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U.S. Treasury raises the limit for repurchasing long-term Treasury bonds to $6 billion
The U.S. Treasury Department is raising the limit for the repurchase of long-term Treasury bonds to $6 billion. Recall that the announcement of this increase was made back on August 20 by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. The details are now known. On September 10, the agency will conduct an operation involving new bond issuances; the volume is increased from $4 to $6 billion, i.e., a 50% increase.
How’s gold doing at the start of autumn—let’s figure it out.
How’s gold doing at the start of autumn—let’s figure it out. Since the previous analysis on September 2, there have been no significant changes. The tokenized gold #XAUT that we trade is still maintaining a steady downtrend on the daily timeframe, which we discussed. Within that, there has already been a bounce from the potential lows markers. We discussed the outlook for this bounce back then as well, on September 2. The main issue for the bears remains the persistent, stable uptrends on the 2- and 3-day timeframe (and, of course, a potential bullish wedge with targets above the ATH). If these are broken, we will top up the short for the remaining amount of the deposit allocated to this asset. For now, though, we are holding it as a backup to average in and close the position in profit if the bulls manage to ensure a return to a stable uptrend on the 2-week timeframe (the oldest timeframe, where the downtrend is still holding). Over the past few months on this timeframe, there was a test of the level that could confirm the downtrend break—$4,618. We added a near-by short there, and for now we’re simply observing and earning a bit from funding.
Bitmine is close to its stated goal of controlling 5% of the ETH supply
Bitmine has come very close to its stated goal—controlling 5% of the ETH supply. As of the start of this week, #Bitmine already held 5,929,198 ETH with a current value of about $14.8 billion at a price of $2,495 per coin. This corresponds to 4.9% of the total ETH supply of 122 million coins. Over the past week, Bitmine has acquired an additional 28,086 ETH. The company buys assets every week since the launch of its treasury strategy on June 30, 2025, and now manages the largest corporate ETH reserve. The average purchase price so far remains noticeably higher at $3,314.55.
By evening and at the start of the new hour, BTC finally saw some interesting high-volume candles. And while they’re red. Of the important things: the price still holds a steady uptrend on the 1-hour and 1.5-hour timeframes. And on the 3-hour timeframe, the entire rebound was indeed a test of the level that could break the sustained downtrend. If, as a result of the movement that has started, the price breaks the uptrends on the 1-hour and 1.5-hour timeframes, and also finally moves into a steady downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe (since yesterday, the bears have not managed to do that, although they’ve already set up a downtrend on the 5-, 6-, 7-hour timeframes) — then the prospects for the bulls will look much darker. And for our short — much more fun. We’re waiting for the resolution and clarity.
List of token and coin unlocks for the current week, 7-13 September 2026
List of token and coin unlocks for the current week, 7-13 September 2026. Summary from #Cryptorank and #Dropstab. Especially notable are RAIN, HOLO, UP; they all start from tomorrow. In total, among those that are noticeable by share of supply/market cap and/or by amounts this week: - #STABLE. On 8 September, 0.89% of the total supply was unlocked, worth $25.66 million. This is 4.94% of market cap/circulating supply.
Why we keep leaning toward expecting a correction this week
Why do we keep leaning toward expecting a correction this week— or rather the start of a correction that will then drag on for several weeks or even months? Because extreme-peak signals keep coming in. Tonight our algorithm, P73 CryptoMarket Monitor—which analyzes the TOP-200 crypto assets through the lens of our indicator—showed marks of a potential high on the daily timeframe for 24 more assets. Among them are notable assets like #DOGE, #LINK, #ZEC. From this, the Monitor makes an inference, an auto-forecast:
Another indicator, the MVRV Momentum Oscillator, for BTC has also for the first time in 329 days moved into the green
Another indicator, the MVRV Momentum Oscillator, for BTC has also for the first time in 329 days moved into positive territory. Rand Group is paying attention to the signal. This is not the usual MVRV, but an impulse activation indicator—its move above zero means that the structure of the realized market value has started improving again after a prolonged period of weakness.
