Proekt_73

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We will present the full report of our P73 CryptoMarket Monitor at the beginning of a new day

We will present the full report of our P73 CryptoMarket Monitor at the beginning of a new day. There are important things.
According to TOP-200:
- 26 assets show a Strong signal of a potential top on the 2-hour timeframe, while 11 assets show regular markers of a potential top.
- 12 assets show a transition to a stable uptrend on the 4-hour timeframe; at the same time, 4 assets on it show a Strong signal of a potential top, while 4 assets show regular markers of a potential top.

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IMPORTANT: as a matter of fact, BTC, ETH, and a number of altcoins have shifted into a stable uptrend on the 3-day timeframe

IMPORTANT: as a matter of fact, BTC, ETH, and a number of altcoins have shifted into a stable uptrend on the 3-day timeframe. Our congratulations to the bulls and to those who bought BTC and ETH at the investment before the pump on August 19, in the dead summer market of 2026. It’s quite possible that you got some of the best prices for the long term. However, we still consider a cunning autumn dump possible.

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Coinglass: Liquidations in the crypto market over 24 hours — $2.99B!

Coinglass: Liquidations in the crypto market over 24 hours — $2.99B! Very impressive. Of these, shorts — $2.74B (Bitcoin share — $1.42B, Ethereum — $1.11B), longs — just $248.02M. And it’s even surprising how the bulls managed that. On such a bearish slaughter.
The map of potential liquidations shows that a sharp drop to $57,837 would lead to long liquidations of $7.13B. At the same time, a sharp rise to $78,112 would lead to liquidations of $574.53M. The difference is impressive—yet even in the nearest upper range there’s really nothing to collect: the liquidity is on the downside.

Article

On the BTC chart, they cleared out completed or broken patterns to see the big picture

On the BTC chart, they cleared out completed or broken patterns to see the big picture. And besides an almost completed “Triangle” (target $70,399), they saw another, a bullish pattern. Which, with today’s impulse, took shape and started its move in the process of working out.
This is the “neck line” of which runs in the area of $66,800. And its full target is in the area of $76,218.

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The ETH/BTC chart deserves special attention today

The ETH/BTC chart deserves special attention today. Since mid-July, a setup has been building, and today a historic event has finally taken hold. A breakout of the trendline from the highs of September 2022. When the Ethereum blockchain switched to the PoS algorithm (when it stopped being mined).
The price had been pressing against it even earlier—since August 2025. But the local tightening before, finally, the breakout began only on July 15, 2026. This local tightening lasted until July 26, then there was a slight breakout and the price began to hold above the trendline. Today’s pump finally confirms the move out from under this global trendline. And #ETH, in theory, is set for very momentous times—when, by yield, it will start to overtake Bitcoin.

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ETH's daytime growth has already reached +21%; the price quickly came to the liquidity zone of $2,249–$2,440

ETH's daytime growth has already reached +21%. The price promptly came to the liquidity zone of $2,249–$2,440. This is a zone on the weekly timeframe that we wrote about today in our breakdown, along with a warning about a likely correction. Only a move into an uptrend on the 3-day timeframe could prevent it.
At the time of the analysis, ETH's growth over the day was 9%; now it’s already more than twice as much.

Verified

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The announced press conference by Trump brought the most positivity for HYPE today

The announced press conference by Trump today brought the most positivity for HYPE. The Hyperliquid token, for which Trump announced an imminent launch into the US market.
#HYPE amid this news pumped by +16% and came to $72.19. It hit a liquidity zone of $70.82–$72.86 on the hourly timeframe. By the way, since our last review on June 16, HYPE has almost completely played out the correction forecast. Although back in June, with the price at $76, few people believed in a correction. In the end, the price didn’t reach the forecast level of $48.14 from the June 5 forecast— but it came very close. The low was set at $51.15 on August 2. This was helped in part by news that in July 2026 the venture fund Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) began selling tokens from the project.

Partly True

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The minutes of the previous FOMC meeting in the US, as expected, turned out to be quite hawkish

The minutes of the previous FOMC meeting in the US, as expected, turned out to be quite hawkish. Many participants allow for further rate increases if inflation does not start falling steadily.
Reminder that the pause decision was not unanimous. Nine FOMC members voted to keep the 3.50–3.75% range. Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan voted against and wanted to raise the rate immediately by 0.25 percentage point.

