The bull market for Bitcoin has ended, and we have now entered a bear market.
The peak of this bull market occurred on 2025/10/06, with the price of Bitcoin at 126,000. I also do not wish to speak negatively about my career, but according to the "four-year cycle theory," the price of Bitcoin has indeed peaked. I just want to convey this fact to more newcomers who have entered this cycle.
In my opinion, the "Bitcoin halving" has the greatest impact on the price of Bitcoin; it is much larger than any other event (macroeconomics, regulatory policies, geopolitical issues, wars, pandemics, etc.). The four-year cycle theory is a cyclical theory that revolves around Bitcoin halving, and it is currently the most reliable cyclical theory in the cryptocurrency space, without exception.
The core of the four-year cycle theory is: "Bitcoin halving" dominates the rhythm of Bitcoin's bull and bear transitions, dividing the fluctuations of a Bitcoin bull and bear cycle into 4 parts, which are:
Bull Beginning >> Halving >> Bull End >> Bear Market
Before the "halving," there will be a "Bull Beginning," After the "halving," there will be a "Bull End," The "halving day" will be interspersed in the "middle region" of the entire bull market, The duration of the "Bull Beginning" and "Bull End" is basically similar,
After the "Bull End," there will be a bear market lasting 1 year, and then we will wait for the next "halving day" to drive the next "Bull Beginning" market, and so on, ad infinitum.
From the diagram below, we can see that the "Bull End" of this round has already concluded, and we have officially entered the "Bear Market" zone. Even if the date I mentioned may not be absolutely accurate, there is no need for us to continue betting in this zone.
Although Vida's news trading aspect has nothing to do with us ordinary people. However, there is also a lot of information in @方程式新闻 that allows us manual traders to benefit, or serve as auxiliary judgment for trading.
I have manually traded and benefited from the information in the @方程式新闻 channel more than once, and this morning's BROCCOLI714 counts as one of those times.
Today, because I lost the keys to my home and got locked out, I couldn't sleep until around 4-5 AM, and then while scrolling through Twitter, I saw many people saying that $BROCCOLI714 's market was moving, surging about 10x in a short time.
But I couldn't find any relevant information; I saw some people say that @CZ 's dog had died, but it all felt like nonsense, so I originally just planned to watch the show and had no intention of participating until the notification from @方程式新闻 popped up, inferring it was suspected to be stolen, and only then did I decide to start looking for a position to short at a high point.
Then I got really lucky; as soon as I opened the short position, it quickly waterfall-ed.
杀破狼 WolfyXBT
--
Wow, it feels so smooth to drop like this right after opening.
I do not have any technical development background.
After Vibe Coding started to become popular, I tried to create some tools using AI. Since I have no development experience, the things I am currently working on are quite simple, and some are just toy-like items.
I plan to make each new project a bit more difficult and complex than the last one. In this way, over time, I will be able to handle more complex projects.
Every tool I am currently developing will be uploaded as a website and shared on X for everyone to use, and the code will also be open-sourced on Github for everyone to download. You can follow my X and Github, and let’s learn and progress together.
Below is a collection of links to the tools I have worked on so far:
• Value Corrector: https://wolfyxbt.github.io/ValuesCorrector/ • Binance Spot Dashboard: https://binance-spot-dashboard.vercel.app • Christmas Hat Generator: https://xmas-hat-generator.vercel.app • Date Calculator: https://wolfyxbt.github.io/date-calculator/ • Subscription Service Tracker: https://sub-bar.vercel.app • Binance Alpha Dashboard: https://jjboard.app/spot
I just created a Binance Alpha token dashboard using Codex.
Previously, I made a simple Binance spot token dashboard using Binance's public API. Today, I added a Binance Alpha token section based on that dashboard. In a few days, I will find time to add the Binance Futures part.
The website is temporarily named JJ Board, JJ = Minimalist.
The bear market has lasted 84 days, 12 weeks, 2.76 months, 0.23 years,
There are 280 days, 40 weeks, 9.2 months, 0.767 years until the next bull market.
杀破狼 WolfyXBT
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Bearish
The bull market for Bitcoin has ended, and we have now entered a bear market.
