After multiple requests from some followers, I’ve decided to open something private.
What I share publicly is only a fraction of the full picture. The market is a game of liquidity, timing, and understanding. Most people always arrive… too late.
Today, I’m officially opening The Alpha Board, a private group built for those who want to see the move before it happens, not after.
Inside, you’ll get: • Advanced market analysis ($BTC , Stocks, macro) • Key liquidity zones & forward scenarios • Smart money flow breakdowns • Clear market structure insights • Direct access + a serious community
This is NOT a signals group. This is where you build a real edge. If you’re tired of: - following the crowd - entering too late - not understanding why the market moves
Then this is exactly for you. Founder one-time access: $39 Limited spots available
Scan the QR code or click on the link to join instantly This post will be auto-deleted in 15 days
The market doesn’t reward the fastest. It rewards the most prepared.
Here's a rough visualization of how I see the most likely scenarios playing out. If you average them, you'll get a feel for the broad concept I have. I can absolutely be wrong, but it's my take on things currently.
Note that I give the diagonal (dotted) trend lines some importance in controlling the price movements as well as the horizontal support levels.
This falls in alignment with my other post on the odds I give these Bitcoin scenarios.
$BTC is moving sideways around $63,950. On the upside, the $64,300–$64,900 range stands out, with a notable $163.47 million open position liquidation cluster at $64,980.
On the downside, $63,000 and $62,300 are the key levels to watch.
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$BTC is trapped between two major liquidity zones at $62,922.
Heavy long liquidations sit below between $61,300–$62,300, while strong short liquidity is concentrated around $65,000–$66,000. Whichever side breaks first could trigger a sharp liquidation move.
Crypto exchanges have seen a 50% decline in user traffic over the past two weeks, according to sentiment data.
I expect a similar pattern to what happened in late 2022. Over the next few months, exchanges may reduce trading fees to zero in an attempt to bring investors back and increase market activity.
Business strategies also move in cycles. $BTC
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Bearish
$BTC bear markets generally take a long time to form.
They are boring at the bottom and people give up.
There's usually plenty of time to enter at a decent price.
The bottom of the crypto market will probably be marked when an exchange launches a marketing campaign saying that spot or derivatives trading will have 0% fees.
I’m predicting this because it is a way to attract market makers in mass, and exchange owners know this very well. Don't feel rushed.
Those who pay get Trump's market-moving comments before everyone else.
Trump appears to have realized that his words can move billions of dollars in market value and now access to them is becoming a paid service. Starting August 1, Trump Media will launch the Truth Social API, a subscription-based service. Among the first reported subscribers are:
Banks Investment funds Algorithmic trading firms
So why does this matter? Trump's statements have increasingly been moving markets within seconds. Comments on tariffs have shaken global markets. Remarks about the Strait of Hormuz have moved oil prices almost instantly.
Statements regarding a potential Iran ceasefire have quickly affected both crypto and equities. Instead of relying on unofficial methods to scrape these updates, institutions will now be able to receive them through an official API with minimal delay, allowing them to feed the information directly into trading and analytics systems.
In today's markets, speed of information is a competitive advantage. And for perhaps the first time, a U.S. president's public statements are being distributed through a paid service aimed at financial institutions.
If $BTC falls to $57,000 or lower, a massive wave of liquidations could occur across multiple exchanges.
Another major liquidation zone is located above $82,000, although it is currently much farther from the market price.
These regions can act as powerful price magnets because markets are driven by liquidity, not narratives.
The smartest approach is to set alerts directly on these liquidation levels or dynamically near them. Alphractal is the only platform that allows traders to create alerts directly from the Liquidation Levels chart, giving you a unique advantage without having to watch the market all day.
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$BTC The 6 month Liquidation Levels show that the main liquidation pools are located between $55,000 and $57,000 for Longs, and between $82,000 and $84,000 for Shorts.
