Josue_arabau

388 Posts

Josue_arabau

Aprendemos a ganar y perder. Tu bendición para esta temporada, el golpe de suerte. La paciencia dara su recompensa #trader

Open Trade

High-Frequency Trader

4.8 Years

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Josue_arabau

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Josue_arabau

Bullish

📊 Weekly recap: BTC is holding 83K, CPI hits Oct 14, and three unlocks (STRK, $ARB , $CRO) land this week.
⚡ Biggest mover: $STRK

ran from 0.022 to 0.1265 on its Layer 1 / quantum news, now -20% at 0.093. A 127M unlock lands Oct 15. (usethebitcoin)
Full breakdown in my latest article 👇
Rally or trap? 🟢 / 🔴
#bitcoin #STRK #CPI #BinanceSquare e
⚠️ Not financial advice.

BTC+0.47%

Josue_arabau

Bullish

📊 Weekly recap: BTC is holding 83K, CPI hits Oct 14, and three unlocks (STRK, $ARB , $CRO) land this week.
⚡ Biggest mover: $STRK
ran from 0.022 to 0.1265 on its Layer 1 / quantum news, now -20% at 0.093. A 127M unlock lands Oct 15. (usethebitcoin)
Full breakdown in my latest article 👇
Rally or trap? 🟢 / 🔴
#bitcoin #STRK #CPI #BinanceSquare e
⚠️ Not financial advice.

⚠️ $STRK : -20% in 24h after touching 0.1265 📉
The rally driven by the quantum Layer 1 narrative was brutal: from 0.022 to 0.1265 in just a few weeks. Now profit-taking has arrived.

📊 Daily chart
Price: 0.093 (24h low: 0.0897)
Large red candle after a parabolic high
RSI is still at 66 and MACD is positive, but both are starting to lose momentum
Far above the moving averages: EMA20 at 0.063 and EMA50 at 0.047

📍 Levels
Support 1: 0.0897 (today's low)
Support 2: 0.070 (Supertrend)
Support 3: 0.063 (EMA20)
Resistance: 0.1265 (high)

🔓 And the unlock is still ahead
On October 15, ~127M $STRK will be unlocked, close to 1.7% of the circulating supply. Also, the migration to L1 has no date or defined plan. (usethebitcoin) (coincodex)
🎯 My take: the catalyst is narrative-driven, and the price has already risen too quickly. Trying to catch the "dip" after a 20% drop is risky: I prefer to wait and see if it holds 0.070 before considering an entry.
❓ How far will $STRK correct?
🟢 Holds 0.09
🔴 Visits 0.07
⚠️ Not financial advice. DYOR.
#STRK #STARKNET t #Layer1 #TechnicalAnalysis #BinanceSquare

