旺财小福

This round of the crypto cycle has an iron law: every time Bitcoin rises to a stage peak, it ultimately ends with the hype of MEME coins.
Conversely, if Bitcoin does not rebound, there will be no MEME coin market at all.
The logic is actually quite simple: Bitcoin keeps rising → everyone starts trading MEME coins → Bitcoin's rebound stops → the MEME market also ends
The AI-related market in January, the BONK market in June, and the BSC chain market in October all follow this pattern.
These three waves of MEME markets are all major liquidity feasts, happening about every 3-4 months.
In my view, the current sluggishness of Bitcoin is actually a good thing, indicating that the market in February is becoming increasingly worth the wait.
This kind of prolonged consolidation for several months is something we are already used to. As long as you don't hold onto the rigid mindset of "it's a bull market now" or "it's a bear market now" while trading, it will be very comfortable to operate.
Catch a wave of market to make a profit, then rest for a few months before waiting for the next wave, this is much better than staring at hourly K-lines every day and messing around!

Did the interest rate cut lead to a drop instead? 90k support is precarious, will breaking 85k lead to a drop to 80k?

After the benefits of the interest rate cut were realized, Bitcoin surged briefly before turning to decline, not even reaching the previously anticipated short entry price, and is currently testing the 90000 integer support level, which seems to be on the verge of breaking.

The rising parallel channel has not yet broken, and the direction of adjustment is unclear, but in previous instances, this type of channel ultimately broke down. Can this time be an exception?

Key support is currently around 85000; if this level cannot hold, the previous low of 80000 will no longer be considered safe, and the risk of breaking 80000 will significantly increase!

ETH 这波太猛了！直接冲破三角形态，连个回踩都没有就往上冲，现在价格已经碰到之前预判的 3380-3400 美元主升浪高点了。看这走势，大概率还得接着涨。

接下来可以等第四波回踩的时候上车做多，预计在 3130-3150 美元这个区间就行，到了就果断进场。最后一波上涨力度应该不会差，值得博一把第五浪上涨。当然，要是主升浪继续强势延续、把整体涨幅拉大，到时候再根据情况调整就行，短期先等回踩做多，继续看涨。

On November 17th, I mentioned to everyone to pay more attention to the ANANAS31 coin.

Once the price dropped to the target range, I opened a 5x short position and have held it until now. Although the holding time isn't short, this wave of holding is really worth it!

The second phase market on BSC is getting harder to play!

It relies on accurately capturing Alpha, and coordinating contracts and spot trading to have a market, but most of the time, finding Alpha means hitting the peak, and not only is the upward space getting narrower, but the experience of holding positions is also getting worse.

In contrast, the MEME coins on Solana don't need the exchanges to drive the momentum. Take TROLL as an example; it relies entirely on the community's consensus, and its market cap can still reach hundreds of millions.

When can the MEME on BSC break free from its dependence on exchanges and truly rely on community consensus to support the market? That would be the true manifestation of on-chain power!

ETH has been quite volatile recently, but after this fluctuation trend ends, it is highly likely to break upwards. Additionally, it is currently forming a triangle pattern, and the trend is quite clear.

Short-term support is around 3000, and when the price drops to this level, it would be a good time to consider entering a long position. Next, it is very likely to start accelerating upward, which is probably the last chance to get on board with a long position, so make sure to seize it.

大波动来临前的平静期，BTC 这几天一直在小范围晃悠。

上方压力在 94000 附近，下方低点却在慢慢抬高，市场就等着一个突破的机会。10 号的降息加上马上要到的 QE，肯定能打破现在的平衡。
另外提一句，QE 期间，ETH 相对 BTC 大概率会更强势。

Small position chasing LAB playing with water
Target focused on above 0.25, stop loss set at 10 points.

ASTER hits the support level of $0.9 every time, it will quickly rebound.

This rebound is supported by good news, with its daily repurchase amount increasing from $3 million to $4 million. Based on this figure, the total repurchase amount for a month could reach $120 million, while the current market value of ASTER is $2.2 billion.

However, it is important to note that there will be a selling pressure from 200 million airdropped tokens next week, which is a considerable bearish factor.

