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欧鹏

趋势交易|公众号:欧鹏说|邀请码77VIP|
Frequent Trader
2.7 Years
9 Following
2.6K+ Followers
4.7K Liked
Posts
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Intel$INTC 's U.S. premarket decline widened to 25.8% ‼️ Intel's Q4 guidance fell far short of expectations, as an explosion at its Israeli factory, weak PC demand, and constrained AI chip supply all came to a head. Earlier this year, its share price surged on strong Q2 results, Q3 guidance that beat expectations, and its partnership with Apple, reaching $132.63 in premarket trading in May. After expanding and pricing its stock offering in August, signs of pressure from capital expenditures and dilution were already emerging. {future}(INTCUSDT)
Intel$INTC 's U.S. premarket decline widened to 25.8% ‼️

Intel's Q4 guidance fell far short of expectations, as an explosion at its Israeli factory, weak PC demand, and constrained AI chip supply all came to a head.

Earlier this year, its share price surged on strong Q2 results, Q3 guidance that beat expectations, and its partnership with Apple, reaching $132.63 in premarket trading in May. After expanding and pricing its stock offering in August, signs of pressure from capital expenditures and dilution were already emerging.
欧鹏
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Intel $INTC plunged 22% after hours, right down to the previous volume gap.

However, the largest INTC long position on the chain has already built a bottom-fishing position of about $7.57 million. Would you dare to buy the dip at this level?
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CZ says Binance may use its stake worth more than $1 billion in Elon Musk's SpaceX $SPCX to cover losses after a major hack.
CZ says Binance may use its stake worth more than $1 billion in Elon Musk's SpaceX $SPCX to cover losses after a major hack.
欧鹏
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Musk also loves watching the drama unfold 😂
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Musk also loves watching the drama unfold 😂
Musk also loves watching the drama unfold 😂
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Overview of exchange theft incidents from 2011 to October 2026:
Overview of exchange theft incidents from 2011 to October 2026:
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$XAU If gold really drops, could it actually fall to $3,400? That's equivalent to about 730 yuan per gram. {future}(XAUUSDT)
$XAU If gold really drops, could it actually fall to $3,400?
That's equivalent to about 730 yuan per gram.
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Partly True
Breaking: South Korea's stock market halted program trading sell orders for 5 minutes after the KOSPI plunged 5.5%. This is the third sidecar mechanism triggered this week. More than 264.3 trillion won ($176 billion) has been wiped off the South Korean stock market. Is it heading into a bear market??? Korea index $EWY SK Hynix $SKHYNIX Samsung $SAMSUNG {future}(SAMSUNGUSDT) {future}(SKHYNIXUSDT) {future}(EWYUSDT)
Breaking: South Korea's stock market halted program trading sell orders for 5 minutes after the KOSPI plunged 5.5%.
This is the third sidecar mechanism triggered this week.
More than 264.3 trillion won ($176 billion) has been wiped off the South Korean stock market. Is it heading into a bear market???
Korea index $EWY SK Hynix $SKHYNIX Samsung $SAMSUNG
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Verified
Intel $INTC plunged 22% after hours, right down to the previous volume gap. However, the largest INTC long position on the chain has already built a bottom-fishing position of about $7.57 million. Would you dare to buy the dip at this level? {future}(INTCUSDT)
Intel $INTC plunged 22% after hours, right down to the previous volume gap.

