羡羡的加密日记

Please listen to my sincere words patiently, coin traders!

Whether you hold BTC tightly, love ETH, or are optimistic about BNB, please pause your busy trading and take a few minutes to feel my advice from the bottom of your heart.

When the halo of the coin circle allows you to achieve financial freedom, remember the following nine "don'ts", they may help you avoid many unnecessary twists and turns.

First, don't let people around you peek into the secrets of your coin trading. In this world, those who understand will naturally understand, no need to say more.

Second, don't easily expose your income. Income charts and asset charts are all triggers for jealousy and trouble, so it's better to keep a low profile.

Third, don't show off your rich life in the circle of friends. Except for close relatives, few people really hope that you live better than him. Excessive show-off will only attract unnecessary jealousy.

Fourth, when you have a huge fortune, you should also keep a proper distance from old friends. Many predecessors in the coin circle have chosen to live a low-key life after gaining financial freedom, and even gradually drifted away from their past friends.

Fifth, gambling and drugs, don't touch these two things! Gambling will ruin your psychology, and drugs will ruin your physiology. Once you are infected, the consequences will be disastrous.

Sixth, don't easily call people stupid B, harmony is the most important, and getting angry will only affect your fortune. When you meet those who consume you, just stay away from them, no need to say more.

Seventh, don't take the initiative to do good, and don't pity others easily. Everyone has his own destiny, and being yourself is the greatest contribution to the world.

Eighth, don't invest in areas you don't understand. Remember, people can never make money beyond their own cognition, and blind investment will only make you lose all your money.

Ninth, resolutely don't touch physical entrepreneurship unless you are passionate about it and don't make money as the only purpose. In the current economic environment, physical entrepreneurship is extremely risky, and if you are not careful, you may be unable to recover.

These are advices, but I sincerely hope you can listen to them. Although the currency circle is good, you must also act with caution. I hope you will be more stable and go further and further on the road of currency speculation.

Which are the best altcoins?
Deflation coins:
BNB, FLOKI, SHIB
Fully circulated coins:
PEPE, BOME, PEOPLE, NOT, WIF

My thoughts on the market outlook ahead:
1、September BTC and ETH should still have another push higher, but I think it’s more like a spike rather than the start of a new trend.
2、October may see a pullback, corresponding to the Wyckoff LPS. At that time, we need to look at the depth of the pullback and trading volume to determine whether the decline since Oct 2025 has truly ended.
3、BTC is likely to make a slightly new high as well. The key area to watch is around 84,000. In the short term, it may also briefly wick to a higher level.
4、This altcoin rally has already been up quite a lot. Both broad-based pumps and rotation have played out for two rounds, and there are plenty of coins that have risen more than 70% since August. But this kind of market doesn’t feel very sustainable—it seems more like a one-off surge.
In September, altcoins should have another wave. However, most of it may just be a retest of prior highs. Only a small number of coins that truly have momentum and income potential would have a chance to keep making new highs.

Today, the BSC chain basically produced #UpOnly , reaching a high point of 7M.
This coin was launched on the Butterfly platform. The narrative is the same “stocks that keep going down” meme that CZ used to post. After the launch, the liquidity pool is BNC, and it also has a mechanism that automatically repurchases when the price drops 10% each time. So at the beginning, it attracted a lot of people to buy, including the early buyers; later, the founder of Butterfly also bought in, directly pushing it to 7M.
But after it climbed too high, profit-takers started selling. The repurchase treasury probably also can’t hold up, so the sustainability is still fairly mediocre. Unless CZ comes out and calls for a pump, it doesn’t look very likely for now.
The price has already fallen below 2M.

Many people are now watching Friday night’s CPI data.
But what I care more about is: if CPI comes in above expectations and turns out bearish in the short term, where exactly would BTC pull back to.
I actually think this kind of pullback is an opportunity for medium- to long-term buying and re-entering BTC.
As for those still waiting for #BTC to drop to around 65,000, I think you may really have to wait for a long time—maybe even not see that price come within the next one or two years.

#BTC is currently grinding back and forth around the support area. The U.S. stock market is also mildly oscillating near the support area, and I feel that a breakout or reversal could be coming soon.
Right now, the market is mainly waiting for Friday’s CPI. The Fed chair keeps talking about hiking rates every day, but when it comes time to speak, there’s always uncertainty. I feel he still doesn’t really want to raise rates.
After all, if rates are raised again, the pressure on U.S. government debt would become even bigger.
At present, BTC, Ethereum, and U.S. stocks are all still above the support levels—especially Nasdaq index futures, where the MACD fast and slow lines on the daily chart have been grinding near the zero line for a long time.
So for the bigger trend, I still lean bullish. For the short term, it mainly depends on when the selling can stop and the downside can end.
As long as BTC holds above 76500, the bulls remain strong; and if Ethereum holds above 2350, it’s still relatively strong.