STRK-12.98%

Josue_arabau

📰 Weekly Crypto Recap: Consolidation, Token Unlocks and CPI on the Radar$BTC cools off while the market waits for data BTC is trading around $83,088 (-0.69%), with a 24h range of $82,311 to $84,352. On the daily chart it's sitting right on the EMA20 (~$83.3K), above the EMA50 ($80.2K) and EMA200 ($75.5K), with the Supertrend still bullish at $78.6K. RSI is neutral at 51.7, but the MACD is losing momentum. The rebound from the mid-September low of $75,025 stalled just below $87,400. Forced liquidations hit roughly $548M on October 7, and spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $484.9M in net outflows that day, the largest since June. The market remains in a consolidation phase. (Weekly Crypto Report +2) 📍 Support: $82.3K, then $80.2K (EMA50) 📍 Resistance: $84.3K, then $87.4K $ETH lacks strength {spot}(ETHUSDT) $ETH lost about 5.2% over the week and slipped below $2,600. Still, Bitmine added 12,532 ETH and Tom Lee floated the possibility of a "largest-ever" bull market. (zebpay) (theblock) Narratives that are moving 🔥 Attention centered on network upgrades, quantum resistance and real-world asset (RWA) tokenization. DePIN, gaming and high-performance L1s also showed strength, with $FIL among the names holding up. (kucoin) 🏦 Standard Chartered launched custody for Ripple's RLUSD on the XRP Ledger, and Morgan Stanley expects to support tokenized equities in Q1 2027. A tailwind for $XRP (theblock) {future}(FILUSDT) 🇨🇳 China's proposal for a national blockchain network was read as a positive signal for $CFX. (kucoin) Regulation ⚖️ On October 5, the CFTC proposed a framework covering exchanges that offer leveraged digital-asset trading. (techicy) Thailand issued 11 new requirements for crypto ETFs, limited for now to $BTC and $ETH, effective October 16. (kucoin) Argentina's central bank reaffirmed its crypto ban within the banking system. (kucoin) 🗓️ This week's calendar Oct 14: US September CPI release (zebpay) Oct 15: 127M $STRK unlock, after a 13% drop on profit-taking (coinmarketcap) Oct 16: 92.65M $ARB unlock (kucoin) Oct 17: 1.17B $CRO unlock (~$70.85M) (kucoin) Together, these unlocks total about $845.8M. Expect volatility, and be careful with impulse entries. (kucoin) 🎯 My take: sideways market, with $BTC defending the $82K zone. If it loses it, CPI could accelerate the drop toward the EMA50. If it holds, the upper range comes back into play. Meanwhile, I'm watching sectors with real narrative (RWA, DePIN) and waiting for confirmation. ❓ What do you expect from CPI: 🟢 relief or 🔴 pressure? ⚠️ Not financial advice. DYOR. #Bitcoin #Ethereum✅ m #CPI #WeeklyRecap #BinanceSquare {future}(BTCUSDT)

📰 Weekly Crypto Recap: Consolidation, Token Unlocks and CPI on the Radar

$BTC cools off while the market waits for data
BTC is trading around $83,088 (-0.69%), with a 24h range of $82,311 to $84,352. On the daily chart it's sitting right on the EMA20 (~$83.3K), above the EMA50 ($80.2K) and EMA200 ($75.5K), with the Supertrend still bullish at $78.6K. RSI is neutral at 51.7, but the MACD is losing momentum.
The rebound from the mid-September low of $75,025 stalled just below $87,400. Forced liquidations hit roughly $548M on October 7, and spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $484.9M in net outflows that day, the largest since June. The market remains in a consolidation phase. (Weekly Crypto Report +2)
📍 Support: $82.3K, then $80.2K (EMA50)
📍 Resistance: $84.3K, then $87.4K
$ETH lacks strength
$ETH lost about 5.2% over the week and slipped below $2,600. Still, Bitmine added 12,532 ETH and Tom Lee floated the possibility of a "largest-ever" bull market. (zebpay) (theblock)
Narratives that are moving 🔥
Attention centered on network upgrades, quantum resistance and real-world asset (RWA) tokenization. DePIN, gaming and high-performance L1s also showed strength, with $FIL among the names holding up. (kucoin)
🏦 Standard Chartered launched custody for Ripple's RLUSD on the XRP Ledger, and Morgan Stanley expects to support tokenized equities in Q1 2027. A tailwind for $XRP (theblock)
🇨🇳 China's proposal for a national blockchain network was read as a positive signal for $CFX. (kucoin)
Regulation ⚖️
On October 5, the CFTC proposed a framework covering exchanges that offer leveraged digital-asset trading. (techicy)
Thailand issued 11 new requirements for crypto ETFs, limited for now to $BTC and $ETH , effective October 16. (kucoin)
Argentina's central bank reaffirmed its crypto ban within the banking system. (kucoin)
🗓️ This week's calendar
Oct 14: US September CPI release (zebpay)
Oct 15: 127M $STRK unlock, after a 13% drop on profit-taking (coinmarketcap)
Oct 16: 92.65M $ARB unlock (kucoin)
Oct 17: 1.17B $CRO unlock (~$70.85M) (kucoin)
Together, these unlocks total about $845.8M. Expect volatility, and be careful with impulse entries. (kucoin)
🎯 My take: sideways market, with $BTC defending the $82K zone. If it loses it, CPI could accelerate the drop toward the EMA50. If it holds, the upper range comes back into play. Meanwhile, I'm watching sectors with real narrative (RWA, DePIN) and waiting for confirmation.
❓ What do you expect from CPI: 🟢 relief or 🔴 pressure?
⚠️ Not financial advice. DYOR.
#Bitcoin #Ethereum✅ m
#CPI #WeeklyRecap #BinanceSquare

Bullish

🚨 $FIL +10% and nobody's talking about it 👀
It bounced from 0.61 and has already reclaimed the daily EMA200. But on the 15m chart it's pulling back after hitting 1.2764. $FIL

📍 Support: 1.21
📍 Resistance: 1.32
As long as 1.21 holds, the structure stays bullish. If it loses it, a visit to 1.17 is likely.

