玖九酒
第一时间数据信息…赚信息
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#美联储利率决议
Recently, the market has been fluctuating with ups and downs. Do not chase after highs and lows; control your actions. It’s okay not to make a profit, but definitely avoid being trapped.
First of all, it is certain that there will be no interest rate cuts in the next couple of days. This has also been confirmed as one of the reasons for the recent decline. Should we chase after shorts? Absolutely not. Personally, I have already exited all my short positions at 95. Currently, I am in cash.
I will wait and see after the meeting to see if I can enter around the low point of 86 (this is a bet on the U.S. market closing on Saturday). If the price rises continuously, there is no rush to act; I will wait for a rebound before shorting at a higher point.
The overall direction is still to short at higher points.
Recently, the market has been fluctuating with ups and downs. Do not chase after highs and lows; control your actions. It’s okay not to make a profit, but definitely avoid being trapped.
First of all, it is certain that there will be no interest rate cuts in the next couple of days. This has also been confirmed as one of the reasons for the recent decline. Should we chase after shorts? Absolutely not. Personally, I have already exited all my short positions at 95. Currently, I am in cash.
I will wait and see after the meeting to see if I can enter around the low point of 86 (this is a bet on the U.S. market closing on Saturday). If the price rises continuously, there is no rush to act; I will wait for a rebound before shorting at a higher point.
The overall direction is still to short at higher points.
#比特币2026年价格预测
The daytime market continues to fluctuate around 92800, falling back to around 90700. Currently, the daily structure has shifted to a downward trend, with a six consecutive bearish candles forming below. The MACD has formed a death cross and is moving downward, while the KDJ death cross is also diverging downwards. The four-hour bearish increment is operating near the lower bound, with the trend heading downward. On the hourly level, the upward trend is shrinking, and the market is retreating with a target for fluctuations around 90000-89500.
The daytime market continues to fluctuate around 92800, falling back to around 90700. Currently, the daily structure has shifted to a downward trend, with a six consecutive bearish candles forming below. The MACD has formed a death cross and is moving downward, while the KDJ death cross is also diverging downwards. The four-hour bearish increment is operating near the lower bound, with the trend heading downward. On the hourly level, the upward trend is shrinking, and the market is retreating with a target for fluctuations around 90000-89500.
#比特币2026年价格预测
Bitcoin's current support is around 91,300, and this time the spike drop reached 92,000, which is actually still a bit away from the support. I might consider a short position when it approaches 91,300.
The ideal re-entry point for shorting is around 94,000, of course, there is also a bit of resistance at 93,300. Those who haven't set up a long-term short position can look to position themselves at a higher price.
Bitcoin's current support is around 91,300, and this time the spike drop reached 92,000, which is actually still a bit away from the support. I might consider a short position when it approaches 91,300.
The ideal re-entry point for shorting is around 94,000, of course, there is also a bit of resistance at 93,300. Those who haven't set up a long-term short position can look to position themselves at a higher price.
#美国政府停摆
Cryptocurrency Market Surge
Today, the cryptocurrency market began a major rebound from early morning, primarily due to the United States announcing that an agreement has been reached to reopen, ending a 40-day shutdown. As a result, Bitcoin and Ethereum have surged significantly.
For Bitcoin, the current resistance zone is around 10.6-10.65, and there may be a slight pullback.
However, with the U.S. reopening strongly and the news changing, this resistance zone may only provide temporary support, so it's wise not to short.
Currently, a larger resistance is near 109,000, where there are many sell orders, making it a likely short position.
Personally, I will wait and seek stability.
Cryptocurrency Market Surge
Today, the cryptocurrency market began a major rebound from early morning, primarily due to the United States announcing that an agreement has been reached to reopen, ending a 40-day shutdown. As a result, Bitcoin and Ethereum have surged significantly.
For Bitcoin, the current resistance zone is around 10.6-10.65, and there may be a slight pullback.
However, with the U.S. reopening strongly and the news changing, this resistance zone may only provide temporary support, so it's wise not to short.
Currently, a larger resistance is near 109,000, where there are many sell orders, making it a likely short position.
Personally, I will wait and seek stability.
#CPI数据来袭
Tonight, the market expectation for CPI is to rise significantly, from 2.9% to 3.1%, while the core CPI is expected to remain unchanged.
If it meets the expectation of 3.1%, then it actually has no impact. However, if it is higher than expected, it will be bearish.
Inflation lower than expected is bullish.
However, considering that the Federal Reserve is about to cut interest rates next week, Trump surely has the motivation to beautify the data.
I will pay attention to the resistance at 114,000 and 115,800 to short.
Tonight, the market expectation for CPI is to rise significantly, from 2.9% to 3.1%, while the core CPI is expected to remain unchanged.
