聚币群

The original intention of God in designing Bitcoin was to help the underprivileged break free from poverty, but some of them do not appreciate it and are unwilling to own Bitcoin, so they remain poor. Some have seized this opportunity, acquired a few Bitcoins, and became rich, achieving a turnaround in their lives! $BTC
$ETH
$XRP
#美SEC代币化股票交易计划 #加密市场观察 #RWA总规模持续增长

The Asian market surged, while the European market plummeted. Prices are fluctuating, and the market has once again returned to a range-bound oscillation.

If it weren't for the easing geopolitical situation, Bitcoin would likely break downward. Since there hasn't been any positive news to stimulate an upward breakout, we will continue to hold our bearish stance.

Currently, the hourly chart shows seven consecutive downward candles, and the short-term bearish trend is evident. After the US market opens, we will continue to maintain a high bearish outlook.

Bitcoin: Continue to bearish in the 88,500-89,000 range, looking down towards around 86,000. ​$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#加密市场观察 #美联储降息预期升温 #代币化热潮

On Monday, the daytime market showed a reverse V shape, rising to around 90300 after moving up from near 87600, then retracing to around 87700. As mentioned before, the key resistance point for the market is around 90500; a breakthrough and stabilization would allow for another upward move. From the current daily structure, the upward momentum shows a long upper shadow with a bearish column, with the opening gradually converging. In the four-hour structure, the upward momentum turns to shrink and touches the middle track, gradually forming a downward trend. In the hourly structure, the upward momentum turns to a downward trend, forming a downward breakout; there is still some strength left, and the short-term bearish part is shrinking and rebounding. In the evening, the strategy is to enter into high rebounds, and it is sufficient to catch the rebound.

Monday evening:

The market is around 88200-88700, with a target of around 86800-86300. Prevent at 89200.

The market is around 2980-3010, with a target of around 2930-2900. Prevent at 3030. $ETH
$BTC
$BNB
#加密市场观察 #美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争

Talk about the current trend. In the afternoon, we mentioned that the plan was to do a dip in the 88700-88200 area. If there is no first wave arrangement today, it may dip once near 90588, as this is a 4-hour resistance. This is also why we said that a big explosion in the dip head needs to wait until 90588 breaks. Now the price has already pulled back into our planned area, the 88200-88700 zone is all about the dip. The stop-loss is set at 87400, with a take-profit looking at breaking 90000-90500, and then watching 3000 more. It all depends on how the US market moves. The stop-loss for Ethereum should follow Bitcoin's actions. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#加密市场观察 #美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争

Do not waste any valuable callback; it is a second chance given by the market. Stay greedy when others are fearful to capture excess returns. Looking back at the early market trends of Bitcoin and Ethereum, Bitcoin rallied from a low of 87778 to 90373 before experiencing a pullback. Turning to Ethereum, the overall trend also mirrored Bitcoin's pattern, rising from a low of 2943, reaching a peak of 3056 before retreating.

From the current market perspective, after completing the dip and confirmation of the support level on the daily chart, a strong bullish candle has emerged for a rebound, successfully breaking through the key mid-line, with upward momentum and space exceeding expectations. After breaking the low and closing near the low, the market has entered a phase of consolidation where time is traded for space. Currently, the strong bullish one-sided pattern has been basically established. In terms of technical shape, the price has broken through the recent range box, and after breaking the previous low, a top-bottom conversion has occurred, conforming to the technical characteristic of 'strong does not speak of the top.' After a period of consolidation, the smaller time frame has successively produced bullish candles that have increased and refreshed the stage high points. Currently, the bullish candle is solid, with strong continuity, and slight pullbacks during the session have become the step support for the bullish run. In the afternoon, the main idea is to go long after a pullback. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#加密市场观察 #美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争

Last week's overall net change was not good. After a week of 7 days, the result was still a net outflow. But suddenly this morning there was a surge; will this lead to a large net inflow? Today's data is therefore somewhat important. If there is a noticeable net inflow, then there is naturally nothing to fear about going long. But if it still only shows a net change of a few hundred, or even a net outflow, that would be a bit strange. Could it be another attempt to lure in buyers before a washout?

