Raja Jahangir

The "Santa isn't real" moment for $XRP XRP holders is here 👇
​As 2025 winds down, the reality of the market has forced a massive re-evaluation. With $XRP currently struggling to reclaim the $2.00 psychological level and trading near $1.94, the earlier "moon math" of 2025 has officially shifted.
​The $3.66 July peak is now a distant memory, and analysts are moving the goalposts to account for the -50% decline over the last six months.
​✨ The $10 Milestone: A 2028-2029 Reality?
​Earlier predictions of a $10 XRP in 2025 have hit a wall. New institutional data suggests a longer accumulation phase:
​Changelly: Projects $10 as early as August 2029.​Bitwise Bull Case: Estimates $10.20 by 2029, assuming massive institutional adoption through the newly launched spot XRP ETFs.​Telegain: Offers a slightly more aggressive average of $10.29 by 2028 (a +421% upside from today).
​✨ The $50 Dream: The Decade-Plus Hold
​For $XRP to hit $50, the market cap would need to rival the giants of traditional finance.
​Timeline: Most models, including Changelly, now point to January 2034 for a maximum price of $51.​Alternative View: Telegain analysts are even more conservative, pushing the $50 target into the 2035–2040 window.​Missing Target: Notably, Bitwise analysts do not even provide a $50 forecast, capping their most ambitious 2030 projection at $29.32.
​✨ The $100 "Moon": 2030 or 2050?
​The community’s most famous $100 advocate, Zach Rector, has officially revised his "Santa is real" 2025 forecast. His new target? 2030. While some call this "moving the goalposts," others point to the sheer math: a $100 XRP represents a 52x increase from today’s levels.
​Ultra-Long Term: Changelly suggests $134 by 2040.​The 24-Year Wait: Telegain estimates $106 might not arrive until 2050.
​Why This Matters 👀
​The flush we are seeing at the end of 2025 is creating a "generational entry" for some, but a "maximum pain" scenario for those who bought the July top. Despite the price weakness, institutional momentum is at an ATH, with spot XRP ETFs now controlling over $1.2 billion in AUM.
​Market math creates reality.
Patience creates millionaires.
​Keep your eye on the $1.77 support—if it holds, the multi-decade journey to triple digits is still alive. If it fails, the "goalposts" may move even further.
​#Xrp🔥🔥 #Ripple #CryptoAnalysis #priceprediction #MarketCycles

Here’s the technical breakdown most retail traders are missing 👇
$BTC ​Bitcoin has officially broken down from its prior ascending channel. What was once a reliable "stairway to heaven" has turned into a ceiling, as $BTC now consolidates below former support—now a formidable resistance zone.
​📉 The Breakdown Blueprint:
​Pivot Zone: $89.5k – $90.5k. This is the line in the sand. Former support has flipped into resistance.​Price Action: We are seeing a sequence of lower highs, a classic signal of bearish exhaustion in the short term.​Support Test: If the rejection at $90k holds, the next logical stop is the interim support near $85.5k – $86k.
​Why This Matters 👀
​When a major channel breaks, it usually triggers a "retest and reject" move. If buyers can't reclaim the channel floor, the path of least resistance leads toward the $80.5k – $81k final target zone—a area where heavy institutional bids historically sit.
​The Invalidation:
​The bears aren't in total control yet. Only a sustained reclaim and hold above $92k would kill this bearish bias. A move back into the channel would catch late shorts off guard and signal a potential recovery toward six figures.
​Risk is Defined. Leverage is High.
Smart money is watching the $ 81k zone for the next accumulation phase, while the "crowd" is still hoping for a $ 90k miracle.
​Panic creates entry points.
Discipline creates wealth.$
​Keep your eye on the close—because the trend is only your friend until it bends.
​#Bitcoin❗ #BTCanalysis #CryptoMarket #tradingStrategy #MarketCycles

⚠️ ARMS, AGRI, & VOLATILITY: THE $11B TAIWAN DEAL
Here’s the geopolitical ripple effect most traders are ignoring 👇
The "Realized Price" of global stability just shifted. With the U.S. approving a massive $11.1 billion arms package for Taiwan—the largest in history—the market isn't just watching ticker symbols; it’s watching the "China Wheat Counterstrike."
Historically, when trade and defense collide, we see a maximum pain threshold in commodities before a new market regime begins.
📉 The Trade-War Playbook:
2018: Soybeans dropped ~25% during the first tariff wave.
2025: Now, the stakes are $11B in HIMARS and drones.
Retaliation: Beijing’s "resolute and forceful measures" often hit the U.S. where it hurts—Agriculture.
Right now, global wheat markets are sitting in a zone of high tension. If China pivots its massive import needs away from the West in response to this deal, it implies a significant pullback in export demand—painful for farmers, but a "historically normal" reaction in geopolitical cycles.
Here’s why this matters 👀
When geopolitics taps the "volatility floor," weak conviction exits, and long-term strategic capital $XRP enters. These "trade war" discounts don’t last forever, but they define who survives the next cycle.
Weaponized Trade: China using wheat as a counterstrike isn't just about food; it's about leverage.
The $11B Signal: Defense spending is at an ATH, signaling that "Risk-On" now requires a "Hedge-On" strategy.
This doesn’t mean a crash is guaranteed. It means the Risk is Defined. Smart money isn't just watching $BTC ; they are watching the supply chains of the world's most essential assets.
Geopolitics creates discounts.
Insight creates wealth.
Keep your eye on the headlines—because the next big market move is being built while the world is distracted by the noise.
#Geopolitics #MarketVolatility #WheatTrade #TaiwanDeal #MacroAnalysis

