Daim Muhammad
903 Posts
Daim Muhammad
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$BTC Bitcoin's $15.6B Options Expiry ls a
Positioning Event, Not a Price Target
Deribit data cited by Decrypt shows
roughly 182,000 BTC in options expiring on
September 25, representing about $15.6
billion in notional value. The book contains
about 106,200 calls and 75,900 puts,
implying a put-to-call ratio near 0.71.
Deribit's displayed max-pain level is around
$76,000, while the $70,000 strike holds the
largest concentration of both calls and
puts.
The important distinction is that $15.6
billion is not cash that automatically
changes hands at expiry. Options notional
describes the face value of open
contracts. Dealer hedging and gamma
exposure can affect short-term price
behavior, but "max pain" is not a forecast
and should not be treated as one.
#StrategyStriveAdd2305BitcoinThisWeek #TrumpRejectsIranHormuzReopening #CircleTetherFreezeBitgetHackerWallet #SECSaysTokenBuybacksNotAutoSecurities #CoinMarketCapCompletesCoinglassAcquisition
$BTC Bitcoin's $15.6B Options Expiry ls a
Positioning Event, Not a Price Target
Deribit data cited by Decrypt shows
roughly 182,000 BTC in options expiring on
September 25, representing about $15.6
billion in notional value. The book contains
about 106,200 calls and 75,900 puts,
implying a put-to-call ratio near 0.71.
Deribit's displayed max-pain level is around
$76,000, while the $70,000 strike holds the
largest concentration of both calls and
puts.
The important distinction is that $15.6
billion is not cash that automatically
changes hands at expiry. Options notional
describes the face value of open
contracts. Dealer hedging and gamma
exposure can affect short-term price
behavior, but "max pain" is not a forecast
and should not be treated as one.
#StrategyStriveAdd2305BitcoinThisWeek #TrumpRejectsIranHormuzReopening #CircleTetherFreezeBitgetHackerWallet #SECSaysTokenBuybacksNotAutoSecurities #CoinMarketCapCompletesCoinglassAcquisition
Positioning Event, Not a Price Target
Deribit data cited by Decrypt shows
roughly 182,000 BTC in options expiring on
September 25, representing about $15.6
billion in notional value. The book contains
about 106,200 calls and 75,900 puts,
implying a put-to-call ratio near 0.71.
Deribit's displayed max-pain level is around
$76,000, while the $70,000 strike holds the
largest concentration of both calls and
puts.
The important distinction is that $15.6
billion is not cash that automatically
changes hands at expiry. Options notional
describes the face value of open
contracts. Dealer hedging and gamma
exposure can affect short-term price
behavior, but "max pain" is not a forecast
and should not be treated as one.
#StrategyStriveAdd2305BitcoinThisWeek #TrumpRejectsIranHormuzReopening #CircleTetherFreezeBitgetHackerWallet #SECSaysTokenBuybacksNotAutoSecurities #CoinMarketCapCompletesCoinglassAcquisition
44
$BTC River Financial's latest data puts Bitcoin's
supply dynamics in focus: 81% of
circulating $BTC, about 16.3 million
coins has not moved for at least six
months.
River also reports that long-term holders
have accumulated more than 3 million BTC
since 2020, while only about 300,000 BTC
from older holdings moved during the first
half of 2026.
Retail investors sold a net 140,000 BTC
during the first half of 2026 but bought
back more than 107,000 BTC in Q3, while
mid-sized wallets holding 100 to 1,000 BTC
have also increased their holdings.
The 81% figure does not mean those coins
can never move; it simply means they have
remained untouched for at least six
months.
#StrategyStriveAdd2305BitcoinThisWeek #TrumpRejectsIranHormuzReopening #CircleTetherFreezeBitgetHackerWallet #SECSaysTokenBuybacksNotAutoSecurities #CoinMarketCapCompletesCoinglassAcquisition
$BTC River Financial's latest data puts Bitcoin's
supply dynamics in focus: 81% of
circulating $BTC , about 16.3 million
coins has not moved for at least six
months.
River also reports that long-term holders
have accumulated more than 3 million BTC
since 2020, while only about 300,000 BTC
from older holdings moved during the first
half of 2026.
Retail investors sold a net 140,000 BTC
during the first half of 2026 but bought
back more than 107,000 BTC in Q3, while
mid-sized wallets holding 100 to 1,000 BTC
have also increased their holdings.
The 81% figure does not mean those coins
can never move; it simply means they have
remained untouched for at least six
months.
#StrategyStriveAdd2305BitcoinThisWeek #TrumpRejectsIranHormuzReopening #CircleTetherFreezeBitgetHackerWallet #SECSaysTokenBuybacksNotAutoSecurities #CoinMarketCapCompletesCoinglassAcquisition
supply dynamics in focus: 81% of
circulating $BTC , about 16.3 million
coins has not moved for at least six
months.
River also reports that long-term holders
have accumulated more than 3 million BTC
since 2020, while only about 300,000 BTC
from older holdings moved during the first
half of 2026.
Retail investors sold a net 140,000 BTC
during the first half of 2026 but bought
back more than 107,000 BTC in Q3, while
mid-sized wallets holding 100 to 1,000 BTC
have also increased their holdings.
The 81% figure does not mean those coins
can never move; it simply means they have
remained untouched for at least six
months.