🗳️ My scenario for this week:
🟢 Breaks 1.32
🔴 Rejected and drops to 1.17
Vote below 👇 and tell me why.
⚠️ Not financial advice. DYOR.
#FIL🔥🔥 #Filecoin/USDT #TradingCommunity #BinanceSquareFamily $BTC

BTC+0.47%

FIL-5.72%

Josue_arabau

📊 My SPOT positions today: $API3 and $DIA 🔥
Both are in the green after a good day. Here’s how they look on the 15m:
🔹 $API3 /USDT: 0.3191 (+8.91%)
My average entry: 0.3124 → I’m up ~+2%
It broke above EMA20 and EMA50, but EMA200 (0.3112) is the key support
MACD turning positive, RSI at 53 (neutral zone)
Watch out: Supertrend is still red (0.3250). If it breaks above that, the trend changes
🔹 $DIA /USDT: 0.1850 (+9.86%)
My average entry: 0.1758 → I’m up ~+5%
Clean uptrend: price above all EMAs and Supertrend in green
RSI at 67, nearing overbought territory, and a red candle has appeared after the 0.1865 high
Zone to watch if it pulls back: EMA20 (0.1818)
💡 My plan: there’s no liquidation in spot, so I’m focused on managing my entry and not chasing the price. If DIA loses EMA20, I’ll be cautious. For API3, I’m waiting for confirmation above Supertrend.
❓ Which of the two do you think has more room to run? Let me know 👇
⚠️ This isn’t financial advice; I’m just sharing my trades. DYOR.
#API3 #DIA #Spot #TechnicalAnalysis #BinanceSquare

DIA-10.09%

API3-1.53%

Josue_arabau

🔺 $AVAX at a crossroads: bounce or second drop?

$AVAX is trading at 10.22 (+0.44%) after a strong red daily candle from the 11+ zone. Here’s what the charts are saying:

📉 1D (big picture)
• Price just below the EMA20 (~10.44), which is now resistance

• MACD has crossed bearishly and RSI is around 51, not overbought

• Key support levels: 9.75 → 9.30 (EMA50) → 9.02 (EMA200)

⏱️ 15m (short term)
• Price is between the EMA20 (10.19) and EMA50 (10.23), trying to reclaim them

• MACD is attempting a bullish crossover, RSI is around 53

• Resistance levels: 10.26 → 10.47 → 10.67
• Immediate support: 10.01 – 9.99

🎯 What I’m watching:
✅ 15m close above 10.26 with volume → bounce toward 10.47
❌ Drop below 10.01 → possible retest of 9.75
📊 Daily trend is bearish, while the 15m chart is trying to turn around. The 10.0 zone is key.

👇 Your turn:
🟢 Does it bounce to 10.5+?
🔴 Does it lose 10 and drop to 9.7?
Comment 🟢 or 🔴 and tell me why. I reply to every comment 💬
If you find this analysis helpful, follow me for more levels on $AVAX and other pairs 🔔
This is not financial advice. Do your own research (DYOR).
#AVAX #Avalanche #AVAXUSDT #TechnicalAnalysis #BinanceSquare

AVAX-6.09%

Josue_arabau

$LTC C at $63: healthy pullback or is the rebound running out? 🔍

Litecoin rose from 39 to 75 and is now pulling back.
📊 1D: lost the EMA20 (65.5), MACD crossing downward.

📈 1W: recovery intact, testing the EMA50 (62.1).

📉 1M: still below its EMAs. It’s too early to talk about a cycle change.