The geopolitical temperature between the U.S. and China has spiked dramatically this week, sending ripples through both traditional commodity markets and the broader financial landscape. In a move that observers are calling a swift economic counter-response, China has abruptly canceled major agricultural orders immediately following a historic U.S. arms package announcement for Taiwan.
​Here is a breakdown of the escalation and what it means for the markets.
​The Catalyst: A Record $11.1 Billion Arms Package
​On December 17, the Trump administration unveiled a massive military sales package to Taiwan valued at approximately $11.1 billion. This marks the largest single arms sale to the island in history, surpassing previous records and signaling a significant shift in U.S. defense policy in the region.
​The package serves to significantly upgrade Taiwan’s defensive capabilities across land, sea, and air. Key inclusions are:
​82 sets of HIMARS (High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems)​420 Army Tactical Missiles​60 M109A7 Self-Propelled Howitzers
​While Washington frames this sale as necessary for maintaining "self-defense capabilities" in the region, Beijing has condemned the move as a violation of the One China principle and the three Sino-U.S. joint communiqués.
​The Response: The "Wheat Weapon"
​Less than 24 hours after the arms sale was publicized, the economic fallout began. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) confirmed in a late-night announcement that Chinese buyers had canceled orders for 132,000 tons of American white wheat.
​This was not a minor adjustment; it was the total cancellation of what would have been the largest wheat transaction between the two nations in 2025. The timing—coming shortly after the Kuala Lumpur negotiations where trade tensions seemed to be thawing—suggests this is a calculated geopolitical signal rather than a simple market decision.
Market Impact: Commodities Take a Hit
​The cancellation caught U.S. markets off guard.
​Wheat Futures: Prices at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) reacted instantly, dropping to an eight-week low and shedding 10% from their November peaks.​Agricultural Anxiety: The cancellation hits the U.S. agricultural belt hard, particularly in states like Iowa. Farmers who were anticipating increased demand following earlier diplomatic talks are now facing a surplus and price suppression.
​The Macro View: Why This Matters for Crypto $BTC
​For investors in the cryptocurrency space, these geopolitical maneuvers are critical to watch.
​Macro Instability: Rising tensions between the world's two largest economies often lead to capital flight from risk-on assets in traditional markets. However, it also highlights the value of non-sovereign assets.​Bitcoin as a Hedge: As traditional trade routes (like agriculture) become weaponized in diplomatic disputes, the narrative for Bitcoin as a neutral, global store of value strengthens. While commodity prices may suffer from trade wars, $ BTC often decouples as investors look for assets outside the control of any single government's foreign policy.​Market Sentiment: With global uncertainty rising, volatility is expected to increase across all asset classes. Traders should remain vigilant as the market digests the potential for further economic countermeasures.
​Bottom Line: The link between an $11 billion missile deal and a 132,000-ton wheat cancellation is a reminder that in 2025, economics and geopolitics are inseparable. Watch the charts.
$BTC

$ETH

$BNB

​By analyzing $AVAX historical year-end closing prices since its launch, we can see a clear narrative unfold—one of hype, correction, recovery, and currently, consolidation.
​Let’s take a snapshot of the Avalanche journey so far
​The Historical Snapshot: $AVAX Year-End Price
​The price history of $AVAX serves as a mirror to the broader crypto market's emotional rollercoaster over the last half-decade.
​2020: The Humble Beginning (~$3.15)
​2021: The Moonshot Rocket (Peak of ~$109.40) 2022: The Crypto Winter Test (~$10.90) 📉2023: The Recovery Bounce (~$38.52) 📈
​2024: The Consolidation Phase (~$35.75 YTD)
​The 2025 Question Mark
​The crypto market operates in rhythms, often tied to the 4-year Bitcoin halving cycles. As we approach the end of 2024, the eyes of the market are shifting toward 2025.
​History teaches us a valuable lesson: Big trends don’t begin when everyone is celebrating at the top—they begin in the quiet periods when no one is watching.