#StrategyStriveAdd2305BitcoinThisWeek #TrumpRejectsIranHormuzReopening #CircleTetherFreezeBitgetHackerWallet #SECSaysTokenBuybacksNotAutoSecurities #CoinMarketCapCompletesCoinglassAcquisition
71
$BTC $2.39 billion entered U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs
in just five trading days, but the price
reaction tells an interesting story.
From Sept. 21-25, the ETFs recorded net
inflows every session, with Monday alone
bringing in roughly $999M. BlackRock's
IBIT led the week with about $1.16B, while
Fidelity's FBTC added roughly $702M.
Yet $BTC couldn't simply keep running.
Bitcoin briefly pushed above $87K before
cooling toward $84K, showing that strong
ETF demand can still meet significant
selling pressure.
That's what makes this worth watching.
ETF inflows provide a clearer bridge for
traditional capital into Bitcoin, but one
record week doesn't guarantee the next
move. The stronger signal would be
sustained inflows alongside $BTC
establishing a higher price range.
#TrumpRejectsIranHormuzReopening #CircleTetherFreezeBitgetHackerWallet #SECSaysTokenBuybacksNotAutoSecurities #CoinMarketCapCompletesCoinglassAcquisition #CircleMints500MUSDCOnSolana
$BTC $2.39 billion entered U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs
in just five trading days, but the price
reaction tells an interesting story.
From Sept. 21-25, the ETFs recorded net
inflows every session, with Monday alone
bringing in roughly $999M. BlackRock's
IBIT led the week with about $1.16B, while
Fidelity's FBTC added roughly $702M.
Yet $BTC couldn't simply keep running.
Bitcoin briefly pushed above $87K before
cooling toward $84K, showing that strong
ETF demand can still meet significant
selling pressure.
That's what makes this worth watching.
ETF inflows provide a clearer bridge for
traditional capital into Bitcoin, but one
record week doesn't guarantee the next
move. The stronger signal would be
sustained inflows alongside $BTC
establishing a higher price range.
#TrumpRejectsIranHormuzReopening #CircleTetherFreezeBitgetHackerWallet #SECSaysTokenBuybacksNotAutoSecurities #CoinMarketCapCompletesCoinglassAcquisition #CircleMints500MUSDCOnSolana
in just five trading days, but the price
reaction tells an interesting story.
From Sept. 21-25, the ETFs recorded net
inflows every session, with Monday alone
bringing in roughly $999M. BlackRock's
IBIT led the week with about $1.16B, while
Fidelity's FBTC added roughly $702M.
Yet $BTC couldn't simply keep running.
Bitcoin briefly pushed above $87K before
cooling toward $84K, showing that strong
ETF demand can still meet significant
selling pressure.
That's what makes this worth watching.
ETF inflows provide a clearer bridge for
traditional capital into Bitcoin, but one
record week doesn't guarantee the next
move. The stronger signal would be
sustained inflows alongside $BTC
establishing a higher price range.
#TrumpRejectsIranHormuzReopening #CircleTetherFreezeBitgetHackerWallet #SECSaysTokenBuybacksNotAutoSecurities #CoinMarketCapCompletesCoinglassAcquisition #CircleMints500MUSDCOnSolana
99
$BTC Bitcoin may be entering a new bull market,
according to Fidelity's Jurrien Timmer.
He says $BTC held the $60,000 support
zone for almost a year, roughly matching
the length of a typical Bitcoin winter.
With Bitcoin now breaking higher, Timmer
says a new four-year cycle could be
underway. He also pointed to the BTClgold
Z-score turning positive after spending an
extended period below zero.
Timmer's longer-term model also puts a
potential path toward $300,000 by 2029,
based ona slower projected growth rate of
around 60 to 65% annually.
That figure comes from his power-law
framework and is a model-based scenario,
not a guaranteed price target.
#PolymarketBankFailureBetsDrawFDICConcern #PolymarketBankFailureBetsDrawFDICConcern #BitwiseFilesToListNEARETFOnNYSEArca #SECSaysBuybacksUpgradesDontMakeTokenSecurity
$BTC Bitcoin may be entering a new bull market,
according to Fidelity's Jurrien Timmer.
He says $BTC held the $60,000 support
zone for almost a year, roughly matching
the length of a typical Bitcoin winter.
With Bitcoin now breaking higher, Timmer
says a new four-year cycle could be
underway. He also pointed to the BTClgold
Z-score turning positive after spending an
extended period below zero.
Timmer's longer-term model also puts a
potential path toward $300,000 by 2029,
based ona slower projected growth rate of
around 60 to 65% annually.
That figure comes from his power-law
framework and is a model-based scenario,
not a guaranteed price target.
#PolymarketBankFailureBetsDrawFDICConcern #PolymarketBankFailureBetsDrawFDICConcern #BitwiseFilesToListNEARETFOnNYSEArca #SECSaysBuybacksUpgradesDontMakeTokenSecurity
according to Fidelity's Jurrien Timmer.
He says $BTC held the $60,000 support
zone for almost a year, roughly matching
the length of a typical Bitcoin winter.
With Bitcoin now breaking higher, Timmer
says a new four-year cycle could be
underway. He also pointed to the BTClgold
Z-score turning positive after spending an
extended period below zero.
Timmer's longer-term model also puts a
potential path toward $300,000 by 2029,
based ona slower projected growth rate of
around 60 to 65% annually.
That figure comes from his power-law
framework and is a model-based scenario,
not a guaranteed price target.
