Mudassar Ameen
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Mudassar Ameen
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Bitcoin Is Stuck at $82K, But Institutions Just Made a $1 Billion Statement
Bitcoin tested $84,800 on Wednesday, then slipped back to around $82,800. It looks like a stalemate, but the ETF data tells a different story.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in over $1 billion in just three days. October 21 alone brought in $528 million, the biggest daily inflow in a month, after a rough stretch of outflows earlier in October.
What changed? The Fed outlook. A month ago, traders priced a 57.6% chance of a hike on October 28. Today, CME data shows an 84.5% chance of a hold.
It's not a clear runway yet. Inflation is at 3.7%, the 10-year Treasury yield is above 5%, and a hike in December is still on the table.
Levels to watch:
Support: $82,500, then the 50-day average near $81,700
Resistance: $84,800. A daily close above $85,000 would be a strong signal.
Wild card: Reported Tesla-SpaceX merger talks would put about 30,000 BTC (roughly $2.5 billion) on a single balance sheet.
Are institutions front-running a Fed pause, or getting ahead of themselves?
Educational content, not financial advice. Do your own research.
#BitcoinETFs #Fed #ETF #Crypto
Bitcoin Is Stuck at $82K, But Institutions Just Made a $1 Billion Statement
Bitcoin tested $84,800 on Wednesday, then slipped back to around $82,800. It looks like a stalemate, but the ETF data tells a different story.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in over $1 billion in just three days. October 21 alone brought in $528 million, the biggest daily inflow in a month, after a rough stretch of outflows earlier in October.
What changed? The Fed outlook. A month ago, traders priced a 57.6% chance of a hike on October 28. Today, CME data shows an 84.5% chance of a hold.
It's not a clear runway yet. Inflation is at 3.7%, the 10-year Treasury yield is above 5%, and a hike in December is still on the table.
Levels to watch:
Support: $82,500, then the 50-day average near $81,700
Resistance: $84,800. A daily close above $85,000 would be a strong signal.
Wild card: Reported Tesla-SpaceX merger talks would put about 30,000 BTC (roughly $2.5 billion) on a single balance sheet.
Are institutions front-running a Fed pause, or getting ahead of themselves?
Educational content, not financial advice. Do your own research.
#BitcoinETFs #Fed #ETF #Crypto
Bitcoin tested $84,800 on Wednesday, then slipped back to around $82,800. It looks like a stalemate, but the ETF data tells a different story.
US spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in over $1 billion in just three days. October 21 alone brought in $528 million, the biggest daily inflow in a month, after a rough stretch of outflows earlier in October.
What changed? The Fed outlook. A month ago, traders priced a 57.6% chance of a hike on October 28. Today, CME data shows an 84.5% chance of a hold.
It's not a clear runway yet. Inflation is at 3.7%, the 10-year Treasury yield is above 5%, and a hike in December is still on the table.
Levels to watch:
Support: $82,500, then the 50-day average near $81,700
Resistance: $84,800. A daily close above $85,000 would be a strong signal.
Wild card: Reported Tesla-SpaceX merger talks would put about 30,000 BTC (roughly $2.5 billion) on a single balance sheet.
Are institutions front-running a Fed pause, or getting ahead of themselves?
Educational content, not financial advice. Do your own research.
#BitcoinETFs #Fed #ETF #Crypto
115
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BTC Next Move ExpectedBitcoin's Next Move Hinges on One Date: The Fed's October 28 Decision
Bitcoin opened October near $87,000, just shy of its September high. Then, on October 14, one data release changed the mood.
US inflation for September came in at 3.7%, against a forecast of 3.6%. Core inflation also beat expectations. Within minutes, Bitcoin slid from about $83,800 to $82,800, and over $220 million in positions were liquidated in a single day.
The Fed already raised rates in September to 3.75%-4.00%. Now the question is whether it will hike again on October 28. After the inflation print, hike odds jumped to roughly 50%, while some banks still expect a hold.
Here's the twist: September's PCE inflation data, the Fed's preferred gauge, won't be released until October 29, one day after the decision. The Fed has to decide without it.
