铺老四

Ethereum (ETH) Market In-depth Analysis and Operation Strategy Guide

Since Ethereum hit 3346 yesterday, it quickly showed a strong rebound momentum, and the price quickly climbed above 3400, and then entered the consolidation stage after the upward pressure. At present, the market is in a critical period of repair and consolidation, and the upper important suppression position focuses on the 3600 line. On the hourly chart, the upper rail resistance shows a gradual downward trend, while the overall trend maintains a volatile pattern in the middle and upper rail area, indicating that there is still a possibility of breakthrough during the day. Therefore, it is recommended that investors plan in advance and be prepared for response.

In terms of operational thinking, we tend to focus on rebound shorting, supplemented by callback long strategies. Specifically, when the price shows signs of rebound, short orders can be given priority; and during the callback process, long orders can be moderately concerned. However, it should be emphasized that if the market breaks, it is not recommended to blindly chase more, so as not to fall into a passive position.
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Short-term operation strategy analysis:
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Short order layout: First, pay close attention to the breakout of 3500 points. If the price shows signs of weakness near this range, consider opening short positions in batches. Specifically, you can enter short orders with a light position in the 3480-3500 range, and set a stop loss above 3640 to control risks. At the same time, in order to cope with possible pullbacks, you can preset a strategy of covering positions near 3620 to enhance the security of holding positions. In addition, if the price further rises to the 3560-3580 range, you can also consider adding short orders in this area, with the target looking down to the 3440-3410 range.
Multiple order opportunities: In the lower support area, that is, the 3340-3360 range, if the price shows an effective pullback, it can be regarded as a good opportunity for long order layout. At this time, you can enter long orders with a light position and set a reasonable stop-profit target near 3420. Please note that market fluctuations are uncertain, so you need to be highly vigilant and flexibly adjust your strategy in actual operations.
Important reminder: The strategy suggestions in this article are for reference only.

In-depth analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) market on July 13:

Bitcoin prices have recently shown a gradual downward trend in the range. Although there was a brief rise during the day, the gains were all withdrawn in the early hours of the morning, showing the delicate balance of long and short forces in the market. The intraday low has quietly approached the key support area of ​​56,500. Although it has not actually fallen below it, the market is still in a delicate state of range fluctuations. If this support level is unfortunately lost, the short-term consolidation pattern may collapse, and the price may accelerate its decline, pointing directly to the psychological defense line of 55,000. Investors should plan in advance to prepare for unexpected events.
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Looking closely at the short-term four-hour chart, the trend of Bitcoin shows a typical "high-rise and fall" pattern. Yesterday's rebound attempt failed to effectively break through the solid resistance of 58,800, and then the price stabilized near the middle track, but it was only a temporary false breakthrough, and then entered the callback track again. Currently, the price of Bitcoin is hovering around 57,600. The continuous decline in the early morning hours has wiped out all the previous gains, and the market trend is showing signs of fatigue. The current market is in a price repair period of range consolidation, and subsequent trends still need to pay close attention to the stability of the support level. In view of the risk of further price decline, the intraday trading strategy should focus on rebound shorting, while keeping a close eye on the key fluctuation range of 56,500 to 58,500, flexibly responding to market changes, and ensuring effective management of risks and returns. $AXL $FLM $TRU #美联储何时降息？

Yesterday, the Ethereum market continued its volatile upward trend until the CPI data was announced in the evening. After the digital currency broke through the short-term resistance level of 3150, it quickly rebounded to a high of 3216, but then left a long rise at the high level. The shadow line shows that the pressure above is significant, and then it fell back under pressure. Currently, the price of Ethereum is stably fluctuating around 3100.

From the hourly chart analysis, the current MA5 and MA10 moving averages show a slight adhesion state, and jointly show an upward resonance trend, which may indicate the potential for continued upward attack in the short term. However, when we turn our attention to broader technical indicators, the overall trajectory of the MA30 moving average and the Bollinger Bands (BOLL) still maintains a weak trend, indicating that the market is still adjusting within a relatively wide range of shocks. .