If it meets the expectation of 3.1%, then it actually has no impact. However, if it is higher than expected, it will be bearish.
Inflation lower than expected is bullish.
However, considering that the Federal Reserve is about to cut interest rates next week, Trump surely has the motivation to beautify the data.
I will pay attention to the resistance at 114,000 and 115,800 to short.
#加密市场回调
Eat another 3000 points
Waiting for 115 to short
Yesterday's post is still there, the idea remains unchanged.
Eat another 3000 points
Waiting for 115 to short
Yesterday's post is still there, the idea remains unchanged.
#加密市场反弹
105800 more has been cleared, around 111500 can take a small position to short (can take 2-3 thousand points and then run away and reverse to go long)
The most ideal short position is at the double top of 115.
The first CPI data after the halt this Friday needs to be respected.
At the end of October, China and the US will talk again, and with the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, it seems like it might be the last tail of the bull market. Reasonable control of positions, do not split the bull feast that has started, no bullets left.
105800 more has been cleared, around 111500 can take a small position to short (can take 2-3 thousand points and then run away and reverse to go long)
The most ideal short position is at the double top of 115.
The first CPI data after the halt this Friday needs to be respected.
At the end of October, China and the US will talk again, and with the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, it seems like it might be the last tail of the bull market. Reasonable control of positions, do not split the bull feast that has started, no bullets left.
#美财政部比特币战略储备激增
If you can stand firm at 109600 again, you can continue to take another wave. Conversely, if it drops below around 108300 and cannot hold, then the profit will be reduced, and you will close the position.
If you can stand firm at 109600 again, you can continue to take another wave. Conversely, if it drops below around 108300 and cannot hold, then the profit will be reduced, and you will close the position.
#BTC再创新高
I haven't posted for a while after playing around with this account for some time, using only 10,000 for this wave. Let's learn and improve together.
Recently, Bitcoin has been strong, and I personally feel that every time it breaks a previous high, there should be a significant pullback.
Right now, I'm paying attention to the support around 120,000 for BTC, to see if there's an opportunity for a short-term rebound.
This wave needs to be controlled.
Tonight's job numbers and PPI data will not have much impact on Bitcoin before the market sentiment becomes strong.
I haven't posted for a while after playing around with this account for some time, using only 10,000 for this wave. Let's learn and improve together.
Recently, Bitcoin has been strong, and I personally feel that every time it breaks a previous high, there should be a significant pullback.
Right now, I'm paying attention to the support around 120,000 for BTC, to see if there's an opportunity for a short-term rebound.
This wave needs to be controlled.
Tonight's job numbers and PPI data will not have much impact on Bitcoin before the market sentiment becomes strong.
I woke up and the sky fell! I didn't expect it to be this intense!
#非农就业数据来袭
Tonight at 8:30 there will be unemployment rate and latest employment data
Currently, the market expects the unemployment rate to rise and employment numbers to decline.
No more nonsense, see the picture
Higher than expected is bullish
Lower than expected is bearish
Tonight at 8:30 there will be unemployment rate and latest employment data
Currently, the market expects the unemployment rate to rise and employment numbers to decline.
No more nonsense, see the picture
Higher than expected is bullish
Lower than expected is bearish
#美联储FOMC会议
Tonight the Federal Reserve will hold a meeting
Powell will give a speech
There will definitely be no interest rate cut in June, and there won't be one in July either, it all depends on whether there will be a rate cut in September? If there is no rate cut in September, then it will be a waterfall; conversely, the same.
Personally, I tend to be bearish at the peaks.
Tonight the Federal Reserve will hold a meeting
Powell will give a speech
There will definitely be no interest rate cut in June, and there won't be one in July either, it all depends on whether there will be a rate cut in September? If there is no rate cut in September, then it will be a waterfall; conversely, the same.
Personally, I tend to be bearish at the peaks.
#以色列伊朗冲突
This wave of decline is said to be due to the Israel-Iran conflict
In fact, Bitcoin couldn't rise despite various positive news, and a single piece of negative news caused a crash. The previous positive news couldn't drive the price up, which is a sign of weakness; the decline is far from over.
Currently, we still expect a small rebound around 105500 to open a short position, and a major rebound around 107400 to open a short position.
The real heavy news will come next Wednesday.
This wave of decline is said to be due to the Israel-Iran conflict
In fact, Bitcoin couldn't rise despite various positive news, and a single piece of negative news caused a crash. The previous positive news couldn't drive the price up, which is a sign of weakness; the decline is far from over.
Currently, we still expect a small rebound around 105500 to open a short position, and a major rebound around 107400 to open a short position.
The real heavy news will come next Wednesday.