The peak of this bull market occurred on 2025/10/06, with the price of Bitcoin at 126,000. I also do not wish to speak negatively about my career, but according to the "four-year cycle theory," the price of Bitcoin has indeed peaked. I just want to convey this fact to more newcomers who have entered this cycle.
In my opinion, the "Bitcoin halving" has the greatest impact on the price of Bitcoin; it is much larger than any other event (macroeconomics, regulatory policies, geopolitical issues, wars, pandemics, etc.). The four-year cycle theory is a cyclical theory that revolves around Bitcoin halving, and it is currently the most reliable cyclical theory in the cryptocurrency space, without exception.
The core of the four-year cycle theory is: "Bitcoin halving" dominates the rhythm of Bitcoin's bull and bear transitions, dividing the fluctuations of a Bitcoin bull and bear cycle into 4 parts, which are:
Bull Beginning >> Halving >> Bull End >> Bear Market
Before the "halving," there will be a "Bull Beginning," After the "halving," there will be a "Bull End," The "halving day" will be interspersed in the "middle region" of the entire bull market, The duration of the "Bull Beginning" and "Bull End" is basically similar,
After the "Bull End," there will be a bear market lasting 1 year, and then we will wait for the next "halving day" to drive the next "Bull Beginning" market, and so on, ad infinitum.
From the diagram below, we can see that the "Bull End" of this round has already concluded, and we have officially entered the "Bear Market" zone. Even if the date I mentioned may not be absolutely accurate, there is no need for us to continue betting in this zone.
I don't know why, but when I see someone chatting with a period, I subconsciously feel that this person is very old. Little Zhu @Hutflow likes to chat with periods, and every time I chat with him, I feel like I'm chatting with an old man, hahaha.
Masturbation has been seriously undervalued, and in the future, it will usher in a big bull market for masturbation.
Currently, in this era, "masturbation" is regarded as a very "low-level" vocabulary. Even love, casual sex, and prostitution seem to be more "high-level" than masturbation, and people who frequently masturbate may be labeled as "Loser."
However, masturbation is actually the lowest-cost way to satisfy sexual desire.
If you don't masturbate, you have to resolve your sexual desire through love, casual sex, or prostitution, but all three of these options are far more costly in terms of time, mental energy, or money than masturbation. So, masturbation is actually the most efficient way to satisfy one's sexual desire.
"Self-sufficiency" is considered a "high-level" term in any field, but when it comes to "satisfying sexual desire," self-sufficiency paradoxically becomes a "low-level" term. Therefore, I believe that in this era, people have a serious misjudgment of the value of "masturbation."
The information explosion brought by AI is gradually pushing "efficiencyism" into the mainstream, and "masturbation," the most "efficient" solution in the field of "satisfying sexual desire," may be re-evaluated and repositioned by everyone.
In the future, more and more people will choose to masturbate, and the entire world will welcome a big bull market for masturbation, entering an era of universal masturbation. At that time, if you tell others that you masturbate, they will think you are very fashionable and high-level.
Masturbation is undervalued; if you want to buy the dip, then masturbate more now.
Li Xiaolai: The first time I bought Bitcoin, I only bought 2,100.
The screenshot of the video interview with Li Xiaolai that I posted yesterday has quite a high view count, here I am reposting the original video of the CCTV interview.
It's not just death that can restart life; divorce, immigration, bankruptcy, serious illness, breakup, resignation, New Year, exercise, moving, haircut, and bathing can also do it.
21 Core Points Expressed by He Yi in the Interview Video
Bonnie
Interview with He Yi
This video segment is too long, and I haven't found the time to watch it until today when I finally managed to finish it. I also summarized the 21 core points that He Yi expressed in the video in text, which you can save and look at if you're interested.
• Original YouTube video link: https://youtube.com/watch?v=PTvYq0-PIY0&t=2004s
1. A low starting point can actually be an advantage.
He Yi grew up in a remote mountainous area of Sichuan, where they had to use a kerosene lamp during power outages and carry buckets to fetch water because there was no running water. Her father suddenly passed away when she was nine, and the family's situation deteriorated rapidly, leaving her to take care of herself as the 'second child' in the family.