As we prepare for the New Year, there are basically no significant data releases expected. The most likely impactful events may be related to Trump possibly announcing who the Chair of the Federal Reserve will be? Additionally, January will be a relatively important time point; at the beginning of January, the U.S. Supreme Court will make a ruling on tariffs, and by the end of the month, there is the issue of whether the U.S. government will shut down again to address. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#加密市场观察 #美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争

Could it be that another 'painting door' market is coming? Today shouldn't have another 'painting door', right?

I've really been exhausted by the endless 'painting door' market these past week or two, losing hope and feeling miserable. Clearly, I was right and made money, but when I opened my phone again, not only was there no profit, but I even suffered losses and got trapped. After cutting my losses, TM rose again.

So this time, could it be that because the general public has this cautious 'painting door' mentality, the main force is going to take real action?

Logically, after experiencing the largest options expiration in history last Friday, the gamma hedging power of the options market makers should have dropped to the lowest point, and the low liquidity and erratic pulling and smashing phenomena should have eased. In several previous instances, it generally happened in the evening, especially after the U.S. stock market opened. As soon as the U.S. stock market opened, it would drop, and then collect chips at a low point, preparing for the next 'painting door', repeatedly washing the market.

Therefore, for today's market, as long as during the upcoming U.S. stock market opening period, it doesn't drop back, it indicates that the 'painting door' market may be nearing an end.

Is this wave of market going to be a belated Christmas market? Traditionally, the Christmas market refers to the last five trading days of December plus the first two trading days of the new year, so we will continue to wait and see. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#加密市场观察 #美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争

12.29 PM BTC, ETH Analysis:

The bulls continue to push, BTC directly broke through 90,000, ETH reached a high near 3,056, and now all small cycle indicators show no resistance;

There are layers of support below: BTC's small level resists falling near 89,500, with layers of consolidation below at 88,800--88,200--87,800 to prevent a reversal.

This slight strong rebound, many B friends can see that the current situation weakly shows "volume-less upward movement"; the important resistance level on the daily line is estimated not to reach 91,800;

Pay attention to the division line at 91,350, which is expected to be the high point of the current second upward surge, and ETH's expected high point is near 3,100--3,130.

BTC Suggestions:

Short near 91,000, add short at 91,400, target 90,000--89,500;

Long near 89,400, add long at 89,000, target 90,500--91,000.

ETH Suggestions:

Short near 3,100, add short at 3,130, target 3,000---2,980;

Long near 3,000, add long at 2,970, target 3,080--3,100.

There are risks in the B circle, contracts need to be cautious, reduce frequency with light positions, set stop losses and take profits, and develop good trading habits. $ETH
$BTC
$BNB
#加密市场观察 #美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争

DOGE Today's Trading Operation Plan

1. Market Analysis Conclusion

Based on market trends, today's DOGE trading thought is clearly bearish, relying on the trend of market pullbacks to layout trades.

2. Key Execution Points

1. Entry Range: Build positions in the range of 0.12800 - 0.13000

2. Target Points: First target 0.12600, second target 0.12330

3. Risk Control Requirements: Strictly control position ratio, set reasonable stop-loss, and track market movements in real time $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#加密市场观察 #美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争

Bitcoin 90,000 to, Ethereum 3048, let's take one wave first and then see. Step by step, let's accumulate with each order! Last week's market fluctuations and everyone's trading sentiment were like a stagnant pool, completely lack of passion, but now it has finally moved, has everyone returned? Regardless of the rise or fall, a bit of big fluctuation is interesting, isn't it?

This position has scared everyone, but today is different from the past. The daily line pattern is not the same. Wait for a pullback to add more, now the bullish trend is just beginning, and then you'll understand why Old Xiao has been insisting on low longs for the past two weeks. Actually, it's not that bad; the main long positions in the past ten days were in the 85,000-86,000-87,000 range with larger positions, and there were also instances of breaking 89,000 and then pulling back to continue long, which is normal. Recently, the overall bullish mindset remains unchanged! $ETH
$BTC
$BNB
#加密市场观察 #美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争

The biggest illusion in the crypto world is "I wish I had entered the market earlier." In reality, early participants faced more risks: exchanges running away, wallets being hacked, and projects going to zero.

