孔义兴
微博:孔义兴｜推特@KyxBtc｜🎈手续费8折：邀请码KYX666 ｜🎈微博粉30W｜Web3推主｜数据分析｜技术分析｜
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See original
Federal Reserve interest rate decision time: 3 AM Beijing time on December 11.
The probability of a rate cut is close to 90%.
All significant declines before and after the rate cut,
should rebound back.
Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin,
fluctuations are definitely unavoidable.
$ETH
$BTC
#加密市场反弹
The probability of a rate cut is close to 90%.
All significant declines before and after the rate cut,
should rebound back.
Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin,
fluctuations are definitely unavoidable.
$ETH
$BTC
#加密市场反弹
See original
This brother who stole He Yi's WeChat,
missed an opportunity to get rich.
If you really took this phone number
from the three major telecom operators,
you actually gave this WeChat to He Yi, and He Yi would let you suffer?
With this number, you can do nothing, and you wouldn't dare to do anything; it has no value for you.
Why would you do that?
This brother successfully missed an opportunity to connect deeply with the richest person among Chinese.
The scale of Binance today, just shaking off the dust on you, is enough for you to strive for a lifetime.
$BTC
$ETH #
missed an opportunity to get rich.
If you really took this phone number
from the three major telecom operators,
you actually gave this WeChat to He Yi, and He Yi would let you suffer?
With this number, you can do nothing, and you wouldn't dare to do anything; it has no value for you.
Why would you do that?
This brother successfully missed an opportunity to connect deeply with the richest person among Chinese.
The scale of Binance today, just shaking off the dust on you, is enough for you to strive for a lifetime.
$BTC
$ETH #
See original
There are fewer people discussing trading in the circle,
while there are more people chatting and bragging.
KOLs are no longer studying how to make money, nor are they sharing valuable insights,
spending all day gossiping about relationships and other trivial matters...
When will it come to an end?
$BTC
$ETH
#加密市场观察
while there are more people chatting and bragging.
KOLs are no longer studying how to make money, nor are they sharing valuable insights,
spending all day gossiping about relationships and other trivial matters...
When will it come to an end?
$BTC
$ETH
#加密市场观察
See original
Losing confidence is scarier than losing money.
In the past two months, many people have left.
Mainly because this circle is becoming more ruthless and more unscrupulous.
It's really like what people say about a scam.
The real trading volume has decreased by 80%,
how should we play this?
$BTC
$ETH
#加密市场观察
In the past two months, many people have left.
Mainly because this circle is becoming more ruthless and more unscrupulous.
It's really like what people say about a scam.
The real trading volume has decreased by 80%,
how should we play this?
$BTC
$ETH
#加密市场观察
See original
In the last bull market, it relied on Grayscale;
In this bull market, it relies on MicroStrategy and BlackRock.
However, it is evident that Grayscale's influence in this bull market has diminished,
recently BlackRock is pulling out,
and MicroStrategy is not increasing its buying efforts.
Bitcoin and Ethereum
urgently need someone to buy relentlessly,
without considering the cost.
This market is tough.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB #
In this bull market, it relies on MicroStrategy and BlackRock.
However, it is evident that Grayscale's influence in this bull market has diminished,
recently BlackRock is pulling out,
and MicroStrategy is not increasing its buying efforts.
Bitcoin and Ethereum
urgently need someone to buy relentlessly,
without considering the cost.
This market is tough.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB #
See original
What everyone urgently needs is:
To restore the courage of normal people today and let go of the obsessions of the past.
I believe: Bitcoin has been looking for opportunities these days, and it won't drop tonight.
A small attempt,
To take high probability,
Gradually intervene,
Restore confidence.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#加密市场观察
To restore the courage of normal people today and let go of the obsessions of the past.
I believe: Bitcoin has been looking for opportunities these days, and it won't drop tonight.
A small attempt,
To take high probability,
Gradually intervene,
Restore confidence.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#加密市场观察
See original
China's stance on USDT… stablecoins,
The crackdown on OTC should continue.
Some people bought a few hundred dollars' worth of USDT and received a call from the anti-fraud center, highlighting the strictness of the prevention and control measures.
This crackdown has two choices:
1. Prevent capital outflow; stablecoins, as an extension of the US dollar hegemony, have severely threatened the financial security of the East University.
2. From a metaphysical perspective, the Hong Kong fire and the donations from so many exchanges have exposed their strength and influence.
3. Many people are attracting traffic on Douyin, Xiaohongshu, Xianyu... being too rampant, East University can no longer tolerate it.
In any case, I believe: within 10 years, East University will definitely not open up to cryptocurrency.
The crackdown on stablecoins will continue indefinitely.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#美联储重启降息步伐
The crackdown on OTC should continue.