What stands out is the massive concentration around $57,000, which is much closer to Bitcoin’s current price.
If Bitcoin moves toward this region, a huge number of traders could be liquidated across multiple exchanges.
$BTC is trapped between two major liquidity zones at $62,922.
Heavy long liquidations sit below between $61,300–$62,300, while strong short liquidity is concentrated around $65,000–$66,000. Whichever side breaks first could trigger a sharp liquidation move.
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$5 BILLION $BTC LIQUIDITY ALERT!
Nearly $5 billion in liquidity is concentrated around $62,000. If BTC loses the $64,000 support, a sharp move toward this massive liquidity pool would not be surprising.
$BTC spot is dumping. Futures are pumping. One side is about to break.
Spot CVD: -318.96M, sellers in control all session Coinbase Premium: -0.10%, no real demand Perp CVD: +65.16M, leveraged buyers still adding Funding: 0.0021%, positive despite the drop
Price fell from 66K to 63K, bounced back on futures buying, not spot demand.
🔴 Heavy short liquidation clusters remain above $65.5k–67k. 🟣 Strong bid liquidity is also building around $62.3k.
Price is currently trading between both magnets. As long as BTC holds above $62.3k, the upside liquidity remains the more attractive target.
Lose that level, and the market will likely sweep lower liquidity first before attempting another move higher. Liquidity comes first. Direction comes second.
$BTC The 6 month Liquidation Levels show that the main liquidation pools are located between $55,000 and $57,000 for Longs, and between $82,000 and $84,000 for Shorts.
What stands out is the massive concentration around $57,000, which is much closer to Bitcoin’s current price.
If Bitcoin moves toward this region, a huge number of traders could be liquidated across multiple exchanges.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs were one of the biggest drivers behind $BTC 's rally over the past two years.
• 2024: relentless accumulation - over 500K BTC in net inflows • 2025: still strong - peaking around 250K BTC • 2026: roughly 120K BTC of cumulative net outflows
If ETF demand drove the rally up, how can you be bullish while that demand reversed completely?
Maybe the market is pricing in something else. Maybe new capital replaces ETF flows.
But based on this data alone - this is a headwind, not a tailwind.
Is $BTC Still Missing Its Final Capitulation? Perhaps.
The Market Capitulation Index has not yet reached the extreme stress levels seen near previous market bottoms.
Miners and investors may still need one final price shakeout before this on-chain indicator confirms a true capitulation event.
The index combines three major stress signals:
• Hash rate decline greater than 30% over 30 days • Price drawdown greater than 50% • 7-day active supply above 15%
Each triggered condition adds one point. Readings between 2 and 3 indicate severe market stress and a higher probability of capitulation and bottom formation.
Nearly $5 billion in liquidity is concentrated around $62,000. If BTC loses the $64,000 support, a sharp move toward this massive liquidity pool would not be surprising.
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During the $BTC USD spot CVD rise, spot entries were quite low; however, the rapid closing of existing open positions confirms the movement aimed at clearing sell liquidations.
$BTC 's real buyers are selling. Its leveraged traders are buying. That mismatch never lasts.
Spot CVD: sellers in control since the recent top. Perp CVD: buyers still active, but momentum fading. Funding: low - longs aren't crowded yet, but they're the only bid. Coinbase Premium: still soft - US spot demand absent.
Order Book Depth: - Real buyers: waiting below 64K - Leveraged sellers: stacked above
Leverage is propping this up, not real demand. That setup usually cracks.
$BTC Why Exchange Leverage is Flashing a Deleveraging Warning?
Data shows that leverage deployment has stretched into the top 5% of historical extreme. Current market rally is built on borrowed margin that lacks the underlying spot liquidity to sustain it.
$BTC Why Exchange Leverage is Flashing a Deleveraging Warning?
Data shows that leverage deployment has stretched into the top 5% of historical extreme. Current market rally is built on borrowed margin that lacks the underlying spot liquidity to sustain it.