#PolymarketBankFailureBetsDrawFDICConcern #PolymarketBankFailureBetsDrawFDICConcern #BitwiseFilesToListNEARETFOnNYSEArca #SECSaysBuybacksUpgradesDontMakeTokenSecurity
25
$BTC desks are holding the least $BTC on
this Crypto Quant series in years.
the blue balance has slid from about
500,000 to 550,000 bitcoin in 2021 toward
the low 120,000s now, a drop of roughly
400,000 coins since 2022. the latest prints
sit near 123,000 to 150,000 depending on
the snapshot. that inventory is what large
buyers used to lift without hitting the public
order book.
empty desks are not the same as zero
supply. coins left those wallets for ETFs,
treasuries and cold storage. Strategy alone
holds 846,000 $BTC. IBIT has been a bid for
months. the float did not vanish. it changed
address.
#CircleMints500MUSDCOnSolana #PolymarketBankFailureBetsDrawFDICConcern #CircleMints500MUSDCOnSolana #BitwiseFilesToListNEARETFOnNYSEArca #SECSaysBuybacksUpgradesDontMakeTokenSecurity
$BTC desks are holding the least $BTC on
this Crypto Quant series in years.
the blue balance has slid from about
500,000 to 550,000 bitcoin in 2021 toward
the low 120,000s now, a drop of roughly
400,000 coins since 2022. the latest prints
sit near 123,000 to 150,000 depending on
the snapshot. that inventory is what large
buyers used to lift without hitting the public
order book.
empty desks are not the same as zero
supply. coins left those wallets for ETFs,
treasuries and cold storage. Strategy alone
holds 846,000 $BTC . IBIT has been a bid for
months. the float did not vanish. it changed
address.
#CircleMints500MUSDCOnSolana #PolymarketBankFailureBetsDrawFDICConcern #CircleMints500MUSDCOnSolana #BitwiseFilesToListNEARETFOnNYSEArca #SECSaysBuybacksUpgradesDontMakeTokenSecurity
this Crypto Quant series in years.
the blue balance has slid from about
500,000 to 550,000 bitcoin in 2021 toward
the low 120,000s now, a drop of roughly
400,000 coins since 2022. the latest prints
sit near 123,000 to 150,000 depending on
the snapshot. that inventory is what large
buyers used to lift without hitting the public
order book.
empty desks are not the same as zero
supply. coins left those wallets for ETFs,
treasuries and cold storage. Strategy alone
holds 846,000 $BTC . IBIT has been a bid for
months. the float did not vanish. it changed
address.
#CircleMints500MUSDCOnSolana #PolymarketBankFailureBetsDrawFDICConcern #CircleMints500MUSDCOnSolana #BitwiseFilesToListNEARETFOnNYSEArca #SECSaysBuybacksUpgradesDontMakeTokenSecurity
40
$BTC Slippage and price impact are two of the
most commonly confused terms in DeFi.
Most users treat them as interchangeable.
They describe different things and
understanding both changes how you set
up swaps.
Price impact is what your specific trade
does to the pool's price. When you buy an
asset from a liquidity pool you are
removing that asset from the pool and
adding the asset you're selling. This
changes the ratio of assets in the pool
which changes the price. A small trade in a
deep pool produces minimal price impact.
A large trade in a shallow pool produces
significant price impact, you effectively
move the market against yourself as you
execute.
#CircleMints500MUSDCOnSolana #PolymarketBankFailureBetsDrawFDICConcern #BlackRockBuildsTokenizedPortfoliosForOndo #SECCommissionerPeirceToLeaveOct2 #SECSaysBuybacksUpgradesDontMakeTokenSecurity
$BTC Slippage and price impact are two of the
most commonly confused terms in DeFi.
Most users treat them as interchangeable.
They describe different things and
understanding both changes how you set
up swaps.
Price impact is what your specific trade
does to the pool's price. When you buy an
asset from a liquidity pool you are
removing that asset from the pool and
adding the asset you're selling. This
changes the ratio of assets in the pool
which changes the price. A small trade in a
deep pool produces minimal price impact.
A large trade in a shallow pool produces
significant price impact, you effectively
move the market against yourself as you
execute.
#CircleMints500MUSDCOnSolana #PolymarketBankFailureBetsDrawFDICConcern #BlackRockBuildsTokenizedPortfoliosForOndo #SECCommissionerPeirceToLeaveOct2 #SECSaysBuybacksUpgradesDontMakeTokenSecurity
most commonly confused terms in DeFi.
Most users treat them as interchangeable.
They describe different things and
understanding both changes how you set
up swaps.
Price impact is what your specific trade
does to the pool's price. When you buy an
asset from a liquidity pool you are
removing that asset from the pool and
adding the asset you're selling. This
changes the ratio of assets in the pool
which changes the price. A small trade in a
deep pool produces minimal price impact.
A large trade in a shallow pool produces
significant price impact, you effectively
move the market against yourself as you
execute.
#CircleMints500MUSDCOnSolana #PolymarketBankFailureBetsDrawFDICConcern #BlackRockBuildsTokenizedPortfoliosForOndo #SECCommissionerPeirceToLeaveOct2 #SECSaysBuybacksUpgradesDontMakeTokenSecurity
69
$BTC is trading around $84,020, down
0.88% in 24 hours after another rejection
from the $85K area.
The 15-minute chart is becoming
increasingly defined by two levels.