CryptoQuant: BTC has another potentially bullish on-chain signal
CryptoQuant: BTC has another potentially bullish on-chain signal. The ratio of SOPR for long-term and short-term holders has moved out of an unusually low range. On the chart, the CryptoQuant indicator LTH-SOPR / STH-SOPR is shown—it compares how profitably long-term holders sell coins relative to short-term holders.
Important events for the crypto market on September 9 from the economic calendar.
Today is another secondary day; the main days of this week, we remind you, are Thursday and Friday. But from yesterday to today, the release of labor market data in the US has been moved, so increased volatility is possible.
In the morning, the inflation block for China for August was released. It is rather moderately positive for the crypto market: inflation and producer prices came in slightly above expectations, which reduces fears about weakness in the Chinese economy and supports demand for risk. BUT at the same time, it lowers the likelihood of new large-scale stimulus from the People’s Bank of China, so you shouldn’t expect a strong inflow of liquidity into crypto assets based on these data alone.
Schedule for the rest of the day:
❗️- 15:15 Kyiv and MSK / 17:15 Astana — Weekly change in employment in the US according to ADP. A preliminary labor-market indicator for the market. - 20:00 Kyiv and MSK / 22:00 Astana — European Central Bank Chair Lagarde will deliver a speech. Important due to the role of the euro in the DXY calculation and expectations regarding the ECB’s policy.
BTC is developing the expected rebound from yesterday and once again makes us not rush to add to the short position.
BTC is developing the expected rebound from yesterday and once again makes us not rush to add to the short position. The abundance of potential-loyalty signals across a number of timeframes (3-, 4-, 5-hour TF, and later 2-, 6-, and 7-hour TF) ultimately forced us to reconsider our plans to add to a short position at the very first signs of extrema. Therefore, when this morning the price issued a Strong signal of potential downside pressure on the 10-minute TF (near the current price), we decided not to rush. Especially since there is still room for movement before the level of the potential breakdown of the downtrend on the 3-hour TF (79,857$).
For BTC dominance, we’re preparing to see a rebound after the decline at the beginning of September
In terms of BTC dominance, we’re preparing to see a rebound after the decline at the beginning of September. There are reasons for this: a strong signal of a potential low on the 4-hour timeframe and already two standard marks out of three possible on the 12-hour timeframe. Our latest breakdown on dominance was on August 17, and it didn’t play out. Back then, during the transition of dominance into a sustained downtrend on the daily timeframe, we expected the start of the “Bearish Wedge” completion, with a full target around 57.17%. At the same time, we assumed that the path down would not be easy. Because on the day of the review, dominance showed a mark of a potential low on the daily timeframe. As a result, it was exactly from this mark that active dominance growth began, from the low of 58.78% on August 15 up to the high of 60.41% on September 3. Moreover, over the last four days, almost all of this growth has already been absorbed. But dominance continues to hold steady uptrends on the daily and 3-day timeframes. If the uptrend on the daily timeframe is likely to be lost tonight, then on the 2- and 3-day timeframes it promises to remain relevant.
Bulls spirited drop of BTC below $78,000 at the moment—still unconvincing
Bulls spirited drop of BTC below $78,000 at the moment—still unconvincing. The start of a full-scale correction of the August pump has not been confirmed. Last week we wrote about what is needed to speak more confidently about a downside scenario. We need to absorb liquidity zones that act as support. Compared to last week, this zone has widened a bit, but overall such a zone on the 3-hour timeframe remains relevant. It has been stretching since August 24. Starting September 3, another zone appeared within it, slightly widening the range to the current $76,785–$77,923. The more liquidity zones overlap on top of each other, the greater their combined strength.
