约货和现交流会

Cryptocurrency Course Representative

The market is always right; the mistake lies in the self-righteous predictions.
When correct, respect the market; when wrong, reflect on oneself. The market is the teacher, and the Q bag is the answer sheet.
Beware of greed when the tide rises, and restrain luck when the tide recedes.
Real opportunities often hide in places that no one pays attention to, rather than when there is a cacophony of voices. Defense is not failure; hard resistance is the abyss. Discipline is the helmet of trading, and emotion is the fuse of losses. $BTC
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#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析

The Air Force gets addicted to going long; looking at charts every day makes one want it to drop.

The bulls feel the same way; a slight rise makes them start fantasizing about takeoff.

In the end, it's not the direction that loses, but the emotions.

Wanting too much to prove oneself right makes one more susceptible to being educated by the market.

Remember this:

The market is never wrong; it’s the people at the top who are wrong.

I will always be here to guide the direction. $BTC
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#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐

I always say that whether or not you can make money in cryptocurrency trading has little to do with intelligence; it mainly depends on whether you have a method to 'survive'.

Last year, an old friend turned 20,000 U into 6 million.

It wasn't luck, nor was he exceptionally gifted.

He was just obsessed with one thing: extreme discipline + continuous review.

I hung out with him for a while, and later I realized the difference between him and most people is that he never thought about getting rich quickly; he only thought about 'not dying'.

His trading logic is very simple, but his execution is astonishing.

For example, in capital management, he never goes all in.

Even when the market is volatile, he only risks one-fifth of his capital.

You might think such a person is slow?

But he can make five mistakes without getting liquidated; when he finally gets it right on the sixth try, he recovers everything in one go.

What about you? You bet everything, and if the market goes against you for three minutes, you start doubting life.

Another example is trend following.

Many people buy the dip when the market drops and shout for higher prices when it rises.

As a result, they get trapped and regret it all the way.

He only trades in the direction of the trend, never buys the dip or tries to catch the top,

'Better to earn less than to go against the trend.'

It sounds conservative, but conservatives often end up laughing last.

Another point is that he is particularly stable.

When the market surges, he doesn't get envious, and when altcoins take off, he doesn't act impulsively.

He says, 'Coins that surge are not opportunities; they are traps.'

I didn't believe that at the time, but after being caught a few times, I understood—

A surge = a graveyard for retail investors.

Technically, he only looks at a few indicators, with a particular fondness for MACD.

He adds to his position on a golden cross and reduces it on a death cross.

When there are no signals, he'd rather sit in cash and watch movies.

Many people find that boring; he thinks of it as 'waiting for money to come in'.

What impresses me the most is his review process.

He writes down every trade: Why did he enter? Why did he exit?

If he makes a mistake, he investigates the reason; if he profits, he summarizes the logic.

He says, 'Reviewing is not to prove oneself right; it's to avoid making the same mistakes.'

This guy made me completely understand—

The market won't reward you for one explosive success; it only rewards you for long-term restraint.

If you can endure, be stable, and review,

Your win rate will naturally increase.

In the crypto space, it's never about who is more aggressive,

but about who can still make money at their own pace amidst the noise. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH走势分析

Must-read for beginners | 6 survival rules for contracts to avoid years of detours

If you are currently losing money and want to turn losses into profits, you must adhere to these six points.

① Take profits and cut losses: Don't play contracts if you don't learn this

Take profit — Restrain greed;

Cut loss — Admit mistakes and retreat immediately.

Remember: You can't earn all the money in the crypto world, but you can lose all the money in your account.

Holding on is waiting to die; the rebound often leads to a deeper abyss.

② Don’t open positions frequently

Stop dreaming; very few can profit from both longs and shorts.

Frequent trading is not making money; it is paying fees to the platform.

A stable position is worth more than randomly opening ten.

③ If you don't understand, stay out of the market

Missing out is just uncomfortable; losing money is real pain.

