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December 22 Gold Evening Short-Term Strategy: Strong Breakout! Bulls Continue to Look for New Highs

Gold directly broke through the previous high resistance of 4390, and after stabilizing above the 4400 mark, the momentum remains strong. The anticipated pullback has completely failed! In the short term, bullish momentum is explosive, and the space for a correction is limited; the strategy is to decisively follow the trend and go long.

In the evening, focus on low long positions in the 4390-4395 range, with a stop loss placed below 4380 (to avoid false breakout risk). The first target is set at 4430-4435, and after a strong breakout, aim directly for the 4460 resistance level!

This personal opinion is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Always set stop losses and control positions to mitigate risks.

Gold prices continue to rise strongly, reaching the target as expected! Trying to predict the peak against the trend is unwise; going with the trend is the way to go.

After breaking through the previous level of pressure during the Golden Week line trend, the K-line continues to fluctuate strongly along the short-term moving averages. It is expected that there is still a possibility of reaching new highs on the weekly line.

On the daily level, gold prices maintain a narrow range at high levels, with the current range narrowing to 4270-4360, but the price focus is gradually moving up, and the support zone has been raised to around 4300. Although there are certain signs of divergence on the daily line, the short-term trend still tends to continue upward.

On the 4-hour level, after a spike and pullback in the U.S. market on Friday, it touched the short-term support. The short-term moving averages began to diverge upwards after continuous fluctuations. After the market opens on Monday, attention should be paid to whether it can form a second rise after a pullback.

Operation suggestion: Buy near 4332-4333, stop loss at 4325.2, target at 4350-4380. Real-time market changes will be followed up for guidance.

After a sharp fluctuation at the beginning of the Golden Week, the market has entered a four-hour horizontal consolidation phase, with daily trading volume simultaneously narrowing. This is a typical accumulation structure and not a signal of weakening trends. From a technical perspective, prices are building a support platform at a higher level, waiting for momentum accumulation to prepare for subsequent breakthroughs.

The key focus should be on the critical support area of 4300-4290. If the market stabilizes here, it will provide a solid foundation for another upward attack, and the potential for further rallies is worth anticipating. A trend reversal will not occur easily unless gold prices clearly decline and effectively break below the critical defense line at 4260. Otherwise, the so-called 'top' is difficult to proclaim, and the overall situation remains in a solid bullish pattern.

In a clear upward trend, pullbacks and fluctuations are often not risks but rather the brewing of opportunities—both cleaning up floating chips and solidifying the price bottom, accumulating momentum for subsequent rises.

In terms of operations, it is recommended to gradually build long positions: the first entry can consider the range of 4315–4308, and if there is further pullback to 4300–4290, a second batch can be arranged, with a unified stop loss set below 4270. The short-term first target is set at 4345, followed by 4380, and mid-term can look at the 4400 round number.

Last Monday, student 10,000 USD - 130,000 USD, partial real account summary, profit 120,000 USD!

Monday:
4344 short, 4330 exit, 14 points of space, 10,000 USD;

Tuesday:
4281 long, 4291 exit, 11 points of space, 9,600 USD.
4318 short, 4314 exit, 4 points, 3,400 USD;

Wednesday:
4324 short, 4314 exit, 10 points of space, 6,600 USD;
4321 short, 4310 exit, 11 points, 9,300 USD;
4327 long, 4335 exit, 8 points, 6,500 USD;

Thursday:
4326 short, 4316 exit, 10 points, 9,100 USD;
4331 short, 4328 exit, 3 points, 5,500 USD;
4336 short, 4328 exit, 8 points, 8,600 USD;
4338 short, 4328 exit, 10 points, 10,000 USD;
4370 short, 4340 exit, 30 points, 30,000 USD;

Friday:
4325 long, 4335 exit, 10 points, 9,600 USD;

This week, gold continues to show a rhythm of 'daytime fluctuations and gradual decline, with a strong rise in the latter part of the US market.' This pattern has persisted for nearly two weeks. Below is a summary of the key points for next week:

Key Features

1. Daytime Rhythm: Pay attention to whether the 'day decline and evening rise' continues. If it shifts to 'day rise and evening decline,' be alert for a potential change in trend.
2. High-level Fluctuations: Prices continue to consolidate at high levels, technically facing pressure around 4380. However, under a slow bull trend, there is a high probability that the market will break through this resistance level with a fluctuating upward movement.
3. Situation Support: Frequent geopolitical conflicts provide potential upward momentum for gold prices, increasing the likelihood of a breakout.

Operational Thoughts

· If there is an effective breakthrough at 4380, consider short-term trading with long positions.
· Before a breakthrough, handle it as a fluctuation within the 4380-3890 range.
· Adjust dynamically based on changes in the international situation.

Technical Points

· The 4-hour chart shows resilience at high levels, with support levels at 4320 and 4290.
· The daily stochastic indicator shows a golden cross, indicating a bullish signal; if the golden cross continues, it is expected to gradually break upward.