Let’s show 3 out of 9 assets that, on the weekly time frame, have moved into a sustained uptrend
Let’s show 3 out of 9 assets that, on the weekly time frame, have moved into a sustained uptrend. We wrote yesterday that the list includes BNB and SOL as representatives from the TOP-10. And now we’ll show the others that are less obvious in terms of development potential. These are #ARB, #ENA, #TWT. Here’s such an interesting list. The basic and additional goals of the uptrends, the levels of potential breakdown, and the liquidity zones on this time frame—everything is on the screenshots.
The BIT Fear and Greed indicator has moved into the "greed" zone—moreover, its 21-day
The BIT Fear and Greed indicator has moved into the "greed" zone—moreover, its 21-day moving average has risen there as well. Time to go down or stay in a range? As of September 7, the smoothed indicator was hovering at around 90%, which for #BIT is a fairly rare combination of strong current sentiment and a sustained medium-term momentum.
Important for the crypto market events on September 8 from the economic calendar
Important for the crypto market events on September 8 from the economic calendar. Today is a secondary day, and there’s likely no need to expect elevated volatility from today’s data. By night and by morning, a data block on Japan for Q2 was already released (GDP, GDP deflator, and the current account balance). This is important due to the yen’s role in the DXY calculation, expectations for further policy at the Bank of Japan, and Japan’s role in global liquidity. The data came in slightly above forecasts. Also released was China’s external trade block for August (trade balance surplus, import volume, and export volume). This is important due to the role of China in the global economy and for assessing global demand. Here, the surplus was slightly higher due to imports being lower than expected.
Bitcoin price moved this morning into a stable downtrend on the 3-hour time frame
This morning, the BTC price moved into a stable downtrend on the 3-hour time frame. The base targets that have not yet been reached are $77,876 and $77,310. The potential breakdown level is $79,857. Also, the price has shifted into a downtrend on the 7-hour time frame, with base targets of $77,897, $76,958, and $76,019. At the same time, it is noticeable that on many hourly time frames, there are liquidity zones nearby from below that act as supports. For example, on the 3-hour time frame in the range of $76,785–$77,923, there are several liquidity zones that buyers will defend. In addition, on a number of time frames, the price has come to test the 50 or 200 EMA, which also acts as support.
BTC shows the prospect of consolidating below $79,000, having given several signals since the evening
BTC shows the prospect of consolidating below $79,000, having given several signals since the evening. First of all, this is the transition into a stable downtrend on the 2-hour timeframe. At the same time, there is a prospect of moving into a stable downtrend also on the 2.5-hour timeframe. This candle will close in an hour; we’ll see how it develops for the remaining time.
At the start of the week, as is traditional, we’ll review the latest report from our P73 CryptoMarket Monitor
At the start of the week, as is traditional, we’ll review the latest report from our P73 CryptoMarket Monitor. Today it’s a big one — there are new candles on both the 3-day and the weekly timeframes. First, we will show two auto forecasts provided by the algorithm: "❗️FORECAST: WARNING — there is a high probability of a noticeable correction and a short- / medium-term decline in the crypto market, starting in the next few days. During this time, the high may still be updated."
Spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted $987 million over the week, and $3.83 billion over three weeks.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted $987 million over the week, and $3.83 billion over three weeks. Demand through regulated instruments appears to be recovering. The leader among Bitcoin funds over the past week was #IBIT from #BlackRock, with net inflows of $691.5 million. There is a clear leader. Analyst Presto Research Min Jeong, in a comment for #TheBlock, noted that the cryptocurrency market appears to be going through a "catch-up period" after lagging behind other risk assets, and that a strong inflow into an ETF "indicates a resumption of institutional demand".
A complete economic calendar of events September 7–13, 2026 that can influence the crypto market
A complete economic calendar of events September 7–13, 2026 that can influence the crypto market. A moderately busy week, but with two clear points for increased volatility—Thursday and Friday. The main day is Friday: in the US, they publish the August CPI data (Consumer Price Index) and the University of Michigan’s data on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations. This directly affects expectations for the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate, the dynamics of the US Dollar Index (DXY), and crypto market behavior.
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