$ZEC Today directly broke through the previous high, reaching as high as 1263, but it quickly got hammered back down.
While making new highs, the divergence between volume and price is becoming increasingly obvious too, and it feels like the upward momentum of this leg is already starting to exhaust.

Around 1250 I already shorted a bit first; I’ll keep short orders up at 1270–1350.
Next, we’ll watch the short-term trendline—if it spikes up again and then reverses lower, the bearish thesis will be even clearer.

$SOPH directly smashed around 0.0051—this drop is brutal enough 😂
The hourly chart is starting to stabilize a bit now, so you can put it on your watchlist first. If you want to try, play with a small position; only consider adding when it reclaims 0.0055–0.006.
If it breaks below 0.005, don’t touch it for now—keep waiting.
The sentiment from the network switch this round has basically already been fully priced in; right now it’s mainly a bet on an oversold rebound.

If Binance keeps launching new Alphas afterward, I think $BEN has a pretty good probability.
Right now, on BSC, the few successful Alpha cases are basically the ones that have been Flapped out. Mars and NiuLai have already grown into top-tier IPs. Mars was pushed by institutions, while NiuLai was pushed by retail investors—but the core is still Flap launches.
Although yesterday Four launched $4Stock and started counterattacking, and even set up a BNB buyback mechanism to curry favor with Binance, it’s clear that Binance is now tied to Flap quite deeply. In this round of the crypto-and-exchange narrative, Binance is more inclined to recognize Flap’s successful cases.
$BEN isn’t yet a Flap “stage” coin, and it doesn’t have a buyback mechanism at the moment. But at the very least, it’s an officially recognized mascot. Recently, Flap even spent $1 million to buy back tokens on-chain, and it has already bought Mars and NiuLai. Next, I think BEN is very likely to be the next one.
After these two days of PvP, $BEN has also fallen back to around 4M. It’s basically back to a comfortable position that regular people can buy into, besides snipers.
So for now, I’m placing my bet here—betting that it becomes the next Binance Alpha.

The trend is coming—usually they all rise together, but the money is limited. So it’s best to buy before the breakout, not just keep waiting and埋伏 at the bottom; you really don’t know when it will finally move.
Yesterday I looked at $DOGS, $AIO, $SOPH, and $FORM—basically they all started after a breakout + a pullback.
In normal times, keep an eye on the top gainers/losers list; opportunities are always there. The key is to filter out the ones that best match your own trading logic—buy before it starts moving so you don’t have to sit there waiting like an idiot.

The overall situation on-chain today isn't really great. Today I'm mainly watching a few areas:
1. Robinhood
Recently, the Chinese-language community has clearly started to heat up. On one side, you have all kinds of “sudden wealth” screenshots, and on the other, people are saying RH is already out of steam.
But what’s truly worth watching is whether Stock Meme can turn Robinhood into the biggest attention casino of the next phase.
2. LAPTOP
Tonight it goes live on Base. The gameplay is Hunter Biden + political memes, plus compensation for users of $TRUMP who suffered losses.
This kind of design is inherently very easy to spread. Tonight, the main thing to watch is whether the market is willing to pay for this story.
3. Hyperliquid / $HYPE
Jump has done about 150B in volume on Hyperliquid.
$HYPE just made a new high recently, so what’s more worth focusing on now is: how seriously are institutions treating Hyperliquid as actual trading infrastructure—not just a crypto-native DEX.
4. x402 / reflection tokens
Lately, English CTs have started trading this, but in the Chinese community I haven't seen many people discussing it yet.
The core question is still this: is there truly a need for Agent Payment, or is it another round of packaged “wash trading/volume pumping” narrative?
Although the overall on-chain picture today isn't great, these directions are still worth keeping a close eye on, to see where the money ultimately ends up running to.

#BTC Today’s daily chart just closed, and MA23 has finally come up to meet us. And here is also right at the MA5 area of support.
Now several levels of support are overlapping, and a new trendline and structure are gradually taking shape.
So I’m still firmly bullish. This looks more like a continuation during an uptrend, not a reversal.
Next, I’m going to closely watch the 81500 area. If it truly breaks through, the upside space will be completely opened up.
In the past few days, BTC looks a bit weak, but I think it’s just shaking out the market. Too many weights are on the vehicle—how could the operators lighten the load without washing out a batch of people?
It feels like the shakeout is already about done, and the room and probability for further downside drops is not that big anymore.
Also, the U.S. stock market is currently grinding upward as well, so the overall environment still leans bullish.
The daily structure looks quite good for now. Later on, it may form a W pattern. Once 81500 is broken, the second leg of the upmove could be directly triggered.
So don’t let the weakness of the past few days scare you. I actually think the real rally may be coming soon.

