每日币看静姐

Next week and the week after, one is the Federal Reserve's rate cut, and the other is Japan's rate hike. The market will experience a peak of forced liquidation around these two weeks, while also presenting the best opportunity for bottom fishing. This bottom fishing can be said to be the last low point of this year. For those seeking stability, it is advisable to enter using spot trading in batches within a locked range. After the needle drops, slowly enter using contracts.

The "bottom fishing point" after the Federal Reserve's rate cut and Japan's rate hike are completely different, and these two market phases need to be clearly distinguished. The former's bottom fishing is for short-term longs, while the latter's bottom fishing is for medium-term trend longs.

If this is the early stage of a bear market, then this round of rebound is the last exit opportunity for the bulls. What needs to be considered next is where the highest point of this rebound will be?

At the early stage of a bear market, the rebound is relatively strong. In the last bear market's early stage, when it fell near 33,000 for the second time, it ultimately rebounded to 48,000, with a rebound of over 40%. If we look at this rebound in today's context, an 80,000 rebound of 40% would be 110,000;

At least for December now, my trading strategy is to short at highs. Combined with the densely traded areas and the maximum delivery pain point of the massive options on December 26 being 100,000, I believe the possibility of stabilizing above 100,000 in December is relatively low;

If the market in December does not meet my expected judgment, then my stop-loss price for the short position will also be after Bitcoin stabilizes above 100,000 before proceeding with the stop-loss, except for short-term trading, because a profit of 1,000-2,000 points in short-term trading is already enough to exit, and the stop-loss is often around 1,000 points.

If there is someone around you who has made a fortune trading cryptocurrencies, keep your distance from them. Really!

This person has basically stopped being a "human". They have become a refined "essence". They have long seen through the warmth and coldness of human relationships. Today their account has several zeros, tomorrow it has one less zero, and their heart rhythm is completely flat.

You think they are studying candlestick patterns? Wrong. They are studying human nature. They are using their own hard-earned money as fuel, burning their own heart, and battling another version of themselves in the red and green candlestick charts. One is greedy, one is fearful. One wants to "wait a little longer", while the other wants to "run away quickly".

This is clearly a hunger game where you buy a ticket with money and go in to fight against your own human nature. In the end, you realize that your opponent was never some bullshit big player. It is just your own greed, your fear, and your unwillingness to accept defeat.

Investment is essentially an alternative form of marketing.

Engaging with the market is similar to engaging with your customers; first, earn your initial money, then continuously optimize, scale up, and replicate. You must be patient and persistent in refining your approach.

Utilize your advantages and resources to the fullest, rather than constantly searching for new opportunities, which may ultimately lead to accomplishing nothing!

USDT offshore price near 7.06, Binance USDT selling price 6.98 is considered oversold, spot floating loss U has decreased in price, and the distance to break even is further away.

On the Binance Alpha platform, the market popularity of the FIR project has recently shown a significant increase, with trading volume growing notably. The project is positioned as an ecosystem that integrates AI and the music industry, and it has demonstrated a relatively positive development trend. Several collaborative songs within the ecosystem have achieved outstanding market responses; for example, the song 'Cheng Guang Zhu Meng' performed by Kay Tse ranked second on the Tencent Music platform, with cumulative plays exceeding 100 million times, bringing continuous and considerable copyright income to the project. According to the latest information disclosed by the project team, it is predicted that annual revenue from music copyrights may exceed 30 million USD by 2026. Additionally, a new feature called 'Copyright Pledge Pool' is scheduled to be officially launched at the end of December, at which time all participants providing liquidity for FIR-LP will share 50% of the pool's revenue distribution, and the related earnings will be distributed in USDT. Currently, the overall market capitalization of FIR is approximately 6 million USD, still in the early stages of development. Against the backdrop of increased trading volume and the gradual realization of future benefits, combined with its existing market capitalization level, the project may have certain growth potential. Market participants should pay attention to its subsequent developments and cautiously assess related opportunities based on personal judgment. Please note that investing in crypto assets carries high risks, with significant price fluctuations; please make rational decisions and implement proper risk control. #fir

Pullback confirmation
The next target is at least around 10500
In my opinion, it is highly likely to rebound to.

If it reaches 10500, it will be an important watershed

Continuing upwards will trigger a long-term bull market
If it struggles to go up and turns down, then a head and shoulders top will be established

I don't really believe anyone who says the four-year cycle is not valid
I believe BTC's four-year cycle is ingrained in its DNA

Of course, the impact of this cycle on price will weaken
More macro factors will come into play

BTC Market Analysis:

Let's briefly review the situation with Bitcoin. After the 864 short position hit a stop loss yesterday, it is still on a strong upward trend. The reason for this rise is the global second asset management firm GS Vanguard Group opening up the permissions for BTC ETF!

On the market side: a peculiar pattern has emerged at a smaller level. Pay attention to the short-term pressure around 93150. If this level is broken, there is a possibility of testing the pressure around 98k above!

Operation suggestion: wait for the pressure reaction at 91350 before deciding on the direction of operations!

A couple of months after Japan raises interest rates, I will prepare to buy the dip in spot trading. The most important amount of capital is just waiting for the biggest opportunity to strike. I don't easily buy spot; when I do buy, it must be close to the lowest point of a major cycle. Just like I won't buy a single doge unless it drops to the range of 0.085-0.046. The price of 0.15-0.10 is too high; the maximum profit in the next bull market will only be 3-4 times, which is not significant.

《A Day in the Bear Market》

8:00 Cursing megaeth,
9:00 Cursing infinex,
10:00 Asking zama for an NFT
13:00 Eating a coconut chicken dish like Sun Ge to attract wealth
14:00 Watching Tao Tao Nai
15:00 Watching Yua Misaka
16:00 Gave a thumbs up to 0xsun

18:00 Waking up to eat
19:00 Doing predictions, doing perp, realizing I bought wrong and lost money, so I'm done
23:00 Honor of Kings
24:00 10 consecutive losses, turning off the phone and going to sleep

U.S. stocks will be closed on Friday, and there will be sideways movement over the weekend. Next Monday is the last day of this month, so expect fluctuations. The higher we go, the greater the pressure. BTC 92000-93300 is strong resistance, focus on shorting as we approach this range.

Before breaking 92000, support is at 89200-88800; at least a short long here on a pullback. If it breaks below 88000, this rebound will end, and the next downtrend will begin.

Beijing time is approaching 20:00, and the price once approached the 92k resistance level.

Bet on a breakthrough or bet on a decline?

The four-hour RSI is nearing the overbought area.

Will there be a spike upwards breaking the short positions only to turn down again?

Powell's good friend and the Fed's mouthpiece Nick has finally begun to hint at a rate cut in December. Since yesterday, the CME December rate cut probability has risen to over 80%. The overall performance of the US stock market is good, but Bitcoin remains weak. If it cannot rebound above the bull-bear line before the FOMC on December 10 and cannot stabilize above 100,000, it will remain in a bear market.