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超神投资
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#SUI Daily Chart | Wyckoff Structure Watch
After completing its bottom accumulation, price rallied and has now pulled back to the 0.94–0.96 area. If it holds, this could be a continuation pattern; if it fails, be wary that the exceptionally high volume at the end of September may have marked the start of distribution.
From June to mid-September, SUI moved sideways between 0.65 and 0.83 for more than three months. By mid-August, daily trading volume had shrunk to around 5 million, with hardly anyone paying attention. On August 18, price dipped to 0.6354, then recovered the next day. It subsequently rallied on rising volume. On September 21, volume reached 237 million as price moved above 1.0, and on September 27 it peaked at 1.2947. On September 28, volume was 207 million, and the day closed with a bearish candle with a long upper wick. Price then churned between 1.10 and 1.27 for a week before breaking below 1.10 on heavy volume on October 8, with a low of 0.998. Over the past week, the low extended to 0.9372, while the current price is around 0.999. Yesterday’s trading volume was 33 million, only about half the 20-day average.
Looking at the bottom formation through a Wyckoff lens:
- Phase A: Heavy selling on June 4–5 drove price down to around 0.67, forming the SC. The rebound to 0.8287 on June 15 was the AR, marking an initial halt to the decline.
- Phase B: From June to August, price repeatedly ranged between 0.65 and 0.83. The 0.6514 low on June 25 was the ST. Volume steadily contracted as selling pressure was gradually absorbed.
- Phase C: On August 18, price broke below the range to 0.6354, then recovered the next day—a fairly textbook Spring.
- Phase D: On August 21–22, price surged on heavy volume to 0.954, marking the SOS. The September 15 pullback to 0.673 held above the Spring low and can be considered an LPS, after which the rally began.
Key levels:
- Support: 0.937–0.96 (the August 22 SOS high, also near the 50-day moving average), followed by 0.81–0.86 (the September 19–20 breakout zone)
- First resistance: 1.07–1.14
- Strong resistance: 1.21–1.29
If price continues to stabilize above 0.94 on declining volume, then reclaims 1.14 on rising volume, that would confirm the pullback after the rally and could open the way back to 1.21–1.29 to retest the previous high. If price breaks below 0.9372 on heavy volume and fails to recover, the September 28 candle would look more like a BC, suggesting distribution in this upper range, with 0.81–0.86 as the first downside area to watch.
A pullback to the previous high is not inherently bearish; the key is whether volume contracts or expands around 0.94.
This is not investment advice.
#SUI Daily Chart | Wyckoff Structure Watch
After completing its bottom accumulation, price rallied and has now pulled back to the 0.94–0.96 area. If it holds, this could be a continuation pattern; if it fails, be wary that the exceptionally high volume at the end of September may have marked the start of distribution.
From June to mid-September, SUI moved sideways between 0.65 and 0.83 for more than three months. By mid-August, daily trading volume had shrunk to around 5 million, with hardly anyone paying attention. On August 18, price dipped to 0.6354, then recovered the next day. It subsequently rallied on rising volume. On September 21, volume reached 237 million as price moved above 1.0, and on September 27 it peaked at 1.2947. On September 28, volume was 207 million, and the day closed with a bearish candle with a long upper wick. Price then churned between 1.10 and 1.27 for a week before breaking below 1.10 on heavy volume on October 8, with a low of 0.998. Over the past week, the low extended to 0.9372, while the current price is around 0.999. Yesterday’s trading volume was 33 million, only about half the 20-day average.
Looking at the bottom formation through a Wyckoff lens:
- Phase A: Heavy selling on June 4–5 drove price down to around 0.67, forming the SC. The rebound to 0.8287 on June 15 was the AR, marking an initial halt to the decline.
- Phase B: From June to August, price repeatedly ranged between 0.65 and 0.83. The 0.6514 low on June 25 was the ST. Volume steadily contracted as selling pressure was gradually absorbed.