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An asset that is keeping people from falling into bullish euphoria right now is ETH

An asset that is keeping people from falling into bullish euphoria right now is ETH. Despite its strong growth today of almost +9% and the holders’ celebrations. The reason is the same as in the review a week ago, on August 10. Markers of a potential top for this asset on the weekly timeframe.
When, in April–May this year, ETH started consolidating above $2,300, FOMO appeared in the market and people talked about the continuation of the uptrend. But back then, on April 21, we warned that signals had emerged that significantly worsened the picture for the bulls. As a result, from the marked levels, a collapse began, and by the end of May–early June a new low was reached — $1,505.

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Our P73 CryptoMarket Monitor in the past hour again showed significant signals of the crypto market monitor

Our P73 CryptoMarket Monitor again showed significant signals of the crypto market monitor in the past hour for the TOP-200. Subscribers surely noticed that it was deleted and reissued. We’re working with server support on a problem that, it seemed, had already been resolved before. But it returned. On the 1-hour TF glitches are rare, but they do happen, causing the algorithm to send past data from that TF.

They added a short on BTC amid signs of weakness—let’s see how this plays out. The signal they used—someone will find it amusing—was a shift into a downtrend on the 1-minute timeframe 😅. Given the overbought conditions and the desire to catch the high, it makes sense.

The uptrend on this timeframe ran from the 65 000$ area and lasted almost 3 hours, by the way.

If the first position was opened at half the usual volume from the 65 314,4$ level due to local overbought signals, then the second add was done at the standard volume size. At a price of 68 562,9$. In the end, it now has a position of 1.5 standard volumes (per the strategy, two positions are allowed, so another 0.5 volume is kept as a reserve in case the rise continues).

As a result, the entry price has now moved up to 67 537,05$. Meanwhile, the liquidation level has dropped from 97 306,29$ to 77 752,23$. Taking into account the very real chances that by the end of the day we’ll move into a stable uptrend on the 12-hour and daily timeframes, we place the short into positive break-even at 67 503,28$. In case of a squeeze. This upward spike is clearly not what was expected, and since things aren’t going according to plan—minimizing losses is the priority.

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Against the background of today’s pump, it’s very timely to recall yesterday’s global BTC breakdown

Against the background of today’s pump, it’s very timely to recall yesterday’s global BTC breakdown.
Specifically—this part of it:
"We can say, based on our indicator, at least two things:
1. BTC for August-July has three marks of a potential low on the monthly timeframe, indicating the proximity of the global bottom in the cycle. In 2022, there was an insignificant dip from $17,622 to $15,476, against the backdrop of the ATH in the higher cycle above $125,000—which is not significant.

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BTC broke through the 69,000$ level intraday

BTC broke through the 69,000$ level intraday. Good volume candles. By the way, ETH also showed a high of 2,115$. This kind of rise—there were moments when we had to redo the screenshots several times because they became outdated 🤌
On BTC, the high was updated on July 21 at 66,956$, giving the bulls a chance to break the downward structure. But it does not cancel it—it’s simply a re-evaluation of the structure, where the rebound high from the low on July 1 was not July 21, but today.

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US Treasury strengthens support for the long-term government bond market—potentially a positive signal

The US Treasury is strengthening support for the long-term government bond market—potentially a positive signal for stocks and BTC.
The reaction with growth of BTC and a number of other assets is about this. And we opened a short position on it. We entered at the level of $65,314.4. Cross margin, 30x leverage, liquidation at $97,306.29. If the correction happens, move the stop to break-even; add on when the downtrend is confirmed on the 3-hour timeframe. If the assessment is wrong and the rally continues, we’ll think about the best way to close—whether to add at a new similar high.

BTC for now has reset the attempts of the bears to start with a correction.

Today, the highest timeframe that showed a sustained downtrend according to our indicator was the 45-minute one. But right now, this downtrend has been broken; the price has received support from buyers from the liquidity zone 64 051-65 264$ on this timeframe.