Levels traders are watching:
Support: $81,300, then $80,365
Resistance: $84,245, then $87,422
Meanwhile, institutions are still buying. US spot Bitcoin ETFs took in $2.65 billion in net inflows in September.
So the question is: will "Uptober" survive the Fed?
This is educational content, not financial advice. Do your own research.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Fed #CPI #Crypto
BTC Next Move Expected
Bitcoin's Next Move Hinges on One Date: The Fed's October 28 Decision
Bitcoin opened October near $87,000, just shy of its September high. Then, on October 14, one data release changed the mood.
US inflation for September came in at 3.7%, against a forecast of 3.6%. Core inflation also beat expectations. Within minutes, Bitcoin slid from about $83,800 to $82,800, and over $220 million in positions were liquidated in a single day.
The Fed already raised rates in September to 3.75%-4.00%. Now the question is whether it will hike again on October 28. After the inflation print, hike odds jumped to roughly 50%, while some banks still expect a hold.
Here's the twist: September's PCE inflation data, the Fed's preferred gauge, won't be released until October 29, one day after the decision. The Fed has to decide without it.
Levels traders are watching:
Support: $81,300, then $80,365
Resistance: $84,245, then $87,422
Meanwhile, institutions are still buying. US spot Bitcoin ETFs took in $2.65 billion in net inflows in September.
So the question is: will "Uptober" survive the Fed?
This is educational content, not financial advice. Do your own research.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Fed #CPI #Crypto
Bitcoin opened October near $87,000, just shy of its September high. Then, on October 14, one data release changed the mood.
US inflation for September came in at 3.7%, against a forecast of 3.6%. Core inflation also beat expectations. Within minutes, Bitcoin slid from about $83,800 to $82,800, and over $220 million in positions were liquidated in a single day.
The Fed already raised rates in September to 3.75%-4.00%. Now the question is whether it will hike again on October 28. After the inflation print, hike odds jumped to roughly 50%, while some banks still expect a hold.
Here's the twist: September's PCE inflation data, the Fed's preferred gauge, won't be released until October 29, one day after the decision. The Fed has to decide without it.
Levels traders are watching:
Support: $81,300, then $80,365
Resistance: $84,245, then $87,422
Meanwhile, institutions are still buying. US spot Bitcoin ETFs took in $2.65 billion in net inflows in September.
So the question is: will "Uptober" survive the Fed?
This is educational content, not financial advice. Do your own research.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Fed #CPI #Crypto
65
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Bitcoin's Next Move Hinges on One Date: The Fed's October 28 Decision
Bitcoin opened October near $87,000, just shy of its September high. Then, on October 14, one data release changed the mood.
US inflation for September came in at 3.7%, against a forecast of 3.6%. Core inflation also beat expectations. Within minutes, Bitcoin slid from about $83,800 to $82,800, and over $220 million in positions were liquidated in a single day.
The Fed already raised rates in September to 3.75%-4.00%. Now the question is whether it will hike again on October 28. After the inflation print, hike odds jumped to roughly 50%, while some banks still expect a hold.
Here's the twist: September's PCE inflation data, the Fed's preferred gauge, won't be released until October 29, one day after the decision. The Fed has to decide without it.
Levels traders are watching:
Support: $81,300, then $80,365
Resistance: $84,245, then $87,422
Meanwhile, institutions are still buying. US spot Bitcoin ETFs took in $2.65 billion in net inflows in September.
So the question is: will "Uptober" survive the Fed?
This is educational content, not financial advice. Do your own research.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Fed #CPI #Crypto $BTC
Bitcoin's Next Move Hinges on One Date: The Fed's October 28 Decision
Bitcoin opened October near $87,000, just shy of its September high. Then, on October 14, one data release changed the mood.
US inflation for September came in at 3.7%, against a forecast of 3.6%. Core inflation also beat expectations. Within minutes, Bitcoin slid from about $83,800 to $82,800, and over $220 million in positions were liquidated in a single day.
The Fed already raised rates in September to 3.75%-4.00%. Now the question is whether it will hike again on October 28. After the inflation print, hike odds jumped to roughly 50%, while some banks still expect a hold.