- Phase C: On August 18, price broke below the range to 0.6354, then recovered the next day—a fairly textbook Spring.
- Phase D: On August 21–22, price surged on heavy volume to 0.954, marking the SOS. The September 15 pullback to 0.673 held above the Spring low and can be considered an LPS, after which the rally began.
Key levels:
- Support: 0.937–0.96 (the August 22 SOS high, also near the 50-day moving average), followed by 0.81–0.86 (the September 19–20 breakout zone)
- First resistance: 1.07–1.14
- Strong resistance: 1.21–1.29
If price continues to stabilize above 0.94 on declining volume, then reclaims 1.14 on rising volume, that would confirm the pullback after the rally and could open the way back to 1.21–1.29 to retest the previous high. If price breaks below 0.9372 on heavy volume and fails to recover, the September 28 candle would look more like a BC, suggesting distribution in this upper range, with 0.81–0.86 as the first downside area to watch.
A pullback to the previous high is not inherently bearish; the key is whether volume contracts or expands around 0.94.
This is not investment advice.
After completing its bottom accumulation, price rallied and has now pulled back to the 0.94–0.96 area. If it holds, this could be a continuation pattern; if it fails, be wary that the exceptionally high volume at the end of September may have marked the start of distribution.
From June to mid-September, SUI moved sideways between 0.65 and 0.83 for more than three months. By mid-August, daily trading volume had shrunk to around 5 million, with hardly anyone paying attention. On August 18, price dipped to 0.6354, then recovered the next day. It subsequently rallied on rising volume. On September 21, volume reached 237 million as price moved above 1.0, and on September 27 it peaked at 1.2947. On September 28, volume was 207 million, and the day closed with a bearish candle with a long upper wick. Price then churned between 1.10 and 1.27 for a week before breaking below 1.10 on heavy volume on October 8, with a low of 0.998. Over the past week, the low extended to 0.9372, while the current price is around 0.999. Yesterday’s trading volume was 33 million, only about half the 20-day average.
Looking at the bottom formation through a Wyckoff lens:
- Phase A: Heavy selling on June 4–5 drove price down to around 0.67, forming the SC. The rebound to 0.8287 on June 15 was the AR, marking an initial halt to the decline.
- Phase B: From June to August, price repeatedly ranged between 0.65 and 0.83. The 0.6514 low on June 25 was the ST. Volume steadily contracted as selling pressure was gradually absorbed.
- Phase C: On August 18, price broke below the range to 0.6354, then recovered the next day—a fairly textbook Spring.
- Phase D: On August 21–22, price surged on heavy volume to 0.954, marking the SOS. The September 15 pullback to 0.673 held above the Spring low and can be considered an LPS, after which the rally began.
Key levels:
- Support: 0.937–0.96 (the August 22 SOS high, also near the 50-day moving average), followed by 0.81–0.86 (the September 19–20 breakout zone)
- First resistance: 1.07–1.14
- Strong resistance: 1.21–1.29
If price continues to stabilize above 0.94 on declining volume, then reclaims 1.14 on rising volume, that would confirm the pullback after the rally and could open the way back to 1.21–1.29 to retest the previous high. If price breaks below 0.9372 on heavy volume and fails to recover, the September 28 candle would look more like a BC, suggesting distribution in this upper range, with 0.81–0.86 as the first downside area to watch.
A pullback to the previous high is not inherently bearish; the key is whether volume contracts or expands around 0.94.
This is not investment advice.