If you don't understand the market and still open positions, that's not trading; that's gambling.

The market only talks about probabilities, not intentions.

④ Take your time, it's more important than anything

Don't fantasize about getting rich overnight.

With 100U at 10x leverage, you only earn 10U for one point.

As long as you stay steady and maintain a 60% win rate, it’s much freer than working.

⑤ Never go all in

Heavy positions are the fastest way to die.

If a black swan occurs and you have no stop loss, your account will evaporate instantly.

Light positions are the way to go; there are always opportunities in this market, no need to rush.

⑥ Unity of knowledge and action: the hardest but most crucial

Everyone understands the principles, but very few can put them into practice.

If you want to be part of that 1%:

You must dare to cut losses, admit mistakes, retreat, and have determination.

Without these, you'll always be on the losing side.

If you can adhere to these six rules, you can at least transition from being a "retail trader" to "one who can survive."

Surviving is the first step to making money. $BTC
$ETH
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#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐

Bitcoin plunges while U.S. stocks surge, the two diverge

The S&P 500 index has risen over 16% year-to-date, while Bitcoin has dropped 3% this year, marking the first divergence between the two since 2014.

According to Bloomberg, even during past crypto winters, it has been extremely rare for Bitcoin's price movements to deviate from those of other risk assets.

The Trump 2.0 administration has relaxed regulatory rules, and institutional investors are embracing cryptocurrencies, which fueled Bitcoin's strong performance this year, peaking at a historic high of $12,600 on October 6. However, it later fell sharply as retail investors lost interest, dropping about 10% over the past two months, with a market cap evaporating by over $1 billion, currently hovering around the $90,000 price level.

Traditionally, Bitcoin has risen and fallen in tandem with stock prices, a correlation that was particularly pronounced during the COVID-19 pandemic when low interest rates boosted stocks, cryptocurrencies, and various speculative assets.

However, Bitcoin has clearly decoupled now. Amidst soaring AI stocks, a surge in capital expenditures, and eager investors returning to the stock market, only Bitcoin stands forlorn. Meanwhile, gold and silver prices have also recently surged, just a step away from rewriting historical highs.

Miller Tabak's chief market strategist, Matt Maley, stated, "Bitcoin is an asset primarily driven by momentum. Over the past decade, when market momentum has generally favored bullishness, Bitcoin has been leading the charge. But this year, precious metals are shining brightly, attracting a lot of capital."

As investor confidence in cryptocurrencies plummets, the inflow of funds into Bitcoin ETFs has also slowed. Long-term Bitcoin holders are even selling off. Major technical indicators are signaling a weakening market.

However, Ureid, the CEO of Toronto-based FRNT Financial, believes that Bitcoin's current lackluster performance is due to its previous gains exceeding those of other risk assets; in other words, what rises first tends to fall first. Bitcoin's performance over the past two years has significantly outpaced the S&P 500 index, partly due to support from the Trump administration. He thinks that the U.S. stock market is now trying to catch up, and it's normal for Bitcoin to pull back after its substantial rise. $BTC
$ETH
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#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐

In fact, there were clues when the US stock market opened yesterday. Bitcoin typically follows the downtrend rather than the uptrend, so when the US stocks fell, Bitcoin directly plunged.
Bitcoin dropped from 915 to 880, and the larger cycle remains volatile. Next Wednesday is the interest rate meeting, and there will definitely be a big drop that day.
The weekend has no liquidity, so there will basically be no fluctuations; there isn't much time left for Bitcoin. If it doesn't rise to a high position on Monday and Tuesday, it will only drop lower when it opens on Wednesday.
On a smaller cycle, it looks like a converging triangle, a breakout formation. The weekend time frame shows a slight fluctuation between 880-900. Some mainstream altcoins may have larger fluctuations: $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐

Brothers start playing contracts, it is recommended to start with a capital of 100U, first split into two equal parts, each part 50U—— don't go all in at the beginning.
The first order uses 50U to open a position, prioritize choosing mainstream coins like Ethereum (ETH), which have stable fluctuations and relatively controllable risks. With 100 times leverage, 50U can roughly build 2 ETH positions, but just opening 1 is enough, don't be greedy.