Here's the twist: September's PCE inflation data, the Fed's preferred gauge, won't be released until October 29, one day after the decision. The Fed has to decide without it.
Levels traders are watching:
Support: $81,300, then $80,365
Resistance: $84,245, then $87,422
Meanwhile, institutions are still buying. US spot Bitcoin ETFs took in $2.65 billion in net inflows in September.
So the question is: will "Uptober" survive the Fed?
This is educational content, not financial advice. Do your own research.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Fed #CPI #Crypto $BTC
Bitcoin opened October near $87,000, just shy of its September high. Then, on October 14, one data release changed the mood.
US inflation for September came in at 3.7%, against a forecast of 3.6%. Core inflation also beat expectations. Within minutes, Bitcoin slid from about $83,800 to $82,800, and over $220 million in positions were liquidated in a single day.
The Fed already raised rates in September to 3.75%-4.00%. Now the question is whether it will hike again on October 28. After the inflation print, hike odds jumped to roughly 50%, while some banks still expect a hold.
Here's the twist: September's PCE inflation data, the Fed's preferred gauge, won't be released until October 29, one day after the decision. The Fed has to decide without it.
Levels traders are watching:
Support: $81,300, then $80,365
Resistance: $84,245, then $87,422
Meanwhile, institutions are still buying. US spot Bitcoin ETFs took in $2.65 billion in net inflows in September.
So the question is: will "Uptober" survive the Fed?
This is educational content, not financial advice. Do your own research.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Fed #CPI #Crypto $BTC
70
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Aaj Kal (25-26 August) Ke Actual Reasons
1. Iran Sanctions (Which We Discussed Earlier)
<cite index="7-1">The U.S. Treasury has expanded sanctions targeting Iran’s digital asset sector. This geopolitical tension is pushing the market into a risk-off mode.
2. Tariffs And Whale Selling
<cite index="13-1">The drop on (26 August), gold ETF inflows, a large whale sale, and the “dust attack” on Kraken are the reasons.
3. Kraken Dust Attack (New Development)
<cite index="13-1">According to Bloomberg, between 17 and 24 August, about ~12,000 small transfers reached Kraken-linked addresses—mostly just a few cents. Kraken said this was a “dust attack” coming from HTX-linked wallets, an attempt to undermine compliance checks. This increased uncertainty even in an already nervous market.
4. Bigger Picture: The Whole Year Has Been Weak
<cite index="14-1">This year, the overall trend in the crypto market has been downward—Bitcoin kept losing the $90,000, $80,000, and $70,000 levels in January–February, until it started approaching around $60,000. <cite index="14-1">From the peak of $4.2 trillion, the market has seen an outflow of about $2 trillion—48% cumulative decline.
Three major underlying reasons: <cite index="14-1">The U.S.–Iran conflict, the Federal Reserve’s policies, and Strategy (MicroStrategy) selling Bitcoin for the first time—these three are interconnected.
Now the question: Why isn’t there a correction even after 24 hours?
The simple reason: This isn’t a “one-day event”—it’s multiple, layered, ongoing problems that have been building for months. Some technical/fundamental reasons why there hasn’t been an immediate bounce despite RSI reaching extreme oversold levels:
Negative news keeps coming in—so long as the news flow remains negative (Iran, dust attack, tariffs), even technical oversold signals get overridden. RSI only shows the “pace” of price, but if fundamental pressure continues, price can remain below even low RSI levels.
Aaj Kal (25-26 August) Ke Actual Reasons
1. Iran Sanctions (Which We Discussed Earlier)
<cite index="7-1">The U.S. Treasury has expanded sanctions targeting Iran’s digital asset sector. This geopolitical tension is pushing the market into a risk-off mode.
2. Tariffs And Whale Selling
<cite index="13-1">The drop on (26 August), gold ETF inflows, a large whale sale, and the “dust attack” on Kraken are the reasons.
3. Kraken Dust Attack (New Development)
<cite index="13-1">According to Bloomberg, between 17 and 24 August, about ~12,000 small transfers reached Kraken-linked addresses—mostly just a few cents. Kraken said this was a “dust attack” coming from HTX-linked wallets, an attempt to undermine compliance checks. This increased uncertainty even in an already nervous market.
