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Bit-刘貝

专注于合约指导,中长线布局,公众号同名:Bit-刘貝,推特@btc1426
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Irritable, an anonymous giant whale goes long on 140,000 ETH! Not sure if there's some insider information! Currently, his long position has exceeded $446 million. In the past half hour, he has added another 20,000, bringing his latest position to 140,094.52, worth $446 million, with an opening price of $3,179.54, floating profit of $693,000, and only about $50 million away from the short position size (500 million) before the flash crash at 1011! This is quite good for the market, but I'm afraid that the doge farmer may mistakenly harm the whale and hurt the long army brothers🥲 $ETH #美联储降息
Irritable, an anonymous giant whale goes long on 140,000 ETH!

Not sure if there's some insider information!

Currently, his long position has exceeded $446 million. In the past half hour, he has added another 20,000, bringing his latest position to 140,094.52, worth $446 million, with an opening price of $3,179.54, floating profit of $693,000, and only about $50 million away from the short position size (500 million) before the flash crash at 1011!

This is quite good for the market, but I'm afraid that the doge farmer may mistakenly harm the whale and hurt the long army brothers🥲
$ETH #美联储降息
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But it's just a feint The drop in the pin can rebound, indicating that the buying pressure is still there, don't panic! It's another early morning market, just wait! … … … $BTC #美联储降息 $ETH
But it's just a feint

The drop in the pin can rebound, indicating that the buying pressure is still there, don't panic!

It's another early morning market, just wait!




$BTC #美联储降息 $ETH
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The liquidity tsunami of 2026 is about to arrive If you think that the Fed's interest rate cuts are the main source of liquidity influx in 2026, you are very mistaken. In addition to the additional interest rate cuts in 2026, we will also see: Trump's tariff stimulus checks The continued growth of the AI boom The new Fed chairman appointed by Trump Expected capital expenditures exceeding $1 trillion Quantitative easing by the Fed (but not really quantitative easing) SEC relaxing regulations Trump's commitment to keep the stock market at historical highs The U.S. annual deficit spending reaching trillions of dollars Explosive earnings growth of S&P 500 companies Global fiscal stimulus Global M2 money supply hitting a record high $BTC #美联储降息 $ETH
The liquidity tsunami of 2026 is about to arrive

If you think that the Fed's interest rate cuts are the main source of liquidity influx in 2026, you are very mistaken.

In addition to the additional interest rate cuts in 2026, we will also see:

Trump's tariff stimulus checks
The continued growth of the AI boom
The new Fed chairman appointed by Trump
Expected capital expenditures exceeding $1 trillion
Quantitative easing by the Fed (but not really quantitative easing)
SEC relaxing regulations
Trump's commitment to keep the stock market at historical highs
The U.S. annual deficit spending reaching trillions of dollars
Explosive earnings growth of S&P 500 companies
Global fiscal stimulus
Global M2 money supply hitting a record high
$BTC #美联储降息 $ETH
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Those who can buy are apprentices, while those who can sell are masters. Before Powell's interest rate cut speech yesterday, panic spread in the market, and most investors were worried that "the interest rate cut would lead to a market crash." However, from the dual signals of market structure and capital inflow, the short-term rebound window has become clear. We accurately anchored the key range, completely capturing profits within the BTC 9150-9450 and ETH 3300-3450 segments, decisively taking profits and exiting. The subsequent market risk factor has sharply increased, and there is no longer a need to continue gambling. The true essence of trading has never been about greedily chasing every wave of the market, but about precisely seizing the opportunity to secure profits before the turning point of the trend arrives. Retail traders must recognize and accept their cycles. The market oscillates between "undervalued" and "price bubble." Trading is counterintuitive; the tension in trading arises from your fear of the uncertainty of the unknown, which amplifies the cost of trial and error, ultimately leading to "fetching water with a bamboo basket!" Focus on Liu Bei's stable trading system, exchange small risks for cyclical profits, and steadfast execution will surely bring about your own harvest period! $BTC #美联储降息 $ETH
Those who can buy are apprentices, while those who can sell are masters.

Before Powell's interest rate cut speech yesterday, panic spread in the market, and most investors were worried that "the interest rate cut would lead to a market crash." However, from the dual signals of market structure and capital inflow, the short-term rebound window has become clear.

We accurately anchored the key range, completely capturing profits within the BTC 9150-9450 and ETH 3300-3450 segments, decisively taking profits and exiting. The subsequent market risk factor has sharply increased, and there is no longer a need to continue gambling.