404
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#ETH Daily Chart | Wyckoff Structure Analysis
One tier weaker than BTC. The lower boundary of the previous range at 2,406 has been breached, and price is now holding around 2,320
On September 21, volume surged to a record as price reached 2,807. On October 2, price rose on heavy volume to 2,777 but failed to exceed the previous high. On October 7–8, it fell on heavy volume through 2,600 and 2,406. On October 15, price dropped on heavy volume to 2,318, then recovered to close at 2,442. On October 17–18, it retested 2,329 on lower volume. The current price is around 2,415, still below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages
From a Wyckoff perspective:
- Phase A: The record volume on September 21 may indicate a BC; the pullback to 2,600 on September 24 formed the AR
- Phase B: The October 2 test of the high failed, followed by a heavy-volume break below the AR low, suggesting supply is dominant
- Phase C: The October 15 dip and recovery resembles a Spring, but the close has stayed near 2,400, and the rebound is weak
- Phase D: Not yet observed; successive highs have declined from 2,580 to 2,538, 2,494, and 2,430
Key price levels:
- Support: 2,318–2,330
- First resistance: 2,530–2,580
- Strong resistance: 2,650–2,700, with 2,777–2,807 above
If 2,318 holds on lower volume and price then recovers to 2,580 on heavy volume, this dip could be viewed as a Spring within a reaccumulation. A heavy-volume break below 2,318 without a recovery would be a SOW, increasing the likelihood of distribution; the next level to watch below is 2,220
ETH first needs to prove it can keep pace with BTC’s rebound. If it can’t, it’s hard to say this is a bottom
This is not investment advice
#ETH Daily Chart | Wyckoff Structure Analysis
One tier weaker than BTC. The lower boundary of the previous range at 2,406 has been breached, and price is now holding around 2,320
On September 21, volume surged to a record as price reached 2,807. On October 2, price rose on heavy volume to 2,777 but failed to exceed the previous high. On October 7–8, it fell on heavy volume through 2,600 and 2,406. On October 15, price dropped on heavy volume to 2,318, then recovered to close at 2,442. On October 17–18, it retested 2,329 on lower volume. The current price is around 2,415, still below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages
From a Wyckoff perspective:
- Phase A: The record volume on September 21 may indicate a BC; the pullback to 2,600 on September 24 formed the AR
- Phase B: The October 2 test of the high failed, followed by a heavy-volume break below the AR low, suggesting supply is dominant
- Phase C: The October 15 dip and recovery resembles a Spring, but the close has stayed near 2,400, and the rebound is weak
- Phase D: Not yet observed; successive highs have declined from 2,580 to 2,538, 2,494, and 2,430
Key price levels:
- Support: 2,318–2,330
- First resistance: 2,530–2,580
- Strong resistance: 2,650–2,700, with 2,777–2,807 above
If 2,318 holds on lower volume and price then recovers to 2,580 on heavy volume, this dip could be viewed as a Spring within a reaccumulation. A heavy-volume break below 2,318 without a recovery would be a SOW, increasing the likelihood of distribution; the next level to watch below is 2,220
ETH first needs to prove it can keep pace with BTC’s rebound. If it can’t, it’s hard to say this is a bottom
This is not investment advice
One tier weaker than BTC. The lower boundary of the previous range at 2,406 has been breached, and price is now holding around 2,320
On September 21, volume surged to a record as price reached 2,807. On October 2, price rose on heavy volume to 2,777 but failed to exceed the previous high. On October 7–8, it fell on heavy volume through 2,600 and 2,406. On October 15, price dropped on heavy volume to 2,318, then recovered to close at 2,442. On October 17–18, it retested 2,329 on lower volume. The current price is around 2,415, still below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages
From a Wyckoff perspective:
- Phase A: The record volume on September 21 may indicate a BC; the pullback to 2,600 on September 24 formed the AR
- Phase B: The October 2 test of the high failed, followed by a heavy-volume break below the AR low, suggesting supply is dominant
- Phase C: The October 15 dip and recovery resembles a Spring, but the close has stayed near 2,400, and the rebound is weak
- Phase D: Not yet observed; successive highs have declined from 2,580 to 2,538, 2,494, and 2,430
Key price levels:
- Support: 2,318–2,330
- First resistance: 2,530–2,580
- Strong resistance: 2,650–2,700, with 2,777–2,807 above
If 2,318 holds on lower volume and price then recovers to 2,580 on heavy volume, this dip could be viewed as a Spring within a reaccumulation. A heavy-volume break below 2,318 without a recovery would be a SOW, increasing the likelihood of distribution; the next level to watch below is 2,220
ETH first needs to prove it can keep pace with BTC’s rebound. If it can’t, it’s hard to say this is a bottom
This is not investment advice
212
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#BTC Daily Chart | Wyckoff Structure Watch
The lower edge of the upper range was just briefly broken and reclaimed, somewhat like a Spring, but the highs are still moving lower, so the direction remains unclear.