Some people bought a few hundred dollars' worth of USDT and received a call from the anti-fraud center, highlighting the strictness of the prevention and control measures.
This crackdown has two choices:
1. Prevent capital outflow; stablecoins, as an extension of the US dollar hegemony, have severely threatened the financial security of the East University.
2. From a metaphysical perspective, the Hong Kong fire and the donations from so many exchanges have exposed their strength and influence.
3. Many people are attracting traffic on Douyin, Xiaohongshu, Xianyu... being too rampant, East University can no longer tolerate it.
In any case, I believe: within 10 years, East University will definitely not open up to cryptocurrency.
The crackdown on stablecoins will continue indefinitely.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#美联储重启降息步伐
See original
The Federal Reserve's rate cut is coming soon,
this might be the only rate cut in the next six months.
Bitcoin
During the time before and after the rate cut, it will allow everyone to break even.
The rate cut may not be important,
the expectations of the rate cut and the story of the rate cut are very important; popularity is money.
$BTC
$BNB
$ETH
#比特币VS代币化黄金
this might be the only rate cut in the next six months.
Bitcoin
During the time before and after the rate cut, it will allow everyone to break even.
The rate cut may not be important,
the expectations of the rate cut and the story of the rate cut are very important; popularity is money.
$BTC
$BNB
$ETH
#比特币VS代币化黄金
See original
Someone asked me to summarize the current market situation,
so I'll just say this: it's a market that even scammers are too lazy to defraud.
That's the situation.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金
so I'll just say this: it's a market that even scammers are too lazy to defraud.
That's the situation.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金
See original
CZ has completely retreated to the background.
I think changing one's mind might bring some new things.
$BTC $
#
I think changing one's mind might bring some new things.
$BTC $
#
See original
Do you know why there is an endless supply of bottoms?
Because BlackRock is shipping out,
Bitcoin
is constantly hitting new lows,
how good can altcoins get?
$BTC
$ETH $
#
Because BlackRock is shipping out,
Bitcoin
is constantly hitting new lows,
how good can altcoins get?
$BTC
$ETH $
#
See original
Do you really think it's that simple in the cryptocurrency world? It's not.
Because stablecoins are no longer just "trading tools," but rather:
A channel for escaping
An informal foreign exchange system
A parallel dollar network
The functions it undertakes have already exceeded the limits of what the RMB system can bear.
Regulators are focused on systemic risk,
The market is focused on efficiency.
In 2025, these two logics will officially collide.
$BTC
$ETH $
#加密市场回调
Because stablecoins are no longer just "trading tools," but rather:
A channel for escaping
An informal foreign exchange system
A parallel dollar network
The functions it undertakes have already exceeded the limits of what the RMB system can bear.
Regulators are focused on systemic risk,
The market is focused on efficiency.
In 2025, these two logics will officially collide.
$BTC
$ETH $
#加密市场回调
Why did China suddenly crack down on stablecoins this year?
In a nutshell: Money is quietly flowing out, and it's moving too quickly.
By 2025, China estimates there will be $150 billion flowing out.
It may not sound like much, but it accounts for 0.8% of GDP, which is a red line for any economy.
What does this number mean?
≈ The annual profit of "China Tobacco"
≈ Half of the national land finance
≈ 60% of military spending
To put it more bluntly:
1, National smokers get a year of free smoking
2, Military spending has been cut off at the knees
This is not "volatility"; this is "leakage."
💵 The outflow structure is even more eye-catching 💵
Out of the $150 billion, only 40% is compliant trade.
The remaining 60% is gray or illegal flows:
1, Underground banks: $45 billion
2, Virtual currency: $37.5 billion
Among which stablecoins ≈ $30 billion
3, Other small channels: $15 billion
The reason stablecoins are under close scrutiny is that:
It has become the cheapest, fastest, and hardest-to-trace "shadow foreign exchange system."
What traditional money houses can do in 10 days, it can accomplish in 10 minutes.
So, don't take your cryptocurrency trading money too seriously,
The main reason for the outflow is through stablecoins.
$BTC $
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$
{future}(ETHUSDT)
#
{future}(BNBUSDT)
In a nutshell: Money is quietly flowing out, and it's moving too quickly.
By 2025, China estimates there will be $150 billion flowing out.
It may not sound like much, but it accounts for 0.8% of GDP, which is a red line for any economy.
What does this number mean?
≈ The annual profit of "China Tobacco"
≈ Half of the national land finance
≈ 60% of military spending
To put it more bluntly:
1, National smokers get a year of free smoking
2, Military spending has been cut off at the knees
This is not "volatility"; this is "leakage."
💵 The outflow structure is even more eye-catching 💵
Out of the $150 billion, only 40% is compliant trade.