#美国加征关税
8:30 PM Weekly Unemployment Claims Release (Minimal Impact on Bitcoin)
No more talk High Expectations Positive
Low Valley Phase Negative
BTC just reached 111900 after more than 40 days, this month is just a correction, you can check BTC at the end of the month, there will also be a rebound in the middle of this month, but it is merely a rebound, not a reversal, which is why there has been a continuous short position at high points recently.
Currently holding no positions, made three waves around 106, not sure if there are any opportunities today.
8:30 PM Weekly Unemployment Claims Release (Minimal Impact on Bitcoin)
No more talk High Expectations Positive
Low Valley Phase Negative
BTC just reached 111900 after more than 40 days, this month is just a correction, you can check BTC at the end of the month, there will also be a rebound in the middle of this month, but it is merely a rebound, not a reversal, which is why there has been a continuous short position at high points recently.
Currently holding no positions, made three waves around 106, not sure if there are any opportunities today.
#加密市场反弹
Nibbling is quite fragrant too. Today, the strategy remains unchanged; still looking for points above 106000 on the pancake.
Nibbling is quite fragrant too. Today, the strategy remains unchanged; still looking for points above 106000 on the pancake.
Big brother is panicking? Hang in there, big brother!
Big brother's 40x leveraged long position was liquidated with only a $20 margin left, and the liquidation price is now $103,640.
This is definitely going to mess up big brother's rhythm!
Big brother has already called for help.
The strategy mentioned before the festival was to short high, with a possible deep correction in June-July, the posts are all there.
This wave up continues to short at the highs.
Big brother's 40x leveraged long position was liquidated with only a $20 margin left, and the liquidation price is now $103,640.
This is definitely going to mess up big brother's rhythm!
Big brother has already called for help.
The strategy mentioned before the festival was to short high, with a possible deep correction in June-July, the posts are all there.
This wave up continues to short at the highs.
#PCE数据来袭
Then at 8:30 tonight there will be a PCE inflation data release
No more nonsense
Above expectations is bearish
Below expectations is bullish (according to expectations, it might be a slight positive, take profit at highs or short)
We must recognize the reality that it will continue to drop, the main players in the crypto circle have already fled
The two supports given the day before yesterday at 106500 and 104500, how many understood, back and forth eating?
Then at 8:30 tonight there will be a PCE inflation data release
No more nonsense
Above expectations is bearish
Below expectations is bullish (according to expectations, it might be a slight positive, take profit at highs or short)
We must recognize the reality that it will continue to drop, the main players in the crypto circle have already fled
The two supports given the day before yesterday at 106500 and 104500, how many understood, back and forth eating?
The empty space given yesterday is still there
If 106500 breaks again, we will continue to look down at 1045000.
Bitcoin has risen for two consecutive months with an increase of over 50%, but it has not had a significant correction yet. You must pay close attention to this trend line; once it breaks, Bitcoin could correct a lot!
If 106500 breaks again, we will continue to look down at 1045000.
Bitcoin has risen for two consecutive months with an increase of over 50%, but it has not had a significant correction yet. You must pay close attention to this trend line; once it breaks, Bitcoin could correct a lot!
It's been a long time since I posted: I incurred a loss of 12,800 last time and then opened a short position at 98, continuously averaging down, reducing positions, and finally breaking even. In the past few days, I made a few small short trades, and fortunately, they all worked out.
To be direct: I personally feel this wave has peaked. Bitcoin might push up to the 112-116 range tonight for a short position.
The annual Bitcoin conference will be held in Las Vegas tonight.
It might very well be the endpoint of this BTC trend.
Slowly, the positive news might be exhausted, and there could be a significant pullback in June and July.
Perhaps it will reach new highs again, and I have a stop-loss set at 112,500. This point needs to be tested.
This is my personal opinion and not investment advice.
To be direct: I personally feel this wave has peaked. Bitcoin might push up to the 112-116 range tonight for a short position.
The annual Bitcoin conference will be held in Las Vegas tonight.
It might very well be the endpoint of this BTC trend.
Slowly, the positive news might be exhausted, and there could be a significant pullback in June and July.
Perhaps it will reach new highs again, and I have a stop-loss set at 112,500. This point needs to be tested.
This is my personal opinion and not investment advice.
The pancake continues to decline, breaking 104500, and looking further down to 103000, with a breakeven loss set at 104900.
Currently, the cost-effectiveness of being short is higher than being long, and institutional investors are gradually reducing their positions. The market is still extremely greedy; doesn't it feel similar to the high points around the New Year?
I hope for a volatile downward trend, looking for high points to short.
Currently, the cost-effectiveness of being short is higher than being long, and institutional investors are gradually reducing their positions. The market is still extremely greedy; doesn't it feel similar to the high points around the New Year?
I hope for a volatile downward trend, looking for high points to short.
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