After surging to 87,395 on exceptionally heavy volume on September 21, the price moved sideways. On October 2, it surged to 87,220 on increased volume but failed to make a new high. On October 15, it fell intraday to 79,800, breaking below the previous low of 80,393, then recovered to close at 82,246 on heavy volume. Over the next three days, volume tapered off as the price held above 80,680. The current price is around 82,300.
From a Wyckoff perspective:
- Phase A: The exceptionally heavy volume on September 21 may indicate a BC; the pullback to 82,563 on September 28 formed the AR.
- Phase B: The October 2 attempt to test the high failed, with supply and demand competing within the range.
- Phase C: The October 15 break below support followed by a recovery may indicate a Spring; the subsequent low-volume retest did not break lower.
- Phase D: Not confirmed. The highs have been stepping down: 84,350, 84,150, and 82,900.
Key levels:
- Support: 79,800–80,700
- First resistance: 84,150–84,350
- Strong resistance: 86,700–87,400
The accumulation thesis will hold only if 79,800 holds, the price moves above 84,350 on increased volume, and then holds on a retest. If so, it could head back to 87,400 for another test. A high-volume close below 79,800 would suggest this recovery was a false move, favoring a SOW, with 78,000 as the next level to watch below.
Next, watch whether the rebound comes with increased volume. A grind higher on declining volume doesn’t count.
This is not investment advice.
#BTC Daily Chart | Wyckoff Structure Watch
The lower edge of the upper range was just briefly broken and reclaimed, somewhat like a Spring, but the highs are still moving lower, so the direction remains unclear.
After surging to 87,395 on exceptionally heavy volume on September 21, the price moved sideways. On October 2, it surged to 87,220 on increased volume but failed to make a new high. On October 15, it fell intraday to 79,800, breaking below the previous low of 80,393, then recovered to close at 82,246 on heavy volume. Over the next three days, volume tapered off as the price held above 80,680. The current price is around 82,300.
From a Wyckoff perspective:
- Phase A: The exceptionally heavy volume on September 21 may indicate a BC; the pullback to 82,563 on September 28 formed the AR.
- Phase B: The October 2 attempt to test the high failed, with supply and demand competing within the range.
- Phase C: The October 15 break below support followed by a recovery may indicate a Spring; the subsequent low-volume retest did not break lower.
- Phase D: Not confirmed. The highs have been stepping down: 84,350, 84,150, and 82,900.
Key levels:
- Support: 79,800–80,700
- First resistance: 84,150–84,350
- Strong resistance: 86,700–87,400
The accumulation thesis will hold only if 79,800 holds, the price moves above 84,350 on increased volume, and then holds on a retest. If so, it could head back to 87,400 for another test. A high-volume close below 79,800 would suggest this recovery was a false move, favoring a SOW, with 78,000 as the next level to watch below.
Next, watch whether the rebound comes with increased volume. A grind higher on declining volume doesn’t count.
This is not investment advice.
The lower edge of the upper range was just briefly broken and reclaimed, somewhat like a Spring, but the highs are still moving lower, so the direction remains unclear.
After surging to 87,395 on exceptionally heavy volume on September 21, the price moved sideways. On October 2, it surged to 87,220 on increased volume but failed to make a new high. On October 15, it fell intraday to 79,800, breaking below the previous low of 80,393, then recovered to close at 82,246 on heavy volume. Over the next three days, volume tapered off as the price held above 80,680. The current price is around 82,300.