BTC pushed from around $84K toward
$85,150, but failed to hold the breakout.
Price then reversed sharply, falling roughly
2.3% toward $83,150 before recovering
back above $84K.
For me, this reinforces the $83K-$85K
range we have been tracking.
$85K-$85.15K remains the immediate
ceiling. BTC has now struggled around this
area multiple times, so a clean break and
hold above it would be a meaningful
change in short-term structure and could
bring $86K, followed by $88K, back into
focus.
##PolymarketBankFailureBetsDrawFDICConcern #BlackRockBuildsTokenizedPortfoliosForOndo #BitwiseFilesToListNEARETFOnNYSEArca #SECSaysBuybacksUpgradesDontMakeTokenSecurity #SECCommissionerPeirceToLeaveOct2
$BTC is trading around $84,020, down
0.88% in 24 hours after another rejection
from the $85K area.
The 15-minute chart is becoming
increasingly defined by two levels.
BTC pushed from around $84K toward
$85,150, but failed to hold the breakout.
Price then reversed sharply, falling roughly
2.3% toward $83,150 before recovering
back above $84K.
For me, this reinforces the $83K-$85K
range we have been tracking.
$85K-$85.15K remains the immediate
ceiling. BTC has now struggled around this
area multiple times, so a clean break and
hold above it would be a meaningful
change in short-term structure and could
bring $86K, followed by $88K, back into
focus.
##PolymarketBankFailureBetsDrawFDICConcern #BlackRockBuildsTokenizedPortfoliosForOndo #BitwiseFilesToListNEARETFOnNYSEArca #SECSaysBuybacksUpgradesDontMakeTokenSecurity #SECCommissionerPeirceToLeaveOct2
0.88% in 24 hours after another rejection
from the $85K area.
The 15-minute chart is becoming
increasingly defined by two levels.
BTC pushed from around $84K toward
$85,150, but failed to hold the breakout.
Price then reversed sharply, falling roughly
2.3% toward $83,150 before recovering
back above $84K.
For me, this reinforces the $83K-$85K
range we have been tracking.
$85K-$85.15K remains the immediate
ceiling. BTC has now struggled around this
area multiple times, so a clean break and
hold above it would be a meaningful
change in short-term structure and could
bring $86K, followed by $88K, back into
focus.
##PolymarketBankFailureBetsDrawFDICConcern #BlackRockBuildsTokenizedPortfoliosForOndo #BitwiseFilesToListNEARETFOnNYSEArca #SECSaysBuybacksUpgradesDontMakeTokenSecurity #SECCommissionerPeirceToLeaveOct2
79
$BTC Quick reality check: They're tokenizing
stocks now? So you can get "exposure"
to Meta via $METAC on some blockchain?
Meanwhile, $BTC is actual money, not
some derivative. Enjoy your "certificates."
$BTC Quick reality check: They're tokenizing
stocks now? So you can get "exposure"
to Meta via $METAC on some blockchain?
Meanwhile, $BTC is actual money, not
some derivative. Enjoy your "certificates."
stocks now? So you can get "exposure"
to Meta via $METAC on some blockchain?
Meanwhile, $BTC is actual money, not
some derivative. Enjoy your "certificates."
31
$BTC Whales are stacking
everyone watches the price
$BTC while
Since July 15, walets holding 100-1,000 BTC
have added almost 114,000 BTC. That
pushed their total holdings to around 5.24M
BTC.
And here's the interesting part: Santiment
says this group has historically accumulated
before or during strong Bitcoin rallies.
Meanwhile, CryptoQuant sees Bitcoin
demand recovering from recent lows, with
futures demand still climbing.
So... are whales positioning before the next
move or just playing the long game?
Either way, 114K BTC is not a small bet.
#QNTRises39% #BitgetBreachForgedRequestsNotStolenKeys #BitcoinSpotETFsTurnNetPositiveYTD #CFTCUpdatesGuidanceOnTokenizedAssets
$BTC Whales are stacking
everyone watches the price
$BTC while
Since July 15, walets holding 100-1,000 BTC
have added almost 114,000 BTC. That
pushed their total holdings to around 5.24M
BTC.
And here's the interesting part: Santiment
says this group has historically accumulated
before or during strong Bitcoin rallies.
Meanwhile, CryptoQuant sees Bitcoin
demand recovering from recent lows, with
futures demand still climbing.
So... are whales positioning before the next
move or just playing the long game?
Either way, 114K BTC is not a small bet.
#QNTRises39% #BitgetBreachForgedRequestsNotStolenKeys #BitcoinSpotETFsTurnNetPositiveYTD #CFTCUpdatesGuidanceOnTokenizedAssets
everyone watches the price
$BTC while
Since July 15, walets holding 100-1,000 BTC
have added almost 114,000 BTC. That
pushed their total holdings to around 5.24M
BTC.
And here's the interesting part: Santiment
says this group has historically accumulated
before or during strong Bitcoin rallies.
Meanwhile, CryptoQuant sees Bitcoin
demand recovering from recent lows, with
futures demand still climbing.
So... are whales positioning before the next
move or just playing the long game?
Either way, 114K BTC is not a small bet.
#QNTRises39% #BitgetBreachForgedRequestsNotStolenKeys #BitcoinSpotETFsTurnNetPositiveYTD #CFTCUpdatesGuidanceOnTokenizedAssets
31
$BTC PRICE FLAT, OPEN INTEREST
DOWN
$BTC is holding relatively steady while
open interest continues to fall.