What truly determines success or failure is not the timing of entry, but the three major understandings: technical understanding (knowing the underlying principles), risk understanding (having a backup plan), and human nature understanding (not relying on big shots).

Even if we go back to 2010, most people would still sell when it rises by 1 dollar and exit during a bear market with a 90% drop.

The solution is simple: acknowledge ignorance, use money that you can afford to lose for trial and error, and focus on learning technology, economics, and human nature every day.

Remember, wealth will only flow to those who deserve it, and understanding is your greatest asset. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#加密市场观察 #美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争

The pancake is in a four-hour level oscillation, with prices below EMA7/30/120. EMA30 and EMA120 have a dead cross, indicating a bearish medium-term trend.

The MACD at the 4H level shows negative DIF and DEA values that are diverging downwards, with bearish momentum prevailing and no significant bottom divergence.

Lightly test the bearish position above 88,000; set the stop loss at 90,000, with a target of 86,500. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争 #加密市场观察

Historic moment, ETF scale surpasses 6 trillion for the first time

On December 27, the Securities Times Data Treasure reported that as of December 27, China's ETF scale reached 6.03 trillion yuan, marking the first time in history that it has surpassed the 6 trillion yuan mark. Compared to the end of 2024, the latest ETF scale has increased by 61.59%. Historical data shows that in recent years, China's ETF scale has been increasing year by year. In 2020, China's ETF scale crossed the trillion yuan threshold for the first time, in 2023 it crossed the 2 trillion mark, in 2024 it rose above 3 trillion, and by 2025 it achieved a three-level leap to 4 trillion, 5 trillion, and 6 trillion. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争 #加密市场观察

Saturday night big pancake second pancake strategy

The US stock market experiences reduced volume during the Christmas holiday. The big pancake had a false breakout after spiking on the option expiration day yesterday, with strong support at 86000. The market's volume and volatility are both decreasing over the weekend, leading to a narrow range of fluctuations.

Operational Direction
Big pancake long near 86500, short near 88400
Second pancake long near 2900, short near 2980 $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争 #加密市场观察

Why do people say that 3000 yuan of ETH is just the beginning?

APT, ADA, ENA large unlocks

Every time the cryptocurrency market heats up, it's ETH that plays a big role, while BTC can only be considered as laying the foundation. Those altcoins can charge into battle all thanks to ETH's support.

Look at this cryptocurrency bull market, it's like a woman's menstrual cycle, coming every four years. The previous ones were stirred up by Bitcoin's halving, but what truly pushed the bull market to its peak was ETH's innovation and upgrades.
Innovation, this is the driving force of cryptocurrency, the entire financial market, and even our human society.

Back in the day, during the first bull market, Bitcoin halved, ETH emerged, and it even had ICO functionality, allowing humanity to freely issue securities for the first time.

Then came the second bull market, Bitcoin halved again, and ETH rolled out DEFI, turning the financial world upside down, with efficiency, transparency, and security (don’t laugh, this is real; you’ll understand more as time goes on) all skyrocketing. The latter half even added NFT and GameFi, sending the bull market straight to the sky.

In this bull market, Bitcoin halved again, and ETH and BTC entered the ETF camp together, becoming mainstream financial tools and even a weapon for the U.S. to manage its debts. Don't underestimate the matter of ETF staking; it not only locks liquidity but also energizes brokers. ETH's DEFI and RWA have a bright future ahead.

Now, Ethereum is at 3000 yuan, it looks like it will pull back on the weekly chart, but do you think this price has already factored in the ETF Stake approval? Not necessarily, it’s still early.