From a Wyckoff perspective:
- Phase A: The exceptionally heavy volume on September 21 may indicate a BC; the pullback to 82,563 on September 28 formed the AR.
- Phase B: The October 2 attempt to test the high failed, with supply and demand competing within the range.
- Phase C: The October 15 break below support followed by a recovery may indicate a Spring; the subsequent low-volume retest did not break lower.
- Phase D: Not confirmed. The highs have been stepping down: 84,350, 84,150, and 82,900.
Key levels:
- Support: 79,800–80,700
- First resistance: 84,150–84,350
- Strong resistance: 86,700–87,400
The accumulation thesis will hold only if 79,800 holds, the price moves above 84,350 on increased volume, and then holds on a retest. If so, it could head back to 87,400 for another test. A high-volume close below 79,800 would suggest this recovery was a false move, favoring a SOW, with 78,000 as the next level to watch below.
Next, watch whether the rebound comes with increased volume. A grind higher on declining volume doesn’t count.
This is not investment advice.
129
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#XRP Daily Chart | Wyckoff Structure Watch
The high-level range after the rally has returned to near its lower boundary. Whether 1.25 holds will determine if this is reaccumulation or distribution.
On August 19, price broke out from around 1.00 on a surge in volume. On August 22, trading volume reached its highest level in nearly 200 days, pushing the price to 1.6999. The day ended with a long upper wick, followed by a wide trading range between 1.25 and 1.70. On September 15, price plunged on heavy volume. The low on September 16 was 1.2468. From September 21 to 25, price rallied again on heavy volume to 1.6581, but failed to reach the previous high. Since October, the highs have been moving steadily lower. The low on October 17 was 1.2701, and the current price is around 1.295. Trading volume has contracted noticeably during the decline; yesterday, it was only about 30% of the 20-day average.
From a Wyckoff perspective:
- Phase A: The exceptionally high volume and long upper wick on August 22 may indicate a BC. The pullback to 1.31 on September 2 formed an AR, bringing the sharp rally to a pause.
- Phase B: In mid-September, price repeatedly tested the 1.25–1.50 range. After the high-volume sell-off on September 15, 1.2468 held, which can be considered a test of the lower boundary.
- Phase C: The high-volume rally to 1.6581 on September 23 failed to break above 1.70, possibly indicating a UT. However, there has not yet been a Spring—a break below 1.25 followed by a quick recovery—so the direction remains uncertain.
- Phase D: Not yet confirmed. The highs have stepped down from 1.66 to 1.555, 1.43, and 1.35, which is bearish. However, volume has contracted throughout the decline, suggesting that active selling pressure is not particularly heavy.
Key levels:
- Support: 1.25–1.27, followed by 1.14–1.19 (the upper edge of the previous bottom)
- First resistance: 1.38–1.43
- Strong resistance: 1.55–1.66, with 1.70 above
If price continues to stabilize above 1.25 on declining volume, then recovers 1.43 on increased volume, it would look more like reaccumulation after the rally, with a chance of returning to 1.55–1.66 for another test. If price breaks below 1.2468 on increased volume and fails to recover, that would be a SOW, increasing the likelihood of distribution. The next area to watch below is 1.14–1.19.
There is no need to pay too much attention to price swings within the range. What really matters is whether volume expands or continues to contract when price reaches 1.25.
This is not investment advice.
#XRP Daily Chart | Wyckoff Structure Watch
The high-level range after the rally has returned to near its lower boundary. Whether 1.25 holds will determine if this is reaccumulation or distribution.
On August 19, price broke out from around 1.00 on a surge in volume. On August 22, trading volume reached its highest level in nearly 200 days, pushing the price to 1.6999. The day ended with a long upper wick, followed by a wide trading range between 1.25 and 1.70. On September 15, price plunged on heavy volume. The low on September 16 was 1.2468. From September 21 to 25, price rallied again on heavy volume to 1.6581, but failed to reach the previous high. Since October, the highs have been moving steadily lower. The low on October 17 was 1.2701, and the current price is around 1.295. Trading volume has contracted noticeably during the decline; yesterday, it was only about 30% of the 20-day average.