That means leverage is being flushed out
without a major move in price.
If this continues, the market could be setting
up for a bigger move once positioning
resets.
Worth watching what comes next.
#CFTCUpdatesGuidanceOnTokenizedAssets #BinanceWillListHyperliquid(HYPE) #FedProposesRulesForBankIssuedStablecoins #OndoFinanceSoughtSaleAfterFoundersDeath
$BTC PRICE FLAT, OPEN INTEREST
DOWN
$BTC is holding relatively steady while
open interest continues to fall.
That means leverage is being flushed out
without a major move in price.
If this continues, the market could be setting
up for a bigger move once positioning
resets.
Worth watching what comes next.
#CFTCUpdatesGuidanceOnTokenizedAssets #BinanceWillListHyperliquid(HYPE) #FedProposesRulesForBankIssuedStablecoins #OndoFinanceSoughtSaleAfterFoundersDeath
DOWN
$BTC is holding relatively steady while
open interest continues to fall.
That means leverage is being flushed out
without a major move in price.
If this continues, the market could be setting
up for a bigger move once positioning
resets.
Worth watching what comes next.
#CFTCUpdatesGuidanceOnTokenizedAssets #BinanceWillListHyperliquid(HYPE) #FedProposesRulesForBankIssuedStablecoins #OndoFinanceSoughtSaleAfterFoundersDeath
31
$BTC BTC PRICE FLAT, OPEN INTEREST
DOWN
$BTC is holding relatively steady while
open interest continues to fall.
That means leverage is being flushed out
without a major move in price.
If this continues, the market could be setting
up for a bigger move once positioning
resets.
Worth watching what comes next.
#CFTCUpdatesGuidanceOnTokenizedAssets #BinanceWillListHyperliquid(HYPE) #FedProposesRulesForBankIssuedStablecoins #OndoFinanceSoughtSaleAfterFoundersDeath
$BTC BTC PRICE FLAT, OPEN INTEREST
DOWN
$BTC is holding relatively steady while
open interest continues to fall.
That means leverage is being flushed out
without a major move in price.
If this continues, the market could be setting
up for a bigger move once positioning
resets.
Worth watching what comes next.
#CFTCUpdatesGuidanceOnTokenizedAssets #BinanceWillListHyperliquid(HYPE) #FedProposesRulesForBankIssuedStablecoins #OndoFinanceSoughtSaleAfterFoundersDeath
DOWN
$BTC is holding relatively steady while
open interest continues to fall.
That means leverage is being flushed out
without a major move in price.
If this continues, the market could be setting
up for a bigger move once positioning
resets.
Worth watching what comes next.
#CFTCUpdatesGuidanceOnTokenizedAssets #BinanceWillListHyperliquid(HYPE) #FedProposesRulesForBankIssuedStablecoins #OndoFinanceSoughtSaleAfterFoundersDeath
1
1
41
$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
Block has joined the x402 Foundation and
added support for
x402 payment protocol.
$BTC Lightning to the
The idea is to let Al agents and web
services handle payments on their own for
things like APl access, data, and other
digital services - an interesting step toward
more automated online commerce.
Block is also joining a heavyweight group
of backers, including Google, Microsoft,
Amazon Web Services, Coinbase, and the
Solana Foundation.
With companies like these involved, the
protocol is clearly starting to attract
serious attention.
$BTC
Block has joined the x402 Foundation and
added support for
x402 payment protocol.
$BTC Lightning to the
The idea is to let Al agents and web
services handle payments on their own for
things like APl access, data, and other
digital services - an interesting step toward
more automated online commerce.
Block is also joining a heavyweight group
of backers, including Google, Microsoft,
Amazon Web Services, Coinbase, and the
Solana Foundation.
With companies like these involved, the
protocol is clearly starting to attract
serious attention.
Block has joined the x402 Foundation and
added support for
x402 payment protocol.
$BTC Lightning to the
The idea is to let Al agents and web
services handle payments on their own for
things like APl access, data, and other
digital services - an interesting step toward
more automated online commerce.
Block is also joining a heavyweight group
of backers, including Google, Microsoft,
Amazon Web Services, Coinbase, and the
Solana Foundation.
With companies like these involved, the
protocol is clearly starting to attract
serious attention.
1
65
$BTC STILL ON SAME CYCLE
CLOCK SINCE 2015
The rhythm never changed:
Bull run → ~1,064 days
Bear market → 365 days
Tops: 2017 → 2021 → 2025
Bottoms: 2018 → 2022→ 2026?
Oct 2025 top at ~$126K + 365 days of
bleed = bottom around October 2026
We're right at the finish line of the bear
phase
Next up: a fresh 1,064-day bull leg
Target: $200K in Q3-Q4 2028
Same clock. Same setup. Higher target
Turn notifs on - bigger calls are loading...
#CFTCUpdatesGuidanceOnTokenizedAssets #NYAndPolymarketSueEachOther #BinanceWillListHyperliquid(HYPE) #FedProposesRulesForBankIssuedStablecoins #FedProposesRulesForBankIssuedStablecoins
$BTC STILL ON SAME CYCLE
CLOCK SINCE 2015
The rhythm never changed:
Bull run → ~1,064 days
Bear market → 365 days
Tops: 2017 → 2021 → 2025
Bottoms: 2018 → 2022→ 2026?