The true essence of trading has never been about greedily chasing every wave of the market, but about precisely seizing the opportunity to secure profits before the turning point of the trend arrives.

Retail traders must recognize and accept their cycles. The market oscillates between "undervalued" and "price bubble." Trading is counterintuitive; the tension in trading arises from your fear of the uncertainty of the unknown, which amplifies the cost of trial and error, ultimately leading to "fetching water with a bamboo basket!"

Focus on Liu Bei's stable trading system, exchange small risks for cyclical profits, and steadfast execution will surely bring about your own harvest period!
$BTC #美联储降息 $ETH
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December 11 BTC/ETH Strategy Analysis: Interest rate cuts have been fully priced in, but will the actual landing be bearish? From Powell's speech early this morning, we learned that the interest rate level remains neutral, and we will look at inflation risks moving forward. This perspective has indeed become more dovish, leaving room for future hawkish comments from Harker to raise interest rates. Yesterday's BTC target was 9450, and ETH target was 3300 to hit 3450 for a complete profit-taking. Moving forward, the market may see normal pullbacks due to the dual impact of institutions ending profits and the increased scale of U.S. Treasury bonds putting short-term funds under pressure. The benefits of interest rate cuts will not be immediately apparent! BTC From the daily chart perspective, the shrinking trading volume has created a divergence that limits the bullish engulfing pattern's upward momentum. The market remains in a fluctuating box structure, and short-term declines will prioritize rebounds. As long as the price does not drop below 8930 during the day, there is still upward space. Around the 8940-8890 range, the target is to break through 9200 and look towards 9320-9450. ETH Around the 3167-3188 range, the target is to break through 3252 and look towards 3300-3358. Short-term trading should be flexible, with defense based on actual position situations! $BTC #美联储降息 $ETH
December 11 BTC/ETH Strategy Analysis:

Interest rate cuts have been fully priced in, but will the actual landing be bearish?

From Powell's speech early this morning, we learned that the interest rate level remains neutral, and we will look at inflation risks moving forward. This perspective has indeed become more dovish, leaving room for future hawkish comments from Harker to raise interest rates. Yesterday's BTC target was 9450, and ETH target was 3300 to hit 3450 for a complete profit-taking. Moving forward, the market may see normal pullbacks due to the dual impact of institutions ending profits and the increased scale of U.S. Treasury bonds putting short-term funds under pressure. The benefits of interest rate cuts will not be immediately apparent!

BTC
From the daily chart perspective, the shrinking trading volume has created a divergence that limits the bullish engulfing pattern's upward momentum. The market remains in a fluctuating box structure, and short-term declines will prioritize rebounds. As long as the price does not drop below 8930 during the day, there is still upward space.

Around the 8940-8890 range, the target is to break through 9200 and look towards 9320-9450.

ETH
Around the 3167-3188 range, the target is to break through 3252 and look towards 3300-3358.

Short-term trading should be flexible, with defense based on actual position situations! $BTC #美联储降息 $ETH
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Powell's speech has landed, can the bulls meet expectations? The ideal wind will surely blow into reality, the nights endured will turn into light, and in every seemingly ordinary day you have walked through, the energy accumulated and knowledge settled will scatter like stars, illuminating the path beneath your feet! Looking back at today's thoughts, the K-line trends are presented one by one on the market, bottoming out and getting in, with a target of three lines achieving profit-taking, Bitcoin has a space of 3000 points, Ethereum has a space of 150 points, how much have you obtained? As long as the direction is correct, distance is not a concern, time will witness miracles! The market is never wrong; the only mistakes are in thoughts and strategies. Common mistakes in trading are often swayed by emotions, failing to plan, and gambling in an uncertain market with real positions. Does this approach yield the expected results in terms of positions? $BTC #美联储FOMC会议 $ETH
Powell's speech has landed, can the bulls meet expectations?

The ideal wind will surely blow into reality, the nights endured will turn into light, and in every seemingly ordinary day you have walked through, the energy accumulated and knowledge settled will scatter like stars, illuminating the path beneath your feet!

Looking back at today's thoughts, the K-line trends are presented one by one on the market, bottoming out and getting in, with a target of three lines achieving profit-taking, Bitcoin has a space of 3000 points, Ethereum has a space of 150 points, how much have you obtained?

As long as the direction is correct, distance is not a concern, time will witness miracles!