However, the largest INTC long position on the chain has already built a bottom-fishing position of about $7.57 million. Would you dare to buy the dip at this level?
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Bullish
$ZEC Back above all moving averages again The three biggest dark horses of 2026: ZEC, $HYPE , $TRX All were among the first to start climbing out of the bear market during its lows in the first half of 2026 🚀 {future}(ZECUSDT)
$ZEC Back above all moving averages again
The three biggest dark horses of 2026: ZEC, $HYPE , $TRX
All were among the first to start climbing out of the bear market during its lows in the first half of 2026 🚀
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Bullish
Verified
Google $GOOGL fell sharply again by 10% last night; calculated from the October high of $360, it has already pulled back about 20%; but if calculated from the all-time high of $408, it has already pulled back about 30%‼️ And analysts in the market are still bullish on Google. The current pre-market price is $287, for long-term holders, or people who like and are optimistic about Google, is it time to buy the dip? At the very least, in terms of market cap ranking, it looks that way. You have no reason to refuse the allure of a 30% pullback in the third-ranked U.S. stock. (For personal opinion only)
Google $GOOGL fell sharply again by 10% last night; calculated from the October high of $360, it has already pulled back about 20%; but if calculated from the all-time high of $408, it has already pulled back about 30%‼️
And analysts in the market are still bullish on Google. The current pre-market price is $287,
for long-term holders, or people who like and are optimistic about Google, is it time to buy the dip? At the very least, in terms of market cap ranking, it looks that way. You have no reason to refuse the allure of a 30% pullback in the third-ranked U.S. stock.
(For personal opinion only)
欧鹏
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Bullish
Google $GOOGL reported Q3 revenue and profit both below expectations. Its shares fell about 9%–10% after hours, and traded near $293 overnight. Cloud is still growing rapidly (+103%), but slowing search ad growth and AI capital expenditures turning free cash flow negative have made the market cautious.
The chart shows that the stock has fallen about 18% from its October high. Historically, Google has often stabilized after corrections of nearly 20%, so downside risk appears relatively manageable in the current range, while the upside could be greater once momentum turns.
I’m personally inclined to try a small long position and watch to see whether the stock finds support in the $290–$300 range. If it continues to break below that range, exit promptly. The risk is limited, the upside is substantial, and the risk-reward looks attractive.
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Bullish
I posted on Tuesday that $HYPE had hit key support, but I never expected it to surge like this‼️ It’s bound to break $100 now 🚀🚀 Reason: Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, plans to launch a Hyperliquid-based perpetual futures market in the U.S. After the news broke, HYPE strengthened in the short term, while large on-chain accounts moved in to build positions. HYPE is so strong—every time it reaches a critical point, good news comes along to drive it higher 🚀🚀
I posted on Tuesday that $HYPE had hit key support, but I never expected it to surge like this‼️ It’s bound to break $100 now 🚀🚀
Reason: Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, plans to launch a Hyperliquid-based perpetual futures market in the U.S. After the news broke, HYPE strengthened in the short term, while large on-chain accounts moved in to build positions.
HYPE is so strong—every time it reaches a critical point, good news comes along to drive it higher 🚀🚀
欧鹏
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$HYPE has fallen to key support once again.
Can it rebound again this time? Wait for the short-term moving average to turn upward, then go for it.
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Verified
It’s been a while since I looked at platinum $XPT and palladium $XPD . I opened the daily charts and got quite a shock‼️ These two precious metals, once riding high, have quietly fallen so far. Many people lump them together with gold, assuming all precious metals move in sync. But that’s not true. Gold $XAU is underpinned by its monetary role, continued central-bank buying, and safe-haven demand—it’s a hard asset that protects against credit risk. But palladium and platinum are industrial metals at heart. Palladium in particular: the foundation of its past bull market was its use in catalytic converters for gasoline-powered cars. Electric vehicles don’t need it, and automakers are still replacing palladium with platinum. Supply and demand have shifted from a persistent shortage to a sustained surplus. The long-term demand outlook has been rewritten by electric vehicles. Platinum has a slightly better story, with the market betting on additional demand from hydrogen energy and fuel cells. But a story is just a story—the near-term demand growth is nowhere near enough to make up for the decline in gasoline-powered cars. These two daily charts make it crystal clear: there have been two rebounds, and both times prices hit the moving-average channel and came under pressure. Every rebound has met resistance; no one is willing to step in and support the market. With no central-bank buying to provide a backstop, once industrial demand expectations weaken, there’s no floor to the sell-off. Gold is “money”; platinum and palladium are “industrial raw materials.” They may belong to the same broad category, but they operate under completely different pricing systems. Once the trend reverses, the duration and depth of a bear market can far exceed what people imagine.
It’s been a while since I looked at platinum $XPT and palladium $XPD . I opened the daily charts and got quite a shock‼️
These two precious metals, once riding high, have quietly fallen so far.
Many people lump them together with gold, assuming all precious metals move in sync. But that’s not true.
Gold $XAU is underpinned by its monetary role, continued central-bank buying, and safe-haven demand—it’s a hard asset that protects against credit risk. But palladium and platinum are industrial metals at heart.

Palladium in particular: the foundation of its past bull market was its use in catalytic converters for gasoline-powered cars. Electric vehicles don’t need it, and automakers are still replacing palladium with platinum. Supply and demand have shifted from a persistent shortage to a sustained surplus. The long-term demand outlook has been rewritten by electric vehicles.

Platinum has a slightly better story, with the market betting on additional demand from hydrogen energy and fuel cells. But a story is just a story—the near-term demand growth is nowhere near enough to make up for the decline in gasoline-powered cars.

These two daily charts make it crystal clear: there have been two rebounds, and both times prices hit the moving-average channel and came under pressure. Every rebound has met resistance; no one is willing to step in and support the market. With no central-bank buying to provide a backstop, once industrial demand expectations weaken, there’s no floor to the sell-off.

