羡羡的加密日记

Please listen to my sincere words patiently, coin traders!

Whether you hold BTC tightly, love ETH, or are optimistic about BNB, please pause your busy trading and take a few minutes to feel my advice from the bottom of your heart.

When the halo of the coin circle allows you to achieve financial freedom, remember the following nine "don'ts", they may help you avoid many unnecessary twists and turns.

First, don't let people around you peek into the secrets of your coin trading. In this world, those who understand will naturally understand, no need to say more.

Second, don't easily expose your income. Income charts and asset charts are all triggers for jealousy and trouble, so it's better to keep a low profile.

Third, don't show off your rich life in the circle of friends. Except for close relatives, few people really hope that you live better than him. Excessive show-off will only attract unnecessary jealousy.

Fourth, when you have a huge fortune, you should also keep a proper distance from old friends. Many predecessors in the coin circle have chosen to live a low-key life after gaining financial freedom, and even gradually drifted away from their past friends.

Fifth, gambling and drugs, don't touch these two things! Gambling will ruin your psychology, and drugs will ruin your physiology. Once you are infected, the consequences will be disastrous.

Sixth, don't easily call people stupid B, harmony is the most important, and getting angry will only affect your fortune. When you meet those who consume you, just stay away from them, no need to say more.

Seventh, don't take the initiative to do good, and don't pity others easily. Everyone has his own destiny, and being yourself is the greatest contribution to the world.

Eighth, don't invest in areas you don't understand. Remember, people can never make money beyond their own cognition, and blind investment will only make you lose all your money.

Ninth, resolutely don't touch physical entrepreneurship unless you are passionate about it and don't make money as the only purpose. In the current economic environment, physical entrepreneurship is extremely risky, and if you are not careful, you may be unable to recover.

These are advices, but I sincerely hope you can listen to them. Although the currency circle is good, you must also act with caution. I hope you will be more stable and go further and further on the road of currency speculation.

Which are the best altcoins?
Deflation coins:
BNB, FLOKI, SHIB
Fully circulated coins:
PEPE, BOME, PEOPLE, NOT, WIF

$PONS is showing independent price action, rebounding 20% today as the overall Robinhood chain market recovers. The token has more than doubled in value since it was bought, and its narrative has gained considerable recognition both in China and overseas. It also features a creator revenue mechanism.
If Oz later claims the revenue and burns the tokens, creating a profit-making effect, this could directly ignite market sentiment around $PONS . The Chinese-speaking community may then drive the Robinhood chain into a new bull run.

$STRK has fallen 65% from its peak, so you can continue building your position in stages.
According to news on the 22nd, more than 93.5% of voting power in a Starknet governance vote supported researching a transition to an independent, quantum-resistant Layer 1 network. In the future, $STRK may be able to break away from Ethereum Layer 2. As an Ethereum L2, it cannot achieve full quantum resistance; after transitioning to an independent L1, it could be 100% quantum-resistant.
If quantum risks emerge down the line, institutional investors and large holders may withdraw funds from BTC and ETH and pour them into Starknet. Increased network liquidity could drive up the price of the $STRK token.
The project plans to release a white paper draft on the 11th of next month, laying the groundwork for its Layer 1 development. At the current price, consider buying more as it falls and holding for the long term. It is at rock-bottom levels and could be a chance for a turnaround.

$PONS looks attractive at 0.24. It has already fallen several times over from its peak, so you could look for an opportunity to go long on the dip!

$ETH
The rebound is losing steam, and the 4-hour highs keep moving lower, so it's too early to be bullish in the short term. 2,281 is the key short-term dividing line between bulls and bears. If the price breaks below it and fails to reclaim it on a rebound, it may continue to fall. Keep an eye out for buying support around 2,200.
Several central banks are set to announce policy decisions this week, alongside U.S. GDP and core PCE data, as well as earnings reports from Microsoft, Google, and Amazon. These could affect sentiment toward the dollar, U.S. Treasuries, U.S. stocks, and crypto, and are likely to increase market volatility. Don't rush into repeated trades; wait for the data and a clearer direction before acting.

$AVAX : The correction is confirmed, and you can start building a position. It’s suitable for long-term holding and has considerable potential. It has been in a pullback for over a month; prices below 9 are buying opportunities, so consider building your position in stages. The monthly and weekly charts show predominantly bullish signals. This is a healthy pullback following the main upward wave, and a second leg up is expected to begin soon. In the long term, there may be 5–10x upside. Hold on and wait for the rally.