The remaining 60% is gray or illegal flows:
1, Underground banks: $45 billion
2, Virtual currency: $37.5 billion
Among which stablecoins ≈ $30 billion
3, Other small channels: $15 billion
The reason stablecoins are under close scrutiny is that:
It has become the cheapest, fastest, and hardest-to-trace "shadow foreign exchange system."
What traditional money houses can do in 10 days, it can accomplish in 10 minutes.
So, don't take your cryptocurrency trading money too seriously,
The main reason for the outflow is through stablecoins.
$BTC $
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$
{future}(ETHUSDT)
#
{future}(BNBUSDT)
See original
Why did China suddenly crack down on stablecoins this year?
In a nutshell: Money is quietly flowing out, and it's moving too quickly.
By 2025, China estimates there will be $150 billion flowing out.
It may not sound like much, but it accounts for 0.8% of GDP, which is a red line for any economy.
What does this number mean?
≈ The annual profit of "China Tobacco"
≈ Half of the national land finance
≈ 60% of military spending
To put it more bluntly:
1, National smokers get a year of free smoking
2, Military spending has been cut off at the knees
This is not "volatility"; this is "leakage."
💵 The outflow structure is even more eye-catching 💵
Out of the $150 billion, only 40% is compliant trade.
The remaining 60% is gray or illegal flows:
1, Underground banks: $45 billion
2, Virtual currency: $37.5 billion
Among which stablecoins ≈ $30 billion
3, Other small channels: $15 billion
The reason stablecoins are under close scrutiny is that:
It has become the cheapest, fastest, and hardest-to-trace "shadow foreign exchange system."
What traditional money houses can do in 10 days, it can accomplish in 10 minutes.
So, don't take your cryptocurrency trading money too seriously,
The main reason for the outflow is through stablecoins.
$BTC $
$
#
In a nutshell: Money is quietly flowing out, and it's moving too quickly.
By 2025, China estimates there will be $150 billion flowing out.
It may not sound like much, but it accounts for 0.8% of GDP, which is a red line for any economy.
What does this number mean?
≈ The annual profit of "China Tobacco"
≈ Half of the national land finance
≈ 60% of military spending
To put it more bluntly:
1, National smokers get a year of free smoking
2, Military spending has been cut off at the knees
This is not "volatility"; this is "leakage."
💵 The outflow structure is even more eye-catching 💵
Out of the $150 billion, only 40% is compliant trade.
The remaining 60% is gray or illegal flows:
1, Underground banks: $45 billion
2, Virtual currency: $37.5 billion
Among which stablecoins ≈ $30 billion
3, Other small channels: $15 billion
The reason stablecoins are under close scrutiny is that:
It has become the cheapest, fastest, and hardest-to-trace "shadow foreign exchange system."
What traditional money houses can do in 10 days, it can accomplish in 10 minutes.
So, don't take your cryptocurrency trading money too seriously,
The main reason for the outflow is through stablecoins.
$BTC $
$
#
See original
Meituan, Alibaba, JD
The three major platforms added marketing expenses of 164.9 billion yuan in the second and third quarters (Meituan 34.3 billion + Alibaba 66.5 billion + JD 21.1 billion + second quarter 43 billion), profit loss only reflects the decline in profitability, the actual "burning money" far exceeds 80 billion.
So, I want to ask: binance, okx, coinbase, bitget, bybit…… exchanges.
btc, eth, doge…… large holders.
Why don't you engage in business competition?
If you could also put out 100 billion to start a business competition, wouldn't there be a season for counterfeit phones?
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#加密市场反弹
The three major platforms added marketing expenses of 164.9 billion yuan in the second and third quarters (Meituan 34.3 billion + Alibaba 66.5 billion + JD 21.1 billion + second quarter 43 billion), profit loss only reflects the decline in profitability, the actual "burning money" far exceeds 80 billion.
So, I want to ask: binance, okx, coinbase, bitget, bybit…… exchanges.
btc, eth, doge…… large holders.
Why don't you engage in business competition?
If you could also put out 100 billion to start a business competition, wouldn't there be a season for counterfeit phones?
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#加密市场反弹
See original
Most losses come from being too hasty.
For example: in the situation these past two days, with a fluctuation of one point,
opening a position and it might take half a day to gain a tiny profit, purely a waste of brain cells.
$BTC
#加密市场反弹
For example: in the situation these past two days, with a fluctuation of one point,
opening a position and it might take half a day to gain a tiny profit, purely a waste of brain cells.
$BTC
#加密市场反弹
See original
Let me briefly talk about the market: three points
1. Real-time situation, the fluctuations are very small,
just one or two points of fluctuation every day, everyone can play with small positions.
Bitcoin,
pay attention to small support around 90000 and small resistance around 94000.
There is no need to play with large positions, don't let these small fluctuations affect your mood.
2. There is a high probability that interest rates will still be cut in December, and the market will likely start speculating in advance.