For now, we stay out of the market, but we still expect a corrective move rather than a strong impulse rally. Recall that the price has labels of a potential high on the 5-, 6-, and 7-hour timeframes, and at the same time it has already moved very close to the global resistance that has been coming from the ATH since October 2025.

Only if the price switches to a sustained uptrend on the 12-hour timeframe will we start building positions at roughly the current price when the trend changes. Until then, we still expect a markdown for a long.

Shorts on #BTC while an uptrend on the 3-hour timeframe is maintained can be considered only if new Strong signal highs appear on the hourly timeframe and above. Or if regular labels of a potential high appear on the 12-hour timeframe and above.

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Gold (XAU) and its tokenized version (XAUT) is implementing a correction from the forecast of August 15

Gold (XAU) and its tokenized version (XAUT) is implementing a correction, the forecast of which we provided on August 15.
BUT we would like to emphasize once again: in our forecast, we were talking about a correction before the continuation of the bounce:
"Although since early August the price has moved into a steady uptrend not only on the daily, but also on the 2- and 3-day timeframes (targets are shown in the screenshots) — on the daily and the 3-day timeframes there are also markers for a potential high. Therefore, the priority is a local correction. Before, as we expect, the next phase of the uptrend continues.

XAU+3.39%

XAUT+3.07%

Alphractal: In the BTC market, leverage is starting to rise again—this week, open interest is increasing along with the price.

The initial #BTC rally happened amid the market being cleaned up of some leverage. BUT now the situation has changed.

Since the beginning of the week, the BTC price has continued to recover, while open interest has started climbing again, reaching at the time of this review about #Alphractal 629 thousand BTC. Participants are beginning to actively open new leveraged positions.

If this process continues, the potential for a sharp move will grow—both due to further inflows of speculative positions and due to future liquidations when the price moves against one of the sides.

Here’s a telling point: on Monday, BIT in its review—based on options data—wrote that the crypto market is expecting a strong move. And it’s unlikely that the rise on August 17–18 can be considered a complete fulfillment of that expectation.

Partly True

Important for the crypto market events on August 19 from the economic calendar.

Today is one of the key days of the week for markets, and the reason is the minutes from the previous FOMC meeting. These are traditionally released three weeks after the meeting. Let’s see whether there are new talking points there.

Plus, another new event has been added—the speech by US President Trump.

In the morning, the inflation block for the UK for July was already released—important due to the role of the British pound in the calculation of the US Dollar Index DXY (better than forecasts)—and the inflation block for the Eurozone for July was also released, important due to the role of the euro in the calculation of DXY (also better than forecasts).

Schedule for the rest of the day:

❗️- 21:00 Kyiv and Moscow time / 23:00 Astana time — Release of the FOMC minutes. Important for assessing the US Federal Reserve’s views on inflation, the labor market, and the further interest-rate path.
❗️- 21:30 Kyiv and Moscow time / 23:30 Astana time — Speech by US President Trump.

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For BTC for the first time since August 17 and at the start of the uptrend—breaking a steady uptrend on the 45-minute timeframe

For BTC for the first time since August 17 and at the start of the uptrend—breaking a steady uptrend on the 45-minute timeframe. However, at the same time, the price is bouncing off liquidity zones, a key horizontal level on the hourly timeframe at $64,166, and markers indicating a potential lower-low on the hourly timeframe.
Trends are more important than markers. And although downtrends still aren’t on the hourly timeframes yet, which would allow us to talk about a full correction of the growth from the past few days, this is still a signal worth paying attention to. There’s another important point: the rise took place in the form of a “Bearish wedge,” and today it was broken to the downside and started being worked off. The full target is in the area of $63,010.

CryptoQuant: BTC entered a time zone where in the past 4 cycles the market bottom was formed.

This is noted by CryptoQuant analyst Jay A. Maartun. A concise post, but the chart says everything that needs to be said.

The chart compares the performance of BTC after the halvings of 2012, 2016, 2020, and 2024.

Historically, the subsequent bear market lows formed approximately 780–950 days after the halving.

And right now, BTC is precisely within this time range.

At the same time, this does not mean the minimum has necessarily already been reached. In previous cycles, this phase lasted more than just one day: the price could continue falling, form repeated lows, and remain near the bottom for quite a while before a new sustained bull market began. That’s why the signal here is about time, not about price.