The market is never wrong; the only mistakes are in thoughts and strategies. Common mistakes in trading are often swayed by emotions, failing to plan, and gambling in an uncertain market with real positions. Does this approach yield the expected results in terms of positions?
$BTC #美联储FOMC会议 $ETH
Bit-刘貝
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December 10 BTC/ETH Analysis:

Shadow Chairman Hasett's remarks sparked a bullish sentiment!

Last night, after the US market, Federal Reserve Chairman candidate Hasett revealed ultra-hawkish comments: the rate cut could exceed 25 basis points, a view supported by Trump. Meanwhile, Bank of America indicated a possibility of expanding its balance sheet. Upon the news, institutions aggressively accumulated positions, leading to a surge!

BTC
The four-hour chart just completed a "wedge breakout", with short-term moving averages forming a golden cross. It rebounded to the daily MA60 but faced resistance and corrected. Pay attention to the support at 9180 for minor pullbacks; as long as it holds above this level, the bullish pattern remains. If it breaks down, watch for entry on the right side, with support below at 9080-8930.

In the range of 9150-9190, a bullish target of 9320-9450 can be expected, with a breakthrough look towards 9630.

ETH
A large influx of institutional ETFs is driving a strong rally, almost touching the daily resistance level of 3450. During the day, prioritize observing the strength of the pullback, with support at 3280. If the minor pullback holds, there is still upward potential; if it breaks down, pay attention to 3246-3200.

In the range of 3275-3296, a bullish target of 3345-3398 can be expected, with a breakthrough look towards 3450.

Short-term trading is flexible, and defensive measures should be determined based on your actual position!
$BTC #加密市场反弹 $ETH
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The interest rate cut has been implemented! Powell still remains non-committal and expresses no clear stance, but from the information revealed, there is no strong opposition to increasing the interest rate cut. After his speech, he won't have much involvement, and everyone knows Hassett's stance. Considering the recent influx of substantial funds, we will gradually see a market recovery! Short-term protection has been established, and it's time to secure the earnings that can be collected. Here are the take-profit and stop-loss positions for your reference! Wishing everyone prosperity! $BTC #美联储FOMC会议 $ETH
The interest rate cut has been implemented!

Powell still remains non-committal and expresses no clear stance, but from the information revealed, there is no strong opposition to increasing the interest rate cut. After his speech, he won't have much involvement, and everyone knows Hassett's stance. Considering the recent influx of substantial funds, we will gradually see a market recovery!

Short-term protection has been established, and it's time to secure the earnings that can be collected. Here are the take-profit and stop-loss positions for your reference!

Wishing everyone prosperity!

$BTC #美联储FOMC会议 $ETH
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BNB Current price 896 long position target 905 has reached the target Policy news is over, and next we will move normally upwards! If the position needs to be reduced, do so first. If we can't push up tonight, there will be a small pullback and consolidation. Long-term target looks at 1012 $BNB #美联储FOMC会议
BNB

Current price 896 long position target 905 has reached the target

Policy news is over, and next we will move normally upwards! If the position needs to be reduced, do so first. If we can't push up tonight, there will be a small pullback and consolidation. Long-term target looks at 1012

$BNB #美联储FOMC会议
Bit-刘貝
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BNB

Recently, it has been maintaining a fluctuating bottoming structure. Yesterday, due to institutional funds entering the market, it surged and tested the daily resistance level of 929, which then faced a pullback. The rebound strength was relatively low. A breakout of the middle track is about to form a golden cross on the 2-hour level, and the KDJ on the 4-hour level is converging, with the J value rebounding from the oversold area and moving upwards, indicating a clear bullish signal.

It is recommended to go long at the current price of 896 directly.

Leave a supplementary position at 887, defend at 877, with a target of 905-913-929 to look for a breakthrough towards 942.

$BNB #美联储FOMC会议
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The printing press is warming up Quantitative easing policy is coming! The Federal Reserve will purchase 40 billion dollars in government bonds within 30 days! Market liquidity is surging crazily! … … … $BTC #美联储FOMC会议
The printing press is warming up

Quantitative easing policy is coming!

The Federal Reserve will purchase 40 billion dollars in government bonds within 30 days!
Market liquidity is surging crazily!




$BTC #美联储FOMC会议
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Heaven and Earth Needle! So freaking exciting Positions switching back and forth between red and green, I'm dizzy🥴! … … … $BTC #美联储FOMC会议
Heaven and Earth Needle!

So freaking exciting

Positions switching back and forth between red and green, I'm dizzy🥴!