It is recommended to use the weekend to review the market structure, rhythm, and key positions, so as to be well-prepared and respond flexibly.

The gold daily line continues to maintain a high-level narrow consolidation, but the price continues to run above the short-term moving average, with the daily focus gradually shifting upward, overall still leaning towards a strong pattern. In the 4-hour trend, the short-term moving averages are gradually converging and flattening, indicating that the short-term market may continue to oscillate. However, at the hourly level, after continuous consolidation, technical patterns are beginning to show signs of adjustment, with short-term moving averages gradually turning upwards, suggesting that the short-term trend may become strong again, and attention should be paid to the rhythm of adjustment and repair.

In terms of operations, consider lightly trying to go long around 4319-4320, with a stop loss set at 4312, and the target looking at the 4340-4365 area. #美国非农数据超预期

Gold prices weakened slightly during the Asian session, mainly influenced by short-term profit-taking. However, the downside space remains limited. The significant cooling of U.S. inflation data has further strengthened market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which supports the allocation value of gold in the medium to long term. Coupled with the uncertainty of geopolitical situations and robust investment demand, the overall trend for gold remains bullish, with short-term adjustments leaning towards high-level consolidation.

On Thursday, gold exhibited a rally followed by a retreat, signaling two key points: first, this pullback confirms that the December gold price's peak is likely around 4375, making it difficult to break through in the short term; second, the latter half of December is expected to maintain high-level volatility, and the adjustment range may not be negligible. Understanding these two points will help grasp the subsequent market trends. Currently, the main fluctuation range for gold is between 4375-4250, and the short-term oscillation range can focus on 4350-4280.

From a technical perspective, although the daily line closed as a bearish candle, it seemed to attempt to break through the upper band but ultimately retreated and stabilized above the moving average support, indicating that the short-term bullish pattern remains strong. On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are in a contracting state, and even the midnight rebound has failed to push open the upper band, indicating that the market is temporarily stuck in a range consolidation. The upper pressure is focused on 4350, while the lower support is noted at 4280; before breaking through this range, both bullish and bearish trends are difficult to sustain.

Therefore, Friday's market is expected to continue oscillating, with relatively limited fluctuation. The low point of 4310 on Thursday can be seen as a support reference for the Asian-European session; if stabilized, it may continue to rebound; during the U.S. session, if it peaks near 4350 and faces pressure, short-term pullback opportunities can still be considered.

Evening CPI is positive, decisively entered long at 4320, exited at 4237, securing 17 points.

Immediately shorted at market price 4338, exited securely at 4318, gaining another 20 points.

Two rounds of operations, totaling a gain of 37 points, earning 28,000 USD! The rhythm is well within control.

The gold price is currently consolidating slightly between 4322-4338, having reached the end of an ascending triangle convergence. No matter which side it truly breaks out from, it is very likely to produce a smooth one-sided trend. The most important dividing line below is at 4320; if it falls below this level, the gold price may continue to drop to around 4280-4260; the key area above is at 4350-55, and if it can break through strongly, the previous high of 4380 will come into view.

Recently, the gold price often strengthens during the US trading session, so the focus for the day can still be on upward breakthroughs.

The European market needs to closely monitor whether the area around 4340-4350 can be effectively broken and stabilized. Once the gold price firmly stands above 4350, it indicates that bullish forces are starting to take the initiative, and one can consider holding on or looking for pullback opportunities to set up long positions, targeting the 4380-4400 area.

Conversely, if the price breaks below the support at 4320, the short-term rebound structure may face destruction, and friends holding long positions need to respond and adjust promptly.

Gold is currently maintaining a major range oscillation pattern, with the upper pressure at 4350 still effective, lacking sufficient momentum for a breakout. Tonight's CPI data release may become the key to breaking the deadlock, potentially driving gold to start a new round of market activity.

From the 1-hour chart, gold prices remain in a high-level oscillation. If operating long positions, one should wait for a pullback opportunity, with a focus on the support area around 4280 below. After stabilizing, one can consider entering on dips. If a breakthrough above 4350 cannot be effectively achieved, gold prices may continue to experience pressure and decline. Currently, gold prices have attempted to break through 4350 three times but have not succeeded. Before effectively stabilizing at this position, the market will continue to maintain range oscillation. If gold prices strongly break through and stabilize above 4350, it is expected to open up new upward space, allowing for a follow-up.

Morning operation strategy:

· Short gold at 4342, stop loss at 4355, target 4290-4280

The midday gold strategy is clear: decisively set up short positions around 4340, and the current market has moved 34 points, patiently holding on will ultimately yield results!

Trading is not about rushing in blindly, but about "flexibly adapting + precisely positioning," steadily grasping the opportunity amidst the fluctuations.

Follow one of my experienced cryptocurrency students, who has recently turned to gold trading with me. With precise strategies and efficient execution, we successfully achieved a leap in capital from $10,000 to $40,000 in less than four days, completing a fourfold return.