I think if the price is pushed down, it will likely fluctuate around $0.6, at which point it would be a good opportunity to invest around $0.6, as the cost-effectiveness is quite high, making it a good chance to buy the dip.

BTC is currently in a triangular pattern, with a short-term pullback, but it hasn't touched the lower edge of the pattern.
The day before yesterday, I originally wanted to wait for it to drop to around 86,000 to go long, but it only went as low as just above 87,000, so I missed the opportunity.
In the short term, the focus is on the pressure at the upper edge of the pattern. If it can break through, there is a high probability it will continue to accelerate its rebound. The small-level support has already moved up to the 88,000-89,000 range, and if it subsequently pulls back to this range, we can consider entering a long position.

ETH briefly fell below 3000 and then accelerated downwards again, but the support below held, and then it started to rebound.
I originally planned to enter long around 2880, but it only dropped to about 2900 at the lowest, so I missed this rebound.
The price is currently rebounding, and in the short term, we can expect a wave of upward movement, but there are no suitable entry points for now. I plan to wait for a small-level pullback before going long, focusing on the support near 3000. As long as the price can stabilize above 3000, the probability of continuing to rise afterwards is quite high.

Has the second wave adjustment of CRCL ended? It still depends on whether it can break 108; only after breaking can we more accurately judge the subsequent trend.
This cryptocurrency has significant potential; I have already made a profit earlier. I plan to wait for it to retract to below 80 before buying again, with an initial target around the previous high of about 300, and later aiming for around 483.

ZEC small levels show signs of bottoming, currently in a descending wedge formation, price continues to rebound. You can consider entering a long position in the 380-390 range. Once it starts to accelerate upward in the short term, the target is at least 450-470 or higher. Therefore, you can set up a long position, with a defensive reference of 360-350.

ASTER small level should pull back up! Currently, it is moving in a descending wedge, which is actually a test of support after a breakout. This support is quite strong, and it is highly likely not to break.

If you want to enter, you can go long around 1.04, and in the short term, there might be a wave of accelerated price increase.

BTC small level really followed the expectations, a spike down! But it didn't reach the 90,000 I wanted to buy long, the lowest was around 90,800, it's a bit regrettable that I didn't catch the long position.

However, the small level has already closed the spike, and the selling pressure has been mostly digested. Next, let's continue to look for upward movement～ In the short term, there is a high probability of pushing for a higher point, aiming for above 95,000!

This rebound is probably betting on the interest rate meeting at 11 o'clock in the morning, right? First, pull up a wave of speculation on good news, and then smash the market once the news lands. Are we really going to follow this script?
In the short term, there should still be a small rebound, just adjust the strategy according to the market.

#ETH Last night, I inserted a needle downwards first. Seeing the trend about to drop, I didn't expect that as soon as the good news came out, the price slowly pulled back!

But to be honest, the trend of ETH is really too frustrating. It climbs slowly like a single coin. Looking at this rhythm, it is very likely to head straight for 3380.

Next, let's focus on BSC!
Why do I say that? 3 key reasons:
Sister has become the co-CEO, and everyone knows she has always liked meme coins;
There are pictures showing Sister mentioned at the meeting that she wants to create more interesting Binance meme-related projects;
Recently, two potential projects launched in the low market cap sector have already released related signals.

BTC short-term double bottom after a direct V-shaped rebound, and now the price is back above 90,000. It is clear that this is the main upward trend after the double bottom. Using the Fibonacci retracement, the 1.618 level corresponds to a high point around 100,000. The upcoming trend is very clear: either a pullback to the lower triangle edge or a direct breakout pushing up to 100,000.

If a pullback occurs, I will send the entry point, but for now, the probability of stabilizing after a breakout is higher, and in the short term, we can look forward to the 100,000 mark.

BTC market briefly explained:
Yesterday, after the 864 short position stop loss, the price continued to rise significantly, mainly because the world's second-largest asset management firm, GS Pioneer Group, opened up the purchase rights for BTC ETFs.

From the market perspective, the small-scale trend pattern looks a bit strange, with the short-term resistance initially looking at around 93150. If this level is broken, it may then approach the resistance near 98k.
Operation suggestion: First, wait to see the reaction to the resistance around 91350, then decide whether to take action and in which direction to operate.