Oct 2025 top at ~$126K + 365 days of
bleed = bottom around October 2026
We're right at the finish line of the bear
phase
Next up: a fresh 1,064-day bull leg
Target: $200K in Q3-Q4 2028
Same clock. Same setup. Higher target
Turn notifs on - bigger calls are loading...
#CFTCUpdatesGuidanceOnTokenizedAssets #NYAndPolymarketSueEachOther #BinanceWillListHyperliquid(HYPE) #FedProposesRulesForBankIssuedStablecoins #FedProposesRulesForBankIssuedStablecoins
CLOCK SINCE 2015
The rhythm never changed:
Bull run → ~1,064 days
Bear market → 365 days
Tops: 2017 → 2021 → 2025
Bottoms: 2018 → 2022→ 2026?
Oct 2025 top at ~$126K + 365 days of
bleed = bottom around October 2026
We're right at the finish line of the bear
phase
Next up: a fresh 1,064-day bull leg
Target: $200K in Q3-Q4 2028
Same clock. Same setup. Higher target
Turn notifs on - bigger calls are loading...
#CFTCUpdatesGuidanceOnTokenizedAssets #NYAndPolymarketSueEachOther #BinanceWillListHyperliquid(HYPE) #FedProposesRulesForBankIssuedStablecoins #FedProposesRulesForBankIssuedStablecoins
71
$BTC researchers just put out a design for
$BTC transfers on bitcoin itself,
private
with no soft fork.
the paper is Shielded Bitcoin, from Clara
Shikhelman, Mikhail Komarov and Aleksei
Moskvin at [[alloc] init]. bitcoin already
proves ownership without a custodian. it
also publishes amounts, timing and the
links between wallets, which is a problem
for treasuries, desks and anyone moving
sİze.
their fix is a metaprotocol on L1, closer to a
Zcash-style shielded pool than a nevw
chain. a sender seals an encrypted note for
the receiver, then publishes it inside a
normal bitcoin transaction with a zero-
knowledge proof and a nullifier that marks
the old note spent. the data can sit in
OP_RETURN or witness space. bitcoin
stores the bytes and orders them. it does
not read the amount or the counterparty.
#BinanceWillListHyperliquid(HYPE) #FedOctoberRateHikeOddsRiseTo69.7% #US30YearYieldHighestSince2004 #US10YTreasuryYieldHits19YearHigh
$BTC researchers just put out a design for
$BTC transfers on bitcoin itself,
private
with no soft fork.
the paper is Shielded Bitcoin, from Clara
Shikhelman, Mikhail Komarov and Aleksei
Moskvin at [[alloc] init]. bitcoin already
proves ownership without a custodian. it
also publishes amounts, timing and the
links between wallets, which is a problem
for treasuries, desks and anyone moving
sİze.
their fix is a metaprotocol on L1, closer to a
Zcash-style shielded pool than a nevw
chain. a sender seals an encrypted note for
the receiver, then publishes it inside a
normal bitcoin transaction with a zero-
knowledge proof and a nullifier that marks
the old note spent. the data can sit in
OP_RETURN or witness space. bitcoin
stores the bytes and orders them. it does
not read the amount or the counterparty.
#BinanceWillListHyperliquid(HYPE) #FedOctoberRateHikeOddsRiseTo69.7% #US30YearYieldHighestSince2004 #US10YTreasuryYieldHits19YearHigh
$BTC transfers on bitcoin itself,
private
with no soft fork.
the paper is Shielded Bitcoin, from Clara
Shikhelman, Mikhail Komarov and Aleksei
Moskvin at [[alloc] init]. bitcoin already
proves ownership without a custodian. it
also publishes amounts, timing and the
links between wallets, which is a problem
for treasuries, desks and anyone moving
sİze.
their fix is a metaprotocol on L1, closer to a
Zcash-style shielded pool than a nevw
chain. a sender seals an encrypted note for
the receiver, then publishes it inside a
normal bitcoin transaction with a zero-
knowledge proof and a nullifier that marks
the old note spent. the data can sit in
OP_RETURN or witness space. bitcoin
stores the bytes and orders them. it does
not read the amount or the counterparty.
#BinanceWillListHyperliquid(HYPE) #FedOctoberRateHikeOddsRiseTo69.7% #US30YearYieldHighestSince2004 #US10YTreasuryYieldHits19YearHigh
69
$BTC and ETH just showed how quickly the
market can move
BTC pushed toward $87K while ETH moved
above $2,800, showing strong momentum
across the two biggest crypto assets.
The rebound came as lower oil prices,
softer yields and short covering helped
improve market sentiment.
But for me, the bigger question is what
happens next.
A fast move is interesting, but I want to see
whether real buying demand can keep
supporting these levels.
If BTC continues holding its strength and
ETH follows, the next few sessions could
get even more interesting.
#USWeighsPromotingDollarStablecoinsAbroad #US10YTreasuryYieldHits19YearHigh #WallStreetEarningsRevisionsTurnBearish #WallStreetEarningsRevisionsTurnBearish #DollarIndexReclaims101
$BTC and ETH just showed how quickly the
market can move
BTC pushed toward $87K while ETH moved
above $2,800, showing strong momentum
across the two biggest crypto assets.
The rebound came as lower oil prices,
softer yields and short covering helped
improve market sentiment.
But for me, the bigger question is what
happens next.
A fast move is interesting, but I want to see
whether real buying demand can keep
supporting these levels.
