Trump, the White House, and the SEC—these continuous moves give the impression that they’re extremely rushed, very impatient, especially Trump’s approach. Is it because he knows in his heart that time is tight, and that the bill this year is very likely to keep being delayed until tomorrow? Didn’t people say the bottom could be possible only in 10–12 months? Why did the rally start in August? Could it be that August is the bottom? The fact is, it’s not that simple. The reasons why we can’t be sure the market bottoms in August are: (1) CLARITY is still stuck in the Senate; the outcome in September is uncertain, and it may become even more politicized after the midterm elections. Delays in full regulatory clarity will keep some institutions on the sidelines. (2) While prices have rebounded, things like trading volume, ETF fund flows, and on-chain behavior by long-term holders have not yet formed the typical “bottom confirmation” signals (for example, a strong reversal following full capitulation). Historically, market bottoms are often accompanied by deeper drawdowns or longer periods of consolidation. So, August itself is very likely just a short-term low point or the starting point of a rebound—not the final cycle bottom. $BTC $ETH
Just got to know that CreatorPad on Binance Square has launched another new campaign—this time it’s for DUSK. The prize pool is 480,000 DUSK + an additional 40,000 USDC for the live stream. I jumped in right when the event started on the 13th. Today is day 10—let me talk about my real feelings.
First, the price. When I participated, DUSK was around just over $0.06. Over the past two days, it even reached as high as $0.088. But I didn’t sell! 😭 At the time I thought since the CreatorPad campaign had only just started, the momentum would definitely surge again. Turns out today it dropped quite a bit. A classic case of “profit on knowledge, lose it from the pocket.” I’ve played out this script eight hundred times and still don’t learn. Next time, remember to sell at the right moment for sure profit. $DUSK #dusk @Dusk
A shocking big scoop: this project’s on-chain earnings in 24 hours are only a few dusk tokens— is that true? 🤑 In any case, the official Dusk team has not published the project’s total on-chain revenue in any public setting. The project-side account @Dusk claims that every duskEVM transaction uses $DUSK as gas-fee income. So it depends on whether the ecosystem’s “explosion” is comprehensive and whether the user base is high. But the real data won’t be disclosed by the official—because the project positions itself around a privacy-focused track, so you can’t judge their strength just by what you can see on the surface! Ultimately, it still comes down to whether the token price is high and whether it stays stable. #dusk
Trump, the White House, and the SEC—these continuous moves give the impression that they’re extremely rushed, very impatient, especially Trump’s approach. Is it because he knows in his heart that time is tight, and that the bill this year is very likely to keep being delayed until tomorrow? Didn’t people say the bottom could be possible only in 10–12 months? Why did the rally start in August? Could it be that August is the bottom? The fact is, it’s not that simple. The reasons why we can’t be sure the market bottoms in August are: (1) CLARITY is still stuck in the Senate; the outcome in September is uncertain, and it may become even more politicized after the midterm elections. Delays in full regulatory clarity will keep some institutions on the sidelines. (2) While prices have rebounded, things like trading volume, ETF fund flows, and on-chain behavior by long-term holders have not yet formed the typical “bottom confirmation” signals (for example, a strong reversal following full capitulation). Historically, market bottoms are often accompanied by deeper drawdowns or longer periods of consolidation. So, August itself is very likely just a short-term low point or the starting point of a rebound—not the final cycle bottom. $BTC
#dusk $DUSK Can compliant finance really be brought on-chain? They say that for eight years, the project has focused on privacy + regulation operating in parallel. They say that too—and I’m not sure if the project has existed for that long. Let’s be practical and not just brag. Now let’s see what’s noteworthy: ①@Dusk lets Ethereum developers deploy privacy applications easily using familiar Solidity; ②Hedger enables amount confidentiality while still being auditable; ③Dusk Trade is about to launch—an all-in-one platform for trading tokenized stocks, bonds, funds, and other RWA. The last point—so they say—is that Dusk is applying for a European ECSP license, claiming to connect millions of SMEs with investors, bringing real-world assets, users, and revenue into the ecosystem. Each transaction consumes $DUSK . Staking helps secure the network. In the future, there may also be buyback-and-burn or dividends enabled through product revenue. Please note: applying is one thing; whether it’s approved is another. So we still have to see how the official team actually handles things—hopefully it won’t be hype every day!