From a Wyckoff perspective:
- Phase A: The exceptionally high volume and long upper wick on August 22 may indicate a BC. The pullback to 1.31 on September 2 formed an AR, bringing the sharp rally to a pause.
- Phase B: In mid-September, price repeatedly tested the 1.25–1.50 range. After the high-volume sell-off on September 15, 1.2468 held, which can be considered a test of the lower boundary.
- Phase C: The high-volume rally to 1.6581 on September 23 failed to break above 1.70, possibly indicating a UT. However, there has not yet been a Spring—a break below 1.25 followed by a quick recovery—so the direction remains uncertain.
- Phase D: Not yet confirmed. The highs have stepped down from 1.66 to 1.555, 1.43, and 1.35, which is bearish. However, volume has contracted throughout the decline, suggesting that active selling pressure is not particularly heavy.
Key levels:
- Support: 1.25–1.27, followed by 1.14–1.19 (the upper edge of the previous bottom)
- First resistance: 1.38–1.43
- Strong resistance: 1.55–1.66, with 1.70 above
If price continues to stabilize above 1.25 on declining volume, then recovers 1.43 on increased volume, it would look more like reaccumulation after the rally, with a chance of returning to 1.55–1.66 for another test. If price breaks below 1.2468 on increased volume and fails to recover, that would be a SOW, increasing the likelihood of distribution. The next area to watch below is 1.14–1.19.
There is no need to pay too much attention to price swings within the range. What really matters is whether volume expands or continues to contract when price reaches 1.25.
This is not investment advice.
The high-level range after the rally has returned to near its lower boundary. Whether 1.25 holds will determine if this is reaccumulation or distribution.
On August 19, price broke out from around 1.00 on a surge in volume. On August 22, trading volume reached its highest level in nearly 200 days, pushing the price to 1.6999. The day ended with a long upper wick, followed by a wide trading range between 1.25 and 1.70. On September 15, price plunged on heavy volume. The low on September 16 was 1.2468. From September 21 to 25, price rallied again on heavy volume to 1.6581, but failed to reach the previous high. Since October, the highs have been moving steadily lower. The low on October 17 was 1.2701, and the current price is around 1.295. Trading volume has contracted noticeably during the decline; yesterday, it was only about 30% of the 20-day average.
From a Wyckoff perspective:
- Phase A: The exceptionally high volume and long upper wick on August 22 may indicate a BC. The pullback to 1.31 on September 2 formed an AR, bringing the sharp rally to a pause.
- Phase B: In mid-September, price repeatedly tested the 1.25–1.50 range. After the high-volume sell-off on September 15, 1.2468 held, which can be considered a test of the lower boundary.
- Phase C: The high-volume rally to 1.6581 on September 23 failed to break above 1.70, possibly indicating a UT. However, there has not yet been a Spring—a break below 1.25 followed by a quick recovery—so the direction remains uncertain.
- Phase D: Not yet confirmed. The highs have stepped down from 1.66 to 1.555, 1.43, and 1.35, which is bearish. However, volume has contracted throughout the decline, suggesting that active selling pressure is not particularly heavy.
Key levels:
- Support: 1.25–1.27, followed by 1.14–1.19 (the upper edge of the previous bottom)
- First resistance: 1.38–1.43
- Strong resistance: 1.55–1.66, with 1.70 above
If price continues to stabilize above 1.25 on declining volume, then recovers 1.43 on increased volume, it would look more like reaccumulation after the rally, with a chance of returning to 1.55–1.66 for another test. If price breaks below 1.2468 on increased volume and fails to recover, that would be a SOW, increasing the likelihood of distribution. The next area to watch below is 1.14–1.19.
There is no need to pay too much attention to price swings within the range. What really matters is whether volume expands or continues to contract when price reaches 1.25.
This is not investment advice.
164
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