$BTC #美联储FOMC会议
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Dabing, show some spirit! Don't hold back You can't always let the younger brother lead the way; whether you can break out of this volatile range depends on you! … … … $BTC #美联储FOMC会议 $ETH
Dabing, show some spirit!

Don't hold back

You can't always let the younger brother lead the way; whether you can break out of this volatile range depends on you!



$BTC #美联储FOMC会议 $ETH
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It's here! It's here! I can smell the surge! Hold on to the long position Has the news leaked in advance? … … … $BTC #美联储FOMC会议 $ETH
It's here! It's here!

I can smell the surge! Hold on to the long position

Has the news leaked in advance?





$BTC #美联储FOMC会议 $ETH
Bit-刘貝
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December 10 BTC/ETH Analysis:

Shadow Chairman Hasett's remarks sparked a bullish sentiment!

Last night, after the US market, Federal Reserve Chairman candidate Hasett revealed ultra-hawkish comments: the rate cut could exceed 25 basis points, a view supported by Trump. Meanwhile, Bank of America indicated a possibility of expanding its balance sheet. Upon the news, institutions aggressively accumulated positions, leading to a surge!

BTC
The four-hour chart just completed a "wedge breakout", with short-term moving averages forming a golden cross. It rebounded to the daily MA60 but faced resistance and corrected. Pay attention to the support at 9180 for minor pullbacks; as long as it holds above this level, the bullish pattern remains. If it breaks down, watch for entry on the right side, with support below at 9080-8930.

In the range of 9150-9190, a bullish target of 9320-9450 can be expected, with a breakthrough look towards 9630.

ETH
A large influx of institutional ETFs is driving a strong rally, almost touching the daily resistance level of 3450. During the day, prioritize observing the strength of the pullback, with support at 3280. If the minor pullback holds, there is still upward potential; if it breaks down, pay attention to 3246-3200.

In the range of 3275-3296, a bullish target of 3345-3398 can be expected, with a breakthrough look towards 3450.

Short-term trading is flexible, and defensive measures should be determined based on your actual position!
$BTC #加密市场反弹 $ETH
See original
See original
BNB Recently, it has been maintaining a fluctuating bottoming structure. Yesterday, due to institutional funds entering the market, it surged and tested the daily resistance level of 929, which then faced a pullback. The rebound strength was relatively low. A breakout of the middle track is about to form a golden cross on the 2-hour level, and the KDJ on the 4-hour level is converging, with the J value rebounding from the oversold area and moving upwards, indicating a clear bullish signal. It is recommended to go long at the current price of 896 directly. Leave a supplementary position at 887, defend at 877, with a target of 905-913-929 to look for a breakthrough towards 942. $BNB #美联储FOMC会议
BNB

Recently, it has been maintaining a fluctuating bottoming structure. Yesterday, due to institutional funds entering the market, it surged and tested the daily resistance level of 929, which then faced a pullback. The rebound strength was relatively low. A breakout of the middle track is about to form a golden cross on the 2-hour level, and the KDJ on the 4-hour level is converging, with the J value rebounding from the oversold area and moving upwards, indicating a clear bullish signal.

It is recommended to go long at the current price of 896 directly.

Leave a supplementary position at 887, defend at 877, with a target of 905-913-929 to look for a breakthrough towards 942.

$BNB #美联储FOMC会议
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Ethereum is really strong👍 Continuously leading, it seems like Bitcoin has been drained! Completely limiting the pace of Ethereum's rise, as long as Bitcoin can break above 93000, Ethereum must touch the daily resistance level of 3450 tonight! The premise is that Powell doesn't cause a shock! … … $BTC #美联储FOMC会议 $ETH
Ethereum is really strong👍

Continuously leading, it seems like Bitcoin has been drained!

Completely limiting the pace of Ethereum's rise, as long as Bitcoin can break above 93000, Ethereum must touch the daily resistance level of 3450 tonight!

The premise is that Powell doesn't cause a shock!



$BTC #美联储FOMC会议 $ETH
See original
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut meeting is approaching! BlackRock is switching hands, brewing a big move? In fact, compared to BTC, ETH has shown very strong performance in recent days. Although the buying volume is still not very strong, it is much better than Bitcoin, completely different from the attitude a while ago. Previously, BlackRock's investors mainly bought BTC but sold ETH, now they have sold BTC and bought ETH instead, and Fidelity's investors are still maintaining a large amount of spot buying. Maintaining a buy signal is a positive stimulus for the market; we just hope that there won't be a short-term profit-taking sell-off, as that would be a disaster for retail investors in the market! $BTC #美联储FOMC会议 $ETH
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut meeting is approaching!