Gold is “money”; platinum and palladium are “industrial raw materials.” They may belong to the same broad category, but they operate under completely different pricing systems. Once the trend reverses, the duration and depth of a bear market can far exceed what people imagine.
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$BTC and $ETH have completely erased their gains over the past 24 hours. The reason is that Google $GOOGL fell 10% in premarket trading, dragging both cryptocurrencies and stock indices lower.
$BTC and $ETH have completely erased their gains over the past 24 hours.
The reason is that Google $GOOGL fell 10% in premarket trading, dragging both cryptocurrencies and stock indices lower.
欧鹏
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Bullish
Google $GOOGL reported Q3 revenue and profit both below expectations. Its shares fell about 9%–10% after hours, and traded near $293 overnight. Cloud is still growing rapidly (+103%), but slowing search ad growth and AI capital expenditures turning free cash flow negative have made the market cautious.
The chart shows that the stock has fallen about 18% from its October high. Historically, Google has often stabilized after corrections of nearly 20%, so downside risk appears relatively manageable in the current range, while the upside could be greater once momentum turns.
I’m personally inclined to try a small long position and watch to see whether the stock finds support in the $290–$300 range. If it continues to break below that range, exit promptly. The risk is limited, the upside is substantial, and the risk-reward looks attractive.
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“If you can’t stomach a 50% decline, you don’t deserve to earn outsized returns.” — Charlie Munger. How often the market really scares you: • 5% decline: every few months • 10% correction: about once a year • 15% pullback: once every two years • 20% bear market: once every five to seven years • 30%+ crash: once every ten or twenty years • 50%+ crash: once or twice in an investing career Corrections are the price of participating in the market. They show up roughly on the schedule above, and you can’t skip them. Great investors ride them out. They’ve already decided to do so before the market gets scary.
“If you can’t stomach a 50% decline, you don’t deserve to earn outsized returns.” — Charlie Munger.

How often the market really scares you:
• 5% decline: every few months
• 10% correction: about once a year
• 15% pullback: once every two years
• 20% bear market: once every five to seven years
• 30%+ crash: once every ten or twenty years
• 50%+ crash: once or twice in an investing career

Corrections are the price of participating in the market. They show up roughly on the schedule above, and you can’t skip them.
Great investors ride them out. They’ve already decided to do so before the market gets scary.
欧鹏
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Bullish
Google $GOOGL reported Q3 revenue and profit both below expectations. Its shares fell about 9%–10% after hours, and traded near $293 overnight. Cloud is still growing rapidly (+103%), but slowing search ad growth and AI capital expenditures turning free cash flow negative have made the market cautious.
The chart shows that the stock has fallen about 18% from its October high. Historically, Google has often stabilized after corrections of nearly 20%, so downside risk appears relatively manageable in the current range, while the upside could be greater once momentum turns.
I’m personally inclined to try a small long position and watch to see whether the stock finds support in the $290–$300 range. If it continues to break below that range, exit promptly. The risk is limited, the upside is substantial, and the risk-reward looks attractive.
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Bullish
Verified
Google $GOOGL reported Q3 revenue and profit both below expectations. Its shares fell about 9%–10% after hours, and traded near $293 overnight. Cloud is still growing rapidly (+103%), but slowing search ad growth and AI capital expenditures turning free cash flow negative have made the market cautious. The chart shows that the stock has fallen about 18% from its October high. Historically, Google has often stabilized after corrections of nearly 20%, so downside risk appears relatively manageable in the current range, while the upside could be greater once momentum turns. I’m personally inclined to try a small long position and watch to see whether the stock finds support in the $290–$300 range. If it continues to break below that range, exit promptly. The risk is limited, the upside is substantial, and the risk-reward looks attractive. {future}(GOOGLUSDT)
Google $GOOGL reported Q3 revenue and profit both below expectations. Its shares fell about 9%–10% after hours, and traded near $293 overnight. Cloud is still growing rapidly (+103%), but slowing search ad growth and AI capital expenditures turning free cash flow negative have made the market cautious.
The chart shows that the stock has fallen about 18% from its October high. Historically, Google has often stabilized after corrections of nearly 20%, so downside risk appears relatively manageable in the current range, while the upside could be greater once momentum turns.
I’m personally inclined to try a small long position and watch to see whether the stock finds support in the $290–$300 range. If it continues to break below that range, exit promptly. The risk is limited, the upside is substantial, and the risk-reward looks attractive.
欧鹏
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Bearish
Brent crude oil $BZ has been moving sideways around 110 for several days, unable to break higher, and the price has started to slowly pull back. Meanwhile, the daily chart has flashed a TD13 overbought signal, and short-term momentum has clearly faded.
Structurally, the failure to move higher at these levels, combined with the overbought signal, points to mounting correction pressure. I’m personally leaning bearish in the short term, and with a very tight stop-loss and plenty of upside potential on a short position, the risk-reward still looks pretty good.
The price is now at $110—let’s leave a 👣 and check back at year-end~
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Bearish
Partly True
Brent crude oil $BZ has been moving sideways around 110 for several days, unable to break higher, and the price has started to slowly pull back. Meanwhile, the daily chart has flashed a TD13 overbought signal, and short-term momentum has clearly faded. Structurally, the failure to move higher at these levels, combined with the overbought signal, points to mounting correction pressure. I’m personally leaning bearish in the short term, and with a very tight stop-loss and plenty of upside potential on a short position, the risk-reward still looks pretty good. The price is now at $110—let’s leave a 👣 and check back at year-end~ {future}(BZUSDT)
Brent crude oil $BZ has been moving sideways around 110 for several days, unable to break higher, and the price has started to slowly pull back. Meanwhile, the daily chart has flashed a TD13 overbought signal, and short-term momentum has clearly faded.
Structurally, the failure to move higher at these levels, combined with the overbought signal, points to mounting correction pressure. I’m personally leaning bearish in the short term, and with a very tight stop-loss and plenty of upside potential on a short position, the risk-reward still looks pretty good.
The price is now at $110—let’s leave a 👣 and check back at year-end~
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🚨 Reminder: U.S. PCE inflation data will be released at 20:30 Beijing time! Previous: 3.4% Forecast: 3.6% PCE below forecast → markets rise sharply PCE above forecast → markets fall sharply PCE in line with forecast → limited market movement Expect significant volatility! Additional note: PCE is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure and directly affects expectations for interest rate cuts.
🚨 Reminder: U.S. PCE inflation data will be released at 20:30 Beijing time!
Previous: 3.4%
Forecast: 3.6%
PCE below forecast → markets rise sharply
PCE above forecast → markets fall sharply
PCE in line with forecast → limited market movement