4. Bigger Picture: The Whole Year Has Been Weak
<cite index="14-1">This year, the overall trend in the crypto market has been downward—Bitcoin kept losing the $90,000, $80,000, and $70,000 levels in January–February, until it started approaching around $60,000. <cite index="14-1">From the peak of $4.2 trillion, the market has seen an outflow of about $2 trillion—48% cumulative decline.
Three major underlying reasons: <cite index="14-1">The U.S.–Iran conflict, the Federal Reserve’s policies, and Strategy (MicroStrategy) selling Bitcoin for the first time—these three are interconnected.
Now the question: Why isn’t there a correction even after 24 hours?
The simple reason: This isn’t a “one-day event”—it’s multiple, layered, ongoing problems that have been building for months. Some technical/fundamental reasons why there hasn’t been an immediate bounce despite RSI reaching extreme oversold levels:
Negative news keeps coming in—so long as the news flow remains negative (Iran, dust attack, tariffs), even technical oversold signals get overridden. RSI only shows the “pace” of price, but if fundamental pressure continues, price can remain below even low RSI levels.
1. Iran Sanctions (Which We Discussed Earlier)
<cite index="7-1">The U.S. Treasury has expanded sanctions targeting Iran’s digital asset sector. This geopolitical tension is pushing the market into a risk-off mode.
2. Tariffs And Whale Selling
<cite index="13-1">The drop on (26 August), gold ETF inflows, a large whale sale, and the “dust attack” on Kraken are the reasons.
3. Kraken Dust Attack (New Development)
<cite index="13-1">According to Bloomberg, between 17 and 24 August, about ~12,000 small transfers reached Kraken-linked addresses—mostly just a few cents. Kraken said this was a “dust attack” coming from HTX-linked wallets, an attempt to undermine compliance checks. This increased uncertainty even in an already nervous market.
4. Bigger Picture: The Whole Year Has Been Weak
<cite index="14-1">This year, the overall trend in the crypto market has been downward—Bitcoin kept losing the $90,000, $80,000, and $70,000 levels in January–February, until it started approaching around $60,000. <cite index="14-1">From the peak of $4.2 trillion, the market has seen an outflow of about $2 trillion—48% cumulative decline.
Three major underlying reasons: <cite index="14-1">The U.S.–Iran conflict, the Federal Reserve’s policies, and Strategy (MicroStrategy) selling Bitcoin for the first time—these three are interconnected.
Now the question: Why isn’t there a correction even after 24 hours?
The simple reason: This isn’t a “one-day event”—it’s multiple, layered, ongoing problems that have been building for months. Some technical/fundamental reasons why there hasn’t been an immediate bounce despite RSI reaching extreme oversold levels:
Negative news keeps coming in—so long as the news flow remains negative (Iran, dust attack, tariffs), even technical oversold signals get overridden. RSI only shows the “pace” of price, but if fundamental pressure continues, price can remain below even low RSI levels.
58
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BREAKING: 🇯🇵 Japan plans to settle stock and government bond trades through blockchain within seconds.
This is MASSIVE! $BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
BREAKING: 🇯🇵 Japan plans to settle stock and government bond trades through blockchain within seconds.
This is MASSIVE! $BTC
This is MASSIVE! $BTC
63
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🚨 BREAKING: 𝕏 IS COMING FOR CRYPTO
𝕏 is reportedly preparing to add Buy & Sell buttons for crypto.
That could put crypto trading directly in front of 600M+ users.
Bull Market is here,
HODL 🚀
🚨 BREAKING: 𝕏 IS COMING FOR CRYPTO
𝕏 is reportedly preparing to add Buy & Sell buttons for crypto.
That could put crypto trading directly in front of 600M+ users.
Bull Market is here,
HODL 🚀
𝕏 is reportedly preparing to add Buy & Sell buttons for crypto.
That could put crypto trading directly in front of 600M+ users.
Bull Market is here,
HODL 🚀
69
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JUST IN: BlackRock clients buy $90.92 million worth of $ETH
JUST IN: BlackRock clients buy $90.92 million worth of $ETH
37
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