Many people feel that BTC has risen too quickly in recent days, soaring to 80,000, as many expected the 80,000 mark to take a couple of months, but it arrived in just a week.

In the first half of the year, I repeatedly emphasized the characteristics of this bull market: 1 is that it rises without looking back, focusing on being light and easy to pull, making you hesitant to get on board; 2 is that it moves sideways in a cruel manner, neither going up nor down, focusing on torment, making it difficult for you to go long or short.

Currently, from the perspective of the slope of the moving averages, it is indeed very high, and there is a demand for consolidation or pullback for repair. However, having demand does not mean that it must be met. Right now, the big pie has completed a bullish trend resonance from small levels to large levels, and to disrupt this resonance, it has to be destroyed step by step from small levels to large levels, and it is clear that the current bears do not possess such power.

Today's fan Q&A:
How much do you see for Arkm? Long-term
After consolidation without breaking the new low, push up to 1.85/2.5/3.1 in turn. After these three breakthroughs, look up to around $5
How about sui
Not so good in the short term, need to adjust
What do you think of sonic
This coin is in a downward trend, and there is no breakthrough in volume for the time being. Be patient and wait. There is a chance to go up if it breaks through 0.76. If it is suppressed, it may go down
Can core be held for the long term
It's okay if it doesn't break around 0.76, it's already the bottom of the large range
Can wld be entered?
Wld has no problem. It is considered strong in the falling market. You can participate
Can cgpt be chased more? How much do you see
This coin is a bit passive. If it doesn't break below 0.37, you can enter the market to take a gamble. If it goes up, first look at the previous high
Usually, can the spot continue to be held
See if this place can hold up, if it does not break the new low, there is a chance of consolidation
Can xrp be bought now, how much if you buy
Let's wait for tonight's data to pass, it is just near the previous high, but the volume and energy seem to be a real breakthrough. If it continues for a while, it is estimated that there is still 30%-50% room, but let's wait until the daily line stabilizes before talking about it.

The U.S. December PPI data was released last night, with a year-on-year rate of 3.3%, higher than the previous value of 3.0%, but lower than the expected value of 2.9%; the month-on-month rate was 0.2%, lower than the expected value of 0.3% and the previous value of 0.4%, marking a new low since September 2024.

The lower-than-expected PPI data has made the market optimistic about tonight's CPI data, with the dollar index fluctuating downwards, and the cryptocurrency market continuing to rebound.

However, the correlation between PPI and CPI data is not as high as many people imagine, especially for the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, where this correlation is even less apparent.

Therefore, the December PPI data being lower than expected does not necessarily mean that the CPI data for December will also be lower than expected.

It is still important to remain cautious and not be overly optimistic.

1.15 Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Analysis: BTC, ETH Today's Highlights
Market Review
Yesterday BTC experienced a slight increase, with the rise slightly exceeding expectations. Currently, there are signs of a bottom divergence on the daily chart, while the 4-hour chart still needs to consolidate. At 9:30 PM tonight, CPI data will be released, which is a key focus. The expectation is slightly bearish, which may impact the subsequent interest rate cut process. We will watch the market reaction after the data is released; if there is no significant decline, we may consider following up later. For the day, it is suggested to continue observing, as the key support has not been broken, and the trend is still in place. The expectation for a new round of bullish cycles remains, so maintain confidence. The secondary market is consolidating in sync with BTC, which is in line with expectations. The daily chart also shows a bottom divergence; currently, there is no significant improvement in the trend, and for the day, we expect continued consolidation and suggest waiting for stabilization before taking action. Altcoins are following the mainstream for synchronization and observing for a new round of bullish cycles. For previously established altcoins, POLYX can be held, and ACT should also be maintained.
Today's Highlights:
BTC: The 1-hour and 4-hour levels are above healthy levels, while the daily level is returning to healthy levels. The expectation is for continued consolidation during the day, observing and waiting for data market movements. The long-term expectation has not weakened, with daily support at 94800-95500 and resistance at 97500-98000.
ETH: The 1-hour and 4-hour levels are returning to healthy levels, while the daily level is below healthy levels. The expectation is for continued consolidation during the day, and we still recommend waiting and observing. Daily support is at 3100-3150 and resistance at 3270-3320.

When you master the wisdom of staying out of the market,
and learn to patiently wait,
and only act decisively when the certainty is extremely high,
even if you miss some seemingly tempting market opportunities, you will not regret it,
then you already possess the ability to make a living through trading.
At least earning some small money to solve basic needs is no longer a problem,
and whether you can fly higher,
depends on personal insight and social circles.
Decades of trading experience tell me that
this calm and composed mindset is the key to trading success.