#dusk $DUSK Dusk’s strategy is to let you use the most familiar tools (Solidity) to build the most imaginative financial applications (privacy-preserving RWA and DeFi). As the official statement puts it, this is to help developers “enter confidential work processes along a familiar development path.” This way, people who care about privacy can experience the product better, thereby retaining this loyal user base!@Dusk I have to say, the official has played a beautiful hand here.
The political stances in parliamentary clashes can also affect how long it takes for a bill to pass, as well as the older brother’s bottom
我爱听八卦
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Some data references about this Bitcoin halving, for roughly judging the timing of the bottom
The next Bitcoin halving is expected in mid-April 2028 (around April 13–19, block height 1,050,000), when the block reward will drop from 3.125 BTC to 1.5625 BTC. The key timing规律 of historical cycles (as of August 2026 data) are shown in the figure below. Current position (August 2026): in the bearish phase of the 2024 cycle; if historical timing patterns hold, a bottom may be completed around late 2026, followed by a long accumulation period until the acceleration after the 2028 halving. Sources of uncertainty: macro interest rates, regulation, geopolitics, changes in hash rate, and black swan events may all shift the timeline earlier or later by several months. Variations in block production speed may also move the 2028 halving date by within a few weeks (± a few weeks).
Some data references about this Bitcoin halving, for roughly judging the timing of the bottom
The next Bitcoin halving is expected in mid-April 2028 (around April 13–19, block height 1,050,000), when the block reward will drop from 3.125 BTC to 1.5625 BTC. The key timing规律 of historical cycles (as of August 2026 data) are shown in the figure below. Current position (August 2026): in the bearish phase of the 2024 cycle; if historical timing patterns hold, a bottom may be completed around late 2026, followed by a long accumulation period until the acceleration after the 2028 halving. Sources of uncertainty: macro interest rates, regulation, geopolitics, changes in hash rate, and black swan events may all shift the timeline earlier or later by several months. Variations in block production speed may also move the 2028 halving date by within a few weeks (± a few weeks).
#dusk $DUSK Dusk is an RWA infrastructure project that combines privacy with compliance. I’ve been following the progress of @Dusk . As a Layer 1 focused on privacy protection, Dusk enables confidential smart contracts through PLONK zero-knowledge proofs, providing programmability, auditability, and strict data confidentiality for tokenized financial applications. After Dusk’s EVM mainnet goes live this year. As long as you know how to use Solidity, regardless of your background, you can now directly build financial applications with privacy features on Dusk. For example, they use it to build financial applications with confidential attributes. Another point is that the DuskTrade platform has officially launched, jointly going live with the Dutch licensed institution NPEX for an RWA securities product with a scale of €300 million; In addition, OpenDusk governance voting has already started, allowing token holders to truly participate in protocol decision-making and treasury management. These points are all real references for attracting users and capital—when institutional funds accelerate into the RWA track, Dusk has found a balance between privacy protection and compliance regulation. Perhaps this is exactly the entry point for traditional finance to move to the blockchain at large scale. Let’s keep an eye on the ecosystem evolution of $DUSK . Feel what it’s like to put everything on-chain 😂
$BTC analysts are all pretty much on the same level, just like the street-stall fraudsters who read fortunes and do “analysis”—it’s always a mix of bullish and bearish. The moment the form doesn’t look right, they immediately flip their tune by simply moving their mouths. If she were truly that capable, she wouldn’t be looking to get you to make money; she would only make money for herself. Bringing you out to “analyze” means that this money isn’t something she can earn easily on her own—at the very least, what she earns from your commission by having you follow along is more stable than what she could earn by trading herself.