BlackRock is switching hands, brewing a big move?

In fact, compared to BTC, ETH has shown very strong performance in recent days. Although the buying volume is still not very strong, it is much better than Bitcoin, completely different from the attitude a while ago. Previously, BlackRock's investors mainly bought BTC but sold ETH, now they have sold BTC and bought ETH instead, and Fidelity's investors are still maintaining a large amount of spot buying.

Maintaining a buy signal is a positive stimulus for the market; we just hope that there won't be a short-term profit-taking sell-off, as that would be a disaster for retail investors in the market!
$BTC #美联储FOMC会议 $ETH
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How many more troops are there below? Bottom picking to get in After-hours US stock market has made a slight pullback, testing the bottom support and starting to rebound. At this point, there is a certain space for movement, and the bullish pattern is very complete. There is no need to say much about the technical structure of the market at this time; it is meaningless. Just wait for old Powell to speak! At this time, hold onto your long positions, set a good trailing stop, and cautiously reduce your position. After all, any analysis in front of such policy news is superfluous! $BTC #美联储FOMC会议 $ETH
How many more troops are there below?

Bottom picking to get in

After-hours US stock market has made a slight pullback, testing the bottom support and starting to rebound. At this point, there is a certain space for movement, and the bullish pattern is very complete. There is no need to say much about the technical structure of the market at this time; it is meaningless. Just wait for old Powell to speak!

At this time, hold onto your long positions, set a good trailing stop, and cautiously reduce your position. After all, any analysis in front of such policy news is superfluous!

$BTC #美联储FOMC会议 $ETH
Bit-刘貝
--
December 10 BTC/ETH Analysis:

Shadow Chairman Hasett's remarks sparked a bullish sentiment!

Last night, after the US market, Federal Reserve Chairman candidate Hasett revealed ultra-hawkish comments: the rate cut could exceed 25 basis points, a view supported by Trump. Meanwhile, Bank of America indicated a possibility of expanding its balance sheet. Upon the news, institutions aggressively accumulated positions, leading to a surge!

BTC
The four-hour chart just completed a "wedge breakout", with short-term moving averages forming a golden cross. It rebounded to the daily MA60 but faced resistance and corrected. Pay attention to the support at 9180 for minor pullbacks; as long as it holds above this level, the bullish pattern remains. If it breaks down, watch for entry on the right side, with support below at 9080-8930.

In the range of 9150-9190, a bullish target of 9320-9450 can be expected, with a breakthrough look towards 9630.

ETH
A large influx of institutional ETFs is driving a strong rally, almost touching the daily resistance level of 3450. During the day, prioritize observing the strength of the pullback, with support at 3280. If the minor pullback holds, there is still upward potential; if it breaks down, pay attention to 3246-3200.

In the range of 3275-3296, a bullish target of 3345-3398 can be expected, with a breakthrough look towards 3450.

Short-term trading is flexible, and defensive measures should be determined based on your actual position!
$BTC #加密市场反弹 $ETH
See original
Open the warehouse Make good tea, and wait for Powell to pull the market! Technical analysis is insignificant compared to policy news! … … … $BTC #美联储FOMC会议 $ETH
Open the warehouse

Make good tea, and wait for Powell to pull the market!

Technical analysis is insignificant compared to policy news!





$BTC #美联储FOMC会议 $ETH
See original
U.S. stocks opened lower The market is not very volatile Still waiting for the main event from Old Powell! #美联储FOMC会议
U.S. stocks opened lower

The market is not very volatile

Still waiting for the main event from Old Powell!
#美联储FOMC会议
See original
The institution supported by the Trump family (American Bitcoin) Currently holds more BTC than all American retail investors combined, with an excess of 4783 BTC Moreover, they continue to buy, which means that most of the supply is controlled by the yellow-haired, and retail investors can only passively endure the price fluctuations, losing bargaining power! $BTC #美联储FOMC会议
The institution supported by the Trump family (American Bitcoin)

Currently holds more BTC than all American retail investors combined, with an excess of 4783 BTC

Moreover, they continue to buy, which means that most of the supply is controlled by the yellow-haired, and retail investors can only passively endure the price fluctuations, losing bargaining power!

$BTC #美联储FOMC会议
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