There are two hard rules here: set a stop loss at 20%, for example, if the 50U capital drops to 40U, immediately cut the position without hesitation, holding on will only deepen the trap;
set a take profit at 100%, if you earn 100U, stop, even if it goes up later, the money in hand is yours.

The stage goals must be clear: winning 3 times in a row can roll the capital from 100U to 200U, then to 400U, and finally to 800U—— each time only use half of the funds for operations, leaving enough room for retreat.

After reaching 800U, change strategies, each time only take 100U to open a position, equivalent to leaving 8 chances to make mistakes, even if occasionally losing it won't be a big deal. When 100U grows to 200U, you can increase the investment appropriately, but before reaching 1000U, you must use a position-by-position approach, only losing the capital of a single position, not touching the fundamental capital.

There are four iron rules that must be strictly adhered to:
First, if the direction is wrong, immediately admit defeat, if you lose 20%, cut it, don’t wait for the so-called rebound;

Second, never go all in, always leave half of the funds as a backup, being fully invested is like gambling with your life;

Third, run away when you've made enough, 100% take profit without fighting;

Fourth, persist with position-by-position, each order has independent risk, even if one position explodes, you only lose the money of that single order.

In fact, the core of this gameplay is not to make quick money in the short term, but to cultivate good habits with a small cost of 100U:
Learn to strictly stop losses, refuse greed, understand position splitting and trial and error — avoid going to zero after one explosion.

Newbies should remember: the crypto world is never short of wealth myths, but lacks those who can survive to wait for opportunities. First, use this 100U to practice discipline, when you have mastered stop losses, take profits, and position management, then it won't be too late to talk about making big money. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

2025 Global Cryptocurrency Market Value Rankings
1. Bitcoin's market value directly reaches 2.0 trillion USD, with one coin surpassing an entire country's GDP... truly, no one can shake it.

2. Ethereum firmly in second: 391 billion USD, still the 'underlying infrastructure' of all projects.

3. Stablecoins are becoming increasingly important: Tether 184 billion USD, USDC 76 billion USD - everyone now prefers to 'seek profit in stability'.

4. Then there's this year's strongest dark horse: XRP market value 140 billion USD, truly has gone crazy.

5. BNB: 128 billion USD.

6. Solana: 80 billion USD, these two completely lock in the top three tiers.

7. The following are also breaking the 10 billion USD scale: Dogecoin: 25 billion USD, Chainlink: 10 billion USD. BCH, Stellar, Zcash... still robustly alive, and the more it falls, the more people pick it up.

8. Interestingly, many new faces have emerged this year, such as Ultra, Hyperliquid, Ethena USD... with market values surging into the tens of billions, indicating that funds are looking for a 'new narrative'.

9. The cryptocurrency market is becoming increasingly 'top-heavy', with the top five accounting for most of the funds. As long as new projects can tell a story, the funds will flock to them. Meme coins will never die (Pepe 2 billion USD is still rising...) Stablecoins have transformed from 'tools' to 'assets'. Still the old saying: BTC (long term), ETH (ecosystem), 1-2 new narrative projects (small positions) are considered the most 'sleepable' combination. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH走势分析

He Yi has officially taken on the role of co-CEO of Binance and boldly stated, "Zhao Changpeng is history, I am the future."

On December 3, 2025, coinciding with Binance's global user base surpassing 300 million. He Yi officially assumed the position of co-CEO of Binance, leading the company alongside the current CEO, Richard Teng.

As a co-founder, He Yi has been with Binance for over 8 years, previously responsible for customer service and human resources, renowned for his marketing capabilities and industry influence.