If BTC continues holding its strength and
ETH follows, the next few sessions could
get even more interesting.
#USWeighsPromotingDollarStablecoinsAbroad #US10YTreasuryYieldHits19YearHigh #WallStreetEarningsRevisionsTurnBearish #WallStreetEarningsRevisionsTurnBearish #DollarIndexReclaims101
market can move
BTC pushed toward $87K while ETH moved
above $2,800, showing strong momentum
across the two biggest crypto assets.
The rebound came as lower oil prices,
softer yields and short covering helped
improve market sentiment.
But for me, the bigger question is what
happens next.
A fast move is interesting, but I want to see
whether real buying demand can keep
supporting these levels.
If BTC continues holding its strength and
ETH follows, the next few sessions could
get even more interesting.
#USWeighsPromotingDollarStablecoinsAbroad #US10YTreasuryYieldHits19YearHigh #WallStreetEarningsRevisionsTurnBearish #WallStreetEarningsRevisionsTurnBearish #DollarIndexReclaims101
61
$BTC 18B in $BTC options expiring while max
pain sits $10K below the current price...
yeah, expect some chaos.
That doesn't mean Bitcoin has to dump
straight to max pain. We've seen BTC
completely ignore it before.
What matters is how price reacts if they try
to push it lower. If sellers hit hard and
Bitcoin keeps holding support, that tells me
buyers are still in control.
Expect volatility, fakeouts and probably a
lot of overleveraged traders getting wiped
on both sides.
Expiry can create short-term noise, but I'm
not changing my bigger view because of
one options event.
Sometimes the market shakes everyone
out first... then makes the real move.
#AIStocksWhatNext #BCHJumps28%OnCMEFuturesListing #WallStreetEarningsRevisionsTurnBearish #DollarIndexReclaims101 #21SharesLaunchesEuropesFirstZcashETP
$BTC 18B in $BTC options expiring while max
pain sits $10K below the current price...
yeah, expect some chaos.
That doesn't mean Bitcoin has to dump
straight to max pain. We've seen BTC
completely ignore it before.
What matters is how price reacts if they try
to push it lower. If sellers hit hard and
Bitcoin keeps holding support, that tells me
buyers are still in control.
Expect volatility, fakeouts and probably a
lot of overleveraged traders getting wiped
on both sides.
Expiry can create short-term noise, but I'm
not changing my bigger view because of
one options event.
Sometimes the market shakes everyone
out first... then makes the real move.
#AIStocksWhatNext #BCHJumps28%OnCMEFuturesListing #WallStreetEarningsRevisionsTurnBearish #DollarIndexReclaims101 #21SharesLaunchesEuropesFirstZcashETP
pain sits $10K below the current price...
yeah, expect some chaos.
That doesn't mean Bitcoin has to dump
straight to max pain. We've seen BTC
completely ignore it before.
What matters is how price reacts if they try
to push it lower. If sellers hit hard and
Bitcoin keeps holding support, that tells me
buyers are still in control.
Expect volatility, fakeouts and probably a
lot of overleveraged traders getting wiped
on both sides.
Expiry can create short-term noise, but I'm
not changing my bigger view because of
one options event.
Sometimes the market shakes everyone
out first... then makes the real move.
#AIStocksWhatNext #BCHJumps28%OnCMEFuturesListing #WallStreetEarningsRevisionsTurnBearish #DollarIndexReclaims101 #21SharesLaunchesEuropesFirstZcashETP
36
$ZEC Longed $ZEC. Chart looks primed for
another upside move. People are
continuously shorting it considering it could
be a top but chart isn't showing any sign of
weakness yet. It still creating highs one
after another. Only logical move here is to
long after retracement. $1800 is next target!
#AIStocksWhatNext #21SharesLaunchesEuropesFirstZcashETP #CardanoJoinsX402PaymentStandard #DogecoinRises15%
$ZEC Longed $ZEC . Chart looks primed for
another upside move. People are
continuously shorting it considering it could
be a top but chart isn't showing any sign of
weakness yet. It still creating highs one
after another. Only logical move here is to
long after retracement. $1800 is next target!
#AIStocksWhatNext #21SharesLaunchesEuropesFirstZcashETP #CardanoJoinsX402PaymentStandard #DogecoinRises15%
another upside move. People are
continuously shorting it considering it could
be a top but chart isn't showing any sign of
weakness yet. It still creating highs one
after another. Only logical move here is to
long after retracement. $1800 is next target!
#AIStocksWhatNext #21SharesLaunchesEuropesFirstZcashETP #CardanoJoinsX402PaymentStandard #DogecoinRises15%
176
$BTC Spot #Bitcoin ETF inflows are picking up
momentum, according to SoSoValue.
Institutional demand is strengthening again,
while expectations for a $100K $BTO
target this year are rising.
#21SharesLaunchesEuropesFirstZcashETP #BNBMarketCapPassesBNYMellon #DogecoinRises15% #CardanoJoinsX402PaymentStandard
$BTC Spot #Bitcoin ETF inflows are picking up
momentum, according to SoSoValue.
Institutional demand is strengthening again,
while expectations for a $100K $BTO
target this year are rising.
#21SharesLaunchesEuropesFirstZcashETP #BNBMarketCapPassesBNYMellon #DogecoinRises15% #CardanoJoinsX402PaymentStandard
momentum, according to SoSoValue.
Institutional demand is strengthening again,
while expectations for a $100K $BTO
target this year are rising.