Last night's non-farm payrolls were bearish, while unemployment claims pulled bullishly, causing gold to rise and then fall back, still trapped in a large range of fluctuations. The non-farm payrolls failed to break the deadlock, and the key going forward will be Thursday night's CPI data. Today is likely to maintain a fluctuating pattern, with intraday operations focusing on high selling and low buying within the range.

The gold 1-hour chart still shows a large range of fluctuations, but the amplitude has clearly narrowed. If today's prices cannot break through yesterday's high and low points, the 1-hour chart is likely to form a symmetrical triangle pattern, and the fluctuation range will further converge until the market chooses a direction to break out. Pay close attention to the resistance at 4342 above and the support at 4280 below; today will be about moving back and forth within this range.

Fluctuation has never been the end of the market; beneath the calm surface of the lake often lies the power to stir up giant waves. Right now, gold is in the calm before the storm.

Morning operation strategy:
Sell gold at 4342 directly, stop loss at 4355, target at 4290-4280.

The golden afternoon continues to adjust, currently trading around $4286 per ounce, with an intraday decline of about 0.5%. At one point, it fell below the key level of $4300, mainly influenced by short-term profit-taking and some long positions being closed. The market's expectation of easing tensions in Ukraine has also somewhat weakened the demand for safe-haven assets, putting short-term pressure on gold prices.

Although gold prices have weakened in the short term, further downside may be limited. Last week, the Federal Reserve completed its third interest rate cut of the year and hinted at the possibility of further cuts in 2026, with a sustained low-interest-rate environment providing medium- to long-term cost support for gold. However, if geopolitical tensions continue to ease, the cooling of safe-haven sentiment may continue to suppress the upside potential of gold prices.

Technically, after a spike and subsequent pullback yesterday, gold prices have fallen below the support near $4313. The rebound from the $4300 level has not been able to stabilize above $4304 and has since retreated again, showing a weak short-term trend. The current recovery from around $4280 lacks accompanying trading volume, and the sustainability of the rebound remains to be seen.

From the 4-hour chart, the MA20 moving average (currently around $4292) has turned from support to resistance, the MACD indicator has shown a downward turning signal above the zero line, entering an adjustment phase; the RSI has also fallen below the neutral line, entering a weak zone. Overall, the probability of gold prices oscillating downwards during the day is relatively high, and if it further weakens, key support to watch is around $4250.

In terms of operations, consider placing long positions in the 4266–4275 range, with a stop loss set at $4250 and a target towards the $4300–$4330 range.

From cryptocurrency to gold: a dimensional battle to regain composure in trading.

After six years of getting used to the stimulating rhythm of the crypto market: staying up late to watch the charts has become a daily routine, and it's not uncommon for ‘spike events’ to precisely wipe out stop-loss orders, not to mention the helplessness of being stuck after chasing high prices. Trading back then felt like walking in a fog, with emotions, news, and speculation dominating every click.

It wasn't until I recently engaged with gold that I truly understood what clear and composed trading means.

There’s no panic of losing everything overnight, nor the hidden dangers of project teams absconding with funds. The movements of gold are always rooted in fluctuations of inflation, changes in interest rates, and geopolitical situations—every step is logical, and every wave of the market has a trace to follow. The boundaries between stop-loss and take-profit are no longer blurred; the direction of trends often unfolds gently even on weekly or monthly charts.

What surprised me even more is that the discipline I was forced to develop in the crypto “battlefield”—strict stop-loss, position management, and emotional control—has surprisingly become a natural advantage in the gold market. The habits that once helped me combat severe market volatility have turned into the cornerstone of stable profits here.

Now I no longer need to guess whether the next moment will be a “bullish” or “bearish” signal; I just need to patiently position myself along the clear trend structure. This sense of solidity and stability is an experience I never truly had in the cryptocurrency space.

The gold market may not have the myth of a hundredfold return, but it offers traders something even more precious: predictability. When trading logic becomes clear, the mindset naturally becomes composed—this is the true starting point for traversing cycles and achieving sustained profitability.

True strength needs no words; the account's curve will speak for you.

Gold approached historical highs on Friday before facing resistance. In the latter half of the night, bears exerted pressure, causing prices to drop nearly $100 quickly, but strong buying support below led to a robust rebound. The current battle between bulls and bears is fierce, and today's trend may become crucial!

From a technical perspective, the 1-hour moving averages are in a golden cross and arranged in a bullish formation. After a rapid drop, prices found support in the 4270 area (a previously active trading zone) and rebounded again. This position can serve as a boundary for bulls and bears during the day; if the morning session can hold above this, a continuation of the rebound momentum is expected, with key resistance at the 4350 area.

The market is ever-changing, and we are currently in a critical phase of competition between bulls and bears. Operations should adhere to the principle of 'trend is king', acting in the direction of the trend and avoiding counter-trend operations. Strictly executing the trading plan is essential for steady and long-term success.

Morning trading strategy:

· Go long on gold near 4267, stop loss at 4255, target 4330-4350. #比特币波动性 #美联储降息