Expect significant volatility!
Additional note: PCE is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure and directly affects expectations for interest rate cuts.
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Here’s how $BTC performed after previous Fed meetings: 🟢 April 29: +11% rebound 🔴 June 17: −13% decline 🟢 July 29: +31% rebound 🟢 September 16: +16% rebound What about this time???
Here’s how $BTC performed after previous Fed meetings:
🟢 April 29: +11% rebound
🔴 June 17: −13% decline
🟢 July 29: +31% rebound
🟢 September 16: +16% rebound

What about this time???
欧鹏
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Ripple$XRP partnered with Coinbase $COIN to expand the use of its $RLUSD crypto stablecoin in trading, payments, and institutional finance.
These two are really underperforming. Let’s wait for the FOMC decision in four hours. The current probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in October is as high as 90.6%—bullish 🚀🚀

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Breaking: MSTR shareholders have formally approved the daily dividend amendment. This could attract more investors, boost its ability to raise capital, and help fund additional Bitcoin purchases. $MSTR Bullish 🚀 {future}(MSTRUSDT)
Breaking: MSTR shareholders have formally approved the daily dividend amendment.
This could attract more investors, boost its ability to raise capital, and help fund additional Bitcoin purchases.
$MSTR Bullish 🚀
欧鹏
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Bullish
$MSTR edged up slightly in premarket to around 140. According to my trading system, once the price moves back above all the moving averages, they’ll fan out bullishly again, opening up room to move higher.
The chip distribution points to the same conclusion: the last dense chip zone above the current price is the main resistance. If the price breaks through it decisively, chips are relatively sparse above, so the price could surge higher quickly.
MSTR and $BTC are both at key levels. Holding above the moving averages and breaking through the dense chip zone would be the confirmation signals 🚀🚀


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Ripple$XRP partnered with Coinbase $COIN to expand the use of its $RLUSD crypto stablecoin in trading, payments, and institutional finance. These two are really underperforming. Let’s wait for the FOMC decision in four hours. The current probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in October is as high as 90.6%—bullish 🚀🚀 {future}(XRPUSDT) {future}(COINUSDT)
Ripple$XRP partnered with Coinbase $COIN to expand the use of its $RLUSD crypto stablecoin in trading, payments, and institutional finance.
These two are really underperforming. Let’s wait for the FOMC decision in four hours. The current probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in October is as high as 90.6%—bullish 🚀🚀
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