🎯 My levels:
• Support: 59.9–61
• Break above 65.5
• Targets: 70 / 74.99
• Invalidation: below 59.9 (next: 56)
🧠 There’s no edge in the middle of the range. I’m waiting for a pullback to support or a breakout with a daily close.

Are you buying the pullback or waiting for the breakout? 👇
#LTC #Litecoin
#Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #BinanceSquare
Not financial advice.

LTC-5.12%

Josue_arabau

$RLC +50% in 24h: continuation or a trap for late buyers? 🚀⚠️

With 670M USDT in volume, RLC went from ~0.40 to a high of 1.4887 and has now given back some of the move.

📊 What the charts say
• 1D: RSI at 89 and the price nearly 2x above the EMA20 (0.53). It’s very stretched.
• 4h: the price is still above all 3 EMAs and the MACD has crossed back up. The trend is still bullish.

• 15m: consolidating between 1.03 and 1.12, close to the EMA20. Momentum has cooled (RSI ~52, MACD flat).

🎯 Key levels
• 1.0663 / 1.0289: 15m EMA20 and EMA50. Losing these opens the door to 0.90.
• 1.2131: first strong resistance.
• 1.4887: the day’s high, with a long rejection wick.

🧠 My take: the trend is strong, but entering now means buying at a high price. I’d prefer a pullback to support or a breakout above 1.21 with volume.
No position. In parabolic moves, waiting is also a strategy. 💪
Would you buy the breakout or wait for a pullback? 👇
#RLC #iExecRLC #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #BinanceSquareTalks quare
Not financial advice. A +50% pump means high volatility.$ETH

ETH-1.26%

RLC-9.95%

Josue_arabau

feels strong $BTC $ETH ... what goes up and down and what goes down and up #pumpiscoming #CiclosDelMercado #CiclosBitcoin

🎯 Next Key Levels to Watch $BTC

The current zone between $81,300 and the $80,900 minimum is a critical, highly important support. If #alcistas fail to defend this level consistently, the price could move to seek trapped liquidity in the $80,000 area or even fall toward $77,000. 🤔

All eyes from investors are now on next Wednesday, October 14, when the new data point #IPC (Inflation) from the U.S. will be released—this will ultimately determine the market’s direction for the end of the month.

Be very careful with leverage and manage your risk wisely! 🫡

Do you think the $80k will hold (hopefully they will), or will we see a larger capitulation? I’m reading your thoughts in the comments. 👇
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoNews #BinanceSquare #TechnicalAnalysis #Macroeconomy #Liquidations $EDU

BTC+0.47%

EDU-8.68%

Josue_arabau

🚨 WHY DID BITCOIN DROP BELOW $82,000? 📉

The crypto market has just taken a brutal shake. If you’re looking at your $BTC chart on Binance and wondering what triggered this vertical correction, here’s the technical and macroeconomic breakdown of what’s happening right now.

🌐 The Macro Cocktail: Geopolitics, Oil, and the Fed

This drop isn’t random; it’s the result of a perfect storm in traditional markets that has directly infected cryptocurrencies:

• Geopolitical Tensions and Inflation: The escalation of conflict in the Middle East and the threat of storms in the Gulf of Mexico have pushed Brent crude above $105 per barrel. Fear of another inflation shock has switched on the global risk-off mode (risk aversion), causing capital to flee volatile assets.
• A Harsher Federal Reserve (Hawkish): The latest Fed minutes showed that the U.S. central bank considers another interest rate hike highly likely before the end of the year to rein in inflation. With U.S. Treasury bond yields hovering near 5.27% highs, investors are favoring the safe haven of fixed income over crypto risk.

• Exodus in the #bitcoin ETFs: Spot-listed funds recorded massive net outflows of $487 million in a single day, led by BlackRock’s IBIT. The institutional buying pressure that was propping up the price has temporarily evaporated. #FedMinutesFocusOnOctoberPause

Bullish

🚀 $DIA : Bouncing +8.3%... Is it time to hold or take profits? 📊

Token $DIA is showing signs of a rebound, trading around $0.1748, very close to the recent 24-hour high of $0.1765. For those of us holding Spot positions around the average price of $0.1758–$0.1759, the price is hovering near breakeven.

