The recent posts have been viewed a lot, and there are some things I need to make clear in advance, because some people may refer to my analysis to make orders.
1. No one can accurately analyze every specific fluctuation, because I am not a dealer, the reason is that simple. If there is, please tell me, I will study it carefully.
2. According to previous analysis, the accuracy of my analysis is about 70%-80%. The general direction is basically correct, and some specific things may not be so accurate. So don't think that I am accurate and rush in with a full warehouse, and want to get back the money in one wave, this is impossible. My analysis system is still in the early stages and is still being improved. So I will give some suggestions for profit and stop loss points. And I will never call for orders that eat hundreds of points and carry thousands of points. The operation suggestion is still short-term. Playing long-term contracts is easy to blow up unless you have unlimited bullets.
3. Contracts are originally a game with almost 10 deaths and 0 lives, because the mechanism design of this game does not want you to come out alive. So although I analyze here every day, I still don’t recommend playing contracts. The more I analyze, the deeper my understanding is, and the more I see the essence. But I am a common person who wants to be that 0.001%. That's all.
4. If you like to follow the blogger Yongzhuan, don't follow me. If you don't have independent thinking, don't follow me, because you may not thank me when you make money, and you will scold me when you lose money. Some of my analyses will be very long. If you just want to see a point and don't have the patience to read the analysis, don't follow me.
5. I accept criticism, but please show your basis and logic. If you don't have it and are still yelling, I will block you directly.
6. I will not do private domain cutting leeks, and I will open orders when I have the opportunity. If you agree with my analysis and make money, you can mine through content and click the link in my post to open an order to support me.
7. Cherish life and stay away from contracts. Contracts are gambling. Protect the principal, cherish the principal, and never lose the principal. Don't think about all-in to get back the principal. Be greedy when you should be greedy, and wait for opportunities when you shouldn't be greedy.
Now there are two options: one extremely conservative option is to take profits at the previous high. The other is to hold for now and see. Taking profits doesn't mean it has reached the peak; it just means there might be a pullback in profits. However, the chips around 950 may not be available again after the pullback. I would like to hear your thoughts.
ETH is currently severely undervalued. When BTC was at 70k, it was over 4000; now it’s at 100k, and ETH is still below 4000. Is this reasonable? Feel confident holding Ethereum.
This is what I have been worried about, before reaching 100,000. I didn't expect to achieve it in this way. After hitting 100,000, I never thought it would spike to 900; I didn't expect 950 to be just my limit, not the dealer's limit. It seems my perspective is still a bit lacking.
I don't know if anyone saw my post last night about getting liquidated while going long at 950. My mental journey goes like this: "What an idiot, still looking bearish - oh crap, it seems it's really happening, awesome awesome, then I heavily invested expecting a big surge. - What the heck, why is it still 📉, what happened - got liquidated - you really are an idiot."
If you find yourself in such a situation, I want to give you a hug, pat your head and tell you it's okay, start over. Then I'll give you a big slap. Because you didn't even set a stop-loss, and on top of that, you went heavy; you couldn't withstand a 5000-point fluctuation and got liquidated. You deserve it.
Alright, I'm coming back to pick you up now, do you dare to get in the car?
There is a good way to judge the top: if relatives know you are playing with BTC, and they all come asking you how to play BTC, then it is almost certain that the top is near. I haven't had time to watch the market recently, so just remember that the bull market has just begun. Look for opportunities to get in, don't get out to pee. I don't know if it's because of me that you misjudged and missed this wave; if so, I apologize.
Woke up with a stomach ache, took a glance at the market, I said I wanted to find a position to hit 100k, but in the end, I still got washed out. This is the difficulty of trading contracts. Hey, but there are still opportunities, I must seize the next one. I mentioned a few counterfeit targets earlier, I wonder if you got in? If there's an opportunity to get in, you must take it; if you are not resolute, it's easy to get washed out. Trading contracts is difficult with stop losses, but the counterfeit ones are actually okay; being able to hold is very important. Next is grasping the future direction; yesterday I specifically reminded that stopping loss doesn't necessarily mean the direction is wrong. Looking at the data, many people are currently leaning towards shorting because they have no certainty about the future direction. If it really rises, it will be like this; when you wake up after a sleep, you won't have time to get in.
Currently, I still firmly believe in a bullish trend at least up to 120k-130k.
Right now, I am mainly focused on hitting 100k and seeing if there are opportunities for a pullback then. Trading contracts in this market is indeed very difficult.
Graduation Direction: More Position: 96500-98000 Stop Loss: 95900 600 points This order has a relatively high risk. Because the behavior is not clear at the moment. However, I am indeed an aggressive player. Let's observe a little longer.