Binance operates under a dual CEO structure, and industry analysts believe that He Yi effectively oversees core areas such as business, product, and personnel. Richard Teng is shifting focus to compliance and regulatory affairs, which some view as a "decent transition," with actual business control leaning towards He Yi.

During this round of Binance week in Dubai, the entire crypto community is abuzz, especially in the Chinese-speaking world. He Yi's speech and remarks have become a highlight. "Zhao Changpeng is history, I am the future." Zhao Changpeng has already retired, and He Yi will take up the banner. The underlying message is that Binance will not weaken due to Zhao Changpeng's departure; I, He Yi, will continue to move it forward.

He Yi has assumed the role of co-CEO of Binance, and after taking office, she publicly shared three feelings along with her work plan, which can serve as a reference for retail investors. $BTC
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#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Honestly, for newcomers in the crypto world, the biggest pitfall is being too impatient.

Thinking that with a bit of luck they can turn things around, yet they can't even manage the basics - not losing money.

I always let newcomers practice with small amounts, 150U or 200U is enough.

This money is not meant to earn, but to practice execution and emotional stability.

Plan how to write and do it that way, no extra drama, no gambling with your life.

If you can manage a small position without blowing it up, you are already ahead of most people.

Trying to figure things out on your own? Most people graduate with losses.

With a mentor guiding you, you can avoid half the pitfalls, and gradually increase your position size.

But your mindset cannot be erratic - being excited about making money and going crazy about losing money is just the beginning of leveling up.

The most dangerous point:

Don't treat trading like gambling.

The market is best at using occasional “wins” to make you feel overconfident, and then kicking you out.

Once you can stabilize yourself, it’s not too late to talk about larger positions.

Eight thousand or ten thousand is already a ceiling for newcomers; do not fantasize about instant success.

The crypto world is never in a hurry; if you rush, you will lose.

Maintain your mindset, guard your positions, if you don’t risk your life, the market will eventually give you opportunities.

Those who really make money are never the quick-handed ones, but the steady-hearted ones. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐

There are too many smart people in this world, and too few who can endure.

✅ First, do not go all in
“The most expensive tuition in the crypto world is paid by going all in.”
He always only moves 30% of his capital, no matter how fierce the market is, he does not get greedy.
While others become rich and then perish, he steadily rolls his snowball.
After three rounds of bulls and bears, he is the one who survives.

✅ Second, do not chase trends
In the year of DeFi, he did not rush in.
He only held onto three mainstream coins, reviewing and recording swings every day.
“You should play with what you understand, and time will give you a premium.”

✅ Third, strictly adhere to stop-loss
Stop-loss is not cowardice, it’s about survival.
“The market won’t spare you just because you are reluctant.”
He wrote this sentence on the whiteboard in the trading room, reminding himself every day.

✅ Fourth, and also the hardest: be able to endure
To see others earn with blood and tears, and remain motionless.
To endure ten crashes without doubting the strategy or changing the system.
At that moment, you transform from a gambler into a player.

Finally, he said:
“True masters never rely on excitement, but on discipline.
Geniuses rely on inspiration, veterans rely on systems.
Only those who endure through cycles are worthy of discussing freedom.”

The end of the crypto world is not the smart people.
It is those who can do simple things,
Again and again, to perfection. $BTC
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#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐

The pancake daily line can be considered as a break and oscillation. Right now, I think we can look for a rebound first. However, the key is to watch the position at 90000; it really needs to break through for the rebound to have some momentum, and then it can aim for 91500 to 92500. If it can't get past 90000, don't rush to chase, as the rebound may be weak and soft. A more prudent approach is to wait for a second pullback and see if there are opportunities around 88000 or even 86000.

On the aunt's side, after a small-scale pullback, it seems to be moving sideways, and the current top pressure in the range is at 3050. If it can break through here, the rebound will be considered stable, and the next targets can be 3100 and 3150, with strong resistance at 3200. Before breaking 3050, it is estimated to oscillate back and forth. Below, we need to closely monitor the support range from 3000 to 2970; if it holds, there may still be a rebound opportunity. If it falls through, it might have to 'draw the door' and go down again, with the next target range probably around 2820 to 2750. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #ETH走势分析 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

A word of advice for beginners: The crypto world is not about losing to the market, it's about losing to yourself.
Your current losses are not due to poor skills, but because you are too anxious, too hasty, and over-leveraged.