$PEPE is still worth keeping an eye on.
The daily chart's rebound has been fairly solid, and $PEPE is currently trading around 0.0000044.
There are two key recent developments: a large PEPE transfer from an address linked to Sun Yuchen, and continued market speculation about a PEPE ETF.
However, the broader market is currently unstable, so there's no need to rush in at a high price. Keep a close watch on the 0.000004‑0.0000038 range. If the price pulls back and holds steady, you can enter in several batches.
Established meme coins can be highly volatile. A positive catalyst could trigger a rapid surge, but the key is getting the entry price right. Just wait for a suitable opportunity to build a position.

$ETH In this downturn, ETH has fallen more steadily than BTC, breaking below the lower edge of its previous consolidation range. No signs of a bottom are visible on the short-term charts for now, and the Ethereum Foundation has also continued selling tokens today. Watch the 2,180–2,200 support zone below; if it breaks, the next target is the 2,000 level!

$BTC At the current price of around 79,800, you could try going long with a small initial position, betting that this support level will hold. If support holds, the profit potential is considerable; if it breaks, exit decisively. This trade offers a good risk-reward ratio.

#中国人能飞 This coin has been performing strongly and is rallying again, with its market cap reaching 2.6m. The narratives behind good coins are often very simple—you can explain them in one sentence. The simpler they are, the easier it is to build consensus.

$PONS After falling from its peak, it has already been cut in half twice. Although the decline has been steep, its market cap remains relatively high compared with the leaders of other chains. Once it stabilizes and rebounds, the R chain will most likely be the first to move. I remain bullish on its potential for a breakout.

$ETH
Market analysis: The price has been falling steadily from the rebound high of 2526 and has yet to regain a strong trend. The short-term trend on the daily chart is clearly weak.
2350–2360 is a key level to watch. However, repeated tests of this level don’t mean the support is solid; instead, beware that buying pressure may gradually be depleted. The 2300 support is unlikely to hold. If it breaks decisively, the next area to watch is 2200–2250.

$BTC
It fell sharply today, dropping straight to 80772, down 1.4% on the day. Just a couple of days ago, it had surged to around 84900, so this pullback has been decisive. All the short-term moving averages are above the price, making the market look weak. Trading volume hasn't increased noticeably either, suggesting that investors are more likely selling off.

The main strategy is to prioritize a bearish outlook on altcoins, using $FIL
as an example. Altcoins that have rallied with bearish divergence all face a significant risk of a pullback. Assets like FIL, which have shown weak momentum and sparked considerable disagreement in the market, could easily see a sharp downward wick, especially amid recent news-driven volatility.

In terms of trading, going long is not recommended, and there’s no need to rush to buy the dip. Only if liquidity is extremely depleted by heavy selling should you consider a small position. This is not a prediction that a major bear market is coming; it’s simply an expectation of a short-term downward wick. The market has not yet reached a stage of widespread pessimism.

Altcoins could see downward wicks of over 20 points, while the broader market is expected to fall by more than 7 points.

After Brother Sun entered the market, $PEPE
the trend continued to strengthen. Keep an eye on it—it could drive a new wave of meme coin activity.

$ETH
There are no signs of a reversal for now, so the strategy is to focus on short positions. ETH's four-hour downtrend continues, and the daily chart has also broken below its previous low. As long as a bearish structure forms on the 1-hour or 15-minute chart, prioritize shorting.

$IRYS
The price action is textbook: it consolidated repeatedly around 18, testing support. After rising today, it then fluctuated around 24, and once Bitcoin rebounded, it broke upward smoothly.
When the market is weak, focus on resistance levels; when it’s strong, look for support levels.

$PONS
: There are quite a few issues: fees are declining, and the buyback-and-burn mechanism hasn’t been worked out. The cap for on-chain meme coins is low, which doesn’t align with the development direction of public blockchains. I recommend taking a page from the Pump model and using some of the proceeds to host hackathons and support developers; otherwise, it’ll be difficult to get off the ground.

$MORPHO
: The fundamentals are solid. It’s a leading on-chain lending protocol, and both Coinbase and Robinhood have chosen it for on-chain financial services. Activating the fee switch will be a pivotal turning point for the project.
$AI : I was initially quite optimistic, but after the rebranding incident, most of the founder’s plans failed to materialize. I’m no longer optimistic, won’t be adding to my position, and will continue to wait and see.
#NOTE : An established project. It launched a swap this week, and the team continues to make progress. It’s currently undergoing a Cyfrin audit; once the audit is complete, it will launch on mainnet. The only drawback is that the team is anonymous, but overall it seems fairly reliable.

$SKHYNIX
After this drop, there are signs of a potential bottom and sideways consolidation. The price is holding at the previous low support line, so you could consider taking a speculative position. Go long at the current price of 920, with a stop loss at 850 if it makes a new low. On a rebound, look first to the resistance level at 1150.