STi克莱小汤

If you want to make quick money from investment, the basic outcome is to give away money,
If you want to earn long-term value from investment, it often may bring surprises instead.
If you want others to take over your investment, you will ultimately be swallowed by even darker hands.
If you want to learn and share together through investment, it will be easier to accumulate value and merit.

In short, you must be true to your conscience; only then can some invisible forces be activated in the midst of it all. This is also an interesting deep-level philosophy, the way of balance.

$BTC $ETH $BNB #加密市场观察

Sun and Moon Guidance: No Hat in the Sky, No Bend in the River, Beyond All Things, One More Added

$BTC $ETH $NEAR

#山寨季何时到来？ #BTC重返10万

If you’ve been on a losing streak, you can try these three moves: Faker also uses

1. Drink water—at least drink a few cups. In many cases, the reason people become impulsive, agitated, and angry—really comes down to one simple fact: you’re dehydrated.

2. Exercise for 1 hour. Feeling annoyed and having troubling thoughts is also a kind of “mental poison.” This toxicity can be dispersed through exercise, allowing it to be expelled from your body.

3. Detach from your energy field. Leave the energy field that makes you feel temporarily “blocked.” Even three days can help you refresh a lot of your thinking.

$BTC $NVDA.US $ETH

#2026足球风潮

Three stocks for DCA buying and DCA selling:

‌Li Ning (02331) ‌ ‌Securitize (SECZ) ‌ ‌Bilibili (BILI) ‌ $BILIon

Logic:

1. First, the collaboration between Li Ning and Curry is nothing to worry about. As long as Curry’s shoes come out, its later marketing and profit margins will surely rise significantly. Under Armour’s marketing has been pretty strong too, but its valuation has still risen by several times.

Li Ning’s collaborations often won’t be reflected before the earnings report comes out. The stock usually shows a financial lag together with a lead time for the hype. So this Li Ning stock is more suitable for DCA—when it keeps dropping, you can dilute your cost continuously.

But the key is: Li Ning must not sell Curry’s shoes too expensively. It should follow the logic of Klay Thompson and Anta—just go that route. Curry’s popularity may even be slightly higher than Klay’s.

2. Securitize just went through a merger and listing. In terms of resources, the project’s advisor directly from the top resources on Wall Street is the chairman of the committee.

However, the project’s promotion is relatively limited. Many institutions don’t focus much on marketing; they understand more about internal and compliance matters. So the stock may see a period of heavy “washing out” after opening. This gives an opportunity for DCA. This project has huge potential as the future leader in the tokenization/RWA asset on-chain wave. Some off-exchange institutions have even bought in with a valuation of $15 billion—of course that’s unofficial. Investors should DYOR.

3. Bilibili (Bili): Before the re-run, the next few quarters’ membership and game revenue for Mortal (fan name) will definitely decline. But because Mortal’s re-run and the anticipation for Ling Long (A game/an IP) have recently resumed, they should gradually rise again.

So ad revenue and structural optimization should follow. Therefore, Bilibili’s long-term value is still worth expecting—just keep DCA.

[DCA selling]: When it goes up or when you cut your losses, sell on a regular schedule. It’s never too early to run.

‌$METAB

Facebook’s metaverse has completely messed up the B-verse. And recently, it has been hyping a bunch of AI, none of which actually managed to ride this hotspot. You’ll notice that many of FB’s PR updates are actually to cover up its bugs or lawsuits.

They sell computing power, then they need to build new AI arenas. FB is great at operations—this is exactly what it started from. But I don’t expect Facebook’s long-term value at all. I even think its value can at most support around 50% of what it is now. For this, just DCA sell, or even don’t look at it directly.

#Aİ

A short-post quick version of "A Quick Overview of the EU's MiCA," with the key points summarized:

MiCA (Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation) is the first unified regulatory framework for crypto assets introduced by the EU. Simply put, it establishes a unified system of "licensing + regulation + investor protection" for the entire crypto industry.

It mainly regulates four types of entities:

1. Crypto Asset Service Provider (CASP)
These are various crypto service providers, such as exchanges, wallet custody services, brokers, OTC services, custodians, and market makers, all of which will need to obtain a MiCA License in the future.
2. Stablecoins
MiCA has the strictest requirements for stablecoins.

Requirements include:
reserve assets, regular audits, liquidity requirements, risk disclosures
Algorithmic stablecoins have almost no room to survive.

3. Token issuance
When a project issues a Token, it must publish something similar to a securities prospectus:
Crypto Asset Whitepaper
This includes:
project introduction, tokenomics, risk disclosure, technical architecture, team, investment risks. If there is any false statement, the issuer must bear legal responsibility.

Normal crypto digital currencies, such as $BTC $ETH $SOL ALGO, ordinary Utility Tokens, and stablecoins, generally all fall within the scope of regulation ✅.