When the market fluctuates, you panic, fail to cut losses when losing, and fail to take profits when winning,

In the end, it's not the market that takes from you, but you who willingly give up your position.

Remember three points, if you can do this, you've already surpassed 99% of people:

First: Cutting losses is more important than making profits.

It's okay if you can't make money; as long as your losses are small, you can stay in the game.

The market always provides opportunities, but it won't give you a second chance.

Second: Don't open positions recklessly.

Do you think you are catching the trend?

In fact, you are just working to pay the fees.

Experts win by being patient, while beginners lose by being impulsive.

Third: Keeping a light position is the way to go.

If you go heavy once, you might graduate from the game.

A light position allows you to survive, and surviving gives you the chance to turn things around.

To put it bluntly—

It's not that you can't make money, it's that you are unwilling to admit "you can make mistakes too."

Once you can control your impulses, your account will naturally grow.

The crypto world is not short of opportunities,

What it lacks are those who can stay steady.

Want to turn things around? First, stabilize yourself. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储重启降息步伐

On the eve of the Bank of Japan's largest interest rate hike in 28 years, smart money has already shifted.
As the world closely watches the Federal Reserve for interest rate cuts, another shoe is about to drop in the East — the Bank of Japan is set to raise interest rates this month, which is almost a certainty. This will mark the highest interest rate level in 28 years. The traditional financial markets are about to face a profound 'liquidity extraction' shock.
What does it mean when the last zero-interest-rate country turns to tightening?
The tide of liquidity is pulling in both directions.
On one side, the Federal Reserve is preparing to cut rates and inject liquidity, while on the other side, the Bank of Japan is initiating rate hikes and withdrawing liquidity. Global capital will seek to rebalance between East and West. Volatility and uncertainty will be the themes of the market in the next six months.
In uncertain times, funds will instinctively seek a 'safe haven'.
The script for Bitcoin has long been written.
Looking back over the past few years, every time a significant divergence or shift in global macro policy occurs, Bitcoin has demonstrated its unique asset attributes:
· Not directly controlled by the interest rate policies of any single country
· Fixed supply, with a deflationary design that naturally counters currency dilution
· Global liquidity, freely entering and exiting 24/7
It may not always be the fastest rising asset, but it is becoming an increasingly popular 'volatility hedging option' in many institutional allocations.
Ambush is about positioning before expectations are solidified.
The signal for a rate hike in Japan has already been released, and the market is digesting it. By the time the news is officially announced and prices fluctuate sharply, the best allocation window has often been missed.
True risk aversion is not about finding an umbrella when the storm arrives, but about standing in a safe place before the weather changes.
In an era where central banks are acting independently and policies are diverging, perhaps what we should hold is an asset that does not belong to any central bank.
Do you think Japan's interest rate hike will have a substantial impact on the crypto space? $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#美SEC推动加密创新监管 #比特币VS代币化黄金 #ETH走势分析

To make big money in trading, one must completely ignore the importance of money, treating it as if it were nothing.
Profit and loss numbers are just numbers, not money.

If one focuses too much on profit and loss numbers, it can lead to erroneous trading decisions: quickly taking profits after a small gain, immediately closing profitable trades after a slight pullback... how can one possibly make big money this way?

Many people like to convert trading profit and loss numbers into real-world tangible metaphors, for example, losing 10wU in this trade means losing a car, losing 100W dollars means losing a house.

The typical issue is placing too much importance on profits and losses.

Let’s not mention treating money like a game like Liangzi, but at least one should treat U like RMB.

The less one treats money as money, the closer one gets to big money, keep it up $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管