There is a good chance that it will first rise and then correct.
3. Altcoins are dead.
Because domestically there is no crackdown on new investors, without new investors, there is no altcoin season.
In summary, be sure to take advantage of the rebound to withdraw in the upcoming time.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#加密市场反弹
1. Real-time situation, the fluctuations are very small,
just one or two points of fluctuation every day, everyone can play with small positions.
Bitcoin,
pay attention to small support around 90000 and small resistance around 94000.
There is no need to play with large positions, don't let these small fluctuations affect your mood.
2. There is a high probability that interest rates will still be cut in December, and the market will likely start speculating in advance.
There is a good chance that it will first rise and then correct.
3. Altcoins are dead.
Because domestically there is no crackdown on new investors, without new investors, there is no altcoin season.
In summary, be sure to take advantage of the rebound to withdraw in the upcoming time.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#加密市场反弹
See original
This mainly targets:
Domestic low-level scammers, trading platforms, pig-butchering scams, cashback leads, local dog coin issuance...
Mainly because many domestic investors are really newcomers, with very low IQs,
being exploited and even counting money for others.
Why is there no counterfeit season this year?
The reason is simple: it's due to the crackdown from Dongda, which directly resulted in no new investors.
In 2017 and 2021, WeChat, Weibo… were all able to talk about coins freely without account bans.
Platforms dare not exploit Americans; domestic investors have no new blood due to the crackdown, so platforms directly exploit the old investors.
Everyone remember,
without domestic investors, there are no counterfeit machines.
The most valuable investors in this circle are Americans and Chinese.
$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#加密市场反弹
Domestic low-level scammers, trading platforms, pig-butchering scams, cashback leads, local dog coin issuance...
Mainly because many domestic investors are really newcomers, with very low IQs,
being exploited and even counting money for others.
Why is there no counterfeit season this year?
The reason is simple: it's due to the crackdown from Dongda, which directly resulted in no new investors.
In 2017 and 2021, WeChat, Weibo… were all able to talk about coins freely without account bans.
Platforms dare not exploit Americans; domestic investors have no new blood due to the crackdown, so platforms directly exploit the old investors.
Everyone remember,
without domestic investors, there are no counterfeit machines.
The most valuable investors in this circle are Americans and Chinese.
$BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#加密市场反弹
See original
China's cryptocurrency environment
In the past two years, it will only become tighter.
For most ordinary people, I think this policy is correct,
altcoins are indeed quite similar to scams.
Bitcoin has also touched contracts, and it is quite similar to scams.
For most practitioners and lucky players,
the only thing they can do is:
Prepare a way out in advance, with multiple identities and multiple passports, prioritizing safety.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#加密市场反弹
In the past two years, it will only become tighter.
For most ordinary people, I think this policy is correct,
altcoins are indeed quite similar to scams.
Bitcoin has also touched contracts, and it is quite similar to scams.
For most practitioners and lucky players,
the only thing they can do is:
Prepare a way out in advance, with multiple identities and multiple passports, prioritizing safety.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#加密市场反弹
See original
Binance has directly moved US stocks, Hong Kong stocks, and gold onto the blockchain!
The secondary market can also directly buy all gold and some US stocks...
Now you can buy
US stocks and Hong Kong stocks on the blockchain,
In the future, everyone's junk altcoins will definitely have no way out.
$BTC
#加密市场反弹
The secondary market can also directly buy all gold and some US stocks...
Now you can buy
US stocks and Hong Kong stocks on the blockchain,
In the future, everyone's junk altcoins will definitely have no way out.
$BTC
#加密市场反弹
See original
I'll briefly discuss the market:
1. Today's real-time situation: Today is Thanksgiving in the United States, and the US stock market is closed.
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin only have market liquidity, so the volatility won't be too large.
2. Looking at the current situation, the probability of an interest rate cut in December has already exceeded 80%, which is somewhat positive.
3. In December, there may be a few altcoins that could help everyone break even, but the pace will be very fast.
Most altcoins are beyond saving, just give up.
In short, the market is currently flat, and in the short to medium term, I hope to give everyone a slight chance to recover their investments, but don't have too high expectations; there is hope.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#加密市场反弹 #美SEC推动加密创新监管
1. Today's real-time situation: Today is Thanksgiving in the United States, and the US stock market is closed.
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin only have market liquidity, so the volatility won't be too large.
2. Looking at the current situation, the probability of an interest rate cut in December has already exceeded 80%, which is somewhat positive.
3. In December, there may be a few altcoins that could help everyone break even, but the pace will be very fast.
Most altcoins are beyond saving, just give up.
In short, the market is currently flat, and in the short to medium term, I hope to give everyone a slight chance to recover their investments, but don't have too high expectations; there is hope.
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#加密市场反弹 #美SEC推动加密创新监管
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