Today's fan Q&A:
What do people think
0.04 is a short-term resistance level and needs to be consolidated. Let's see if there will be a small-level second test before starting to rebound
Will ETH fall further?
After the new low, we will get liquidity. We will pay attention to whether it can stand up near 3200. There may be repetitions at the small level
How much is portal in the long term, and is there still a dealer?
This coin has been very garbage since it went online. It has been in the bottom range of the monthly line. Be patient. It has come back after such a long time.
Can I still hold dydx?
Close to 1.0 is the position of multiple tests at the bottom of the big cycle. No problem, continue to hold it.
What do you think of Ava?
Currently, it is also closing the needle and stabilizing in the short term. The small-level support is near 1.03, and the resistance level is 1.15, following the market
How is rats?
The overall inscription is currently Weak, mouse is seriously oversold, ordi is relatively strong, mouse can be bought but it is not recommended to have too large a position
Is the correction over?
It is basically over but it still needs to consolidate. At present, it can only be said that the market has been activated by breaking the new low, but the probability of the big cycle starting directly is relatively small, and there will be repeated
Will it fall for a second test?
If tomorrow's CPI is not good, it may be a second test, but yesterday's shot was already in place for both Auntie and Big Pie
Will the Shanzhai rebound as strongly as BTC?
Now I hope that Big Pie will pull a little more, open up space, and build confidence for the dog dealer of Shanzhai Auntie, so that Auntie and Shanzhai will make up for the rise later. If Big Pie fluctuates, Auntie Shanzhai will definitely be miserable.

1.14 Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Analysis: BTC, ETH Today's Highlights
Market Review
Yesterday, BTC continued to pull back as expected, briefly dipping below 90,000 before quickly recovering. Although it has recouped yesterday's losses, the upward momentum has not shown significant improvement and still requires consolidation. The expectation for today is continued sideways movement, patience is needed. It is recommended to remain on the sidelines. If it can stabilize above 94,000 today, consideration can be given to starting to follow up tomorrow. Currently, the key support has not been broken, the trend remains intact, and the expectation for a new round of upward cycles still exists. Keep faith.
ETH follows BTC in a synchronized pullback, as expected. Currently, the trend has not shown significant improvement, and the expectation for today is continued consolidation. It is advised to wait and observe for stabilization before taking action. Altcoins are synchronously consolidating with the mainstream. Observe today and wait for a new round of upward cycles. For already held coins, POLYX can continue to hold, and ACT should be maintained.
Today's Highlights:
BTC: 1-hour and 4-hour levels are below healthy levels, daily level is below healthy levels, expectation for today is consolidation, wait and observe. The expectation for the larger cycle has not weakened. Today's support is 93,000-94,000, and resistance is 95,300-96,000.
ETH: 1-hour and 4-hour levels are below healthy levels, daily level is below healthy levels, expectation for today is consolidation, still recommended to wait and observe. Today's support is 3,070-3,120, and resistance is 3,230-3,280.

Today's fan Q&A:
Can Wif return to new highs?
Around 1.35, this is the previous major bottom; if it doesn't break, after some consolidation, it will move upwards. In the short term, it's difficult to see a rally in the broad market.
How about pepe?
Let's see support around 0.0000165. Right now, all altcoins are suffering from severe liquidity and volume withdrawal, and there is no market support, it feels like retail investors are left to fend for themselves. We can only wait for sentiment to recover; be patient.
Does bio have a chance?
It's under pressure from a downward trend line. Unless it breaks 44 with significant volume or reverses, I wouldn't recommend entering; just wait.
Is BTC more likely to surge towards 990 after the current consolidation or break below 9?
It's hard to say at this point, we'll see how this week's CPI goes.
Does zen still have a chance?
Just wait. Many people got trapped recently, and the current market sentiment isn't good. There's no short-term opportunity.
Can we still hold act?
From a market cap perspective, it has reached 200 million, which isn't high compared to the average market cap on Binance. However, there could be an oversold situation. I personally suggest that if you want to buy, do it gradually. Although it seems to have good value here, it could still drop further, especially since it is already listed with Squirrel, which has stopped declining significantly today. From a resonance perspective, there shouldn't be much space below; I recommend waiting a bit longer, as the crypto market often defies logic.

The only script on the entire network, 2025 trend:
1. There will be a rebound in the first quarter, which is a good escape opportunity.
2. The market in the second quarter will be devastating.
3. The third quarter will see continuous rallies and sell-offs, rising amidst doubt.
4. The fourth quarter will reach the true peak of the bull market with all coins flying together. After that, the cycle ends and we welcome a bear market.

Finally, ETH is expected to reach 8000, and BTC is expected to reach 150,000. Over.