🔍 Key structural points:
• Dynamic support to defend: $0.1680–$0.1700 (20 EMA on the 15m chart and key EMAs on the 4H chart).
• Resistance to break: $0.1765. A close above this level opens the way toward $0.1880–$0.1974.

• Macro (1w): Emerging from accumulation, with RSI at 52.98, indicating room for further upside.

💡 Spot strategy: I’m patiently holding my position as long as the structure holds above $0.1680, looking for a move toward the upper end of $0.19+.

💬 Are you also holding $DIA on Spot, or would you rather take profits at resistance? Share your analysis in the comments! 👇
#BinanceSquare #CryptoAnalysis #DIA #SpotTrading. Trading #TradingSignal

DIA-10.09%

Josue_arabau

Article

🚨 Trend Reversal for Caldera ($ERA)? Complete Technical Analysis After the +20% Breakout

Introduction
The $ERA pair (Caldera) has been one of the most volatile assets over the past 24 hours, recording a sharp upward move of more than +20% and reaching a local high of $0.0795 from a low of $0.0601.
After months of prolonged downward pressure from its all-time highs near $0.55, the chart structure is showing the first clear signs of a possible structural shift or significant technical rebound. In this detailed analysis, we evaluate price action across the 15-minute, 4-hour, daily, and weekly timeframes, examining key indicators such as moving averages (EMA), RSI, and MACD.

ERA-8.67%

Josue_arabau

Bullish

$FIL is caught in a timeframe battle ⚔️
📈 15m: strong bounce from 1.0185, with a bullish Supertrend and MACD crossing upward.
📉 4h: still bearish, with price below the EMA20 and Supertrend in the red.

One of the two timeframes is wrong.
🎯 The deciding level: 1.0907. That’s where the 15m EMA200 and the 4h EMA20 converge.
✅ Breaks above and holds: the bounce turns into a trend.

❌ Gets rejected: it goes back to test 1.0185.
I’m not in a position. Waiting for confirmation, not guessing. 🧠
Fake bounce or trend reversal? 👇
#FIL/USDT
#Filecoin #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis
This is not financial advice.

FIL-5.72%

Josue_arabau

⚡ BREAKING FOMC NEWS! The Fed breaks its silence with the Minutes: What’s happening with $BTC ? 📉🇺🇸

Attention, Binance Square traders and investors! Just a few minutes ago, the official Minutes from the latest FOMC meeting were released. The crypto market is already digesting the data, and volatility has begun.

Here are the 3 key points you need to know right now to protect your positions:
Another rate hike on the way 🚨: Most Fed officials believe it will be appropriate to raise rates one more time before the end of the year, as inflation has been above the 2% target for more than 5 years.

No rush for October ⏸️: Although they expect another hike, the Minutes indicate there’s no urgency to implement it at the next meeting on October 28. Governors want to assess upcoming inflation and employment data with an “open mind.”

The impact on yields 📊: The committee discussed the sharp rise in Treasury yields, which hit highs this morning. This is keeping the BTC/USD pair under pressure in the short term.

💡 My trading recommendation: With support for another hike toward year-end confirmed, the market won’t have a clear path ahead. Minutes days = liquidation days. Be very careful with futures leverage today—$BTC !
Do you think the market has already priced in this rate hike, or will we see a correction in the coming hours? 🧐

If you want to stay up to date on macro impacts in real time, like, share, and hit the FOLLOW button to beat the algorithm. 📈
#FOMC #Bitcoin #Fed #Macroeconomia #CryptoTrading #BinanceSquare

BTC+0.47%

Josue_arabau

Which direction will we go?

EDU-8.68%

Josue_arabau

Bullish

Bitcoin and Ethereum Under Pressure 📉 Bottom or More Declines?

Hello, community! Today the market is giving us a healthy dose of volatility. Let’s break down what’s happening technically with the two leading cryptocurrencies on the 4-hour (4h) and 15-minute (15m) timeframes.

🪙 Bitcoin ($BTC /USDT) - Looking for stability

• 4h chart: After hitting a local high near $87,220, the price corrected sharply to $83,405. The Supertrend indicator has turned bearish (red), and the 4h RSI is at 33.29, very close to oversold territory. This suggests selling pressure has been strong, but a technical rebound could be near if the $83,000 support holds.
• 15m chart: In the short term, we’re seeing a breather. After hitting a low of $82,787, the price is attempting to consolidate, and the RSI has risen to 49.91 (neutral), indicating that the pace of the decline has temporarily slowed.