Daily/continuous fantasizing bill passes, a bull market begins? If you don’t drop, how can others buy the dip? If you don’t have enough shares, how can they get it passed for you?
Rewards less than 1u? You tell me to come with you? Is it machine No. 1 or is it being used by the person themselves—where exactly is the use in violation of the rules?
Based on the data: In Brazil’s past five matches, three have seen total goals of ≤2, and in Colombia’s past five matches, four have produced low-scoring results. Their historical head-to-head meetings have also often been closely contested—of their last three encounters, two saw total goals of no more than two. But don’t forget: Brazil has Vinícius, Rodrygo, and Colombia has James Rodríguez and Luis Díaz. Any flash of brilliance could instantly change the score. In the #BinancePickAndWin event, you need to weigh like a manager: do you trust defensive discipline or a sudden spark from a superstar? My view: first look at under 2.5 goals, but the chance of a draw is fairly high—1-1 or 0-0 is worth paying attention to.
#BinancePickAndWin In the brilliant challenge, you can also act like a football manager—using your insight to pick the winners. For example: the host Germany team has a powerful home-court presence, but can its young back line withstand France’s counterattacks? Belgium’s golden generation is gradually aging, but De Bruyne’s passing remains lethal. And then there’s the dark horse: Croatia—highly experienced, yet their fitness may be questionable.
#BinancePickAndWin In the exciting moments, you can also act like a football manager—using your insight to pick the winners. For example: the host nation, Germany, has a powerful home advantage, but can their young back line hold off France’s counterattacks? Belgium’s golden generation is gradually aging, but De Bruyne’s passing remains lethal. And there’s the dark horse, Croatia—experienced, yet their fitness could be in question.
$BTW The on-chain address just skyrocketed from nine thousand to over forty thousand! It's nine times out of ten a pump followed by a long, slow bleed to zero!
From the data: In Brazil’s last 5 matches, 3 have had total goals of 2 or fewer. In Colombia’s last 5, 4 have produced low-scoring results. The two teams’ past head-to-heads have also been often tight: in their last 3 meetings, 2 had total goals of no more than 2. But don’t forget—Brazil has Vinícius and Rodrygo, while Colombia has J. R. and Luis Díaz. Any moment of brilliance could instantly change the score. In the #BinancePickAndWin event, you need to weigh like a manager: should you trust defensive discipline, or do you expect a superstar moment to break through? My view is: first look at under 2.5 goals, but the chances of a draw are not low—1-1 or 0-0 are worth paying attention to.
#BinancePickAndWin In the spotlight, you can also act like a football manager—using your insight to pick the winners. For example: the host nation, Germany, has a powerful home-court presence, but can their young defense hold up against France’s counterattacks? Belgium’s golden generation is gradually aging, yet De Bruyne’s passing remains deadly. And then there’s the dark horse, Croatia—experienced, but with doubts about their stamina.
From the data: In Brazil’s past 5 matches, 3 have finished with total goals ≤ 2, while Colombia’s last 5 have seen 4 games producing low-scoring results. Their head-to-head history has also often been tightly contested: in their most recent 3 meetings, 2 ended with total goals not exceeding 2. But don’t forget—Brazil has Vinícius and Rodrygo, and Colombia has James Rodríguez and Luis Díaz. Any moment of brilliance could instantly change the score. In the activity #BinancePickAndWin , you need to weigh like a manager: should you trust defensive discipline, or the sudden spark of a star? My view is: first look at under 2.5 goals, but the likelihood of a draw is far from low—1-1 or 0-0 are worth paying attention to
#BinancePickAndWin In the brilliance of it, you too can act like a football manager—using your insight to pick the winners. For example: the host Germany team has a powerful home advantage, but can their young back line hold off France’s counterattacks? Belgium’s golden generation is gradually aging, but De Bruyne’s passing is still lethal. And then there’s dark horse Croatia—experienced, but with doubts about their stamina.
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