed to ethics rules and is now urging Democrats to work with Republicans to get the Clarity Act "over the finish line."
Once this bill passes, trillions will flow into the market.
President Trump has agreed to ethics rules and is now urging Democrats to work with Republicans to get the Clarity Act "over the finish line."
Once this bill passes, trillions will flow into the market.
BREAKING: PRESIDENT TRUMP IS CONSIDERING “MASSIVE ATTACK” ON IRAN.
$1,400,000,000,000 has now been wiped out from the US stock market today.
Holy Shit.
Holy Shit.
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