👥 Ethereum ($ETH H/USDT) - In extreme oversold territory

• 4h chart: ETH has taken the hardest hit, dropping 4.67% to $2,560.45. It fell below the moving averages with a very aggressive red candle that swept liquidity at $2,535.19. Most notable is its extremely low RSI of 24.17. Historically, these oversold levels often precede relief rallies.

• 15m chart: Shows that bearish momentum is running out of steam. The 15m MACD is starting to curve upward with a positive green histogram, signaling that buyers are trying to defend the $2,550 area.

⚠️ Be careful with ETH shorts: With the 4h RSI so deeply oversold, opening short positions at this exact point carries a high risk of getting caught in a technical rebound (short squeeze).
Do you think Bitcoin will hold $83k, or will we head toward the 200 EMA near $81,600? I’m reading your comments! 👇
#BTC☀️
#ETH #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #BinanceSquare #Crypto

BTC+0.47%

ETH-1.26%

Josue_arabau

🏛️ FOMC Day! The Fed minutes come out
TODAY: Is a pause or more rate hikes coming? ⚠️

Today is a crucial day for global liquidity and risk markets. The Federal Reserve is publishing the minutes from its latest meeting, where it unanimously raised rates by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75%-4.00% under the firm stance of Chair Kevin Warsh.

Why is this vital for your crypto holdings in real time?

1. The major internal divide: Markets will look for clues about how deep the divide is between members who want to keep tightening the economy ("hawkish") and those calling for patience ("dovish") in light of the latest weak employment and inflation data.

2. What the market expects: Bets on the late-October meeting have shifted dramatically. The odds of another hike this month have fallen below 22% (compared with 51% last week). Most expect a pause in October and see the risk of a hike shifting to December.

3. The governors' tone: Key figures like Vice Chair John Williams have suggested that "there is no urgency" to act quickly, bringing some relief. However, if the minutes reveal a more hawkish tone than expected, we could see volatility in Bitcoin and altcoins.

💡 Trader tip: Protect yourself before 14:00 (New York time). The market tends to overreact when the first algorithms read the Fed document.

👇 Do you think the crypto market will react positively, or will we see a correction? Vote below, share your opinion, and hit the Follow button to stay up to date with the post-FOMC analysis! 🔔
#FOMC‬⁩ #FedMinutes #MacroEconomy #Bitcoin❗ i#CryptoNews

BTC+0.47%

METIS-4.63%

Josue_arabau

Bullish

🚀 Football Fever or Real Liquidity? $LAZIO surges +25% in 24 hours 🚨

Heads up, community! The S.S. Lazio fan token ($LAZIO ) has become one of the biggest surprises of the day, reaching $0.489 and posting an impressive daily high of $0.540. 📈

What does the 4H chart tell us?
• Massive volume candles: After days of sideways consolidation around $0.376, the bulls came in strong and broke through resistance.

• Moving averages: The price is trading comfortably above the MA(7) at $0.433 and the MA(25) at $0.400, confirming strong short-term bullish momentum.

• Profit-taking: That long upper wick up to $0.540 tells us there was strong rejection at the top due to profit-taking. The price is now looking to consolidate the key support level at $0.476.

⚠️ What's my game plan? Buying in the middle of a 'pump' is risky. I'm waiting to see if it holds the current level or retests the MA(7) so I can look for a safer entry. The 24-hour volume has already topped 6.40M USDT, so the market has its eyes on this!

💬 What do you think? Is this a temporary pump, or are we heading for $0.60? Leave your analysis in the comments and follow me so you don't miss the next real-time alerts! 👇

#Lazio #FanTokens #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LAZIOUSDT

LAZIO+2.20%

Josue_arabau

📰 Weekly Crypto Recap: Consolidation, Token Unlocks and CPI on the Radar

🚨 Trend Reversal for Caldera ($ERA)? Complete Technical Analysis After the +20% Breakout

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