Is the Chinese circle still FUD #4STOCK right now? As a result, Frank went on a complete buying spree last night, and in the end he dumped more than $400,000 into it.
More importantly, Four also published BNC4’s daily buyback-and-burn mechanism last night:
Every day, take 100% of the product revenue generated by BNC4, use it to buy back and destroy the eligible Meme that ranks first by trading volume for that day.
The leaderboard resets every day, but now the $4Stock’s trading volume and attention are already so high—so as long as it can keep holding the #1 spot, the money Four earns every day will continuously turn into buy orders for 4Stock.
This logic is actually very simple:
#1 by trading volume for 4Stock → Four buys back 4Stock → buy orders increase, attention rises → trading volume stays #1 → the next day it continues to buy back.
So it’s clear why Frank dared to drop more than $400,000 straight into it.
What he’s betting on isn’t the rise or fall over the next day or two, but whether this flywheel can truly get going.

$4stock This buy-side is really fierce.
Just now one wick directly smashed from 57M down to 1M—almost went to zero. Then, the next second it got forcefully pulled back.
The market sentiment right now is really hot. Lately, it feels like BSC has been continuously seeing money come out.
And these past few days, it’s been especially noticeable: over on RH, the funds seem to have started moving toward BSC. The influx feels stronger and stronger.
With this pace, it looks like this wave of BSC heat might not be over yet.

$SNDK
This wave still couldn’t hold steady around 1820. If it can’t get above this level and stay there, then I think there will be at least another 200-dollar downside ahead.
If you’re holding short positions, you can continue adding; if you haven’t entered yet, you can also try shorting here.
1820 is still a key level—if it keeps failing to break through, it’s very likely to form a double top, and afterward it will most likely plunge downward.

$PROM Get on the car directly!
The PROM has just had a pullback in front, and now both the 4-hour and daily charts are stable. Plus, recently some funds have started coming in, so I feel there’s still room for it to keep moving up.

At this level, you can directly watch it—enter at the current price is also fine. Based on the current trend, I estimate there’s a chance to be pushed up to around 7–8.
Once it reaches that level, you can directly take profit.
But to make it clear: this PROM move is mainly for speculation, not a “value coin” meant for long-term holding. So once you reach the target, you should run—don’t think about holding it forever. If you make money, exit.

$ETH This rectangle’s upper boundary has already been unable to break through several times in a row. Every time it reaches the top, it gets knocked back down, which shows that the selling pressure here is really strong.
So in the short term, the chance of going straight into a bullish continuation is getting smaller and smaller. I also took a short position near the upper boundary.
Next, we’ll mainly watch the support below. If the support can’t hold and gets broken directly, then this move will most likely continue downward. First, look around 2250.

$PONS pulled back.
As long as this Robinhood narrative keeps running hot, PONS, as the current leader, reaching a $1B market cap is only a matter of time in my opinion.
What I’m really worried about now is whether PONS’s team can hold up once it actually gets to $1B.
A market cap rising too fast is also a test for the team: management, security, ecosystem, and whether they can keep coming up with new things down the road — none of these can slip.
After all, the PONS team hasn’t really put up any especially impressive results before, so that’s something to keep an eye on.
That said, if PONS really can become a core project in the Robinhood ecosystem later on, then the resources Robinhood has should be able to make up for a lot of its shortcomings.
So I’m actually not that worried about this pullback. What really matters is whether the team can carry this project forward from here.

$ICP first look at 4

$LYN can be worth keeping an eye on.
There’s been some activity on-chain recently. First, a multisig wallet split the holdings across about 40 addresses, and then later consolidated them back into two addresses.

What exactly these addresses are for is still unclear, but this kind of first splitting and then consolidating doesn’t look like normal user transfers. It looks more like arranging positions in advance.
Looking at the chart, LYN has been trading sideways for quite a while, and now most accounts are long, with large holders also leaning long.
Over the past 24 hours, price has only risen about 2%, but OI has increased by 13%, which suggests that during this sideways period, a lot of positions have been gradually added.
Of course, having many long accounts doesn’t necessarily mean that’s good. But combined with the recent on-chain position movement, I actually think the large-money long positions may already be mostly built, and now we’re just waiting for price to choose a direction.
Also, for a coin like this, retail participation is probably still not very high, so if it starts moving later, it could become quite interesting.

Next, the key focus is on two levels:
Can 0.0355 hold below, and can 0.03795 break out with volume above?
If it can reclaim 0.03795 with strong volume, then the positions accumulated during the earlier sideways period could further amplify the move.
But if it breaks below 0.0355 and OI keeps increasing, then caution is needed. It may first sweep out a wave of longs to the downside.