Furthermore, ETH is only in its teens, at the peak of its youth, and can still produce many offspring before it reaches menopause, constantly innovating! $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争 #加密市场观察

Breaking news! Wall Street giant JPMorgan has taken another drastic action, targeting two star startups involved in stablecoin operations in Venezuela!
To be honest, JPMorgan's freeze action appears on the surface to be a bank managing its own risks, but the signal it sends is very clear:
As long as your business involves high-risk countries under U.S. sanctions, or if a surge in users leads to a spike in 'chargeback' transactions, it doesn’t matter if you are a star project backed by top venture capital like Y Combinator or a rising star with transactions in the hundreds of millions, your account can be frozen without any consideration.
Especially in the current market conditions, institutional funds are all eyeing Bitcoin ETFs, and mainstream institutions are very sensitive to risks. Any slight movement will only make it harder and more cautious for traditional capital to enter the crypto space.
What should ordinary players do?
Stay away from 'high-risk' narratives: Don’t get too excited when you hear stories about 'bypassing traditional banks' or 'serving underdeveloped markets.' These types of projects are now targets for banks and regulators, and the channels for entering and exiting funds could be cut off at any time. This is no longer about whether the project itself is good or not; it directly relates to whether money can flow safely.
Follow the flow of large funds closely: The current market is very fragmented, with Bitcoin supported by institutions, while many altcoins are quickly running out of liquidity. Instead of risking a bet on marginal opportunities, it’s better to focus on the tracks that are receiving funds and are more 'compliance-friendly.' For example, recent data shows that trading volumes in prediction markets have surpassed that of Meme coins, as funds seek the next narrative-driven opportunity.
Manage your U well: This again proves that the lifeline of stablecoins lies in the issuer and the banking channels behind them. If more banks follow suit, the liquidity of certain stablecoins or related businesses may be impacted, leading to short-term volatility.
There are no gods in the crypto space, only teachers with a good mindset. If you don’t know what constitutes an effective breakthrough or which coins can yield 10 times returns, follow the leaders and get in the village! $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争 #加密市场观察

SOL Midday Operation Guide

The core strategy for midday clearly favors going long on SOL, targeting the range of 122.30-120.30 as the entry point for long positions.

The target points are set in stages; after stabilizing at the first target of 124.30, we can continue to look at the second target of 127.10. The trading thought process is clear, and the points are well-defined, suitable for short-term follow-up. $ETH
$BTC
$BNB
#美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争 #加密市场观察

At the end of the year, the global market rebounded, with US stocks and precious metals reaching new highs, but Bitcoin showed a noticeably weaker performance. Before the holidays, traders reduced their risk exposure, leading to weakened buying pressure and increased selling pressure for Bitcoin, causing the price to continue to decline and fluctuate below $90,000. Data shows that Bitcoin was around $87,200 on Friday, down about 6.5% from nearly $93,000 at the beginning of 2025.

Although Bitcoin broke through its historical high of $126,000 at the beginning of October, profit-taking and a decline in sentiment subsequently led to a lack of upward momentum, with prices retracting from their highs and maintaining a weak pattern. The low liquidity during the holiday week amplified volatility, and combined with sensitivity to leverage and derivatives, it becomes easier to trigger stop-losses and subsequent downward chains when the trend weakens.

Going forward, attention should be paid to macro interest rate expectations and risk appetite, ETF fund flows, and other sentiment indicators, as well as the key level around $90,000: if it cannot stabilize, weak fluctuations may continue; if buying pressure resumes and breaks through resistance, it could repair the downward trend. Overall, funds are more inclined towards the 'certainty premium' of precious metals amid uncertainty, while Bitcoin's short-term weakness reflects the pressure from deleveraging and reducing positions during the holidays. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争 #加密市场观察

One of the biggest lies in the trading circle is the indiscriminate promotion of "let profits run". For individual investors lacking quantitative risk control and strict stop-loss logic, "floating profit margin increase" is essentially leveraging on an extremely fragile profit-loss ratio. Market trends are never linear but rather in a wave of "advance three, retreat two". Institutions dare to increase their positions because they have the capital scale to create a moat and hedging tools for safety. When you see your account in the green and rush to add more, you often hit the counter-trend right on the nose—what was originally a profit cushion is instantly breached, causing your mentality to collapse. Remember, before your trading system has undergone at least two rounds of bull and bear verification, taking profits is not just a strategy but a survival instinct. Don't try to use the explosive power of a sprint to run a marathon; it can be fatal. $BTC $ETH $BNB #美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争 #加密市场观察