Based on the above analysis, our overall trading idea tends to look for short-selling opportunities in band rebounds. For specific short-term operations, the suggestions are as follows:

Short selling strategy: If the price of Ethereum rebounds to around the 3130 to 3150 range, you can consider placing a short position with a short position. In order to control risks, you can set the defensive position above 3250 and consider covering short positions at this position to enhance the safety of your position. Stop loss is recommended to be set near 3290 to avoid possible unexpected upward risks. The take-profit target is initially set at the 2960-2990 range. If the price successfully falls below 2960, you can consider continuing to hold short orders to pursue greater profits.
Long strategy (alternative): If there is a deep correction in the market and the price of Ethereum falls back to the area near 2990, you can consider placing short-term long orders near this position. For risk management, it is recommended to set the defensive position below 2880, and to cover the position appropriately to spread the cost. The stop loss point should be carefully set below 2840 to prevent the market from accidentally breaking the level. The profit-taking target can be set above 3050, and can be adjusted flexibly based on market reaction. $ILV $GAL $OM #美联储何时降息？ #币安合约锦标赛

When the market breaks through the previous low, if the main force can successfully build a double bottom support at this position and obtain confirmation, then the subsequent market trend may show two trends: First, the market may enter a sideways oscillation stage, consolidating the bottom by exchanging time for space; second, the market gradually accumulates strength in the oscillation and chooses to break upward. In my personal opinion, considering that the main funds usually tend to absorb chips at a low level before key events (such as the landing of Ethereum ETF transactions), the possibility of sideways oscillation is relatively large. This also means that the official launch of the Ethereum ETF is getting closer and closer, and market participants need to remain patient and wait for this favorable boot to land. Communication Junyang: 977356059

Looking back at the development trajectory of the historical bull market, it is not difficult to find that the current market's oscillation adjustment is likely to be a necessary preparation stage before the official launch of the second half of the bull market. According to past experience, the second half of the entire bull market may continue until 2025. By then, with the implementation of the US interest rate cut policy, global liquidity is expected to further flood, injecting new vitality into the market. Therefore, at the current stage, I suggest that investors should remain calm and patient, continue to hold their crypto assets, and consider using idle funds to participate moderately to capture potential market upside opportunities. #CPI数据 #美联储何时降息？ #德国政府转移比特币

On July 10, Nick Timiraos, the "Fed's mouthpiece", published an article in the Wall Street Journal stating that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell made a subtle but important shift that brought the Federal Reserve closer to cutting interest rates. He said on Tuesday that further cooling in the labor market was possible. is not advisable.

"High inflation is not the only risk we face," Powell told the Senate Banking Committee on the first day of two days of testimony on Tuesday. "We have seen that the labor market has cooled significantly in many aspects, and it is now not a source of broad inflationary pressures in the economy."

The assessment is noteworthy because Fed officials have long viewed an overheating labor market as a major risk to the process of lowering inflation.

Powell acknowledged that he would not have made such a judgment two months ago. Indeed, Powell also sounded more measured in his comments at a conference in Portugal last week, ahead of the Labor Department's June jobs report. $BTC

The main task yesterday was to apply for more wallets, and then idle each other... and then arrange several long and short double explosions in a cycle. Dezi transferred 5,200 bitcoins today, $300 million.
Don't have unrealistic fantasies.

Finally, a unilateral explosion [Laughing without speaking $BTC ] #德国政府转移比特币 #币安7周年

$BTC In the cryptocurrency market, the term "chasing up and selling down" is often misunderstood as negative speculative behavior, but in fact, it contains profound profit wisdom and strategic essence.

There are only a handful of masters who can really master this. They show extraordinary courage and decisiveness - boldly follow up when the trend is confirmed to be rising, and quickly withdraw when the risk appears to be falling. This strategy exquisitely achieves the ultimate amplification of profits and effective control of losses. This is not only an extreme test of the market's technical analysis ability, but also a perfect combination of investors' psychological quality and strategy execution, as if dancing with the tide of the market, accurately grasping the rhythm of every ups and downs, and showing calmness between advances and retreats.

However, it is regrettable that this wise operation mode is often misunderstood as the blind following of "leeks", and even suffers unwarranted denigration by market leaders and dealers. This phenomenon profoundly reveals the common problems of uneven information distribution and public cognitive bias in the cryptocurrency market.

But real investors should have the ability to penetrate the appearance and see the essence. They should deeply understand the logic and strategic value behind "chasing up and selling down" and flexibly apply it in actual transactions. Only in this way can they maintain a steady pace in this turbulent and variable currency sea, continue to accumulate wealth, and become the winner of the market.