#21SharesLaunchesEuropesFirstZcashETP #BNBMarketCapPassesBNYMellon #DogecoinRises15% #CardanoJoinsX402PaymentStandard
46
$BTC As B $BTC continues to perform strongly,
altcoin holders remain largely underwater.
According to Glassnode, the median altcoin
has less than 25% of its supply in profit,
suggesting broad altcoin euphoria has yet
to arrive.
That could be a bullish sign, as the market
may still have room to run before reaching
the profit levels typically associated with
maior tops.
#AIStocksWhatNext #DogecoinRises15% #BNBMarketCapPassesBNYMellon #MuseOvertakesChatGPTAsTopFreeIOSApp
$BTC As B $BTC continues to perform strongly,
altcoin holders remain largely underwater.
According to Glassnode, the median altcoin
has less than 25% of its supply in profit,
suggesting broad altcoin euphoria has yet
to arrive.
That could be a bullish sign, as the market
may still have room to run before reaching
the profit levels typically associated with
maior tops.
#AIStocksWhatNext #DogecoinRises15% #BNBMarketCapPassesBNYMellon #MuseOvertakesChatGPTAsTopFreeIOSApp
altcoin holders remain largely underwater.
According to Glassnode, the median altcoin
has less than 25% of its supply in profit,
suggesting broad altcoin euphoria has yet
to arrive.
That could be a bullish sign, as the market
may still have room to run before reaching
the profit levels typically associated with
maior tops.
#AIStocksWhatNext #DogecoinRises15% #BNBMarketCapPassesBNYMellon #MuseOvertakesChatGPTAsTopFreeIOSApp
52
$BTC C Don't long here...
1. This is only a deviation, and price
retraces the entire move over the next
couple weeks before sweeping the
previous lows at 74K. This scenario
becomes much less likely if weekly
candles start closing above the previous
range highs.
2. Price forms a new range and
consolidates in the 80K's, forming a multi-
month range before another leg higher.
Scenario 2 is already becoming more
likely, and that likelihood wil continue to
increase if more weekly candles close
above the previous range highs.
Either way, longing here doesn't make
sense. It's better to wait for the optimal
entries in the green zones.
#AIStocksWhatNext #DogecoinRises15% #BNBMarketCapPassesBNYMellon #MuseOvertakesChatGPTAsTopFreeIOSApp
$BTC C Don't long here...
1. This is only a deviation, and price
retraces the entire move over the next
couple weeks before sweeping the
previous lows at 74K. This scenario
becomes much less likely if weekly
candles start closing above the previous
range highs.
2. Price forms a new range and
consolidates in the 80K's, forming a multi-
month range before another leg higher.
Scenario 2 is already becoming more
likely, and that likelihood wil continue to
increase if more weekly candles close
above the previous range highs.
Either way, longing here doesn't make
sense. It's better to wait for the optimal
entries in the green zones.
#AIStocksWhatNext #DogecoinRises15% #BNBMarketCapPassesBNYMellon #MuseOvertakesChatGPTAsTopFreeIOSApp
1. This is only a deviation, and price
retraces the entire move over the next
couple weeks before sweeping the
previous lows at 74K. This scenario
becomes much less likely if weekly
candles start closing above the previous
range highs.
2. Price forms a new range and
consolidates in the 80K's, forming a multi-
month range before another leg higher.
Scenario 2 is already becoming more
likely, and that likelihood wil continue to
increase if more weekly candles close
above the previous range highs.
Either way, longing here doesn't make
sense. It's better to wait for the optimal
entries in the green zones.
#AIStocksWhatNext #DogecoinRises15% #BNBMarketCapPassesBNYMellon #MuseOvertakesChatGPTAsTopFreeIOSApp
68
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BitwiseFilesFinalNEARSpotETFProspectus
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337 Discussing
#bitwisefilesfinalnearspotetfprospectus 🏛️ Institutional Crypto Expansion: Bitwise Files Final NEAR Spot ETF Prospectus
The push for regulated altcoin investment products is accelerating rapidly. A major traditional asset manager has just taken a definitive step toward bringing the NEAR Protocol to traditional finance.
📰 The Core News
Bitwise, a prominent crypto asset manager, has officially filed the final prospectus for its proposed spot NEAR ETF. This critical regulatory milestone indicates that the fund is moving through the final stages of the review process, awaiting the green light from regulators before it can be listed and traded.
📊 Market Impact & Analysis
• 🏦 Institutional Validation This filing demonstrates growing institutional confidence in Layer-1 networks beyond the market leaders, recognizing NEAR's technological infrastructure and long-term viability.
• 💧 Potential Liquidity If approved, a spot ETF creates a regulated bridge, potentially introducing substantial traditional capital and new liquidity into the NEAR ecosystem.
• 📈 The Altcoin ETF Trend This move underscores a broader market shift. Asset managers are actively diversifying their regulated crypto product suites, expanding their focus to prominent altcoins following the regulatory precedents set by Bitcoin and Ethereum.
💭 Discussion
Do you believe the rollout of spot altcoin ETFs will successfully decentralize institutional capital across various Layer-1 blockchains, or will the majority of traditional inflows remain heavily concentrated in Bitcoin and Ethereum? Share your analysis in the comments! 👇
#NEAR #Bitwise #CryptoETF #InstitutionalCrypto #Layer1
This is for educational purposes only. Not Financial Advice (NFA). Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR).
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