After MiCA takes effect, the difficulty of Token Listing is still far lower than that of a traditional IPO. The required materials remain relatively light compared with the hundreds of pages often needed for an IPO. While it increases restrictions on listing and risk, it also to some extent reduces the number of low-quality projects entering circulation. In the future, the web3 market will likely continue to tilt toward relatively higher-quality projects. Looking forward to the situation after two years of regulation. #Mica

$META Facebook has entered a crazy phase of buying PR that makes people take the blame. It feels like some Twitter influencers really did get funded to milk it—washing Meta’s bad-news headlines. The more it’s like this, the more you need to stay calm and observe.

Use first principles to analyze it: Meta’s current valuation includes an inflated bubble of super high expectations for its AI. But selling compute power basically indicates that its AI doesn’t have the level people are imagining. So the valuation definitely can’t hold—or said differently, the valuation needs to first strip out the imagined valuation around its AI industry. Then, with the lawsuits starting to heat up, we’ll see what’s really going on afterward.

$NVDAB $MUB Facebook is snatching other people’s business—its root cause is actually that Meta’s own business has serious problems and it’s trying to stop the bleeding. But in its marketing, it’s presented as if it were expanding its business. That’s the art of spin.

Other people don't even have enough computing power, but $METAB is doing just fine, taking excess computing power out to sell, and putting on a grand-sounding front. The reason they have spare computing power is still because their AI was too weak, so they stockpiled a bunch of computing power in advance. Now the costs can't be covered and nobody is using it. $NVDAB $GOOGL all of these are in short supply and urgently needed. Facebook Meta really jumps on whatever trend is hot, but can't do any of them well. They haven't figured out the metaverse, haven't figured out AI, and now they want to get into cloud computing power too～～～

$AIGENSYN I forgot who told me. They said if this project’s computing power verification vision can be realized with 50% or more, it would force web3 decentralized storage projects to gradually improve their architecture. Currently, $FIL $AR ’s usage can only be for small-scale applications that don’t require very fast communication speeds. But at the AI layer, large-scale applications have a high demand for communication speed. At the moment, projects like FIL and AR decentralized storage are basically just staring at the problem—there’s no way to capture the AI storage dividend unless there’s an underlying communication-layer innovation that solves the issue of personal idle devices’ combined communication speed.

In short, today’s decentralized storage is more like a very cheap, safe underground cold-storage data vault, rather than the high-speed storage that AI computation needs.

Of course, if it’s only used as a backup cold-storage layer, then it’s sufficient—then it just needs to match the pricing of services like Amazon Cloud cold storage. #

After 6 years of incubation and development, Securitize should finally be ready to list and trade on the NYSE. In the Tokenization space, over the next few years, it should become a key track for global transformation—mainly thanks to the flexibility of tokenized assets and the efficiency of capital.

This ticker: SECZ still looks extremely classy. As a platform chosen by major asset managers such as Apollo, BlackRock, BNY, Hamilton Lane, KKR, and VanEck, I hope it keeps getting better and better.

$BTC $GOOGL.US

The wallet security issues with $ADA have been around for quite some time. I've received several requests for help from big traders in the community. The technical security level of $ADA seems to be more stuck in the research phase, as the actual development and update speeds are quite slow. The price action was previously well-controlled due to high locked positions, but it's still challenging to use in recent years. Koreans and Japanese traders used to love this kind of thing, but it seems that a true tech-savvy approach is needed.

$ACNon In the past couple of days, Accenture has gone through a transformative burn test, much like the meaning of the 鼎卦, innovating and refining new materials.

However, financial reports and business often have a significant lag, especially around transformation cycles. The AI business content may not showcase its value in this earnings report; on the contrary, if it's an old business being transitioned on a large scale, this report could actually look pretty solid. #Aİ has a lot of orders, including military contracts, and the conversion into revenue may face some exposure delays.

Just like with $BILIon Bilibili, its revenue surge will be accompanied by the activation of memberships for '凡人', which definitely won’t be visible in the current earnings report. We might have to wait for the annual report to see it, including the past investments feeding back into the business.

Sometimes, the vibe is just hard to describe; that's the mystic side of things, right? When the energy aligns, I'm right there with my buddy from Bain, diving into some tennis analysis. I’ve just got a Welsh racket, and boom, Binance drops their Dragon Boat Festival gift on me. Last time, my suitcase and trench coat showed up just when I needed them; that’s some real synergy or maybe even fate at play. Here’s to taking it to the next level! $BTC $BNB

AI can help us code, generate content, and analyze tokenomics.

But I'm increasingly feeling that AI is just a tool; what’s truly scarce is inspiration and the ability to turn that inspiration into reality. (And how that inspiration comes about is crucial). Some folks just have that instinct to perceive the future 5-10 years down the line, which is tough to quantify and only proven by history.

When it comes to first principles, I lean towards thinking it's a kind of innate talent that can be sharpened through training. But a lot of people have their talent in other areas $BTC $TSLAB $SPCXB .

I still haven't figured out how to actively use my own buff, but my passive buffs are always running. Good businesses and people generally keep pushing up, while the ones that try to screw me over tend to get wrecked easily.

Last week, my Korean operations got messed with by Future Assets for two days. The result? A -20% hit today.

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