BTC and ETH Market Analysis on October 13: Highlights for Today
Market Review
Yesterday, BTC maintained consolidation, in line with expectations. This morning there was a brief spike, but the upward momentum has not shown significant improvement and still requires consolidation, with the possibility of further pullbacks. Patience is needed throughout the day; it is recommended to continue observing and wait for stabilization before taking action. Key support has not been broken, the trend is still valid, and expectations for a new round of upward cycles remain. Stay confident. The altcoins are following BTC's consolidation as expected. Currently, there is no significant improvement in the trend, and it is expected to continue consolidating throughout the day. It is advised to wait and observe for stabilization before taking action. Altcoins are synchronizing with mainstream coins and should also be monitored for a new round of upward cycles. For established cryptocurrencies, POLYX can be held, and ACT should remain in the portfolio.
Highlights for Today:
BTC: The 1-hour and 4-hour levels are below healthy levels, and the daily level is also below healthy levels. It is expected to continue pulling back and consolidating today. Observe and wait, as the longer-term expectations have not weakened. Support today is at 92,000-92,500, with resistance at 95,000-95,500.
ETH: The 1-hour and 4-hour levels are below healthy levels, and the daily level is also below healthy levels. It is expected to continue pulling back and consolidating today, and it is still recommended to observe and wait. Support today is at 3,120-3,170, with resistance at 3,300-3,350.

Throughout the year, there are only two or three opportunities to make money in the cryptocurrency market, and these opportunities do not last long. The remaining time is either a fluctuation or a correction. This has been the pattern in the cryptocurrency market for nearly 8 years. Yesterday, Bitcoin ETF had a net outflow of 149 million USD, and Ethereum ETF had a net outflow of 68.47 million USD. The market trend is not very friendly, and there is no trading volume. We hope that Trump's inauguration on the 20th of next week will bring a rebound. However, from the 20th to the 29th, there are 9 trading days left before the Spring Festival, and another market massacre is very likely. If we get through the Spring Festival, the market situation will improve significantly. During the Spring Festival, we can go all in. This time, I will definitely hold onto you! Hold on until the 15th day of the New Year!

Currently, many people are pessimistic, mainly because expectations for altcoins are too high, and recently the performance of altcoins has been disappointing. In fact, the formation of each major upward wave requires a certain cycle.

The first wave of large-scale increase from 30,000 to over 60,000 mainly benefited from the listing of the BTC spot ETF.

The second wave of doubling from over 50,000 to just over 100,000 primarily benefited from the FOMO market generated by Trump's campaign victory.

So what is the news that could trigger the third wave of BTC's major rise?

The biggest expectation is that BTC will become a strategic reserve for the United States, which would cause the price of BTC to trigger a rapid rise in the third wave. Whether it's BlackRock or MicroStrategy, why are they continuously buying regardless of cost? Because in their eyes, 100,000 for BTC is just the beginning, and some consensus within interest groups is beyond ordinary people’s grasp. However, we only need to understand from their actions that the market may have just begun.

After the gold price reached its peak in 1980, it maintained a trend of fluctuating decline for over 20 years, with little movement in price. After BlackRock listed the gold spot ETF in 2003, the price of gold has increased nearly tenfold as of this year, rising for 20 years. This is the power of American influence.

Returning to the crypto market, the exploration of cryptocurrencies by the United States has only just begun, and the market still has a long way to go.

Good evening, brothers
The non-farm payrolls just released far exceeded expectations, reaching a new high since March 2024
The US unemployment rate unexpectedly fell
Both data are bearish, supporting the Fed to slow down the pace of interest rate cuts
Since the previous expectations were not optimistic about the interest rate cut, the data tonight will not be too bad
The market has digested some of the negatives in advance
It is recommended not to panic too much, things will turn around
Wait until Trump takes office, there may be a rebound
But in extreme cases, BTC may fall to $90,000

The preferred currency for bottom fishing, for reference!

1. The leader of the currency circle: BTC (the first choice for bottom fishing and fixed investment)

2. The king of public chains: ETH (the second in the currency circle, the first choice for bottom fishing and fixed investment)

3. Platform currency: BNB (the largest exchange platform currency in the currency circle, the second choice for fixed investment)

4. Dex leader: UNI, DYDX

5. Layer2 leader: MATIC, OP

6. Ethereum 2.0 pledge leader: SSV, LDO

7. Cross-chain leader: DOT, ATOM

8. Defi lending leader: AAVE, COMP

9. Defi oracle leader: LINK

10. NFT leader: DEGO, BAKE

11. Web3 leader: ENS, AR

12. Game leader: SAND, MANA

13. AI leader: AGIX, SNX

Don’t even think about Binance spot trading for AI and MEME on the chain. Now it has become a standard process. Go to Bybit contract, BN contract, and then go down all the way after reaching the peak.

Don’t buy the bottom, it will keep falling, don’t worry.

For example, Chillyguy has directly fallen from 0.65 on the contract to 0.13. It’s close to a 90% drop. Ai16Z and others have also been cut in half.

Many AI MEMEs are like this.

So, deploying more capital to the chain? It’s not necessarily a better choice.

It’s better to choose a target, enter P in early or directly buy a 20-50M plate, and wait for it to double or ten times, so the odds are higher.

After all, many air AIs have a consensus on 300-500M on Binance contracts.

How not to lose money? You have to be smart enough and run fast enough when the situation is not right.